• Title/Summary/Keyword: Volume transport

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Development of a Time Headway Distribution Model for Uninterrupted Traffic Flow Bikeway in Korea (국내 연속류 자전거도로의 차두시간 분포 모형 개발)

  • Jeon, Woo Hoon;Lee, Young-Ihn;Yang, Inchul
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.79-90
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    • 2019
  • This study aims to develop time headway distribution models of bicycle traffic flow in a uninterrupted bikeway. The sample data were collected and classified into two groups of traffic volume levels. The lower level traffic volume is defined to be under 8 bicycles per minute, and the higher one is greater or equal to 8 bicycles per minute. The data aggregation interval size was set to be 0.5-second. Four distribution models including normal distribution, negative exponential distribution, shifted negative exponential distribution, and Pearson III distribution were tested, and Chi-square test results shows that the negative exponential distribution and the shifted negative exponential distribution are well fitted to the sample data. Another test results with different sample data also shows the same conclusion.

A Study on the Traffic Volume Correction and Prediction Using SARIMA Algorithm (SARIMA 알고리즘을 이용한 교통량 보정 및 예측)

  • Han, Dae-cheol;Lee, Dong Woo;Jung, Do-young
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2021
  • In this study, a time series analysis technique was applied to calibrate and predict traffic data for various purposes, such as planning, design, maintenance, and research. Existing algorithms have limitations in application to data such as traffic data because they show strong periodicity and seasonality or irregular data. To overcome and supplement these limitations, we applied the SARIMA model, an analytical technique that combines the autocorrelation model, the Seasonal Auto Regressive(SAR), and the seasonal Moving Average(SMA). According to the analysis, traffic volume prediction using the SARIMA(4,1,3)(4,0,3) 12 model, which is the optimal parameter combination, showed excellent performance of 85% on average. In addition to traffic data, this study is considered to be of great value in that it can contribute significantly to traffic correction and forecast improvement in the event of missing traffic data, and is also applicable to a variety of time series data recently collected.

A Study on the Application of PPLT(Protected/Permitted Left-Turn) Considering the Traffic Characteristics of PLT/PPLT (보호좌회전과 보호/비보호 겸용 좌회전 통행특성 차이를 고려한 보호/비보호 겸용 좌회전 적용방안에 관한 연구)

  • Nam, Sang-bum;Kim, Ju-hyun;Shin, Eon-kyo
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.30-44
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    • 2020
  • The application of PPLT is difficult to analyze and judge only from the effects of the delay time. In this study, the application of PPLT was proposed using not only the delay time of PLT and PPLT due to the change in traffic volume and the number of opposite straight lanes but also the traffic volume of passing a left turn and the number of conflict risks as indicators. According to the analysis, the more left-turn traffic than capacity and the less opposite-straight volume, the greater the PPLT effect. On the other hand, if the left-turn traffic is below capacity, the delay time will be reduced partially, but the overall passing left turn volume will not increase, and the conflict risk will increase. In addition, the conflict risk increases in the third lane or higher. Moreover, the difference of passing left-turn volume between PLT and PPLT showed a pattern similar to the delay time difference, and the PPLT coverage was wider than the difference in delay time and was associated more with the conflict risk numbers. Therefore, it would be reasonable to use passing left-turn traffic primarily, consider the delay time below the left-turn capacity, and consider the conflicting risk numbers simultaneously at or above the opposite straight three lanes.

Analysis of the long-term equilibrium relationship of factors affecting the volatility of the drybulk shipping market (건화물선 해운시장의 변동성에 영향을 미치는 요인들의 장기적 균형관계 분석)

  • Lee, Choong-Ho;Park, Keun-Sik
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.39 no.2
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    • pp.41-57
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    • 2023
  • The drybulk shipping market has high freight rate volatility in the chartering market and various and complex factors affecting the market. In the unstable economic situation caused by the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, the BDI plunged due to a decrease in trade volume, but turned from the end of 2020 and maintained a booming period until the end of 2022. The main reason for the market change is the decrease in the available fleet that can actually be operated for cargo transport due to port congestion by the COVID-19 pandemic, regardless of the fleet and trade volume volatility that have affected the drybulk shipping market in the past. A decrease in the actual usable fleet due to vessel waiting at port by congestion led to freight increase, and the freight increase in charting market led to an increase in second-hand ship and new-building ship price in long-term equilibrium relationship. In the past, the drybulk shipping market was determined by the volatility of fleet and trade volume. but, in the future, available fleet volume volatility by pandemics, environmental regulations and climate will be the important factors affecting BDI. To response to the IMO carbon emission reduction in 2023, it is expected that ship speed will be slowed down and more ships are expected to be needed to transport the same trade volume. This slowdown is expected to have an impact on drybulk shipping market, such as a increase in freight and second-hand ship and new-building ship price due to a decrease in available fleet volume.

