• 제목/요약/키워드: Transportation Planning 모형

Search Result 181, Processing Time 0.029 seconds

Development of Severity Model for Elderly Pedestrian Accidents Considering Urban Facility Factor (도시 시설 특성을 반영한 고령 보행자의 사고 심각도 모형 개발)

  • Choi, Sung Taek;Lee, Hyang Sook;Choo, Sang Ho;Kim, Su Jae
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
    • /
    • v.30 no.1
    • /
    • pp.94-103
    • /
    • 2015
  • This study analyzes the influence factors on elderly pedestrian accident. Elderly people are easy to be badly injured by car accidents compared to younger people. Therefore, various plans and measures are required to protect elderly pedestrian from accidents. However, pedestrian accidents studies only focused on microscopic factors such as attribute of driver, pedestrian, road design. In order to prevent pedestrian accident and reduce the severity of the accident, not only microscopic factors but macroscopic variables such as urban planning and facility should be considered. In this regard, this study develops an ordered probit model introduced the characteristics of urban facility which were not considered in the previous studies. The result shows that there is higher level of accident severity in such areas as large commercial area, well-developed area with transportation infrastructure service and non-pedestrian safety zone. Thus, various and appropriate countermeasures should be prepared in order that pedestrian accident can be prevented in the areas mentioned above. In addition to the aforementioned variables, it is revealed that other variables including vehicle speed, gender and age of pedestrian, weather condition, type of vehicle, etc. partly affect the severity of pedestrian accident.

Estimation of Trip Matrices from Traffic Counts : An Equilibrium Approach (교통망 평형 조건하에서 링크 교통량 자료를 이용한 기종점 통행표 추정방법에 관한 연구)

  • 오재학
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.10 no.1
    • /
    • pp.55-62
    • /
    • 1992
  • 교통수요는 교통정책 및 교통시설 계획의 수립 및 평가에 중요한 영향을 미치게 되므로 교통수요의 예측은 교통연구에서 중요한 부문을 차지하고 있다. 도로밑에 설치된 전자차량감지기(Electronic Vehicle Detector)로부터 자동 수집된 링크 교통량 자료(Traffic Counts)를 주요 입력자료로 이용하여 계획지역의 기종점 통행표(Origin Destination Trip Matrix)를 작성할 수 있는 기법 들이 최근 수년동안 많이 발달하게 되었다. 이러한 새로운 기법들은 가구조사(Home Inteview), 노변면접조사(Road-Side Interview)등을 토하여 조사된 자료를 기초로하는 전통적은 4단계 교통수요추정방법(Conventional 4-Stage Estimation Method)-통행발생(Generation), 통행분포(Distribution), 수단선택(Modal Split), 교통배분(Assignment)-과 비교하여 첫째로 정확도가 높은 링크 교통량 자료를 별도의 조사를 거치지 않고서도 수집이 가능하기 때문에 조사비용이 거의 들지 않아도 되어 경제적이고, 둘째로 전통적인 수요예측방법들에서 요구되어지는 복잡한 모형수립 및 계수조정(Parameter Calibration)이 필요하지 않아 간편하고 셋째로 오래전에 작성된 기종점 통행표를 단순히 링크 교통량 자료만을 이용하여 쉽게 보완할 수 있어 지속적인 자료의 축적(Data Age-ing)이 가능하며 더 나아 가서 소위 연속적인 교통 계획 및 교통시설관리(Continuous Transport Planning and Management)를 가능케 하는 등의 여러 장점 때문에 많은 주목을 받아 오고 최근 몇 년이 꾸준히 실무에 유용하게 적용이 되고 있는 실정이다. 본 연구는 링크 교통량자료를 이용하여 기종점 통행표를 작성하기 위하여 개발된 기존의 여러 기법들 가운데 특히 용량제약조건(Capacity-Restrained Condition)하에서 기존의 방법들을 상호 검토한 후 Wardrop의 교통망 평형원칙(Wardrop's First Network Equilibrium Principle)을 만족하는 새로운 추정기법을 제의하고 이의 시험결과를 논의하는 것을 주요내용으로 한다. 링크 교통량 자료를 이용하여 기종점 통행표를 작성하는 기법들의 근본 목표는 조사된 링크 교통량(Ob-served Traffic Counts)에 가장 근접한 교통망 통행 배정 링크 교통량(Assigned Link Volumes)을 재현(Re-producing)할 수 있는 기종점 통행표들 중에서 최적의 기종점 통행표를 발견하는 것이다. 따라서 교통망에서 통행자의 여행 경로 배정을 가장 잘 반영할 수 있는 현실적인(Realistic) 교통망 통행 배정 모형(Net-work Traffic Assignment Model)의 선택은 중요한 요소가 되며 특히 교통망에 교통체증(Traffic Conges-tion)이 심할 경우 교통망 통행자 평형조건(Network Traffic Equilibrium Condition)을 고려하기 위한 특별한 처리가 요구되어진다. 본 연구는 Whllumsen(Hall, Van Vliet and Willumsen, 1980)에 의하여 개발된 ME2(Maximum Entropy Matrix Estimation)기법에서 반복식 추정방법(Sequential Estimation Method)을 사용할 경우 Wardrop의 평형조건을 만족하는 기종점 통행표를 구할 수 없다는 단점을 극복하기 위한 방안으로서 엔트로피 극대화문제와 교통망 평형 조건(Entropy Maximisation and Network Equilibrium Condition)의 두 문제를 동시에 해결할 수 있는 새로운 수식모형과 이를 풀기 위한 알고리즘(Simultaneous Solution Algorithm)을 제의하였다. 제의된 수식모형과 알고리즘을 예제 교통망(Example Network)을 이용한 시험하고 그 결과를 ME2 의 반복식 추정 방법으로부터 구한 기종점 통행표와 비교 검토하였다.

