• Title/Summary/Keyword: Urban flood forecasting

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Performance Analysis of Grid Resolution and Storm Sewage Network for Urban Flood Forecasting (지표격자해상도 및 우수관망 간소화 수준에 따른 도시홍수 예측 성능검토)

  • Sang Bo Sim;Hyung-Jun Kim
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.39 no.1
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    • pp.70-81
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    • 2024
  • With heavy rainfall due to extreme weather causing increasing damage, the importance of urban flood forecasting continues to grow. To forecast urban flooding accurately and promptly, a sewer network and surface grid with appropriate detail are necessary. However, for urban areas with complex storm sewer networks and terrain structures, high-resolution grids and detailed networks can significantly prolong the analysis. Therefore, determining an appropriate level of network simplification and a suitable surface grid resolution is essential to secure the golden time for urban flood forecasting. In this study, InfoWorks ICM, a software program capable of 1D-2D coupled simulation, was used to examine urban flood forecasting performance for storm sewer networks with various levels of simplification and different surface grid resolutions. The inundation depth, inundation area, and simulation time were analyzed for each simplification level. Based on the analysis, the simulation time was reduced by up to 65% upon simplifying the storm sewer networks and by up to 96% depending on the surface grid resolution; further, the inundation area was overestimated as the grid resolution increased. This study provides insights into optimizing the simplification level and surface grid resolution for storm sewer networks to ensure efficient and accurate urban flood forecasting.

Monitoring Technology for Flood Forecasting in Urban Area (도시하천방재를 위한 지능형 모니터링에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hyung-Woo;Lee, Bum-Gyo
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.02a
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    • pp.405-408
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    • 2008
  • Up to now, a lot of houses, roads and other urban facilities have been damaged by natural disasters such as flash floods and landslides. It is reported that the size and frequency of disasters are growing greatly due to global warming. In order to mitigate such disaster, flood forecasting and alerting systems have been developed for the Han river, Geum river, Nak-dong river and Young-san river. These systems, however, do not help small municipal departments cope with the threat of flood. In this study, a real-time urban flood forecasting service (U-FFS) is developed for ubiquitous computing city which includes small river basins. A test bed is deployed at Tan-cheon in Gyeonggido to verify U-FFS. It is found that U-FFS can forecast the water level of outlet of river basin and provide real-time data through internet during heavy rain. Furthermore, it is expected that U-FFS presented in this study can be applied to ubiquitous computing city (u-City) and/or other cities which have suffered from flood damage for a long time.

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A Development of Real-time Flood Forecasting System for U-City (Ubiquitous 환경의 U-City 홍수예측시스템 개발)

  • Kim, Hyung-Woo
    • 한국정보통신설비학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2007.08a
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    • pp.181-184
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    • 2007
  • Up to now, a lot of houses, roads and other urban facilities have been damaged by natural disasters such as flash floods and landslides. It is reported that the size and frequency of disasters are growing greatly due to global warming. In order to mitigate such disaster, flood forecasting and alerting systems have been developed for the Han river, Geum river, Nak-dong river and Young-san river. These systems, however, do not help small municipal departments cope with the threat of flood. In this study, a real-time urban flood forecasting service (U-FFS) is developed for ubiquitous computing city which includes small river basins. A test bed is deployed at Tan-cheon in Gyeonggido to verify U-FFS. Wireless sensors such as rainfall gauge and water lever gauge are installed to develop hydrologic forecasting model and CCTV camera systems are also incorporated to capture high definition images of river basins. U-FFS is based on the ANFIS (Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System) that is data-driven model and is characterized by its accuracy and adaptability. It is found that U-FFS can forecast the water level of outlet of river basin and provide real-time data through internet during heavy rain. It is revealed that U-FFS can predict the water level of 30 minutes and 1 hour later very accurately. Unlike other hydrologic forecasting model, this newly developed U-FFS has advantages such as its applicability and feasibility. Furthermore, it is expected that U-FFS presented in this study can be applied to ubiquitous computing city (U-City) and/or other cities which have suffered from flood damage for a long time.

