• 제목/요약/키워드: Validation Rate

검색결과 717건 처리시간 0.022초

Calibration of APEX-Paddy Model using Experimental Field Data

  • Mohammad, Kamruzzaman;Hwang, Syewoon;Cho, Jaepil;Choi, Soon-Kun;Park, Chanwoo
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2019년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.155-155
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    • 2019
  • The Agricultural Policy/Environmental eXtender (APEX) models have been developed for assessing agricultural management efforts and their effects on soil and water at the field scale as well as more complex multi-subarea landscapes, whole farms, and watersheds. National Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Wanju, Korea, has modified a key component of APEX application, named APEX-Paddy for simulating water quality with considering appropriate paddy management practices, such as puddling and flood irrigation management. Calibration and validation are an anticipated step before any model application. Simple techniques are essential to assess whether or not a parameter should be adjusted for calibration. However, very few study has been done to evaluate the ability of APEX-Paddy to simulate the impact of multiple management scenarios on nutrients loss. In this study, the observation data from experimental fields at Iksan in South Kora was used in calibration and evaluation process during 2013-2015. The APEX auto- calibration tool (APEX-CUTE) was used for model calibration and sensitivity analysis. Four quantitative statistics, the coefficient of determination ($R^2$),Nash-Sutcliffe(NSE),percentbias(PBIAS)androotmeansquareerror(RMSE)were used in model evaluation. In this study, the hydrological process of the modified model, APEX-Paddy, is being calibrated and tested in predicting runoff discharge rate and nutrient yield. Field-scale calibration and validation processes are described with an emphasis on essential calibration parameters and direction regarding logical sequences of calibration steps. This study helps to understand the calibration and validation way is further provided for applications of APEX-Paddy at the field scales.

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Validation of the neutron lead transport for fusion applications

  • Schulc, Martin;Kostal, Michal;Novak, Evzen;Czakoj, Tomas;Simon, Jan
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제54권3호
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    • pp.959-964
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    • 2022
  • Lead is an important material, both for fusion or fission reactors. The cross sections of natural lead should be validated because lead is a main component of lithium-lead modules suggested for fusion power plants and it directly affects the crucial variable, tritium breeding ratio. The presented study discusses a validation of the lead transport libraries by dint of the activation of carefully selected activation samples. The high emission standard 252Cf neutron source was used as a neutron source for the presented validation experiment. In the irradiation setup, the samples were placed behind 5 and 10 cm of the lead material. Samples were measured using a gamma spectrometry to infer the reaction rate and compared with MCNP6 calculations using ENDF/B-VIII.0 lead cross sections. The experiment used validated IRDFF-II dosimetric reactions to validate lead cross sections, namely 197Au(n, 2n)196Au, 58Ni(n,p)58Co, 93Nb(n, 2n)92mNb, 115In(n,n')115mIn, 115In(n,γ)116mIn, 197Au(n,γ)198Au and 63Cu(n,γ)64Cu reactions. The threshold reactions agree reasonably with calculations; however, the experimental data suggests a higher thermal neutron flux behind lead bricks. The paper also suggests 252Cf isotropic source as a valuable tool for validation of some cross-sections important for fusion applications, i.e. reactions on structural materials, e.g. Cu, Pb, etc.

스태킹 앙상블 기법을 활용한 고속도로 교통정보 예측모델 개발 및 교차검증에 따른 성능 비교 (Development of Highway Traffic Information Prediction Models Using the Stacking Ensemble Technique Based on Cross-validation)

  • 이요셉;오석진;김예진;박성호;윤일수
    • 한국ITS학회 논문지
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    • 제22권6호
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    • pp.1-16
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    • 2023
  • 정확도가 높은 교통정보 예측은 지능형교통체계(intelligent transport systems, ITS)를 통한 교통 시설 이용자들의 혼잡 경로 회피 안내 등에서 활용되는 중요한 기능이다. 정확한 교통정보예측을 위해 다양한 딥러닝 모델들이 발전되어 왔다. 최근에는 앙상블 기법을 활용하여 다양한 모델들의 장단점을 결합하여 예측 정확도와 안정성을 높이고 있다. 따라서, 본 연구에서는 다양한 딥러닝 모델들을 활용하여 교통정보 예측 모델을 개발하였으며, 개발된 딥러닝 모델들을 스태킹 앙상블(stacking ensemble)하여 성능을 개선하였다. 개별 모델들은 교통량 예측에서 10% 이내의 오차율을, 속도 예측에서 3% 이내의 오차율을 보였다. 앙상블 모델은 교차검증을 수행하지 않았을 때, 타 모델과 비교하여 더욱 높은 정확도를 보였다. 교차검증을 수행한 앙상블 모델은 장기예측에서 타 모델보다 균일한 오차율을 보이는 것으로 나타났다.

