• 제목/요약/키워드: WASP Model

검색결과 97건 처리시간 0.025초

의사결정지원기법을 이용한 농촌유역 수질관리모형의 개발 (Development of Water Quality Management Model for Rural Area Using Decision Support System)

  • 양영민;권순국
    • 한국농공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국농공학회 1999년도 Proceedings of the 1999 Annual Conference The Korean Society of Agricutural Engineers
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    • pp.783-788
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    • 1999
  • In this study, a decision support system (DSS) was developed to calculate optimal wastetreatment cost, treatment level and treatment quantity of various pollutants for applying for in rural basin. The DSS includes a gegraphic informatino system (GIS), relational database system (RDBS), water quality models(Loading function , WASP5), watershed pollution load calculation module(SPLC), optimal water quality management plan to satisfy the water quality regulations. The system can be modified by user to trace the optimal condition for decision. The effort was conducted to apply the developed DSS to select the for optimal water quality management plan small rural basin called Kwanri Stream.

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$CO_2$ 거래비용 변화에 따른 발전원가(변동비) 영향 분석 (A study of the effect on variable generation cost by the variation of $CO_2$ emission trading price)

  • 정영범;이영일;윤용범
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2007년도 제38회 하계학술대회
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    • pp.822-823
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    • 2007
  • It is easily can be expected that Korea cannot be free under the regulation, because Korea is one of the major $CO_2$ emitter in the world. Even though Korea currently doesn't have any obligation to mitigate the carbon emission, power industry needs to study the effect of that. this paper aims to analyze the change of economic loading order for generation dispatch by various carbon price, looking at each plant's or generator's variable generation cost per unit electricity(kWh) that consists of basic generation price calculated by automatic generation system planning model, WASP 4.0, and $CO_2$ price per unit electricity generation.

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최적화 기법에 의한 발전시뮬레이션 방법론의 개발 및 전원확충계획 문제에의 적용 (The Development of Production Simulation Methodology by Optimization Technique and It's Application to Utility Expansion Planning)

  • 송길영;오광해;김용하;차준민
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 1996년도 하계학술대회 논문집 B
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    • pp.793-796
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    • 1996
  • This study proposes a new algorithm which performs a production simulation under various constraints and maintains computational efficiency. In order to consider the environmental and operational constraints, the proposed algorithm is based on optimization techniques formulated in LP form In the algorithm, "system characteristic constraints" reflect the system characteristics such as LDC shape, unit loading order and forced outage rate. By using the concept of Energy Invariance Property and two operational rules i.e. Compliance Rule for Emission Constraint, Compliance Rule for Limited Energy of Individual Unit, the number of system characteristic constraints is appreciably reduced. As a solution method of the optimization problem, the author uses Karmarkar's method which performs effectively in solving large scale LP problem. The efficiency of production simulation is meaningful when it is effectively used in power system planning. With the proposed production simulation algorithm, an optimal expansion planning model which can cope with operational constraints, environmental restriction, and various uncertainties is developed. This expansion planning model is applied to the long range planning schemes by WASP, and determines an optimal expansion scheme which considers the effect of supply interruption, load forecasting errors, multistates of unit operation, plural limited energy plants etc.

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전력수급계획 수립시 수요예측이 전원혼합에 미치는 영향 (The Effect of the Demand Forecast on the Energy Mix in the National Electricity Supply and Demand Planning)

  • 강경욱;고봉진;정범진
    • 에너지공학
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    • 제18권2호
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    • pp.114-124
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    • 2009
  • 지식경제부(MKE)는 매2년마다 전력수급기본계획을 수립한다. 본 논문에서는 전력수급기본계획 수립시 전력수요를 과대 또는 과소로 예측한 것이 차기 전력수급기본계획 수립시 전원혼합(Energy Mix)에 미치는 영향을 정량적으로 평가하였다. 전력수요 자료는 2005년도에 예측한 제3차 전력수급기본계획의 전망치를 이용하였고 전원혼합을 도출하기 위하여 전력거래소(KPX)에서 활용하고 있는 WASP 전산모형을 단순화한 시뮬레이션 모형을 구축하였다. 2005년도 전력수요를 적정, 5% 과대 그리고 5% 과소 예측한 경우에 대하여 각각 단순화한 시뮬레이션 모형을 이용하여 2005년도 전력수급기본계획의 전원혼합을 도출하였다. 이 3가지 전원혼합을 초기조건으로 하여 2005년도의 적정 전력수요가 2007년 이후에 적용된다고 보고 2007년도에 차기 전력수급기본계획의 전원혼합을 도출하였다. 전력수요가 적정일 경우, 2005년도와 2007년도 전력수급 기본계획의 전력수요는 동일하므로 전원혼합에 변화가 없다. 전력수요를 5% 과대 또는 5% 과소 예측한 경우, 계획된 발전소 건설을 차기 전력수급기본계획 수립시 줄이거나 늘려야 하는데 건설기간이 짧은 LNG 발전소가 그 영향을 받는 것으로 나타났다.

