• Title/Summary/Keyword: Voters variables

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Analysis of the Impact of votes on Political involvement, Candidates attitude, Policy support and Voters variables in the Engagement attributes Focus on the campaign of 18th Presidential Election in 2012 (인게이지먼트 속성에서 정치관여도, 후보자태도, 정책 지지도와 유권자의 변수가 득표에 미치는 영향 분석 -2012년 제 18대 대통령선거에서 나타난 정치캠페인을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Man-Ki
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.49-54
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    • 2015
  • This study carried out a survey targeting sample of 609 audience panel voters of 15 regions including Seoul during the campaign period of Korean presidential election on December 19, 2012. It was analyzed that how the attitude to the candidate, the support to the policy and the voters'variables affected the vote-getting in the engagement attributes. The analysis shows that high participation of the engagement attributes does not always mean that the political candidate is satisfactory at the political campaign. The fact that high engagement attribute does not always affect the other attributes is interpreted that engagement attributes do not have correlation at the political campaign. And the candidate should approach the voters more carefully as there are differences among the engagement attributes in the attitude to the candidate and the support to the policy. In the engagement attributes, voters show little difference according to gender, region, income and marriage but show much difference according to age and education level. So it will be a principal index in the future political campaign.

Explaining the Development of Social Policy: Social Policy Preferences and Political Institution (선호와 정치제도를 중심으로 한 사회정책 발달이론의 모색)

  • Hong, Kyung-Zoon
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.61 no.4
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    • pp.35-59
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    • 2009
  • This paper presents a formal model of social policy development. The model shows that the development of social policy depends both on the social policy preferences of voters and on the political institution which mediates the preferences of voters. In the direct democracy, median voter's social policy preference is critical because he is Condorcet winner in a pairwise vote. But in the representative democracy, political parties design social policy to win the support of a majority of voters. Hence, the political institution like electoral rule may affect social policy outcome. The model presented in this paper contrasts 3 alternative constitutional features and investigates how they affect social policy outcome. In result, this papers emphasizes that policy preferences of voters and political institution may be key variables to explain social policy development and divergence among welfare regimes.

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An Institutionalization and Legislation Productivity of Korean Metropolitan Councils: Panel Data Analysis (광역의회제도화와 입법생산성: 패널데이터 분석)

  • Jung, SungEun
    • Korean Journal of Legislative Studies
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.105-145
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    • 2020
  • This study analyzes the effect of institutionalization of Korean metropolitan councils on legislation productivity. Based on the theory of institutionalization of legislatures, three independent variables (stability, complexity and adaptability) were selected to measure the level of institutionalization of a metropolitan council and nine sub-analysis indicators. The main results of the analysis of the effect of the institutionalization of the metropolitan council on legislation productivity are as follows: First, the factors that determine the number of reported bills were the ratio of first-term lawmakers, average number of elected of the chairmen, number of special committees, number of legislative experts, actual age of metropolitan councils, and number of voters per lawmaker. Second, the factors that determine the rate of reported bills were the average number of elected of the chairmen, the number of special committees, the number of legislative experts, the actual age of metropolitan councils, and the number of voters per lawmaker. Third, the factors that determine the number of reported bills per lawmaker is the average number of elected of the chairmen, the actual age of metropolitan councils, and the number of voters per lawmaker. The above result points out that legislation productivity differences of past metropolitan councils can be understood as differences arising from legislative institutionalization levels and several policy considerations can be made to enhance legislation productivity of metropolitan councils.