  • PDF

Development and application of GLS OD matrix estimation with genetic algorithm for Seoul inner-ringroad (유전알고리즘을 이용한 OD 추정모형의 개발과 적용에 관한 연구 (서울시 내부순환도로를 대상으로))

  • 임용택;김현명;백승걸
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.18 no.4
    • /
    • pp.117-126
    • /
    • 2000
  • Conventional methods for collecting origin-destination trips have been mainly relied on the surveys of home or roadside interview. However, the methods tend to be costly, labor intensive and time disruptive to the trip makers, thus the methods are not considered suitable for Planning applications such as routing guidance, arterial management and information Provision, as the parts of deployments in Intelligent Transport Systems Motivated by the problems, more economic ways to estimate origin-destination trip tables have been studied since the late 1970s. Some of them, which have been estimating O-D table from link traffic counts are generally Entropy maximizing, Maximum likelihood, Generalized least squares(GLS), and Bayesian inference estimation etc. In the Paper, with user equilibrium constraint we formulate GLS problem for estimating O-D trips and develop a solution a1gorithm by using Genetic Algorithm, which has been known as a g1oba1 searching technique. For the purpose of evaluating the method, we apply it to Seoul inner ringroad and compare it with gradient method proposed by Spiess(1990). From the resu1ts we fond that the method developed in the Paper is superior to other.

  • PDF

A Deterministic User Optimal Traffic Assignment Model with Route Perception Characteristics of Origins and Destinations for Advanced Traveler Information System (ATIS 체계 구축을 위한 출발지와 도착지의 경로 인지 특성 반영 확정적 사용자 최적통행배정 모형)

  • Shin, Seong-Il;Sohn, Kee-Min;Lee, Chang-Ju
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
    • /
    • v.7 no.1
    • /
    • pp.10-21
    • /
    • 2008
  • User travel behavior is based on the existence of complete traffic information in deterministic user optimal principle by Wardrop(1952). According to deterministic user optimal principle, users choose the optimal route from origin to destination and they change their routes arbitrarily in order to minimize travel cost. In this principle, users only consider travel time as a factor to take their routes. However, user behavior is not determined by only travel time in actuality. Namely, the models that reflect only travel time as a route choice factor could give irrational travel behavior results. Therefore, the model is necessary that considers various factors including travel time, transportation networks structure and traffic information. In this research, more realistic deterministic optimal traffic assignment model is proposed in the way of route recognizance behavior. This model assumes that when users decide their routes, they consider many factors such as travel time, road condition and traffic information. In addition, route recognizance attributes is reflected in this suggested model by forward searching method and backward searching method with numerical formulas and algorithms.