옥정호의 효율적인 수질관리방안 (A Scheme of Effective Water Quality Management on Lake Okjeoung)

  • 이요상;김우구
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제34권5호
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    • pp.487-497
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    • 2001
  • 옥정호에 대한 수질변화 조사 자료를 토대로 수질모의를 실시하였으며, 그 결과 바탕으로 효율적인 댐저수지 수질관리 방안을 제시하였다. 옥정호의 수질은 계절에 다라 중영양상태와 부영양상태를 나타내는 것으로 평가되었으며 이러한 수질상태는 외부로부터 유입되는 오염원에 많은 영향을 받게 되므로 우선 유역으로부터 유입되는 오염부하의 정확한 산정이 필요한 것으로 평가되었다. 1999년에 조사한 7차례의 강우기간 중 총 부하와 일년간 발생한 총 부하를 비교하면 강우량은 17.5%인데 비해 SS는 72.8%, TN과 TP는 약 50%가 강우기에 유입되는 것으로 조상되었다. 또한 퇴적물의 용출율은 TP의 경우 가두리 양식장이 운영되던 지점에서는 11.92 mg/L, 정기수질 조사지점에서 0.2∼1.9 mg/L로 국내·외 자료와 비교하여 용출율이 작은 것으로 나타났다. 댐저수지 수질관리 방안 수립을 위하여 WASP5 모형을 적용하였으며 검증된 결과를 이용하여 각 소유역에서 오염부하 삭감에 따른 6가지 방안에 대한 수질모의를 실시하였고 각각에 대한 수질개선 효과를 제시하였다. 가장 효율적인 방안은 임실천 유역과 관촌교 유역의 오염부하를 제어하는 방안으로 평가되었으며, 가장 수질개선효과가 좋은 것은 대표 세유역의 오염부하를 제어하는 것으로 나타났다. 이를 바탕으로 수질개선을 위한 하·폐수처리장의 건설 적지를 제시하였다.

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MODELING LONG-TERM PAH ATTENUATION IN ESTUARINE SEDIMENT, CASE STUDY: ELIZABETH RIVER, VA

  • WANG P.F;CHOI WOO-HEE;LEATHER JIM;KIRTAY VIKKI
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2005년도 학술발표회(2)
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    • pp.1189-1192
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    • 2005
  • Due to their slow degradation properties, hydrophobic organic contaminants in estuarine sediment have been a concern for risks to human health and aquatic organisms. Studies of fate and transport of these contaminants in estuaries are further complicated by the fact that hydrodynamics and sediment transport processes in these regions are complex, involving processes with various temporal and spatial scales. In order to simulate and quantify long-term attenuation of Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons (PAH) in the Elizabeth River, VA, we develop a modeling approach, which employs the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's water quality model, WASP, and encompasses key physical and chemical processes that govern long-term fate and transport of PAHs in the river. In this box-model configuration, freshwater inflows mix with ocean saline water and tidally averaged dispersion coefficients are obtained by calibration using measured salinity data. Sediment core field data is used to estimate the net deposition/erosion rate, treating only either the gross resuspension or deposition rate as the calibration parameter. Once calibrated, the model simulates fate and transport PAHs following the loading input to the river in 1967, nearly 4 decades ago. Sediment PAH concentrations are simulated over 1967-2022 and model results for Year 2002 are compared with field data measured at various locations of the river during that year. Sediment concentrations for Year 2012 and 2022 are also projected for various remedial actions. Since all the model parameters are based on empirical field data, model predictions should reflect responses based on the assumptions that have been governing the fate and sediment transport for the past decades.

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불확실성을 고려한 통합유역모델링 (Integrated Watershed Modeling Under Uncertainty)

