• Title/Summary/Keyword: Travel cost

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Freight Mode Choice Modelling with Aggregate RP Data and Disaggregate SP Data (집계적 현시선호자료와 비집계적 진술선호자료를 이용한 화물수단선택모형 구축)

  • Kang, Woong;Lee, Jang-Ho;Park, Minchoul
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.265-274
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    • 2017
  • For accurate demand forecasting of railway logistics, we estimated intercity freight mode choice models based on the binary logit model and using production-consumption data from the Korea Transport Database. We estimated two types of models and compared the results by major item of railway logistics, such as container, cement, and steel: 1) The aggregate freight mode choice models are based on the revealed preference (RP) data and 2) The disaggregate models are based on the stated preference (SP) data. With respect to the container, the travel time variable was found to be statistically significant; however, the travel cost variable was not statistically significant in the RP model, while the travel cost variable was statistically significant in the SP model. For cement and steel, the travel cost variables were statistically significant but the travel time variables were not statistically significant in either the RP or the SP models. These results are inconsistent with results from previous studies based on SP data, which showed that the travel time variables were significant. Consequently, it can be concluded that the travel time factor should be considered in container transport, but that this factor is negligible for cement and steel transport.

Estimation of Induced Highway Travel Demand (도로교통의 유발통행수요 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Gyu-Jin;Choe, Gi-Ju
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.24 no.7 s.93
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    • pp.91-100
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    • 2006
  • Travel Demand Forecasting (TDF) is an essential and critical process in the evaluation of the highway improvement Project. The four-step TDF Process has generally been used to forecast travel demand and analyze the effects of diverted travel demand based on the given Origin-Destination trips in the future. Transportation system improvements, however, generate more travel, Induced Travel Demand (ITD) or latent travel demand, which has not been considered in the project evaluation. The Purpose of this study Is to develop a model which can forecast the ITD applied theory of economics and the Program(I.D.A) which can be widely applied to project evaluation analysis. The Kang-Byun-Book-Ro expansion scenario is used to apply and analyze a real-world situation. The result highlights that as much as 15% of diverted travel demand is generated as ITD. The results of this study are expected to improve reliability of the project evaluation of the highway improvement Project.

Ex-ante and Ex-post Economic Value Analysis on Ecological River Restoration Project (생태하천복원사업 전후 경제적 가치 비교분석)

  • Lee, Yoon;Chang, Hoon;Yoon, Taeyeon;Chung, Young-Keun;Park, Heeyoung
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.39-54
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    • 2015
  • To assess an economic value of Cheonggyecheon river restoration project, an in-depth exit survey data was collected to apply travel cost method in this study. Poisson model, Negative Binomial, Zero-truncated Poisson, and Zero-truncated Negative Binomial model were executed due to the nature of count data. Empirical results showed that regressors were statistically significant and corresponded to general consumer theory. Since our survey data showed over-dispersion, Zero-truncated Negative Binomial was selected as an optimal one to analyze travel demand of Cheonggyecheon by model goodness of fit test among those aforementioned empirical models. Estimating an economic value of Cheonggyecheon river restoration project, which is known as an ecological river restoration project, we used annual visit of individual traveler and an optimal model. Suffice to say that the annual economic value of Cheonggyecheon river restoration project was estimated as 193.4 billion won in 2013.

Improvement of Railway Demand Forecasting Methodology under the Various Transit Fare Systems of Seoul Metropolitan Area (Focused on Mode Share) (수도권 대중교통 요금제의 다양화에 따른 철도 수요예측 방법론의 개선(수단분담을 중심으로))

  • Choe, Gi-Ju;Lee, Gyu-Jin;Ryu, In-Gon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.171-181
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    • 2010
  • The integrated transit fare system of Seoul metropolitan area has given positively evaluated with reduction of user cost and activating the transfer behavior from its opening year, July 2007. However, there were only few research about railway demand forecasting methodology, especially mode share, has conducted under the integrated fare system. This study focuses on the utility estimation by each mode under the integrated fare system, and on the coefficient actualization relates on travel time and travel cost estimation with Household Travel Survey Data 2006. Also the railway demand analysis methodology under various fare systems is presented. The methodology from this study is expected to improve accuracy and usefulness in railway demand analysis.

Alternative Policy on Attrition Propensities of Travel Voucher (여행바우처 이탈에 관한 정책적 대안 연구)

  • Han, Suk Young;Park, Sang Gon;Jun, Minji
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.17 no.9
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    • pp.486-497
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    • 2017
  • Travel voucher for low-income or social disadvantaged groups forms a part of social policies in Korea. The policy can not only provide an opportunity of travel experiences for the socially weak, but also enhance their family capital and social capital. Thus, the travel voucher policy can be beneficial for the participants and their society. However, little research evidence of its evaluation and challenges/benefits exists. In practice, one of the biggest problems is an attrition of travel voucher winners which is to decrease a cost-effect of the travel voucher policy and to increase unnecessary waste of both the federal and human resources. Thus more research is needed to answer the questions why some of winners abandon to go to travel by the voucher, and who is the seceder? In this context, the study empirically examines the attrition propensity for the winners of 2011 Seoul travel voucher from 1,632 respondents and second data from Korea Tourism Organization. This research found that total education years of travel voucher winners have a significant effect on using their voucher. Implications and alternative policies for government policy makers and administrators are discussed by the analyzed results.

