• Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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• v.29 no.6
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• pp.166-171
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• 2014

Nuclear power plants are equipped with the reactor trip system (RTS) and the engineered safety features actuation system (ESFAS) to improve safety on the normal operation. In the event of the design basis accident (DBA), a various of post accident monitor(PAM)systems support to provide important details (e.g. Containment pressure, temperature and pressure of reactor cooling system and core exit temperature) to determine action of main control room (MCR). Operator should be immediately activated for the accident mitigation with the information. Especially, core exit temperature is a critical parameter because the operating mode converts from normal mode to emergency mode when the temperature of core exit reaches $649^{\circ}C$. In this study, uncertainty which was caused by exterior environment, characteristic of thermocouple/connector and accuracy of calibrator/indicator was evaluated in accordance with ANSI-ISA 67.04. The square root of the sum of square (SRSS) methodology for combining uncertainty terms that are random and independent was used in the synthesis. Every uncertainty that may exist in the hardware which is used to measure the core exit temperature was conservatively applied and the associative relation between the elements of uncertainty was considered simultaneously. As a result of uncertainty evaluation, the channel statistical allowance (CSA) of single channel of core exit temperature was +1.042%Span. The range of uncertainty, -0.35%Span ($-4.05^{\circ}C$) ~ +2.08%Span($24.25^{\circ}C$), was obtained as the operating criteria of core exit temperature.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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• 2007.11a
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• pp.141-144
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• 2007

일반적으로 의사결정의 대상이 되는 현실 시스템은 매우 가변적 (variable)이며 때로는 많은 불확실성(uncertainty)이 포함된 상황에 놓일 수 있다. 이러한 문제의 처리를 위한 통계적 방법으로 유의수준이나 확신도, 민감도 분석 등이 사용된다. 본 논문에서는 먼저 근접관계 행렬에서 근접도를 구하는 방법으로 상대적 해밍거리와 max-min방법을 이용한 다음, 다중임계치를 사용하여 최적구간분할을 하는 방법을 제안한다. 결과적으로 max-min방법을 이용하여 다중임계치을 적용한 근접관계의 분류가 상대적 해밍거리로 근접도를 구하여 다중임계치를 구하는 방법보다 계산과정이 더 간단하고 명확하며 분할과정을 줄일 수 있고 최적의 의사결정에 효율적이라는 것을 알 수 있다.

• Journal of Wetlands Research
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• v.21 no.2
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• pp.114-124
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• 2019

The objective of this study is to reduce the uncertainty of the river discharge estimation method using the stage-discharge relation curve. It is necessary to consider the quantitative and accurate estimation method because the river discharge data is essential data for hydrological interpretation and water resource management. For this purpose, the parameters estimated by Bayesian and Bootstrap methods are compared with the ones obtained by stage-discharge relation curve. In addition, the Bayesian and Bootstrap methods are applied to assess uncertainty and then those are compared with the confidence intervals of the results from standard error method which has t-distribution. From the results of this study, The estimated value of the regression analysis developed through this study is less than 1 ~ 5%. Also It is confirmed that there are some areas where the applicability is better than the existing one according to the water level at each point. Therefore, if we use more suitable method according to the river characteristics, we could obtain more reliable discharge with less uncertainty.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.17 no.12
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• pp.53-61
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• 2016

This paper investigates the moderating effect of firm size on the relationship between environmental uncertainty and logistics information systems fit and performance, and suggests logistics strategies that would help to achieve goals. Based on our empirical research results, the findings of this paper can be summarized as follows: First, firms with higher levels of harmony between environmental uncertainty and logistics information systems fit featured significantly better logistics performance than firms with lower levels of fit. Second, logistical performance can be maximized based on the firm size and the harmonization between environmental uncertainty and logistics information systems. The results of this study will assist firms align and focus on improving competitive strategies for logistics systems.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.51 no.5
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• pp.439-449
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• 2018

