• 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 2008.02a
• /
• pp.389-392
• /
• 2008

Warning phase of disaster is a critical period in determining the likely survival of threatened citizens. Elderly requires special attention primarily because they tend to be uncompliant and less likely to cooperate with authorities. But there is much less research on how elderly respond to disaster warnings, while there is a strong consistent empirical literature on older citizen in the recovery periods of disaster. The purpose of this study is to examine coping behavior of elderly when they are at risk of disaster. Data were collected from 130 senior citizens aged over 60 who are residing in Pyungchang and Injae in Kangwon province which had damaged due to heavy rain in 2006. Perry & Lindell(1997)'s index, a series of six categories that represent coping behaviors which progressively approximate the action of evacuating was used : do nothing(1), check environmental cues for evidence of a threat(2), engage in threat-specific property protection(3), engage in protective action for personal safety(4), prepare to evacuate(5), evacuate the areas as instructed in the warning(6). Almost respondents(69.2%) chose the level 6(51.5%) and level 5(17.7%). This proves the elderly are not uncompliant or uncooperative population. Furthermore, this finding emphasizes the importance of public warning in case of disasters. And 13.8% of total respondent checked level 1 for their reaction.

• Journal of Climate Change Research
• /
• v.6 no.1
• /
• pp.55-60
• /
• 2015

Agro-Meteorological Information Service (AMIS) network has been established since 2001 by Rural Development Administration (RDA) in Korea, and has provided access to current and historical weather data with useful information for agricultural activities. AMIS network includes 158 automated weather stations located mostly in farm region, with planning to increase by 200 stations until 2017. Agrometeorological information is disseminated via the web site (http://weather.rda.go.kr) to growers, researchers, and extension service officials. Our services will give enhanced information from observation data (temperature, precipitation, etc.) to application information, such as drought index, agro-climatic map, and early warning service. AMIS network of RDA will help the implementation of an early warning service for weather risk management.

• Atmosphere
• /
• v.18 no.3
• /
• pp.237-248
• /
• 2008

A thermal index which considers metabolic heat generation of human body is proposed for operational forecasting. The new thermal index, Perceived Temperature (PT), is forecasted using Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) mesoscale model and validated. Forecasted PT shows the characteristics of diurnal variation and topographic and latitudinal effect. Statistical skill scores such as correlation, bias, and RMSE are employed for objective verification of PT and input meteorological variables which are used for calculating PT. Verification result indicates that the accuracy of air temperature and wind forecast is higher in the initial forecast time, while relative humidity is improved as the forecast time increases. The forecasted PT during 2007 summer is lower than PT calculated by observation data. The predicted PT has a minimum Root-Mean-Square-Error (RMSE) of $7-8^{\circ}C$ at 9-18 hour forecast. Spatial distribution of PT shows that it is overestimated in western region, while PT in middle-eastern region is underestimated due to strong wind and low temperature forecast. Underestimation of wind speed and overestimation of relative humidity have caused higher PT than observation in southern region. The predicted PT from the mesoscale model gives appropriate information as a thermal index forecast. This study suggests that forecasted PT is applicable to the prediction of health warning based on the relationship between PT and mortality.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
• /
• v.10 no.4
• /
• pp.81-88
• /
• 2010

As there occurs recently and frequently a flash flood due to the climate change, a sudden local flood of great volume and short duration caused by heavy or excessive rainfall in a short period of time over a small area, it is increasing that significant danger and loss of life and property in Korea as well as the whole world. Since a flash flood usually occurs as the result of intense rainfall over small steep slope regions and has rapid runoff and debris flow, a flood rises quite quickly with little or no advance warning to prevent flood damage. The aim of this study is to quantify the severity of flash food by estimation of a flash flood index(FFI) from probability rainfall data in a study basin. FFI-D-F(FFI-Duration-Frequency) curves that present the relative severity of flash flood are developed for a study basin to provide regional basic information for the local flood forecasting and warning system particularly in ungauged catchments. It is also expected that FFI-D-F curves can be utilized for evaluation on flash flood mitigation ability and residual flood risk of both existing and planned flood control facilities.

• Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
• /
• v.25 no.1
• /
• pp.101-119
• /
• 2022