Numerical investigations on anchor channels under quasi-static and high rate loadings - Case of concrete edge breakout failure

  • Kusum Saini;Akanshu Sharma;Vasant A. Matsagar
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • 제32권5호
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    • pp.499-511
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    • 2023
  • Anchor channels are commonly used for façade, tunnel, and structural connections. These connections encounter various types of loadings during their service life, including high rate or impact loading. For anchor channels that are placed close and parallel to an edge and loaded in shear perpendicular to and towards the edge, the failure is often governed by concrete edge breakout. This study investigates the transverse shear behavior of the anchor channels under quasi-static and high rate loadings using a numerical approach (3D finite element analysis) utilizing a rate-sensitive microplane model for concrete as constitutive law. Following the validation of the numerical model against a test performed under quasi-static loading, the rate-sensitive static, and rate-sensitive dynamic analyses are performed for various displacement loading rates varying from moderately high to impact. The increment in resistance due to the high loading rate is evaluated using the dynamic increase factor (DIF). Furthermore, it is shown that the failure mode of the anchor channel changes from global concrete edge failure to local concrete crushing due to the activation of structural inertia at high displacement loading rates. The research outcomes could be valuable for application in various types of connection systems where a high rate of loading is expected.

Development of droplet entrainment and deposition models for horizontal flow

  • Schimpf, Joshua Kim;Kim, Kyung Doo;Heo, Jaeseok;Kim, Byoung Jae
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제50권3호
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    • pp.379-388
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    • 2018
  • Models for the rate of atomization and deposition of droplets for stratified and annular flow in horizontal pipes are presented. The entrained fraction is the result of a balance between the rate of atomization of the liquid layer that is in contact with air and the rate of deposition of droplets. The rate of deposition is strongly affected by gravity in horizontal pipes. The gravitational settling of droplets is influenced by droplet size: heavier droplets deposit more rapidly. Model calculation and simulation results are compared with experimental data from various diameter pipes. Validation for the suggested models was performed by comparing the Safety and Performance Analysis Code for Nuclear Power Plants calculation results with the droplet experimental data obtained in various diameter horizontal pipes.

A Vtub-Shaped Hazard Rate Function with Applications to System Safety

  • Pham, Hoang
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.1-16
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    • 2002
  • In reliability engineering, the bathtub-shaped hazard rates play an important role in survival analysis and many other applications as well. For the bathtub-shaped, initially the hazard rate decreases from a relatively high value due to manufacturing defects or infant mortality to a relatively stable middle useful life value and then slowly increases with the onset of old age or wear out. In this paper, we present a new two-parameter lifetime distribution function, called the Loglog distribution, with Vtub-shaped hazard rate function. We illustrate the usefulness of the new Vtub-shaped hazard rate function by evaluating the reliability of several helicopter parts based on the data obtained in the maintenance malfunction information reporting system database collected from October 1995 to September 1999. We develop the S-Plus add-in software tool, called Reliability and Safety Assessment (RSA), to calculate reliability measures include mean time to failure, mean residual function, and confidence Intervals of the two helicopter critical parts. We use the mean squared error to compare relative goodness of fit test of the distribution models include normal, lognormal, and Weibull within the two data sets. This research indicates that the result of the new Vtub-shaped hazard rate function is worth the extra function-complexity for a better relative fit. More application in broader validation of this conclusion is needed using other data sets for reliability modeling in a general industrial setting.

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곡유로 채널을 가지는 수증기-메탄올 개질기에서 유량 변화에 따른 메탄올 전환율 및 물질 전달에 관한 연구 (Study on Methanol Conversion Efficiency and Mass Transfer of Steam-Methanol Reforming on Flow Rate Variation in Curved Channel)

  • 장현;박인성;서정세
    • 대한기계학회논문집B
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    • 제39권3호
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    • pp.261-269
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구에서는 전산유체역학 상용 코드를 이용하여 곡유로 채널형 수소 개질기에 대한 수치 해석적 연구를 수행하였다. 상용코드에서 제공하는 연소모델의 사전 검증을 위하여 원통 채널형 개질기 형를 가지는 선행연구모델(23)에 대한 수치해석을 선행하여 수행하였고, 95% 이상 일치하는 결과를 얻을 수 있었다. 선행연구모델의 수치해석을 통해 연소모델에 대한 해석 타당성검증이 완료된 후, 반응기 형태 변화가 메탄올 전환율과 수소생성에 미치는 영향을 파악하여 기존보다 유로의 길이가 증가한 곡유로 채널형 개질기를 설계하고, 유량조건($10/15/20{\mu}l/min$)을 변수로 수치해석을 수행하였다. 그 결과 원통 채널형 개질기와 곡유로 채널형 개질기에서 발생하는 유동 특성 및 물질전달 특성을 파악할 수 있었고, 그리고 유량에 따른 메탄올 전환율 및 수소 생성에 관한 유용한 정보를 얻을 수 있었다.