E-voting Implementation in Egypt

  • Eraky, Ahmed
    • Journal of Contemporary Eastern Asia
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.48-68
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    • 2017
  • Manual elections processes in Egypt have several negative effects; that mainly leads to political corruption due to the lack of transparency. These issues negatively influence citizen's participation in the political life; while electronic voting systems aim to increase efficiency, transparency, and reduce the cost comparing to the manual voting. The main research objectives are, finding the successful factors that positively affects E-voting implementation in Egypt, in addition of finding out the reasons that keep Egyptian government far from applying E-voting, and to come up with the road map that Egyptian government has to take into consideration to successfully implement E-voting systems. The findings of the study suggest that there are seven independent variables affecting e-voting implementation which are; leadership, government willingness, legal framework, technical quality, awareness, citizen's trust in government and IT literacy. Technology-Organization-Environment (TOE) theory was used to provide an analytical framework for the study. A quantitative approach (i.e., survey questionnaire) strategy was used to collect data. A random sampling method was used to select the participants for the survey, whom are targeted voters in Egypt and have access to the internet, since the questionnaire was distributed online and the data is analyzed using regression analysis. Practical implications of this study will lead for more citizen participation in the political life due to the transparency that E-voting system will create, in addition to reduce the political corruption.

Sentiment Analysis for Public Opinion in the Social Network Service (SNS 기반 여론 감성 분석)

  • HA, Sang Hyun;ROH, Tae Hyup
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.111-120
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    • 2020
  • As an application of big data and artificial intelligence techniques, this study proposes an atypical language-based sentimental opinion poll methodology, unlike conventional opinion poll methodology. An alternative method for the sentimental classification model based on existing statistical analysis was to collect real-time Twitter data related to parliamentary elections and perform empirical analyses on the Polarity and Intensity of public opinion using attribute-based sensitivity analysis. In order to classify the polarity of words used on individual SNS, the polarity of the new Twitter data was estimated using the learned Lasso and Ridge regression models while extracting independent variables that greatly affect the polarity variables. A social network analysis of the relationships of people with friends on SNS suggested a way to identify peer group sensitivity. Based on what voters expressed on social media, political opinion sensitivity analysis was used to predict party approval rating and measure the accuracy of the predictive model polarity analysis, confirming the applicability of the sensitivity analysis methodology in the political field.

Differential Media Effects on Candidates' Image and Correlations Among Media Use, Interpersonal Communication, and Voting Participation (후보자 이미지 형성에 관한 미디어의 차별적 효과와 미디어 이용, 대인커뮤니케이션, 투표참여 간의 상호관계에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jin-Young
    • Korean journal of communication and information
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    • v.32
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    • pp.113-146
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    • 2006
  • This study explored how media and interpersonal communication affected voters in Busan mayoral by-election, focusing on the mutual relations among media use and attentive use of political campaign, interpersonal communication, and voting participation. Also, comparative analysis between image factor and the factor of political party influencing the decision of a candidate were examined. Additionally, it was analysed differential media effects on candidates' image. According to the results, the local media use and attentive use of political campaign had the influence on the increase of interpersonal communication about the election. Voters who had much interpersonal discussion with others participated more than voters who had less interpersonal discussion. Media use did not directly affect the participation of voting, but indirectly contributed to participation of voting through interpersonal discussion. The assumption of differential media effects on candidates image was partly proved. There were statistically significant differences in the factor of competence of candidates' image among three experimental groups (attentive use of TV discussion program, Internet web sites of two candidates, and printing materials of political advertisement). Furthermore, with three main vote variables, issues, candidates image, party identification, the results of comparative analysis between image factor and the factor of political party influencing the choice of a candidate suggested that a sense of oneness with a party was highly related to the choice of the candidates of the party, however, candidates' image was not related to the decision of a candidate. Political party had more impact on for whom to vote than candidates' image in this study.

