• Title/Summary/Keyword: Traffic accident analysis

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Development of Car Accidents Person Fatality Model using Data Mining (데이터 마이닝을 이용한 차량 사고자 사망확률 모형)

  • Kim Cheon-Shik;Hong You-Shik;Jung Myung-Hee
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea TC
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    • v.43 no.9 s.351
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    • pp.25-31
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, a fatality model of car accident using data mining is proposed with the goal of reducing fatality of traffic accident. The analysis results with a proposed fatality model are utilized to improve a technology and environment for driving. For this, traffic accident data are collected, a data mining algorithm is applied to this data, and then, a fatality model of car accident is developed based on the analysis. The training data as well as test data are utilized to develop the fatality model. The important factors to cause fatality in traffic accidents can be investigated using the model. If these factors are taken into account in traffic policies and driving environment, it is expected that the fatality rate of traffic accident can be reduced hereafter.

Study on Effect of Low Visibility Condition at Nighttime on Traffic Accident (야간의 시인성 저하가 교통사고에 미치는 영향 진단 -경기도 지역의 경부, 서해안, 영동, 서울외곽순환고속도로를 중심으로-)

  • Lee, Seung-Sin;Kim, Tae-Heon;Son, Bong-Soo
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.12-26
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    • 2014
  • This Study deals with effect of low visibility condition at nighttime on traffic accident. Roads for experiment of this study are Gyeongbu expressway, Seohaean expressway, Yeongdong expressway and Seoul beltway in Gyeonggi province. For this study, I subdivided basic straight section of them into 58 short section. And I analyzed effect of low visibility condition by darkness at nighttime on traffic accident by using 410 traffic accidents between January 1, 2009 and June 30, 2012 on those sections. The Quasi-experimental and negative binomial regression were applied to analyze effect of low visibility condition at nighttime on traffic accident. In this study, I only analyzed visibility difference of daytime and nighttime on traffic accident except other effective variables on traffic accidents. As a result, I have found that it is for low visibility condition at nighttime to have effect on traffic accidents at such specific conditions as Los A speed is maintained in basic straight section of expressway in fine weather. And I tried to do various analysis on types and causes of traffic accidents using the result of analysis.

Predicting traffic accidents in Korea (국내 교통사고 예측)

  • Yang, Hee-Joong
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.91-98
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    • 2011
  • We develop a model to predict traffic accidents in Korea. In contrast to the classical approach that mainly uses regression analysis, Bayesian approach is adopted. A dependent model that incorporates the data from different kinds of accidents is introduced. The rate of severe accident can be updated even with no data of the same kind. The data of minor accident that can be obtained frequently is efficiently used to predict the severe accident.

A Study on Practical Method of Utility Curve for Deciding Priority Order of the Improvements in Traffic Safety Audit (교통안전진단 개선방안들의 우선순위 산정 연구)

  • Choi, Ji Hye;Kang, Soon Yang;Hong, Ji Yeon;Lim, Joon Beom
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.143-155
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    • 2016
  • Recently, a massive loss of life and property is occurring in Korea due to traffic accidents, with the rapid increase in cars. For improvement of traffic safety, the Korea Transportation Safety Authority intensively analyzes accident data in local governments with low traffic safety index, performs a field investigation to extract problems and offers local governments improvements for problems, by conducting the 'Special Survey of Actual Conditions of Traffic Safety' each year, starting 2008. But local governments cannot strongly push forward the improvement projects due to the limited budget and the uncertainty of the improvement plan effects. Therefore, this study suggested a model which applied the Utility concept to the AHP theory, in order to efficiently decide a priority of the improvement plans in accident black spots in consideration of the limited budget of local governments. The number of accidents in each spot for improvement and accident severity, traffic volume, pedestrian volume, the improvement project cost and the accident reduction effect were chosen as evaluation factors for deciding a priority, and data about the improvement plan costs and the accident reduction effects, traffic accidents and traffic volume in the spots to undergo the special research on the real condition of traffic accident in the past were collected from the existing studies. Then, regression analysis was carried out and the Utility Curve of each evaluation factor was computed. Based on the AHP analysis findings, this study devised a priority decision method which calculated the weight and the utility function of each evaluation factor and compared the total utility values. The AHP analysis findings showed that among the evaluation factors, accident severity had the biggest importance and it was followed by the improvement plan cost, the number of accidents, the improvement effect, traffic volume and pedestrian volume. The calculated utility function shows a rise in utility, as the variables of the 5 evaluation factors; the number of accidents, accident severity, the improvement plan effect, traffic volume and pedestrian volume increase and a fall in utility, as the variables of the improvement plan cost increase, since the improvement plan cost is included in the budget spent by a local government.