Many potential sources of bias are used in several steps of the radar-rainfall estimation process because the hydrological and meteorological radars measure the rainfall amount indirectly. Previous studies on radar-rainfall uncertainties were performed to reduce the uncertainty of each step by using bias correction methods in the quantitative radar-rainfall estimation process. However, these studies do not provide comprehensive uncertainty for the entire process and the relative ratios of uncertainty between each step. Consequently, in this study, a suitable approach is proposed that can quantify the uncertainties at each step of the quantitative radar-rainfall estimation process and show the uncertainty propagation through the entire process. First, it is proposed that, in the suitable approach, the new concept can present the initial and final uncertainties, variation of the uncertainty as well as the relative ratio of uncertainty at each step. Second, the Maximum Entropy Method (MEM) and Uncertainty Delta Method (UDM) were applied to quantify the uncertainty and analyze the uncertainty propagation for the entire process. Third, for the uncertainty quantification of radar-rainfall estimation at each step, two quality control algorithms, two radar-rainfall estimation relations, and two bias correction methods as post-processing through the radar-rainfall estimation process in 18 rainfall cases in 2012. For the proposed approach, in the MEM results, the final uncertainty (from post-processing bias correction method step: ME = 3.81) was smaller than the initial uncertainty (from quality control step: ME = 4.28) and, in the UDM results, the initial uncertainty (UDM = 5.33) was greater than the final uncertainty (UDM = 4.75). However uncertainty of the radar-rainfall estimation step was greater because of the use of an unsuitable relation. Furthermore, it was also determined in this study that selecting the appropriate method for each stage would gradually reduce the uncertainty at each step. Therefore, the results indicate that this new approach can significantly quantify uncertainty in the radar-rainfall estimation process and contribute to more accurate estimates of radar rainfall.

• Journal of Distribution Science
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• v.17 no.1
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• pp.11-19
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• 2019

Purpose - We document the impact of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) in the US and China on the dynamic spillover effect of macroeconomics such as stock price, housing price in Korea. Research design, data, and methodology - We use the nine variables to analyze the effect which produces a result among the EPU indexes of the US and China on economic variables which is the consumer price index (CPI), housing purchase price composite index, housing lease price, the stock price index in banking industry, construction industry and distribution industry, and composite leading indicator from January 1995 to December 2016 with the Vector Error Correction Model. Result - The US EPU index has significantly a negative relation on the CPI, housing purchase price index, housing lease price index, the stock price index in banking industry, construction industry, and distribution industry in Korea. Conclusions - We find the dynamic effect of the EPU indexes in the US and China on the macroeconomics returns in Korea. This study has an empirical evidence that the economy market in Korea is influenced by the EPU index of the US rather than it of China. The higher EPU, the more risky the economy of in Korea.

• Wind and Structures
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• v.11 no.1
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• pp.51-70
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• 2008

CFD is applied to evaluate pedestrian wind comfort at outdoor platforms in a high-rise apartment building. Model validation is focused on generic building sub-configurations that are obtained by decomposition of the actual complex building geometry. The comfort study is performed during the design stage, which allows structural design changes to be made for wind comfort improvement. Preliminary simulations are performed to determine the effect of different design modifications. A full wind comfort assessment study is conducted for the final design. Structural remedial measures for this building, aimed at reducing pressure short-circuiting, appear to be successful in bringing the discomfort probability estimates down to acceptable levels. Finally, the importance of one of the main sources of uncertainty in this type of wind comfort studies is illustrated. It is shown that the uncertainty about the terrain roughness classification can strongly influence the outcome of wind comfort studies and can lead to wrong decisions. This problem is present to the same extent in both wind tunnel and CFD wind comfort studies when applying the same particular procedure for terrain relation contributions as used in this paper.

• Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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• v.4 no.2
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• pp.35-41
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• 2013

Data management with fuzzy entropy and similarity measure were discussed and verified by applying reliable data selection problem. Calculation of certainty or uncertainty for data, fuzzy entropy and similarity measure are designed and proved. Proposed fuzzy entropy and similarity are considered as dissimilarity measure and similarity measure, and the relation between two measures are explained through graphical illustration.Obtained measures are useful to the application of decision theory and mutual information analysis problem. Extension of data quantification results based on the proposed measures are applicable to the decision making and fuzzy game theory.

• Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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• v.15 no.5
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• pp.23-29
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• 1991

Uncertainty is studied in the measurements of average packing density, thickness of packed spheres and transmittance in the experiments to study the effect of the bed height and the existence of the bed side walls on the transmittance of radiative energy through packed spheres. The packing density of the bed is obtained by counting the number of the spheres packed in three pipes with different heights. The bed height of the packed spheres is estimated from the number of spheres contained in the bed by using the relation between the bed height and the sphere number. The transmittance is obtained by dividing the intensity of the transmitted laser beam by the incoming-beam intensity. From the analysis, the uncertainity in the measurements of transmittance is shown to be less than 10.2%(95% coverage).

• International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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• v.10 no.4
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• pp.275-280
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• 2010

Verification of efficiency in data management fuzzy entropy and similarity measure were discussed and verified by applying reliable data selection problem and numerical data similarity evaluation. In order to calculate the certainty or uncertainty fuzzy entropy and similarity measure are designed and proved. Designed fuzzy entropy and similarity are considered as dissimilarity measure and similarity measure, and the relation between two measures are explained through graphical illustration. Obtained measures are useful to the application of decision theory and mutual information analysis problem. Extension of data quantification results based on the proposed measures are applicable to the decision making and fuzzy game theory.