  • 함종화;윤춘경;다니엘 라욱스
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제49권4호
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    • pp.13-22
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    • 2007
  • The uncertainty in water quality model predictions is inevitably high due to natural stochasticity, model uncertainty, and parameter uncertainty. An integrated modeling system under uncertainty was described and demonstrated for use in watershed management and receiving-water quality prediction. A watershed model (HSPF), a receiving water quality model (WASP), and a wetland model (NPS-WET) were incorporated into an integrated modeling system (modified-BASINS) and applied to the Hwaseong Reservoir watershed. Reservoir water quality was predicted using the calibrated integrated modeling system, and the deterministic integrated modeling output was useful for estimating mean water quality given future watershed conditions and assessing the spatial distribution of pollutant loads. A Monte Carlo simulation was used to investigate the effect of various uncertainties on output prediction. Without pollution control measures in the watershed, the concentrations of total nitrogen (T-N) and total phosphorous (T-P) in the Hwaseong Reservoir, considering uncertainty, would be less than about 4.8 and 0.26 mg 4.8 and 0.26 mg $L^{-1}$, respectively, with 95% confidence. The effects of two watershed management practices, a wastewater treatment plant (WWTP) and a constructed wetland (WETLAND), were evaluated. The combined scenario (WWTP + WETLAND) was the most effective at improving reservoir water quality, bringing concentrations of T-N and T-P in the Hwaseong Reservoir to less than 3.54 and 0.15 mg ${L^{-1}$, 26.7 and 42.9% improvements, respectively, with 95% confidence. Overall, the Monte Carlo simulation in the integrated modeling system was practical for estimating uncertainty and reliable in water quality prediction. The approach described here may allow decisions to be made based on probability and level of risk, and its application is recommended.

규제 완화된 전력시스템의 전원개발계획 방법론 고찰 (Analysis of Generation Expansion Planning Methodology in Deregulated Power Systems)

  • 조형준;황성욱;장승찬;김발호;김정훈
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 1999년도 하계학술대회 논문집 C
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    • pp.1101-1103
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    • 1999
  • Deregulation and restructuring of electric industry change the fundamental nature of electric business which will be coordinated by the evolved market structures such as spot market with pool and bilateral transaction structure, forward market and future market. Introduction of competition can significantly change the system operation in near-terms as well as long-run generation expansion planning Previous centralized planning by monopoly utilities which was guided for the public service purpose will be replaced by decentralized investments plan by individual generation companies in response to commercial incentives. This paper reviews WASP model as a centralized planning tool and presents a methodological analysis of generation expansion planning in deregulated power systems. It stresses how affects the process of planning new generation investments by the introduction of competition and how maintains proper fuel mix and continuously sustains system reliability under deregulated environments.

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장기 회피 발전비용 계산에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Evaluation of the Long-Term Avoided Generation Cost)

  • 김종옥;박종배;김광인;이상철
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 1996년도 하계학술대회 논문집 B
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    • pp.878-882
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    • 1996
  • This paper discusses the definition and concepts, approach methodologies, capable application areas in electricity business, and tentative calculation of avoided generation costs based on the Korea's official long-term generation expansion plan. The objective to evaluate avoided costs of a resource is to supply decision makers with the breakeven cost of a targeting avoided resource. For the evaluation of avoided costs of the Korea's generation system, we consider the pseudo-DSM option which has 1,000MW peak savings, load factor with 70 percent, and life-time With 25 years as the avoided resource. The DSM resource can save the fuel and capacity additions of a electric utility during its life time. The capacity and fuel savings are evaluated from the two different cashflows with and Without the DSM option, which are generated on the basis of the generation system optimization model(WASP-II), independently. The breakeven kWh costs of the DSM option over this 25-year period is projected to be 34.1[won/kWh], which is composed of generation-capacity and fuel avoided costs with 101.139[won/kW] and 17.6[won/kWh], respectively.

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퍼지 Simulation 방법에 의한 주암호의 수질모델링 (Water Quality Modeling of Juam Lake by Fuzzy Simulation Method)

  • 이용운;황윤애;이성우;정선용;최정욱
    • 대한환경공학회지
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.535-546
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    • 2000
  • 주암호는 광주 전남지역의 주민생활이나 공 농업활동에 기반이 되는 중요한 수자원의 역할을 하고 있으나, 주암호에 유입되는 오염물질로 말미암아 호수의 수질은 점점 악화되고 있는 실정이다. 주암호의 수질개선대책을 수립하기 위한 예비단계로서 호수의 수질모델링을 실시하여 수질이 장래에 어떻게 변화될 것인지를 확인할 필요성이 있다. 수질모델링 작업에 이용할 수 있는 컴퓨터 프로그램은 여러 종류가 있으나, 각 프로그램에서 요구하는 오염물질 유입량, 수리 수문 등의 압력자료(Input data)는 불확실성을 포함하고 있으며, 이러한 불확실성은 예측결과(장래수질)의 불확실성을 초래하게 된다. 수질모델링에서 불확실성이 발생하는 주요원인은 활용할 수 있는 정보의 부족, 미래상황 및 예측모델의 불확실, 그리고 전문가 지식의 한계 때문이다. 따라서 본 연구의 목적은 퍼지이론을 응용하여 수질예측 모델에서 요구하는 입력자료들의 불확실성 정도를 해석하고, 이를 수질예측 모델에 그대로 결합시킬 수 있는 방법을 개발하는 것이다. 이러한 방법의 적용은 불확실성을 고려하지 않는 방법들에 비해 합리적이고 현실성 있는 주암호의 장래수질을 예측하는데 도움이 될 것이다.

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