네스티드로짓모형을 이용한 쇼핑통행의 형태분석에 관한 연구

  • 이현구;조동래
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.19-34
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    • 1989
  • In general, Shopping centers are located in the center of transportation, which induce more traffic concentration than other facilities. As a result, it becomes to one of the aggravating factors of urban & transportation problem such as traffic conjestion, parking problems. Thus, in planning shopping-center, it is desirable that consumer\`s trip pattern is should lie more carefully analyzed in order to alleviate the above problems. This study is aimed at finding the characteristics of shopping tripes and analyzing the choice behavior of shopping center and mode-to-shop. This study has developed a nested logit model in which consumers choose shopping center and mode-to-shop with a sequential structure. The model was estimated using household data from the 1989 May, Seoul metropolitan area and the 18 alternatives of shopping center and 5 mode alternatives. The estimated model have been evaluated and it may be concluded that this model for shopping trips is effective and fesible. The conclusion of this study are as fellows. 1. Out-of-vehicle travel time is more important factor affecting behavior of mode choice than in-vehicle travel time. 2. All of direct-elasticities for mode with respect to the travel time is more elastic than travel cost. 3. Accessibility to shop is more important factor affecting the choice of shopping center than parking space. 4. The value of out-of-vehicle travel time exceeds the value of in-vesicle travel time by 1.64 times.

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A Cost Reduction Effects Analysis on Automatic Operation of Light Rail (경량전철 무인자동운전의 비용 절감 효과 분석)

  • 민재홍
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2000.05a
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    • pp.63-70
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    • 2000
  • Light Rail is highlighted for its construction cost and operation & maintenance cost in Korea. However, lack of analysis on driverless operation effect causes many disputes. In this paper, using latest driverless operation cost data. analysed cost reduction effect of it, with comparing present KNR's metropolitan subway signal system. It showed there is enough economic appropriateness B/C 1.241 on interest rate 6%, 1.076 on 8% and 0.943 on 10%, though it couldn't include passenger travel time value.

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Personalized Travel Path Recommendations with Social Life Log (소셜 라이프 로그를 이용한 개인화된 여행 경로 추천)

  • Paul, Aniruddha;Lim, Jongtae;Bok, Kyoungsoo;Yoo, Jasesoo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Contents Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.453-454
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    • 2017
  • The travellers using social media leave their location history in the form of trajectories. These trajectories can be bridged for acquiring information, required for future recommendation for the future travelers, who are new to that location, providing all sort of information. In this paper, we propose a personalized travel path recommendation scheme based on social life log. By taking advantage of two kinds of social media such as travelogue and community contributed photos, the proposed scheme can not only be personalized to user's travel interest but also be able to recommend a travel path rather than individual Points of Interest (POIs). It also maps both user's and routes' textual descriptions to the topical package space to get user topical package model and route topical package model (i.e., topical interest, cost, time and season).

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Analysis on the effect of the opening of high speed rail way on the change in the air passenger's demand - Focused on Seoul and Jeju line - (고속철도 개통이 항공여객 수요변화에 미치는 영향 분석 - 서울-제주간 노선을 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Joon-Kyu;Yoo, Kwang-Eui;Kim, Duck-Nyung
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.26-33
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    • 2012
  • Competition between air transportation and railways has grown fiercer in major countries around the world with the rise of high-speed railways. In South Korea, air passenger travel has been rapidly decreasing since the initial launch of the Seoul-Pusan KTX line in 2004 and second opening that followed in 2010. Further expansion of the high-speed railway is expected. At present, research efforts to verify the validity of constructing an underwater express railway tunnel between Ho-nam and Jeju Island are taking place. Considering the possible high speed railway connection between Seoul and Jeju Island, this thesis has analyzed the choice behavior of existing passengers of the major and low-cost carriers. For this, Stated Preference (SP) research has been performed for three variables, including fare, travel time and the number of runs, to estimate the substitution rate of each of the three variables. Binomial Logit Model has been estimated with the obtained data. The estimation of the model has found that airline passengers of major and low-cost carriers are willing to pay approximately 7,200 KRW and 5,000 KRW, respectively, to reduce travel time by one hour. If the number of runs in one day increases, it has been estimated that the passengers are willing to pay additional fares of about 390 KRW and 30 KRW, respectively. On the other hand, the substitution rate between the number of runs and the travel time was found to be somewhat insignificant. If the construction of the Seoul-Jeju line progresses in the future, this study could be used as preliminary data for determining fares, travel time and the number of runs.

Measurement of Travel Time Using Sequence Pattern of Vehicles (차종 시퀀스 패턴을 이용한 구간통행시간 계측)

  • Lim, Joong-Seon;Choi, Gyung-Hyun;Oh, Kyu-Sam;Park, Jong-Hun
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.7 no.5
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    • pp.53-63
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, we propose the regional travel time measurement algorithm using the sequence pattern matching to the type of vehicles between the origin of the region and the end of the region, that could be able to overcome the limit of conventional method such as Probe Car Method or AVI Method by License Plate Recognition. This algorithm recognizes the vehicles as a sequence group with a definite length, and measures the regional travel time by searching the sequence of the origin which is the most highly similar to the sequence of the end. According to the assumption of similarity cost function, there are proposed three types of algorithm, and it will be able to estimate the average travel time that is the most adequate to the information providing period by eliminating the abnormal value caused by inflow and outflow of vehicles. In the result of computer simulation by the length of region, the number of passing cars, the length of sequence, and the average maximum error rate are measured within 3.46%, which means that this algorithm is verified for its superior performance.

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