• Title/Summary/Keyword: Vector Fit

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A Study on Forecast of Oyster Production using Time Series Models (시계열모형을 이용한 굴 생산량 예측 가능성에 관한 연구)

  • Nam, Jong-Oh;Noh, Seung-Guk
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.185-195
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    • 2012
  • This paper focused on forecasting a short-term production of oysters, which have been farmed in Korea, with distinct periodicity of production by year, and different production level by month. To forecast a short-term oyster production, this paper uses monthly data (260 observations) from January 1990 to August 2011, and also adopts several econometrics methods, such as Multiple Regression Analysis Model (MRAM), Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) Model, and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). As a result, first, the amount of short-term oyster production forecasted by the multiple regression analysis model was 1,337 ton with prediction error of 246 ton. Secondly, the amount of oyster production of the SARIMA I and II models was forecasted as 12,423 ton and 12,442 ton with prediction error of 11,404 ton and 11,423 ton, respectively. Thirdly, the amount of oyster production based on the VECM was estimated as 10,425 ton with prediction errors of 9,406 ton. In conclusion, based on Theil inequality coefficient criterion, short-term prediction of oyster by the VECM exhibited a better fit than ones by the SARIMA I and II models and Multiple Regression Analysis Model.

Modeling for Prediction of the Turnip Mosaic Virus (TuMV) Progress of Chinese Cabbage (배추 순무모자이크바이러스(TuMV)병 진전도 예측모형식 작성)

  • 안재훈;함영일
    • Korean Journal Plant Pathology
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.150-156
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    • 1998
  • To develop a model for prediction of turnip mosaic virus(TuMV) disease progress of Chinese cabbage based on weather information and number of TuMV vector aphids trapped in Taegwallyeong alpine area, data were statistically processed together. As the variables influenced on TuMV disease progress, cumulative portion(CPT) above 13$^{\circ}C$ in daily average temperature was the most significant, and solar radiation, duration of sunshine, vector aphids and cumulative temperature above $0^{\circ}C$ were significant. When logistic model and Gompertz model were compared by detemining goodness of fit for TuMV disease progress using CPT as independent variable, regression coefficient was higher in the logistic model than in the Gompertz model. Epidemic parameters, apparent infection rate and initial value of logistic model, were estimated by examining the relationship between disease proportion linearized by logit transformation equation, In(Y/Yf-Y) and CPT. Models able to describe the progression of TuMV disease were formulated in Y=100/(1+128.4 exp(-0.013.CPT.(-1(1/(1+66.7.exp(-0.11.day). Calculated disease progress from the model was in good agreement with investigated actual disease progress showing high significance of the coefficient of determination with 0.710.

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A Simplification of Linear System via Frequency Transfer Function Synthesis (주파수 전달함수 합성법에 의한 선형시스템의 간소화)

  • 김주식;김종근;유정웅
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers D
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    • v.53 no.1
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    • pp.16-21
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    • 2004
  • This paper presents an approximation method for simplifying a high-order transfer function to a low-order transfer function. A model reduction is based on minimizing the error function weighted by the numerator polynomial of reduced systems. The proposed methods provide better low frequency fit and a computer aided algorithm that estimates the coefficients vector for the numerator and denominator polynomial on the simplified systems from an overdetermined linear system constructed by frequency responses of the original systems. Two examples are given to illustrate the feasibilities of the suggested schemes.

Development of Hardware Simulator for PMSG Wind Power System Composed of Anemometer and Motor-Generator Set (풍속계와 Motor-Generator를 이용한 영구자석동기발전기 풍력발전시스템 하드웨어 시뮬레이터 개발)

  • Oh, Seung-Jin;Han, Byung-Moon
    • Proceedings of the KIPE Conference
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    • 2009.11a
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    • pp.185-187
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    • 2009
  • This paper describes development of a hardware simulator for the PMSG wind power system. The simulator consists of a realistic wind turbine model using anemometer, vector drive, induction motor. The turbine model generates torque and speed signals for a specific wind turbine with real wind speed. The torque and speed signals are scaled down to fit for the input power of 3kW PMSG. The hardware simulator was developed through computer simulations, and the operation was confirmed by experimental works.

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A Model Reduction and PID Controller Design Via Frequency Transfer Function Synthesis (주파수 전달함수 합성법에 의한 모델축소 및 PID 제어기 설계)

  • Kim, Ju-Sik;Kwang, Myung-Shin;Kim, Jong-Gun;Jeon, Byeong-Seok;Jeong, Su-Hyun
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers P
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    • v.54 no.1
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    • pp.34-40
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    • 2005
  • This paper presents a frequency transfer function synthesis for simplifying a high-order model with time delay to a low-order model. A model reduction is based on minimizing the error function weighted by the numerator polynomial of reduced systems. The proposed method provides better low frequency fit and a computer aided algorithm. And in this paper, we present a design method of PID controller for achieving the desired specifications via the reduced model. The proposed method identifies the parameter vector of PID controller from a linear system that develops from rearranging the two dimensional input matrices and output vectors obtained from the frequency bounds.