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A study on simplification of SWMM for prime time of urban flood forecasting -a case study of Daerim basin- (도시홍수예보 골든타임확보를 위한 SWMM유출모형 단순화 연구 -대림배수분구를 중심으로-)

  • Lee, Jung-Hwan;Kim, Min-Seok;Yuk, Gi-Moon;Moon, Young-Il
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.1
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    • pp.81-88
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    • 2018
  • The rainfall-runoff model made of sewer networks in the urban area is vast and complex, making it unsuitable for real-time urban flood forecasting. Therefore, the rainfall-runoff model is constructed and simplified using the sewer network of Daerim baisn. The network simplification process was composed of 5 steps based on cumulative drainage area and all parameters of SWMM were calculated using weighted area. Also, in order to estimate the optimal simplification range of the sewage network, runoff and flood analysis was carried out by 5 simplification ranges. As a result, the number of nodes, conduits and the simulation time were constantly reduced to 50~90% according to the simplification ranges. The runoff results of simplified models show the same result before the simplification. In the 2D flood analysis, as the simplification range increases by cumulative drainage area, the number of overflow nodes significantly decreased and the positions were changed, but similar flooding pattern was appeared. However, in the case of more than 6 ha cumulative drainage area, some inundation areas could not be occurred because of deleted nodes from upstream. As a result of comparing flood area and flood depth, it was analyzed that the flood result based on simplification range of 1 ha cumulative drainage area is most similar to the analysis result before simplification. It is expected that this study can be used as reliable data suitable for real-time urban flood forecasting by simplifying sewer network considering SWMM parameters.

Development of Decision Support System for Flood Forecasting and Warning in Urban Stream (도시하천의 홍수예·경보를 위한 의사결정지원시스템 개발)

  • Yi, Jaeeung
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.6B
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    • pp.743-750
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    • 2008
  • Due to unusual climate change and global warming, drought and flood happen frequently not only in Korea but also in all over the world. It leads to the serious damages and injuries in urban areas as well as rural areas. Since the concentration time is short and the flood flows increase urgently in urban stream basin, the chances of damages become large once heavy storm occurs. A decision support system for flood forecasting and warning in urban stream is developed as an alternative to alleviate the damages from heavy storm. It consists of model base management system based on ANFIS (Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System), database management system with real time data building capability and user friendly dialog generation and management system. Applying the system to the Tanceon river basin, it can forecast and warn the stream flows from the heavy storm in real time and alleviate the damages.

Development of radar-based quantitative precipitation forecasting using spatial-scale decomposition method for urban flood management (도시홍수예보를 위한 공간규모분할기법을 이용한 레이더 강우예측 기법 개발)

  • Yoon, Seongsim
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.50 no.5
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    • pp.335-346
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    • 2017
  • This study generated the radar-based forecasted rainfall using spatial-scale decomposition method (SCDM) and evaluated the hydrological applicability with forecasted rainfall by KMA (MAPLE, KONOS) in terms of urban flood forecasting. SCDM is to separate the small-scale field (convective cell) and large-scale field (straitform cell) from radar rainfield. And each separated field is forecasted by translation model and storm tracker nowcasting model for improvement of QPF accuracy. As the evaluated results of various QPF for three rainfall events in Seoul and Metropolitan area, proposed method showed better prediction accuracy than MAPLE and KONOS considering the simplicity of the methodology. In addition, this study assessed the urban hydrological applicability for Gangnam basin. As the results, KONOS simulated the peak of water depth more accurately than MAPLE and SCDM, however cannot simulated the timeseries pattern of water depth. In the case of SCDM, the quantitative error was larger than observed water depth, but the simulated pattern was similar to observation. The SCDM will be useful information for flood forecasting if quantitative accuracy is improved through the adjustment technique and blending with NWP.

Development of flood forecasting system on city·mountains·small river area in Korea and assessment of forecast accuracy (전국 도시·산지·소하천 돌발홍수예측 시스템 개발 및 정확도 평가)

  • Hwang, Seokhwan;Yoon, Jungsoo;Kang, Narae;Lee, Dong-Ryul
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.53 no.3
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    • pp.225-236
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    • 2020
  • It is not easy to provide sufficient lead time for flood forecast in urban and small mountain basins using on-ground rain gauges, because the time concentration in those basins is too short. In urban and small mountain basins with a short lag-time between precipitation and following flood events, it is more important to secure forecast lead times by predicting rainfall amounts. The Han River Flood Control Office (HRFCO) in South Korea produces short-term rainfall forecasts using the Mcgill Algorithm for Precipitation-nowcast by Lagrangian Extrapolation (MAPLE) algorithm that converts radar reflectance of rainfall events. The Flash Flood Research Center (FFRC) in the Korea Institute of Civil Engineering and Building Technology (KICT) installed a flash flood forecasting system using the short-term rainfall forecast data produced by the HRFCO and has provided flash flood information in a local lvel with 1-hour lead time since 2019. In this study, we addressed the flash flood forecasting system based on the radar rainfall and the assessed the accuracy of the forecasting system for the recorded flood events occurred in 2019. A total of 31 flood disaster cases were used to evaluate the accuracy and the forecast accuracy was 90.3% based on the probability of detection.

