• 제목/요약/키워드: Value at risk

검색결과 955건 처리시간 0.024초

정온전선의 화재 위험성에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Fire Risk for Self-regulating Heating Cable)

  • 이정현;김시현;박예진;강신동;김재호
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제39권3호
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    • pp.7-13
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    • 2024
  • This study examines the physical characteristics of self-regulating heating cables caused by increased temperature and fire risk due to local degradation. A thermo hygrostat system, a convection dryer, a digital multimeter (Agilent 34465 A), NI DAQ, and the LabVIEW program were used to assess the physical properties in response to temperature fluctuations. As the temperature increases, the resistance of the self-regulating heating cable increases; however, when the critical point is exceeded, the resistance sharply decreases. A problem arises when the resistance value cannot return to its original state even though the temperature is lowered to the initial state. Moreover, when the ambient temperature rises while power is applied, the resistance value initially increases, and the flowing current decreases, maintaining a constant state. However, when the critical temperature is exceeded, the flowing current increases because of a rapid decrease in the resistance value, progressing to ignition. When the resistance value decreases because of the deterioration of one local area, the total resistance value becomes less than the initial resistance value. Therefore, the flowing current increases and an ignition problem occurs at one location where deterioration occurs. Despite the sustained flames and arcs resulting from the changes in the overall physical properties of the self-regulating heating cable and resistance variations due to local decline, the fire continued as the flowing current was lower than the operating current of the circuit breaker, failing to cut the power. In the case of self-regulating heating cables and heating wires, which are the leading causes of fires in winter, efforts are needed to ensure the need for periodic maintenance and the use of KS-certified products.

국내 은행금융기관의 통합 위험관리시스템 개발에 대한 연구: 객체지향적 접근 (A Study on the Development of Integrated Risk Management System: Object-Oriented Approach)

  • 정철용
    • 경영정보학연구
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    • 제4권2호
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    • pp.361-376
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    • 2002
  • 본 논문은 국내 은행금응기관의 신용위험관리를 보다 효율적이고 과학적으로 지원하기 위한 통합 위험관리시스템의 프레임웍을 제시한다. 즉, 담보 보증중심의 사전관리 위주의 대출관리에서 신용중심의 사후관리 위주의 대출관리로 전환되어야 함에 따라 신용평가시스템, 대출의사결정시스템, 사후관리시스템, 그리고 통합 신용위험관리시스템에 이르기까지 각 단위 시스템이 전체적으로 하나의 시스템으로 통합되어야 한다. 특히, 통합 위험관리시스템은 신용위험을 은행전체의 신용 포트폴리오의 관점에서 측정하고 분석함을 의미한다. 통합 위험관리시스템은 개별 대출기업 혹은 개별 대출에 대한 신용위험을 분석함과 동시에 이를 기초 데이터로하여 은행 전체 신용 포트폴리오의 신용위험 노출정도를 파악한다. 또한, 개별 대출기업의 신용등급 변화로 인한 은행전체 신용위험의 변화를 자동적으로 파악하고 조기 경보함으로써 은행의 총체적인 통합 신용위험관리가 가능하도록 한다.

