• Title/Summary/Keyword: Unemployment Rate

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Raising Percentage of Employment and Analysis of Employment Statistics of Construction Engineers (건설기술자의 취업통계분석 및 취업률 제고방안)

  • Park, Hwanpyo;Han, Jaegoo;Kim, Younghyun
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.3-11
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    • 2017
  • Since the global financial crisis, the average youth employment rate in OECD countries dropped from 54% in 2007 to 50.8% in 2013 while the average youth unemployment rate jumped from 9.7% in 2007 to 13.4% in 2013. A similar trend was seen in Korea, with a decrease of the youth employment rate from 42.6% in 2007 to 41.5% in 2015. The country's youth unemployment rate increased from 7.2% in 2007 to 9.2% in 2015. The low youth employment rate has quickly become a social problem not only in Korea but also worldwide. The Korean construction industry will gradually move its focus of investment from quantitative growth to investing in qualitative growth of the sector. In this sense, it is imperative to create jobs for construction engineers and train global talents. This study analyzed the presence of construction engineers and the employment status of university graduates in Korea to suggest ways to create jobs for young construction engineers. To train global talents in the construction engineering sector, it will be necessary to not only establish middle-long term plans but also change the perception of the construction industry from 3D (dirty, difficult, dangerous) to 3C (clean, clear, creative) along with appropriate infrastructure supporting the industry.

Effects of Human Capital on Regional Growth: Evidence from US County Data (인적자원이 지역경제성장에 미치는 효과: 미국 카운티 데이터를 이용한 실증연구)

  • Kim, Young-Bae
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.71-78
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of the paper is to empirically investigate the role of human capital and labour market conditions in the growth process. To do so, cross-sectional data for 3062 counties across 50 states of the US. Firstly, findings from the empirical estimation suggest income convergence among US counties. Secondly, the stock of human capital appears to have the growth enhancing effect while education expenditures turn out to retard economic growth. Thirdly, it is found that the unemployment rate would have a negative association with regional growth whereas the net migration rate is likely to have a positive relationship with growth. Once the sample counties are divided into both the poor group and the rich group, finally, such main empirical results overall remain unchanged and statistically significant.

Analysis of Unequal Distribution of Population Income in Indonesia

  • PRAWOTO, Nano;CAHYANI, Richa Dwi
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.7
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    • pp.489-495
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    • 2020
  • Income inequality is a problem that is not only faced by developing countries such as Indonesia, but also developed countries. The difference lies in the proportion of an inequality that occurs and the solution to the level of difficulty experienced. Thus, this study aims to empirically analyze the unequal distribution of population income in Java island, Indonesia, by including the human development index, open unemployment rate, foreign investment, and the degree of fiscal decentralization. The research model used in this study was multiple linear regression to analyze the panel data with a fixed-effect model approach. The results of the study showed that human development index, open unemployment rate, and the degree of fiscal decentralization had a positive and significant effect on income inequality in Java island. Meanwhile, foreign investment had a negative and insignificant effect on income inequality in Java. It is because the value of the investment is more invested in the capital-intensive sector. The government is expected to be more selective in accepting foreign investments that enter the country, especially in Java, and it should be labor-intensive investments. In addition, the government has to equalize locations for foreign investment without reducing good cooperation with these foreign investors.

Estimating the Determinants for employment number by areas : A Panel Data Model Approach (패널 데이터모형을 이용한 지역별 취업자 수 결정요인 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Yi, Hyun Joo;Kim, Hee Cheul
    • Journal of Korea Society of Digital Industry and Information Management
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.297-305
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    • 2010
  • Employment number by areas is composed of various factors for groups and time series. In this paper, we use the panel data for finding various variables and using this, we analyzed the factors that is major influence to employment number by areas. For analysis we looked at employment number by areas, the region for analysis consist of seven groups, that is, the metropolitan city(such as Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangiu, Daejeon, Ulsan.) and Seoul. Analyzing period be formed over a 63 time points(2005.01.- 2010.03). We examined the data in relation to the employment number by occupational job, unemployment rate, monthly household income, preceding business composite index, consumer price index, composite stock price index. In looking at the factors which determine employment number by areas job, evidence was produced supporting the hypothesis that there is a significant negative relationship between unemployment rate and monthly household income the consumer price index. The consumer price index and composite stock price index are significant positive relationship, preceding business composite index is positive relationship, it are not significant variables in terms of employment number by areas job.

A study on parsimonious periodic autoregressive model (모수 절약 주기적 자기회귀 모형에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jiho;Seong, Byeongchan
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.133-144
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    • 2016
  • This paper proposes a parsimonious periodic autoregressive (PAR) model. The proposed model performance is evaluated through an analysis of Korean unemployment rate series that is compared with existing models. We exploit some common features among each seasonality and confirm it by LR test for the parsimonious PAR model in order to impose a parsimonious structure on the PAR model. We observe that the PAR model tends to be superior to existing seasonal time series models in mid- and long-term forecasts. The proposed parsimonious model significantly improves forecasting performance.