Study on Estimation and Application of the Fwl-D-F curves for Urban Basins (도시유역의 Fwl-D-F 곡선 산정 및 활용에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Hyun-Il;Kim, Eung-Seok
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.11 no.7
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    • pp.2687-2692
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    • 2010
  • There have been performed many researched for flood magnitude analysis, for example, the Flood-Duration-Frequency relations in the west. Because flood water stage data are more available rather than flood amount data at flood gauge stations of Korea, this study developed Flood water level-Duration-Frequency (Fwl-D-F) curves using rainfall Intensity-Duration-Frequency(I-D-F) curves for the quantitative flood risk assessment in urban watersheds. Fwl-D-F curve is made from water level data for 18 years at Joongrayng bridge station of Joongrayng River basin in Han River drainage area. Fwl-D-F curve can estimate the occurrence frequency for a certain flood elevation, which can be used for urban flood forecasting. It is expected that the flood elevation can be estimated from the forecasted rainfall data using both Fwl-D-F and I-D-F curves.

Development Strategy of Smart Urban Flood Management System based on High-Resolution Hydrologic Radar (고정밀 수문레이더 기반 스마트 도시홍수 관리시스템 개발방안)

  • YU, Wan-Sik;HWANG, Eui-Ho;CHAE, Hyo-Sok;KIM, Dae-Sun
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.191-201
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    • 2018
  • Recently, the frequency of heavy rainfall is increasing due to the effects of climate change, and heavy rainfall in urban areas has an unexpected and local characteristic. Floods caused by localized heavy rains in urban areas occur rapidly and frequently, so that life and property damage is also increasing. It is crucial how fast and precise observations can be made on successful flood management in urban areas. Local heavy rainfall is predominant in low-level storms, and the present large-scale radars are vulnerable to low-level rainfall detection and observations. Therefore, it is necessary to introduce a new urban flood forecasting system to minimize urban flood damage by upgrading the urban flood response system and improving observation and forecasting accuracy by quickly observing and predicting the local storm in urban areas. Currently, the WHAP (Water Hazard Information Platform) Project is promoting the goal of securing new concept water disaster response technology by linking high resolution hydrological information with rainfall prediction and urban flood model. In the WHAP Project, local rainfall detection and prediction, urban flood prediction and operation technology are being developed based on high-resolution small radar for observing the local rainfall. This study is expected to provide more accurate and detailed urban flood warning system by enabling high-resolution observation of urban areas.

Estimation of the Flood Warning Rainfall with Backwater Effects in Urban Watersheds (도시 유역의 배수위 영향을 고려한홍수 경보 강우량 산정)

  • Kim, Eung-Seok;Lee, Seung-Hyun;Yoon, Ki-Yong
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.801-806
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    • 2015
  • The incidence of flood damage by global climate change has increased recently. Because of the increased frequency of flooding in Korea, the technology of flood prediction and prevalence has developed mainly for large river watersheds. On the other hand, there is a limit on predicting flooding through the most present flood forecasting systems because local floods in small watersheds rise quite quickly with little or no advance warning. Therefore, this study estimated the flood warning rainfall using a flood forecasting model at the two alarm trigger points in the Suamcheon basin, which is an urban basin with backwater effects. The flood warning rainfall was estimated to be 25.4mm/120min ~ 78.8mm/120min for the low water alarm, and 68.5mm/120min ~ 140.7mm/120min for the high water alarm. The frequency of the flood warning rainfall is 3-years for the low water alarm, and 80-years for the high water alarm. The results of this analysis are expected to provide a basic database in forecasting local floods in urban watersheds. Nevertheless, more tests and implementations using a large number of watersheds will be needed for a practical flood warning or alert system in the future.