• Title/Summary/Keyword: Travel Time Estimation

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A Green House Gas Emission Estimation Based on Gravity Model and Its Elasticity (중력모형을 이용한 온실가스 배출량추정 및 탄력성분석)

  • Im, Yong-Taek
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.85-93
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    • 2011
  • Many policies, such as transit-oriented development, encouraged use of bicycle and pedestrian, reduction of green house gas (GHG) and etc., have been deployed to support transport sustainability. Although various studies regarding GHG were presented, no one has yet adequately explained the behavior of travelers. This paper proposes a GHG emission model by highlighting its sensitivity, elasticity with regard to such travel cost as travel time, travel fare, and GHG pricing, introduced to reduce the amount of GHG in transportation system. For better estimation of GHG, the proposed model adopts (1) a production-constrained gravity model and (2) the travel distance from the origin and the destination (OD). The gravity model has a merit that it considers travel pattern between OD pairs. The model was tested with an example, and the promising results confirmed its validation and applications.

Prediction of Volumes and Estimation of Real-time Origin-Destination Parameters on Urban Freeways via The Kalman Filtering Approach (칼만필터를 이용한 도시고속도로 교통량예측 및 실시간O-D 추정)

  • 강정규
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.7-26
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    • 1996
  • The estimation of real-time Origin-Destination(O-D) parameters, which gives travel demand between combinations of origin and destination points on a urban freeway network, from on-line surveillance traffic data is essential in developing an efficient ATMS strategy. On this need a real-time O-D parameter estimation model is formulated as a parameter adaptive filtering model based on the extended Kalman Filter. A Monte Carlo test have shown that the estimation of time-varying O-D parameter is possible using only traffic counts. Tests with field data produced the interesting finding that off-ramp volume predictions generated using a constant freeway O-D matrix was replaced by real-time estimates generated using the parameter adaptive filter.

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Verification and Calribration of Hydraulic Analysis of Water Supply System Using Fluoride Tracer (불소를 이용한 상수관망 수리해석의 검증 및 보정)

  • Joo, Dae-Sung;Park, No-Suk;Park, Heekyung;Oh, Jung-Woo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.76-82
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    • 1998
  • It is necessary to calculate the accurate velocity from the hydraulic model for the reliable prediction of water quality changes in water supply system. To verify the hydraulic analysis of the water supply system, fluoride was used as a tracer to calculate the travel time from the injection point to the sampling points. Results from this field experiment indicate that fluoride can be a good conservative tracer while it showed a little longitudinal dispersion along the pipe lines. And the velocity from the model was verified by these travel times and calibrated by changing the ratio of the unaccountable water. When the ratio of the unaccountable water. When the ratio of the unaccountable water was 20%, the error between the estimation of hydraulic model and the real travel time was minimum.

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A Study of Link Travel Speed Model using Estimation of the Ratio of Stop Vehicle (신호교차로의 정지차량비 추정을 통한 링크통행속도 모델에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Young-Woo;Lim, Chae-Moom;Lee, Ju-ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.339-345
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    • 2003
  • The purpose of this thesis is to develop a simulation model to estimate link travel speed applicable to urban street transportation planning for interrupted traffic flow, influenced by signalized intersection. This link travel speed model is expected to be a better and more than previous studies.

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A Link Travel Time Estimation Algorithm Based on Point and Interval Detection Data over the National Highway Section (일반국도의 지점 및 구간검지기 자료의 융합을 통한 통행시간 추정 알고리즘 개발)

  • Kim, Sung-Hyun;Lim, Kang-Won;Lee, Young-Ihn
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.23 no.5 s.83
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    • pp.135-146
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    • 2005
  • Up to now studies on the fusion of travel time from various detectors have been conducted based on the variance raito of the intermittent data mainly collected by GPS or probe vehicles. The fusion model based on the variance ratio of intermittent data is not suitable for the license plate recognition AVIs which can deal with vast amount of data. This study was carried out to develop the fusion model based on travel time acquired from the license plate recognition AVIs and the point detectors. In order to fuse travel time acquired from the point detectors and the license plate recognition AVIs, the optimized fusion model and the proportional fusion model were developed in this study. As a result of verification, the optimized fusion model showed the superior estimation performance. The optimized fusion model is the dynamic fusion ratio estimation model on real time base, which calculates fusion weights based on real time historic data and applies them to the current time period. The results of this study are expected to be used effectively for National Highway Traffic Management System to provide traffic information in the future. However, there should be further studies on the Proper distance for the establishment of the AVIs and the license plate matching rate according to the lanes for AVIs to be established.

Missing Data Estimation for Link Travel Time (차량 결측속도정보 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Yoon, Won-Sik;Jung, Hee-Cheol
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.101-107
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    • 2008
  • Traffic speed data may be missed due to detector malfunction or network problems. In this paper we have proposed effective methods to estimate the data which could not be collected through loop detectors. Our proposed algorithm has three steps. First step is to find the most similar neighbor data record by coefficient of correlation. Second step is to make some data records which is calculated by the 5 kinds of estimation methods. Third step is to compare the data records with history data record of observation link and thus the best method is selected. The proposed method is useful for estimating travel time.