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A Study on the Estimation of Required Seaborne Trade Volume and Carrier Volume of Each Vessel Type in Case of Emergency

우리나라 비상사태시 소요물동량 및 선종별 소요선대 추정 연구

  • Young-Gyun Ahn (Professional research institute of Korea Maritime Institute)
  • Received : 2020.02.11
  • Accepted : 2020.02.26
  • Published : 2020.02.28

Abstract

The maritime industry is important for Korean international trade, as more than 99 percent of its imports and exports are moved by maritime transportation. However, if maritime transportation is stopped in the event of an emergency, such as war or natural disaster, there is a danger that imports and exports may cease abruptly. Coping with this risk is why the Ministry of Oceans and Fisheries, manages the 'National Necessary Shipping System.' This system requires that the government estimates the size of ships necessary in the case of an emergency, and the ships designated as National Necessary Vessels should transport goods in the case of actual emergencies. This study seeks to estimate the appropriate size of ships required in an emergency using the latest data and applying a quantitative methodology. This study provides useful reference materials for policy authorities. In particular, it is meaningful that this study estimates the required number of ships of each vessel type, reflecting the recent trend of large-scale ships and expanding global trade.

Keywords

Acknowledgement

본 연구는 해양수산부에서 발주하고 한국해양수산개발원이 수행한 '국가필수선박 규모 및 손실보상 기준 개선방안 연구(2019. 9. 19 ~ 2019. 12. 10)'를 토대로 분석·작성되었으며, 한국해양수산개발원의 연구비 지원으로 수행되었음

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