US Purchasing Managers' Index and its Impact on Korea and US

  • Jeon, Ji-Hong
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.17-25
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    • 2017
  • Purpose - The study is to examine the impact of the US Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) on Korea and the US industrial economy including the distribution industry. We analyze its effect on the industrial economy centered on the distribution industry using economy indices in Korea and the US. Research design, data, and methodology - The variables are used to analyze the dynamic relationship which occurs among the US PMI, the industrial production index, producer price index, unemployment rate, and manufacturing Inventories Index in Korea and the US from January 1990 to July 2016 using Vector Error Correction Model. Results - As a main result, the impact of the US PMI on all the economy indices both Korea and the US has the same cyclical movement. The US PMI is positively related to the producer price and the industrial production index of Korea and the US, while it is negatively related to unemployment rate, and the manufacturing inventories index in Korea and the US. Conclusions - The US PMI as an advanced index has a power to predict the economies on Korea and the US. In the end, we find that the US PMI has a great impact on Korea and the US industrial economy.

Retirement Age and Social Security (정년제도와 사회보장 : 1980년 이후 OECD 회원국들의 노후 소득보장 정책의 변화)

  • Na, Byong-Kyun
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.42
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    • pp.169-198
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    • 2000
  • This paper attempts to analyze the early retirement in the OECD countries and discuss implication of that in the old age policy in Korea. The increase of the early retirement in the almost all OECD countries is a common fact. Especially the rate of early retirement rapidly increased in the 1980s, mostly reflecting the high rate of unemployment and states' policies to reduce it. However, it varies across countries: the unemployment compensation pathway in France, the mixture of social assistance and private insurance in England, VUT in Netherland, the privatization of the early retirement in the U. S., and partial retirement and labor market policy in Sweden. The early retirement in the advanced countries contributes to de-institutionalization and de-standardization in life course model. It resulted in the erosion of the ordinary conception that the retirement was the beginning of the old age. And the last phase of life course became blurred. With respect to the problem of the early retirement, there is a big difference between Korea and the OECD countries. Above all, the retirement age is 55 years in many companies and the public pension is not universalized in Korea. Accordingly the policy for income security of the old age in Korea should be connected with social security policy such as the gradual extension of the retirement age and the expansion of the public pension and labor market policy such as job training for the old age, transformation of the seniority wage system etc.

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Policyholder Surrender Behaviors under Extreme Financial Conditions

  • Kim, Chang-Ki
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.635-650
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    • 2010
  • We model surrender rates with a few explanatory variables such as the difference between reference marke rates and product crediting rates, the policy age since the contract was issued, unemployment rates, economy growth rates, and seasonal effects using logit function. We investigate the policy holder surrender behaviors of US single premium deferred annuities(SPDA) and Korean interest indexed annuities under extreme financial conditions.

Unemployment Disparities and Their Dynamics of the Metropolitan Areas since the Financial Crisis of 1997 (외환위기 이후 대도시지역간 실업의 차이와 그 역동성: 사회적 배제의 구조화에 대한 함의)

  • Lee, Won-Ho
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.94-110
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    • 2008
  • This study examines the unemployment and labor market demand dynamics as well as their implication for social exclusion in the metropolitan areas of Korea since the financial crisis of 1997. The unemployment research containing significant implication for social exclusion is a key area to be explored with the research of skill and income polarization due to structural economic transformation. Skill polarization usually results in the job loss for some people, which most likely leads to the economic deprivation and social exclusion. The unemployment rate and its regional disparity began to fall since 2000, but the disparity reversed to increase after 2005. The labor market dynamics of the metropolitan areas are turned out to be related with the size of the city and the relative shares of both manufacturing and service sectors. In addition, the employment growth is turned out to be related with the changes of both output and productivity. It is also found that the unemployment is affected with the job change and the tertiarization of the economy. However, it is of more significance to recognize that the dynamics and patterns of the labor market in the metropolitan areas are quite spatially differentiated and the differentiation is likely determined by the factors such as industrial structure, employment dynamics and job demand changes.

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The Impact of Crude Oil Prices on Macroeconomic Factors in Korea

  • Yoon, Il-Hyun
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.39-50
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    • 2022
  • Purpose - The purpose of this study is to examine how Korea's macroeconomic factors, such as GDP, CPI, Export, Import, Unemployment rate and USD/KRW exchange rate, are affected by the oil price shocks. Design/methodology/approach - This study used monthly and quarterly time-series data of each variable for the period 1983 to 2022, consisting of two sub-periods, to employ Granger causality test and GARCH method in order to identify the role of the oil price movement in macroeconomic factors in Korea. Findings - Korea's currency rate to the US dollar is negatively correlated with the price change of crude oil while the GDP change is positively correlated with the price change of crude oil with strong relationship between Export and Import in particular. The exchange rate and GDP growth are believed to be not correlated with the oil price change for the pre-GFC period. According to the Granger causality test, the price change in crude oil has a causal impact on CPI, Export and Import while other factors are relatively slightly affected. Transmission effect from the oil price to Export is found and there also exists volatility spillover from oil price to economic variables under examination. Comparing two sub-periods, CPI and Export volatility responds negatively to shocks in the oil price for the pre-GFC period while volatility of CPI and Unemployment reacts positively to the oil price shocks for the post-GFC period. Research implications or Originality - The findings of this study could be helpful for both domestic and international investors to build their portfolio for the risk management since rising WTI price can be interpreted as a result of global economic growth and ensuing increase in the worldwide demand of the crude oil. Consequently, the national output is expected to increase and the currency is also expected to be strong in the long run.