Seismic risk investigation for reinforced concrete buildings in Antalya, Turkey

  • Kepenek, Engin;Korkmaz, Kasim A.;Gencel, Ziya
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.203-211
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    • 2020
  • Turkey is located in one of the most seismically active regions of in Europe. The majority of the population living in big cities are at high seismic risk due to insufficient structural resistance of the existing buildings. Such a seismic risk brings the need for a comprehensive seismic evaluation based on the risk analysis in Turkey. Determining the seismic resistance level of existing building stock against the earthquakes is the first step to reduce the damages in a possible earthquake. Recently in January 2020, the Elazig earthquake brought the importance of the issue again in the public. However, the excessive amount of building stock, labor, and resource problems made the implementation phase almost impossible and revealed the necessity to carry out alternative studies on this issue. This study aims for a detailed investigation of residential buildings in Antalya, Turkey. The approach proposed here can be considered an improved state of building survey methods previously identified in Turkey's Design Code. Antalya, Turkey's fifth most populous city, with a population over 2.5 Million, was investigated as divided into sub-regions to understand the vulnerability, and a threshold value found for the study area. In this study, 26,610 reinforced concrete buildings between 1 to 7 stories in Antalya were examined by using the rapid visual assessment method. A specific threshold value for the city of Antalya was determined with the second level examination and statistical methods carried out in the determined sub-region. With the micro zonation process, regions below the threshold value are defined as the priority areas that need to be examined in detail. The developed methodology can be easily calibrated for application in other cities and can be used to determine new threshold values for those cities.

Investigation and Risk Assessment of Heavy Metals Contamination around an Abandoned Metal Mine in Korea

  • Lee, Jong-Wha;Kwak, Soon-Sun;Hong, Sung-Chul;Park, Sang-Il;Jang, Bong-Ki
    • 한국환경보건학회지
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    • 제36권6호
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    • pp.456-464
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    • 2010
  • Recently, heavy metals contamination of the agricultural soil and crops surrounding mining areas has been identified as one of the most serious environmental problems in South Korea. The Ministry of the Environment in Korea conducted a Preliminary National Environmental Health Survey (PNEHS) in abandoned metal mines in 2007. The priority for a subsequent detailed examination was ranked from the results of PNEHS. The studied mine which was ranked as being of the highest priority is located in the midwestern part of Korea and was operated from 1911 to 1985. In this study, the contamination levels of the heavy metals in the abandoned metal mine were investigated. From the results, the average daily dose (ADD), target hazard quotient (THQ) and target cancer risk of the heavy metals were evaluated. The concentration of arsenic (As) in all of the tailings from the mine was higher than its countermeasure standard of Korea. In particular, the highest concentration of As, 330 mg/kg, was up to 15 times higher than its countermeasure standard. The average concentration of As in agricultural soils was higher than the warning standard of Korea, and higher than its countermeasure standard at six sites. The average concentrations of the analyzed heavy metals in agricultural soil were below the warning standard, but concentrations of cadmium (Cd) and lead (Pb) at 4 sites were higher than its warning standard. The average concentration of As in surface water exceeded the warning standard of Korea. The value of the THQ of As for the tailings was higher than the health protection standard 1. The value of THQ of As for the farmlands was lower than the standard, while the hazard index (HI) of As was higher than the standard. The value of target cancer risk (TCR) of As, $6.44{\times}10^{-4}$, were higher than the health protection standard of a lifetime risk for TCR at $1{\times}10^{-6}$. This suggests that the residents around the metal mines are exposed to As pollution with a carcinogenic risk.

성형태도, 신체편향성, 외모에 대한 사회문화적 태도가 의복행동에 미치는 영향 (The Effects of Attitudes toward Cosmetic Surgery, Body Value Inclination, and Sociocultural Attitudes toward Appearance on Clothing Behavior)

  • 정미실
    • 한국의류학회지
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    • 제36권10호
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    • pp.1125-1136
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    • 2012
  • This study examines the influence of attitudes toward cosmetic surgery, body value inclination, and sociocultural attitudes towards appearance on clothing behavior. The subjects of this study were 315 female college students in Gyeongsang province. The data obtained were analyzed by a reliability analysis, factor analysis, correlation analysis, stepwise multiple regression analysis, and t-test. The major results of this study were as follows: First, three factors of attitudes toward cosmetic surgery were identified: the desire/motive for cosmetic surgery, risk taking for cosmetic surgery, and confidentiality about cosmetic surgery. Second, two factors of body value inclination were identified: getting an attractive physical appearance and maintaining an attractive physical appearance. Third, a significant positive correlation was found for attitudes toward cosmetic surgery, body value inclination, and sociocultural attitudes towards appearance with clothing behavior. Fourth, the most important variable that affected the imitation of celebrity clothing and preference for luxury goods was the desire/motive for cosmetic surgery. In addition, the sexual attractiveness of clothing was influenced by risk taking for cosmetic surgery and sociocultural attitudes towards appearance.

