• Title/Summary/Keyword: Traffic estimation

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Analysis of Diversion Rate using Expressway Traffic Data(FTMS, TCS): Focusing on Maesong~Balan IC at Seohaean Expressway (고속도로 교통데이터(FTMS, TCS)를 이용한 경로전환율 분석: 서해안고속도로 매송~발안 구간을 중심으로)

  • Ko, Han-Geom;Choi, Yoon-Hyuk;Oh, Young-Tae;Choi, Kee-Choo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.31-41
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    • 2012
  • Due to growing interests in the distribution of traffic volume through information dissemination such as VMS and traffic broadcasting system, the research on the driver's reaction and effect of the traffic report has continued. In this study, we propose a methodology, which estimates the traffic volume of diversion and the consequential diversion rate using FTMS data and TCS data, and the estimation is based on the analysis of the national highway and IC, in which real-time FTMS and TCS data are established. We also calculate the diversion rate of actual targeted sections and analyze the changes in time and spatial diversion rate. In this study, we define a deviation (considering a deviation due to dynamic properties of traffic conditions) found when the outflow traffic volume is temporarily higher than the average outflow traffic volume on a relevant time slot after providing traffic information. The diverting volume is considered to be caused by the traffic information, and the study determines the ratio of traffic volume on highways to that of route diversion as the diversion rate. The analysis on changes in the diversion rate in accordance with the time flow, the initial change in the diversion rate on upstream IC that first acquires the report on the traffic congestion is significant. After that, the change in the diversion rate on upstream IC affects the route diversion on downstream IC with spatial and time flow, and this again leads the change in upstream IC. Thereby, we confirmed that there is a feedback-control circulation system in the route diversion.

Application of Traffic Conflict Decision Criteria for Signalized Intersections Using an Individual Vehicle Tracking Technique (개별차량 추적기법을 이용한 신호교차로 교통상충 판단기준 정립 및 적용)

  • Kim, Myung-Seob;Oh, Ju-Taek;Kim, Eung-Cheol;Jung, Dong-Woo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.173-184
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    • 2008
  • Development of an accident estimation model based on accident data can be made after accident occurrences. However, the taking of historical accident data is not easy, and there have been differences between real accident data and police-reported accident data. Also, another difficult shortcoming is that historical traffic accident data better consider driver behavior or intersection characteristics. A new method needs to be developed that can predict accident occurrences for traffic safety improvement in black spots. Traffic conflict decision techniques can acquire and analyze data in time and space, requiring less data collection through investigation. However, there are shortcomings: as existing traffic conflict techniques do not operate automatically, the analyst's opinion could easily affect the study results. Also, existing methods do not consider the severity of traffic conflicts. In this study, the authors presented traffic conflict decision criteria which consider conflict severity, including opposing left turn traffic conflict and cross traffic conflict decision criteria. In order to test these criteria, the authors acquired three signalized intersection images (two intersections in Sungnam city and one intersection in Paju) and analyzed the acquired images using image processing techniques based on individual vehicle tracking technology. Within the analyzed images, level 1 conflicts occurred 343 times over three intersections. Some of these traffic conflicts resulted in level 3 conflict situations. Level 3 traffic conflicts occurred 25 times. From the study results, the authors found that traffic conflict decision techniques can be an alternative to evaluate traffic safety in black spots.

Traffic Consideration and Link Capacity Estimation for Integrated Multimedia Network of The Naval Ship (함정용 멀티미디어 통합통신망을 위한 트래픽 및 링크용량 예측)

  • Lee, Chae-Dong;Shin, Woo-Seop;Kim, Suk-Chan
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea TC
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    • v.49 no.5
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    • pp.99-106
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    • 2012
  • Korea navy has been using the voice-oriented ICS to raise a efficiency of naval ship operation. Recently a multimedia network which are included voice, video and text is under consideration by korean navy. As a basic research to establish the integrated multimedia network of a naval ship, this paper classify the networks in order to apply to an integrated network among the various networks within a naval ship. We also consider the sort and characteristic of the multimedia traffic which is using within the classified networks. To predict the link capacity of switch from number of traffic input source, we suggest a traffic aggregation model. Then we calculate the link capacity of aggregated traffic and analyze a aggregated traffic of Korea major naval ship.