  • PDF

Effects of Urban Compactness and Residential Density on Trip Generation: Focusing on Work Trips in Seoul, Korea (도시 압축도와 주거밀도가 통행발생에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구: 서울시 출근 통행을 중심으로)

  • Mahriyar, Muhammad. Zia;RHO, Jeonghyun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.35 no.1
    • /
    • pp.1-10
    • /
    • 2017
  • The compact city usually provides good accessibility of residents with multiple transportation modes. However, in a compact city, annual average of travel distance per household by car is relatively short due to more congested traffic condition and larger travel cost than disperse city. As a result, total travel demand is decreasing when the region becomes more compact. Therefore compact development is regarded as one of the sustainable choices for future urban planning in many countries. This study aims at an empirical analysis of the relationship between urban compactness and travel demand based upon land-use and travel data for city of Seoul. In this study, 424 sub-districts with the mixed land-use patterns are assessed in a hexagonal diagram. The measurement is based on the relative deviation of each sector's characteristics including numbers of residence, manufacture, and trade & service. Multiple linear regression models are developed to analyze the effects of urban compactness on zonal trip generations. As a result, the trip generation rate in the residence-intensive and mixed-use areas is found to be relatively low. Furthermore, residents in high-compact areas tend to use public transport more often than residents in less compact areas.

Is Compact Urban Spatial Structure Effective for Public Transportation Mode? (컴팩트형 공간구조가 대중교통수단의 이용활성화에 보다 효과적인가?)

  • Lee, Jae-Yeong;Kim, Hyung-Chul
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.22 no.3 s.74
    • /
    • pp.7-16
    • /
    • 2004
  • The purpose of this study was to find the characteristics of travel behavior and accessibility in terms of spatial structure. We analyzed travel behaviors and accessibility using a mode choice model and the Complementary Accessibility Index(CAI). The urban spatial structures that were compared were a compact city (CC) versus a sprawled city (SC), and high residential density districts (HD) versus low residential density districts (LD). First, CC and HDs residents had a shorter commuting distance than the CC and LDs residents. Second, behavior models showed that the use of Private cars for commuting in SCs was found to be greater than private car use in CCs, and that public transportation modes would be encouraged in CCs. Third, changes associated with the time and cost of commuting by private car generally affect the demand for public transportation modes in the CC. Also, analysis of cross elasticity suggests that changes of subway travel time affect the demand for buses very elastically. Fourth, the CAI of SC and LD were superior to the CC and HD even though the SC inefficient urban forms in terms of spatial structure. So, the spatial distribution of population density was also found to be an important factor affecting accessibility and energy savings.

Optimal Supply Calculation of Electric Vehicle Slow Chargers Considering Charging Demand Based on Driving Distance (주행거리 기반 충전 수요를 고려한 전기자동차 완속 충전기 최적 공급량 산출)

  • Gimin Roh;Sujae Kim;Sangho Choo
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
    • /
    • v.23 no.2
    • /
    • pp.142-156
    • /
    • 2024
  • The transition to electric vehicles is a crucial step toward achieving carbon neutrality in the transportation sector. Adequate charging infrastructure at residential locations is essential. In South Korea, the predominant form of housing is multifamily dwellings, necessitating the provision of public charging stations for numerous residents. Although the government mandates the availability of charging facilities and designated parking areas for electric vehicles, it bases the supply of charging stations solely on the number of parking spaces. Slow chargers, mainly 3.5kW charging outlets and 7kW slow chargers, are commonly used. While the former is advantageous for installation and use, its slower charging speed necessitates the coexistence of both types of chargers. This study presents an optimization model that allocates chargers capable of meeting charging demands based on daily driving distances. Furthermore, using the metaheuristic algorithm Tabu Search, this model satisfies the optimization requirements and minimizes the costs associated with charger supply and usage. To conduct a case study, data from personal travel surveys were used to estimate the driving distances, and a hypothetical charging scenario and environment were set up to determine the optimal supply of 22 units of 3.5kW charging outlets for the charging demands of 100 BEVs.