예측비율곡선을 이용한 GIS 기반 산사태 예측 모델의 정량적 비교 (Quantitative Analysis of GIS-based Landslide Prediction Models Using Prediction Rate Curve)

  • 지광훈;박노욱;박노욱
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제17권3호
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    • pp.199-210
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    • 2001
  • 본 연구는 예측비율곡선을 이용한 산사태 예측 모델의 정량적 비교분석을 목적으로 하여 수행되었다. 1998년 8월 집중호우로 산사태가 발생한 경기도 장흥지역을 대상으로 위성영상과 현장답사를 통하여 산사태 발생위치를 확인하였고. GIS 기반의 다양한 산사태 관련 공간 정보를 구축하였다. 사용된 공간통합 방법은 결합 조건부 확률과 certainty factor 이며, 산사태 발생 지역을 무작위로 2개의 그룹으로 나누어서 한 개의 그룹은 예측도 작성에 사용하였으며, 나머지 그룹은 예측 결과의 검증에 사용하였다. 예측비율곡선 작성을 통해 두 예측모델의 정량적 비교가 가능하였다. 본 연구에서 사용된 예측비율곡선작성은 추후 다른 모델의 정량적 비교 분석 및 오차 분석을 하는 데에도 사용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

콘크리트 균열 탐지를 위한 딥 러닝 기반 CNN 모델 비교 (Comparison of Deep Learning-based CNN Models for Crack Detection)

  • 설동현;오지훈;김홍진
    • 대한건축학회논문집:구조계
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    • 제36권3호
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    • pp.113-120
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to compare the models of Deep Learning-based Convolution Neural Network(CNN) for concrete crack detection. The comparison models are AlexNet, GoogLeNet, VGG16, VGG19, ResNet-18, ResNet-50, ResNet-101, and SqueezeNet which won ImageNet Large Scale Visual Recognition Challenge(ILSVRC). To train, validate and test these models, we constructed 3000 training data and 12000 validation data with 256×256 pixel resolution consisting of cracked and non-cracked images, and constructed 5 test data with 4160×3120 pixel resolution consisting of concrete images with crack. In order to increase the efficiency of the training, transfer learning was performed by taking the weight from the pre-trained network supported by MATLAB. From the trained network, the validation data is classified into crack image and non-crack image, yielding True Positive (TP), True Negative (TN), False Positive (FP), False Negative (FN), and 6 performance indicators, False Negative Rate (FNR), False Positive Rate (FPR), Error Rate, Recall, Precision, Accuracy were calculated. The test image was scanned twice with a sliding window of 256×256 pixel resolution to classify the cracks, resulting in a crack map. From the comparison of the performance indicators and the crack map, it was concluded that VGG16 and VGG19 were the most suitable for detecting concrete cracks.

거주지역 실내공기 특성 및 이산화질소 노출에 관한 연구 (Residence s Exposure to Nitrogen Dioxide and Indoor Air Characteristics)

  • 양원호;배현주;정문호
    • 한국환경보건학회지
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    • 제28권2호
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    • pp.183-192
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    • 2002
  • Indoor air quality is affected by source strength of pollutants, ventilation rate, decay rate, outdoor level and so on. Although technologies exist to measure these factors directly, direct measurements of all factors are impractical in most field studies. The purpose of this study was to develop an alternative methods to estimate these factors by multiple measurements. Daily indoor and outdoor NO$_2$concentrations for 21 days in 20 houses in summer and winter, Seoul. Using a mass balance model and linear regression analysis, penetration factor (ventilation divided by sum of air exchange rate and deposition constant) and source strength factor(emission rate divided by sum of air exchange rate and deposition constant) were calculated. Subsequently, the ventilation and source strength were estimated. During sampling period, geometric mean of natural ventilation was estimated to be 1.10$\pm$1.53 ACH, assuming a residential NO$_2$decay rate of 0.8 hr$^{-1}$ in summer. In winter, natural ventilation was 0.75$\pm$1.31 ACH. And mean source strengths in summer and winter were 14.8ppb/hr and 22.4ppb/hr, respectively. Although the method showed similar finding previous studies, the study did not measure ACH or the source strength of the house directly. As validation of natural ventilations, infiltrations were measured with $CO_2$tracer gas in 18 houses. Relationship between ventilation and infiltration was statistically correlated (Pearson r=0.63, p=0.02).