Existing algal bloom monitoring is based on field sampling, and there is a limit to understanding the spatial distribution of algal blooms, such as the occurrence and spread of algae, due to local investigations. In this study, algal bloom monitoring was performed using an unmanned aerial vehicle and multispectral sensor, and data on the distribution of algae were provided. For the algal bloom monitoring site, data were acquired from the Mulgeum·Mae-ri site located in the lower part of the Nakdong River, which is the areas with frequent algal bloom. The Chlorophyll-a(Chl-a) value of field-collected samples and the Chl-a estimation formula derived from the correlation between the spectral indices were comparatively analyzed. As a result, among the spectral indices, Maximum Chlorophyll Index (MCI) showed the highest statistical significance(R²=0.91, RMSE=8.1mg/m³). As a result of mapping the distribution of algae by applying MCI to the image of August 05, 2021 with the highest Chl-a concentration, the river area was 1.7km², the Warning area among the indicators of the algal bloom warning system was 1.03km²(60.56%) and the Algal Bloom area occupied 0.67km²(39.43%). In addition, as a result of calculating the number of occurrence days in the area corresponding to the "Warning" in the images during the study period (July 01, 2021~November 01, 2021), the Chl-a concentration above the "Warning" level was observed in the entire river section from 12 to 19 times. The algal bloom monitoring method proposed in this study can supplement the limitations of the existing algal bloom warning system and can be used to provide information on a point-by-point basis as well as information on a spatial range of the algal bloom warning area.

• Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
• /
• v.12 no.4
• /
• pp.97-105
• /
• 1998

The goal of the present research was to develop a mean to determine indices of drought warning and emergency necessary to manage drought and establish water supply contingency plan for the municipal and industrial water supply system in urban areas. To do this, we worked on the Sayun catchment which is the main water source of Ulsan and used measured hydrologic data (storage, inflow, supply, outflow) from 1980 to 1996. The indices of drought calculated by the method of Phillips drought index based only on monthly precipitation do not pertinently represent drought phenomena in case water supply is from dam or reservoir in an urban area. Therefor, we developed the drought index technique including inflow, storage, outflow and supply which are the chief factors of drought management. The result showed that the method of Phillips drought index considering the capacity of water supply was excellent when applied to practical drought phenomena.

• Journal of Navigation and Port Research
• /
• v.47 no.3
• /
• pp.167-173
• /
• 2023

The manufacturing industry is the backbone of the Korean economy. Among them, the petrochemical industry is a strategic growth industry, which makes a profit through reexports based on eminent technology in South Korea which imports all of its crude oil. South Korea imports whole amount of crude oil, which is the raw material for many manufacturing industries, by sea transportation. Therefore, it must respond swiftly to a highly volatile tanker freight market. This study aimed to make an early warning model of crude oil shipping market using a signal approach. The crisis of crude oil shipping market is defined by BDTI. The overall leading index is made of 38 factors from macro economy, financial data, and shipping market data. Only leading correlation factors were chosen to be used for the overall leading index. The overall leading index had the highest correlation coefficient factor of 0.499 two months ago. It showed a significant correlation coefficient five months ago. The QPS value was 0.13, which was found to have high accuracy for crisis prediction. Furthermore, unlike other previous time series forecasting model studies, this study quantitatively approached the time lag between economic crisis and the crisis of the tanker ship market, providing workers and policy makers in the shipping industry with an framework for strategies that could effectively deal with the crisis.

• Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
• /
• v.14 no.24
• /
• pp.199-206
• /
• 1991

As the development of modern technology, human works shift whose roll from physical conditions to the system monitoring tasks. In this paper, safety-presentation configuration is discussed instead of well-known fault-warning configuration. Safety-presentation configuration is verified as superior to the fault-warning configuration in hazard prevention. The estimation of system states involves the decision making environments which lack of required in formations and most of all the informations are not precise too. And the limitation of human information processing show doubtful results. So the estimation of system states is regardes as fuzzy number, and its operation produces the parameter that explain the discriminability(d), decision criterion ($\beta$) of system operator's behaviors. These two values served as performance indices. Especially the $\beta$ is a good milestone of the operator's altitude degree of caution.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
• /
• v.36 no.3 s.134
• /
• pp.375-384
• /
• 2003

Severe drought tends to occur in almost event five years in Korea. Drought responses have been well operated in close collaboration with the central, local government and the water management authorities on the institutional framework. However, the responses are usually post-activities to a drought event. The responses often face difficulties in operating and managing process due to an absence of a drought monitoring system and drought triggers. The objective of this study is to set up drought triggers through a time-spatial interpretation of drought index and the government responses during historical drought events. Drought triggers are divided into four categories: advisory, watch, warning and emergency stage. The range and drought-impacted area of an each stage in triggers have been addressed using drought index. Furthermore, a web-based drought monitoring system is illustrated.

• Convergence Security Journal
• /
• v.6 no.4
• /
• pp.67-73
• /
• 2006

The method which research a standardization from real time cyber threat is finding the suspicious indication above the attack against cyber space include internet worm, virus and hacking using analysis the event of each security system through correlation with the critical point, and draft a general standardization plan through statistical analysis of this evaluation result. It means that becomes the basis which constructs the effective cyber attack response system. Especially at the time of security accident occurrence, It overcomes the problem of existing security system through a definition of the event of security system and traffic volume and a concretize of database input method, and propose the standardization plan which is the cornerstone real time response and early warning system. a general standardization plan of this paper summarizes that put out of threat index, threat rating through adding this index and the package of early warning process, output a basis of cyber threat index calculation.