A Study on the Key Factors Affecting Travel Time Budget for Elderly Pedestrians (고령자 통행시간예산의 영향요인 규명에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Sung-taek;Kim, Su-jae;Jang, Jin-young;Lee, Hyang-sook;Choo, Sang-ho
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
    • /
    • v.14 no.4
    • /
    • pp.62-72
    • /
    • 2015
  • Nowadays the issue of aging society has received considerable critical attention, especially in transportation planning and demand forecasting. This study identified the factors related to travel time budget for elderly by purpose using seemingly unrelated regression model (SUR model). The SUR model is suitable when error terms of each equation are assumed to be correlated across the equations in terms of travel time budget which is constant in 2 hours per day commonly. The results showed that elderly's travel time budget was affected by individual, household, urban facility and transportation service. The leisure travel comprised a large proportion of total travel time and had a positive relationship with elderly, sports, religious facilities. Moreover, the elderly who had low income or unemployed person had low frequency of social activity such as leisure, shopping and business. This study can provide a comprehensive implications of forecasting the future travel demand and analyzing the travel behavior.

Determination of Minimum Spacing between Off-ramp Terminus and Intersection Considering the Influence of Adjacent Signalized Intersections (신호교차로 영향에 따른 도시고속도로 유출연결로 최소이격거리에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Sang-Gu;Sim, Dae-Yeong;Heo, Du-Wan
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.25 no.4
    • /
    • pp.79-87
    • /
    • 2007
  • The interchanges of urban freeways have many problems with traffic operation due to high off-ramp flows and frequent congestion at adjacent intersections. The flow exiting from off-ramps is affected by the operational status and traffic volume conditions of the nearest signalized intersection. As a result, off-ramp flow cannot exit and the queue backs up the freeway mainline when queues from the signalized intersection form up to the junction of the off-ramp and street. The spacing between an off-ramp and an adjacent intersection is likely to determine the traffic conditions at the adjacent intersection. However, the current design guidelines do not consider such a factor. This study is to develop a model calculating the spacing between off-ramps and adjacent intersections considering the signal, traffic, and road conditions. The variables affecting the model in this study are effective green time (g/C), volume-capacity ratio (v/c), the number of lanes, and off-ramp volume. Various scenarios are designed to represent the effects of the variables and the road networks are constructed using VISSIM, which is a common traffic micro-simulation software package. The queue length is derived from VISSIM and this length is considered as the recommended spacing between the off-ramp and the adjacent intersection. Through the simulation analysis, regression models are developed to calculate the queue length reflecting the various conditions such as signals, traffic, and road configurations. The developed model can be used to create road design guidelines to determine the location of off-ramps in the planning stage.

Estimating Travel Frequency of Public Bikes in Seoul Considering Intermediate Stops (경유지를 고려한 서울시 공공자전거 통행발생량 추정 모형 개발)

  • Jonghan Park;Joonho Ko
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
    • /
    • v.22 no.3
    • /
    • pp.1-19
    • /
    • 2023
  • Bikes have recently emerged as an alternative to carbon neutrality. To understand the demand for public bikes, we endeavored to estimate travel frequency of public bike by considering the intermediate stops. Using the GPS trajectory data of 'Ttareungyi', a public bike service in Seoul, we identified a stay point and estimated travel frequency reflecting population, land use, and physical characteristics. Application of map matching and a stay point detection algorithm revealed that stay point appeared in about 12.1% of the total trips. Compared to a trip without stay point, the trip with stay point has a longer average travel distance and travel time and a higher occurrence rate during off-peak hours. According to visualization analysis, the stay points are mainly found in parks, leisure facilities, and business facilities. To consider the stay point, the unit of analysis was set as a hexagonal grid rather than the existing rental station base. Travel frequency considering the stay point were analyzed using the Zero-Inflated Negative Binomial (ZINB) model. Results of our analysis revealed that the travel frequency were higher in bike infrastructure where the safety of bike users was secured, such as 'Bikepath' and 'Bike and pedestrian path'. Also, public bikes play a role as first & last mile means of access to public transportation. The measure of travel frequency was also observed to increase in life and employment centers. Considering the results of this analysis, securing safety facilities and space for users should be given priority when planning any additional expansion of bike infrastructure. Moreover, there is a necessity to establish a plan to supply bike infrastructure facilities linked to public transportation, especially the subway.