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A Study on Implementation of the Push System Based on FCM Service Inducing Communication of Candidates and Influence on Voters: Using Smart Devices Application (FCM 서비스를 이용한 후보자 소통 유도 푸시 시스템의 구현과 유권자에게 미치는 영향에 관한 연구 : 스마트 디바이스 어플리케이션을 활용하여)

  • Lee, Seungwon;Lee, Ook
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.18 no.9
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    • pp.454-463
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    • 2017
  • Advancement of science and technology have led to development of the media, which has evolved election campaign strategies. Nowadays, media development has made communication more important, and it is a growing trend where smart-device applications are widely used to facilitate communication with electors. Based on Google's Fire base Cloud Messaging (FCM) push service, which keeps up with the fast-changing election trends and supports election campaigns systematically, this research aims to help accomplish the goals of an election campaign by developing an information system and performing empirical analysis of the variables that the information system affects. The system consists of an elector's application and a management system. The management system includes browsing and management of received-and sent-message history, and direct management of the application. By managing the push system in more progressive ways, this system will help to improve the effectiveness of election campaigns and accomplish election goals.

An Empirical Study on Difference of Approval Rate for the Political Parties among Generations (정당 지지에 대한 세대별 차이 고찰)

  • Woo, Kyoungbong
    • Analyses & Alternatives
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.103-132
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to observe whether intergenerational differences exist in support among major Korean political parties and, if so, how they exist, based on the results of the survey conducted nationwide. To achieve the purpose of the study, a questionnaire was prepared based on conjoint analysis, and the collected data was analyzed by applying a random parameter logit model. The main results of model analysis are summarized as follows. First, among the policy variables, statistically significant results were observed in the generation of 20s and 30s for the education variable. It was found that both 20s and 30s aimed for equal education at a higher level than other generations. Especially, the highest intensity aim for equal education culture was observed in the 20s. Second, the coefficients of major political parties were observed with a high level of statistical significance. This appears to be a result suggesting that voters decide on their voting behavior through thorough policy comparisons in addition to comprehensive consideration on various current issues. Third, a clear support for conservative parties was observed in the generation of 20s. A clear and intense distribution of preference for political parties classified as conservatives was observed in the 20s generation, which can be said to be mainly college students. This seems to be a profound founding related to the issue of "conservatization of the 20s," which has recently become a hot topic in Korean society. Fourth, a high level of support for progressive parties was observed in the 30s and 40s. The Justice Party can be classified as a minority party in the National Assembly House as of January 2019. Nevertheless, it was maintained at a relatively high level in national recognition, and it is presumed that the background was high level of support from the 30s and 40s. Fifth, a large level of standard deviation was observed in the preference for conservative parties in the 50s. This means that some respondents who are in their 50s or older strongly support the Liberty Korea Party, and some respondents in the same generation strongly disapprove it. Due to this countervailing power, it seems that the average support level for the Liberal Korean Party is low in the generations of 50s and older.?

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A Study on the Political Campaign Strategy applying the effect of Media Engagement (미디어 인게이지먼트의 효과를 활용한 정치캠페인의 전략 연구)

  • Kim, Man-Ki;Kim, Su-Bean
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.12 no.5
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    • pp.13-24
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    • 2014
  • This study is the first model to apply the concept of media engagement to a political campaign by which the voters' mind toward the supporting political candidates, are read. Thus it provides the theoretical and practical implications to the political campaign, and eventually contributes to the development of democracy. For these objectives, the total of 729 people who have the right to vote were telephone surveyed using the peoplemeter, CATI program in the 18th Presidential Election (12 areas including Seoul) of Dec. 19th 2012, and Re and By-election of April 24th 2013. Research question is to examine how the 5 attributes of the media engagement (interest, immersion, relevance, satisfaction and participation), play a role as the moderating variables in cross-correlation, socio-economic status and media properties. The result shows that of the five properties of media engagement, the relevant factor is the important parameter of mediating variable to the causal relationship. The media usage (TV, SNS, print media), socio-economic status (gender, age, income, marriage and area), involvement and the Presidential Election, and Re and By-election are also effective in the five attributes of media engagement. These results suggest that the a study model can measure the campaign effectiveness. This study will contribute significantly to the development of politics, election, media, advertising, and public relations area as well as to promote interdisciplinary research.