Analysis of Seawater Transport based on Field Measurements at Pier-bridge between Busan New-port and the Nakdong River Estuary (부산 신항-낙동강 하구역 연결잔교부의 물질수송 해석(I) - 현장조사를 통한 잔교부 해수소통량 평가 -)

  • Lee, Young-Bok;Tawaret, Attapon;Kim, Heon-Tae;Yoon, Han-Sam
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.189-195
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    • 2008
  • This study analyzed the characteristics of sea water transport between Busan New-port and the Nakdong River estuary. A current meter was placed on a pier bridge and the current velocity was analyzed to determine the flow direction. Water temperature, salinity, turbidity, and tide were also measured to determine the characteristics of sea water and to describe the tidal current between the two regions. The results indicated that the dominant outflow direction of the ebb tidal current was from the Nakdong River estuary to Busan New-port. Conversely, during a flood tide, the dominant direction was from Busan New-port to the Nakdong River estuary. The maximum current speed during the first and second field measurements was about 13.18 and 30.80 cm/ sec, respectively. During the first field measurement, the total volume of sea water transport was $184.71\;m^3/sec$ and the residual volume transport was $+59.74\;m^3/sec$. By contrast, during the second field measurement, the respective values were $331.15\;m^3/sec$ and $28.88\;m^3/sec$.

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A Study on the Estimation of Required Seaborne Trade Volume and Carrier Volume of Each Vessel Type in Case of Emergency (우리나라 비상사태시 소요물동량 및 선종별 소요선대 추정 연구)

  • Young-Gyun Ahn
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.45 no.1
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2020
  • The maritime industry is important for Korean international trade, as more than 99 percent of its imports and exports are moved by maritime transportation. However, if maritime transportation is stopped in the event of an emergency, such as war or natural disaster, there is a danger that imports and exports may cease abruptly. Coping with this risk is why the Ministry of Oceans and Fisheries, manages the 'National Necessary Shipping System.' This system requires that the government estimates the size of ships necessary in the case of an emergency, and the ships designated as National Necessary Vessels should transport goods in the case of actual emergencies. This study seeks to estimate the appropriate size of ships required in an emergency using the latest data and applying a quantitative methodology. This study provides useful reference materials for policy authorities. In particular, it is meaningful that this study estimates the required number of ships of each vessel type, reflecting the recent trend of large-scale ships and expanding global trade.

A Study on Effective Analysis Method of ITS(A Case of SUWON) (ITS 사업의 효과분석 방법론에 관한 연구(수원시를 중심으로))

  • Lee, Choul-Ki;Oh, Young-Tae;Lee, Hwan-Pil
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.81-94
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    • 2007
  • In order to solve the traffic problem which comes to be serious at day, the impotance of Intelligent Transport Systems(ITS) that accomplish information gathering, information processing, information offering with up-to-date scientific techniques is coming to be high. But many local self-government group want to solve the traffic problems with introduction of ITS, however, it is a actual condition where the systematic effective analysis is insufficient. This study establishes the methodology of effective analysis as introduction of ITS, which refers to the inside and outside of the country instance. And then, this research accomplishes direct and indirect effective analysis with the case study. As a result of SUWON ITS introduction effect analysis, the travel speed of TRC mode is increased 31%, and the delay of TRC mode is diminished 43.9% than before introducing case. Most of the citizen felt the improvement effect of ITS system operation, and the majority wanted the expansion of the ITS system in survey. The analysis of economic result that B/C ratio is 5.12. So, The the effect and economic propriety of the ITS enterprise appeared with the fact that it is sufficient.