급성기 신경계 환자에서 낙상 위험 사정 도구의 신뢰도 및 타당도 비교 (Comparison of the Reliability and Validity of Fall Risk Assessment Tools in Patients with Acute Neurological Disorders)

  • 김성렬;유성희;신용순;전지윤;김준우;강수정;최혜숙;이혜림;안영희
    • 성인간호학회지
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.24-32
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    • 2013
  • Purpose: The aim of the study was to identify the most appropriate fall-risk assessment tool for neurological patients in an acute care setting. Methods: This descriptive study compared the reliability and validity of three fall-risk assessment tools (Morse Fall Scale, MFS; St Thomas's Risk Assessment Tool in Falling Elderly Inpatients, STRATIFY; Hendrich II Fall Risk Model, HFRM II). We assessed patients who were admitted to the Department of Neurology, Neurosurgery, and Rehabilitation at Asan Medical Center between July 1 and October 31, 2011, using a constructive questionnaire including general and clinical characteristics, and each item from the three tools. We analyzed inter-rater reliability with the kappa value, and the sensitivity, specificity, predictive value, and the area under the curve (AUC) of the three tools. Results: The analysis included 1,026 patients, and 32 falls occurred during this study. Inter-rater reliability was above 80% in all three tools. and the sensitivity was 50.0% (MFS), 84.4%(STRATIFY), and 59.4%(HFRM II). The AUC of the STRATIFY was 82.8. However, when the cutoff point was regulated as not 50 but 40 points, the AUC of the MFS was higher at 83.7. Conclusion: These results suggest that the STRATIFY may be the best tool for predicting falls for acute neurological patients.

수익률 분포의 적합과 리스크값 추정 (Distribution fitting for the rate of return and value at risk)

  • 홍종선;권태완
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.219-229
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    • 2010
  • 자산을 운용할 때 다양한 위험요인의 증가로 인해 위험관리에 대한 많은 연구가 진행되어왔으며, 통합적인 위험관리기법의 필요성이 대두됨에 따라 개발된 많은 방법 중의 하나가 리스크값이다. 현재까지 연구된 많은 리스크값의 추정과정에서 중요한 과제는 수익률분포의 비대칭성 및 두꺼운 꼬리와 같은 비정규성과 관련된 문제들을 해결하는 것이다. 대부분의 수익률 분포는 첨도가 매우 큰 양수값을 가지며 약한 음수값의 왜도를 갖는다. 본 연구에서는 실제 금융자산 수익률분포에 여러 종류의 대체분포들을 이용하여 실제의 수익률 분포에 적합한 분포를 선정하여 리스크값를 추정한다. 정규분포를 포함한 대체분포들을 이용하여 추정한 리스크값들이 실제 분포로부터 추정한 리스크값에 얼마나 일치하는지를 비교 연구한다. 다양한 대체분포 중에서 실제 분포에 정규혼합분포가 가장 적합하였으며, 이 정규혼합분포를 이용하여 추정한 리스크값과 다른 대체분포를 이용하여 구한 리스크값보다 정확함을 실증 자료를 통해 보였다.