The Limit Distribution of an Invariant Test Statistic for Multivariate Normality

  • Kim Namhyun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.71-86
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    • 2005
  • Testing for normality has always been an important part of statistical methodology. In this paper a test statistic for multivariate normality is proposed. The underlying idea is to investigate all the possible linear combinations that reduce to the standard normal distribution under the null hypothesis and compare the order statistics of them with the theoretical normal quantiles. The suggested statistic is invariant with respect to nonsingular matrix multiplication and vector addition. We show that the limit distribution of an approximation to the suggested statistic is representable as the supremum over an index set of the integral of a suitable Gaussian process.

Isolated Word Recognition Using a Speaker-Adaptive Neural Network (화자적응 신경망을 이용한 고립단어 인식)

  • 이기희;임인칠
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics B
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    • v.32B no.5
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    • pp.765-776
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    • 1995
  • This paper describes a speaker adaptation method to improve the recognition performance of MLP(multiLayer Perceptron) based HMM(Hidden Markov Model) speech recognizer. In this method, we use lst-order linear transformation network to fit data of a new speaker to the MLP. Transformation parameters are adjusted by back-propagating classification error to the transformation network while leaving the MLP classifier fixed. The recognition system is based on semicontinuous HMM's which use the MLP as a fuzzy vector quantizer. The experimental results show that rapid speaker adaptation resulting in high recognition performance can be accomplished by this method. Namely, for supervised adaptation, the error rate is signifecantly reduced from 9.2% for the baseline system to 5.6% after speaker adaptation. And for unsupervised adaptation, the error rate is reduced to 5.1%, without any information from new speakers.

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The Limit Distribution and Power of a Test for Bivariate Normality

  • Kim, Namhyun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.187-196
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    • 2002
  • Testing for normality has always been a center of practical and theoretical interest in statistical research. In this paper a test statistic for bivariate normality is proposed. The underlying idea is to investigate all the possible linear combinations that reduce to the standard normal distribution under the null hypothesis and compare the order statistics of them with the theoretical normal quantiles. The suggested statistic is invariant with respect to nonsingular matrix multiplication and vector addition. We show that the limit distribution of an approximation to the suggested statistic is represented as the supremum over an index set of the integral of a suitable Gaussian Process. We also simulate the null distribution of the statistic and give some critical values of the distribution and power results.

Constructing $G^1$ Quadratic B$\acute{e}$zier Curves with Arbitrary Endpoint Tangent Vectors

  • Gu, He-Jin;Yong, Jun-Hai;Paul, Jean-Claude;Cheng, Fuhua (Frank)
    • International Journal of CAD/CAM
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.55-60
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    • 2010
  • Quadratic B$\acute{e}$zier curves are important geometric entities in many applications. However, it was often ignored by the literature the fact that a single segment of a quadratic B$\acute{e}$zier curve may fail to fit arbitrary endpoint unit tangent vectors. The purpose of this paper is to provide a solution to this problem, i.e., constructing $G^1$ quadratic B$\acute{e}$zier curves satisfying given endpoint (positions and arbitrary unit tangent vectors) conditions. Examples are given to illustrate the new solution and to perform comparison between the $G^1$ quadratic B$\acute{e}$zier cures and other curve schemes such as the composite geometric Hermite curves and the biarcs.

Personalized Prediction Algorithm of Physical Activity Energy Expenditure through Comparison of Physical Activity (신체활동 비교를 통한 개인 맞춤형 신체활동 에너지 소비량 예측 알고리즘)

  • Kim, Do-Yoon;Jeon, So-Hye;Pai, Yoon-Hyung;Kim, Nam-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.87-93
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study suggests a personalized algorithm of physical activity energy expenditure prediction through comparison and analysis of individual physical activity. The research for a 3-axial accelerometer sensor has increased the role of physical activity in promoting health and preventing chronic disease has long been established. Estimating algorithm of physical activity energy expenditure was implemented by using a tri-axial accelerometer motion detector of the SVM(Signal Vector Magnitude) of 3-axis(x, y, z). A total of 10 participants(5 males and 5 females aged between 20 and 30 years). The activities protocol consisted of three types on treadmill; participants performed three treadmill activity at three speeds(3, 5, 8 km/h). These activities were repeated four weeks.