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Design and Simulation of a Monorail Network for the Inter-terminal Transport

  • Truong, Ngoc Cuong;Kim, Hwan-Seong;Kim, In-Yong;Nguyen, Duy Anh;Bao, Long Le Ngoc
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.44 no.5
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    • pp.382-391
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    • 2020
  • In line with the trend of global transport volume which has increased rapidly over the years, internal transportation in seaports is always conducted with high frequency. Thus, there is always much potential for traffic jams as well as high transportation costs and emissions. Many efforts have been initiated to streamline the inter-terminal container transport (ITT) through the development of automated vehicles and equipment as well as using private transport facilities to overcome these limitations. The purpose of this paper to develop a framework to design, analyze, and validate the efficiency of a new ITT system in a port area based on the monorail network and automatic vehicles. First, the number of shuttles and loaders was determined depending on the transport demand scenario. Next, a simulation model was applied to evaluate the system performance as well as gain more insight into the working process of the ITT system. Finally, by setting goals for the performance indicators, the results showed that the system was highly efficient with 100% of the containers delivered to their destination on time. Besides, a series of other performance tracking was provided to provide insight into the system's capabilities.

Tidal variations in the cable voltage across the Korea Strait

  • Lyu, Sang-Jin;Kim, Young-Gyu;Kim, Kuh;Book, Jeffrey W.;Choi, Byung-Ho
    • Journal of the korean society of oceanography
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2002
  • Cable voltage was measured simultaneously at Hamada, Japan and Pusan, Korea, using an inservice telephone cable from March to December 1990. The spectral and harmonic analyses of these data sets show that tidal signals are dominant, and that tidal constituents $M_2$ and $O_1$, which are not affected by solar geomagnetic variations, have almost the same amplitude and are of opposite phase to each other. comparing the voltage difference in 1990 with that measured using the now abandoned cable in 1998, there are dominant tidal signals at the same periods in both data sets. They have approximately the same amplitude and phase for $M_2andO_1$. The relationship between the observed voltage and the volume transport through the Korea Strait can be considered robust and stable over time. The conversion factor from voltage to transport is estimated to be $11.9{\times}10^6m^3S^{-1}volt^{-1}$ by comparing the amplitude of model-derived $M_2$ tidal transport with that of the voltage difference in 1998. This value changes to $8.6{\times}10^6m^3S^{-1}volt^{-1}$ when taking into consideration the horizontal electric current effect. This effect depends on the downstream length scale of the flow. To obtain a more reliable and stable conversion factor from voltage to transport, the voltage should be compared with observed sub-tidal transports, which may have long downstream length scales.

Development of a Fission Product Transport Module Predicting the Behavior of Radiological Materials during Severe Accidents in a Nuclear Power Plant

  • Kang, Hyung Seok;Rhee, Bo Wook;Kim, Dong Ha
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.41 no.3
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    • pp.237-244
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    • 2016
  • Background: Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute is developing a fission product transport module for predicting the behavior of radioactive materials in the primary cooling system of a nuclear power plant as a separate module, which will be connected to a severe accident analysis code, Core Meltdown Progression Accident Simulation Software (COMPASS). Materials and Methods: This fission product transport (COMPASS-FP) module consists of a fission product release model, an aerosol generation model, and an aerosol transport model. In the fission product release model there are three submodels based on empirical correlations, and they are used to simulate the fission product gases release from the reactor core. In the aerosol generation model, the mass conservation law and Raoult's law are applied to the mixture of vapors and droplets of the fission products in a specified control volume to find the generation of the aerosol droplet. In the aerosol transport model, empirical correlations available from the open literature are used to simulate the aerosol removal processes owing to the gravitational settling, inertia impaction, diffusiophoresis, and thermophoresis. Results and Discussion: The COMPASS-FP module was validated against Aerosol Behavior Code Validation and Evaluation (ABCOVE-5) test performed by Hanford Engineering Development Laboratory for comparing the prediction and test data. The comparison results assuming a non-spherical aerosol shape for the suspended aerosol mass concentration showed a good agreement with an error range of about ${\pm}6%$. Conclusion: It was found that the COMPASS-FP module produced the reasonable results of the fission product gases release, the aerosol generation, and the gravitational settling in the aerosol removal processes for ABCOVE-5. However, more validation for other aerosol removal models needs to be performed.