해외 인터넷 쇼핑몰에서 패션상품을 직접 구매하는 소비자의 쇼핑 가치에 따른 위험 지각과 만족도 (Fashion shoppers' perceived risk and satisfaction at overseas online malls based on their internet shopping values)

  • 김용숙
    • 복식문화연구
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.41-53
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    • 2016
  • The purposes of this study was to identify fashion shoppers' perceived risk and satisfaction while shopping at overseas online shopping malls based on their internet shopping values. A self-administered questionnaire was used for data collection and an internet survey was conducted from April 12~15, 2015. Most consumers purchased one or two fashion items at overseas online malls directly, motivated by low prices, and spent 200,000~400,000 won during the last one year. The factors of consumers' internet shopping values were information, hedonics, and practicality. Factors of perceived risk were delivery and refund, price and approval, and product and shopping mall. Consumers were divided into three categories: heavy pursuit shoppers, intermediate shoppers, and uninformed shoppers based on their internet shopping values. Heavy pursuit shoppers were primarily female; they spent more, felt a deeper patronage with overseas online shopping malls and their perceived risk regarding delivery and refund was higher than the other shoppers. The group of uninformed shoppers were primarily male. They spent less, had low patronage with overseas online shopping malls, and their perceived risk regarding delivery and refund was lower than other shoppers. Overall satisfaction was positively affected by information provided while shoppers were surfing the overseas online shopping malls and practicality. Satisfaction was negatively affected by perceived risk regarding price and approval and difficulty in finding specific products while shopping at overseas online shopping malls.

An Index to Assess Overwork-Related Adverse Effects on Employees Under the Occupational Safety and Health Act in Taiwan

  • Yu-Cheng Lin;Yu-Wen Lin
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.401-407
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    • 2022
  • Background: The present study aimed to digitally evaluate the risk of overwork-related adverse effects (OrAEs) among employees from various occupational categories in Taiwan. Methods: Anonymous data of employees from seven companies/factories providing occupational health services were analyzed. The studied population comprised 5505 employees, and the data analyzed included employment duration, working hours, shift work schedules, and health checkup results. The risk for OrAEs was assessed by an index, Karo index (0-4, the larger the value, the higher the risk for OrAEs) obtained using a risk matrix made up of cardiocerebral and occupational risk factors. Karo index values of 3 and 4 were categorized as at high risk for OrAEs (h-OrAEs). Results: The 5505 employees had an average employment duration of 8.5 years and a mean age of 39.4 years. The prevalence rates for h-OrAEs of the seven companies/factories ranged from 3.9% to 34.2%. There were significant differences in prevalence rates for h-OrAEs between employees of retail stores and high-tech manufacturing factories. Multivariate analysis results indicated that workers of high-tech manufacturing factories had significantly higher risk for h-OrAEs compared with retail store workers. Conclusion: In terms of satisfying health risk management and legal requirements in Taiwan, the newly issued Karo index, which covers a wide range of occupational risk factors, can serve as an assessment and a warning tool for managing the risk of OrAEs in workplaces. To reduce risks for h-OrAEs, active and prudent control of cerebrocardiovascular risks and working hours is recommended.

제조업 사고분석을 통한 위험성평가 시 위험 가중요인 적용에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Application of Risk Weighting Factors in Risk Assessment Through Manufacturing Accident Analysis)

  • 김인성;송석진;조규선
    • 산업진흥연구
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    • 제8권4호
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    • pp.29-36
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    • 2023
  • 본 연구는 산업재해를 예방하기 위하여 제조업 현장에서 위험성평가 시 위험 가중요인이 반영될 수 있도록 방법론을 제시하고 실제 제조업 사업장에 적용하여 실증하였다. 제조업에서 최근 10년간(2012~2021) 발생한 사고 242,906건 전체에 대하여 사례를 통계적으로 분석한 결과 6개월 미만의 신규 작업자, 외국인 작업자, 55세 이상의 고령 작업자 및 손과 팔이 위험구역에 노출되는 작업, 9시에서 12시 전까지 실시되는 비일상 작업은 유의성 있게 사고발생률이 높게 나타났다. 또한 표적집단면접(FGI)을 통하여 위험성 결정 단계에서 사고의 가능성 추정에 가중 값으로 적용하도록 하였다. 본 연구결과를 통하여 위험성평가 시 위험 가중요인을 정량적으로 반영할 수 있고 파악된 위험의 크기를 보다 근접하게 평가함으로써 사고를 예방하는데 그 의의가 있다.