A Study on Improving the National Highway Traffic Counts System : With Focus on Short Duration Counts and Continuous Counts (일반국도 교통량조사의 조사 유형별 개선 방안)

  • Lee, Sang Hyup;Ha, Jung Ah;Yoon, Taekwan
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.32 no.3D
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    • pp.205-212
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    • 2012
  • The national highway traffic counts system consists of short duration counts and continuous counts. Unlike continuous counts, short duration counts are performed by collection of a few days period and thus, the magnitude of deviation of collected data from AADT varies depending upon when data collection takes place. Therefore, this study was done to find out the best months and days of data collection of each highway classification in order to enhance the accuracy of AADT estimation. Continuous counts, another type of the national traffic counts system, are performed by collection of 365-day period using a permanent traffic counter. Therefore, it is necessary to keep the number of days for which the counter malfunctions to a minimum in order to enhance the accuracy of data. However, from time to time the permanent traffic counter malfunctions due to various causes and thus, cannot collect data. Therefore, this study was done to find out whether the age of counter, the ratio of heavy vehicle volume to total traffic volume, etc. could be the direct causes of counter's malfunction based on the number of maintenance for a certain time period.

A Study for Estimation of Link Travel Time Using Chaos Theory (카오스이론을 이용한 링크통행시간 산정)

  • 노승만;이인원
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.115-126
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    • 1999
  • Past nears many Studies have been described for present state and forecasted for the future phenomena in various areas. Many theories and methodologies in transportation have been developed and applied by researchers and planners. On the other hand, many theories and methodologies had disappeared caused by their critical limitations. One of this cause that was discovered of the Chaos in traffic flows. The occurrence of Chaos in traffic flows has affected to the traffic volume and decreased significancy of a simulation result of a specific traffic flow. According to this fact, long-term forecast of traffic flow is difficult, moreover a butterfly effect impedes development and establishment of transportation model. A methodology to solve Chaos character in traffic flow can be able to provide more effective transport planning. This study tackles to enhance and revise the existing theories for the traffic flow applying Chaos theory to estimating travel time.

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A Study on U-Turn Location and Length Estimation at Signalized Intersection (신호교차로에서 U-Turn허용구간의 위치 및 적정길이 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jung-Hwan;Park, Je-Jin;Ha, Tae-Jun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.203-213
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    • 2008
  • U-Turn offers convenience to drivers. U-Turn increases efficiency of traffic flow. But Standard of U-Turn is not clear. It caused many problems of traffic flow and traffic safety. This study estimate length between U-Turn location with front intersection based on stopping sight distance and left-turn vehicle's queue length. Variables are used traffic volume and operation speed. This study Analysis of U-Turn vehicle's behaviors and classification of conflict form by investigation. U-Turn length estimating based on relationship analysis between conflict with U-Turn length. Variables are used lane changing angles and operation speed. This study estimates length between U-Turn location with back intersection based on gap acceptance theory. Variables are used traffic volume, operation speed and lane changing angles. So, U-Turn location and length estimated considering traffic flow and traffic safety.

The Estimation of the Future Container Ship Traffic for Three Major Ports in Korea (국내 3대 주요 컨테이너항만의 장래 컨테이너선박 교통량 추정)

  • Kim, Jung-Hoon
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.31 no.5 s.121
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    • pp.353-359
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    • 2007
  • Effective plan and operation managements can be established in advance if the traffic volume of container ship will be forecasted in the trend for container port's cargo volume to increase. At the viewpoint for marine traffic the number of incoming and outgoing container ship can be presumed in the long run and organised rational plan to deal the demand of marine traffic on the basis. Therefore, the paper estimated the future traffic volume of incoming and outgoing container ship for Busan, Gwangyang, and Incheon port on a forecasting data basis of container volume suggested in the national ports base plan. The trends of volume per ship on container were estimated with ARIMA models and seasonal index was computed. Thus the traffic volume of container ship in the future was estimated computing with volume per ship in 2011,2015, and 2020 respectively.

Analyzing the Uncertainty of Traffic Link Flow, and Estimation of the Interval Link Flow using Korea Transport Data Base (기종점 통행량 변화에 따른 링크 교통량 추정의 불확실성에 관한 연구 (국가교통DB를 이용한 구간 링크 교통량 추정을 중심으로))

  • Kim, Gang-Su;Kim, Jin-Seok;Jo, Hye-Jin
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.117-127
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    • 2009
  • This study analyzed the uncertainty of the forecasted link traffic flow, and estimated of the interval link flow using Korea Transport Data Base (KTDB) to consider those risks into the feasibility study. In the paper, the uncertainty was analyzed according to the stochastic variation of the KTDB origin-destination traffic. It was found that the uncertainty of the entire network traffic forecasts was 15.4% in average,. when the stochastic variation of the KTDB was considered. The results showed that the more congested the roads were, the bigger the uncertainty of forecasted link traffic flow were found. In particular, we estimated the variance of the forecasted traffic flow, and suggested interval estimates of the forecasted traffic flow instead of point estimates which were presented in the common feasibility studies. These results are expected to contribute the quantitative evaluation of uncertain road investment projects and to provide valuable information to the decision makers for the transport investment.