A GIS-based Traffic Accident Analysis on Highways using Alignment Related Risk Indices (고속도로 선형조건과 GIS 기반 교통사고 위험도지수 분석 (호남.영동.중부고속도로를 중심으로))

  • 강승림;박창호
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.21-40
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    • 2003
  • A traffic accident analysis method was developed and tested based on the highway alignment risk indices using geographic information systems(GIS). Impacts of the highway alignment on traffic accidents have been identified by examining accidents occurred on different alignment conditions and by investigating traffic accident risk indices(TARI). Evaluative criteria are suggested using geometric design elements as an independent variable. Traffic accident rates were forecasted more realistically and objectively by considering the interaction between highway alignment factors and the design consistency. And traffic accident risk indices and risk ratings were suggested based on model estimation results and accident data. Finally, forecasting traffic accident rates, evaluating the level of risk and then visualizing information graphically were combined into one system called risk assessment system by means of GIS. This risk assessment system is expected to play a major role in designing four-lane highways and developing remedies for highway sections susceptible to traffic accidents.

Development of Traffic Accident Models in Seoul Considering Land Use Characteristics (토지이용특성을 고려한 서울시 교통사고 발생 모형 개발)

  • Lim, Samjin;Park, Juntae
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.30-49
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    • 2013
  • In this research we developed a new traffic accident forecasting model on the basis of land use. A new traffic accident forecasting model by type was developed based on market segmentation and further introduction of variables that may reflect characteristics of various regions using Classification and Regression Tree Method. From the results of analysis, activities variables such as the registered population, commuters as well as road size, traffic accidents causing facilities being the subjects of activities were derived as variables explaining traffic accidents.

International Comparative Analysis of Traffic Safety Indicators related to Road Traffic Accidents (도로교통사고 안전지표의 국제간 비교분석 평가)

  • Kim, Sang Gu
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.17 no.9
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    • pp.429-438
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    • 2019
  • This study was to evaluate the level of traffic safety related to domestic traffic accidents by analyzing the international comparison of road traffic accident indicators and to set goals and directions of traffic accidents in Korea in the future. The research procedure was as follows: First, population, number of registered vehicles, roadway length, vehicle kilometers, injury accidents, fatalities, injuries were collected in 32 OECD countries. Second, we determined Korea's traffic safety rankings through international comparison of traffic accident rate. Finally, we analyzed the level of traffic safety by comparing Korea with the 7 advanced countries with the traffic accident rate per vehicle kilometers. The accident rate in Korea was greater than two times higher than those of the seven major developed countries, which showed that the level of traffic safety in Korea implied very low. Target values for domestic accidents were proposed based on the accident rate.

Factor Analysis of Accident Types on Urban Street using Structural Equation Modeling(SEM) (구조방정식모형을 활용한 단속류 시설의 교통사고 유형별 유발요인 분석)

  • Kim, Sang-Rok;Bae, Yun-Gyeong;Jeong, Jin-Hyeok;Kim, Hyeong-Jin
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.93-101
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    • 2011
  • In 2008, Korea has observed total 215,822traffic accidents Although the number has decreased since then, the crash rate is still higher than those of other advanced countries. In particular, high rate of pedestrian accidents occurred on urban streets is recognized as a serious problem. The previous studies, however, are not entirely considerate of accident factors by accident type. Inspired by the fact, this study analyzes factors affecting traffic accident by accident type. Using the accident data collected on urban streets in Seodaemun-gu, this paper classifies the accidents into two groups (i.e., vehicle-vs-vehicle and vehicle-vs-person crashes), and analyzes relationships between severity and exogenous variables. For the analysis, Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) is employed to estimate relationships among exogenous factors of traffic accident by each type on urban streets. The resulting model reveals that roadway related factors are highly correlated with the severity of vehicle-vs-vehicle crashes whereas environment factors are with vehicle-vs-person crashes.

Analysis of Traffic Accident Reduction Effect When Introducing Motorcycle Safety Inspection (이륜자동차 안전검사제도 도입 시 교통사고절감효과 분석)

  • KOO, Jahun;JANG, Jinyoung;CHOO, Sang Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.25-36
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze traffic accident reduction effect of the introduction of motorcycle safety inspection. To analyze the effect of motorcycle inspection, we first estimate the number of defective motorcycles, and calculate the probability of accident occurrences caused by the defect using four year traffic accident data. Finally, we estimate the number of reduced accidents due to the introduction of the inspection and the total reduced accident cost. In this study, we analyzed three scenarios. It is analyzed that when the safety inspection system is applied to all motorcycles, 642 cases of traffic accidents and 325 million won per year of traffic accident costs are reduced. It is approximately 0.1% of 2014 total traffic accident cost of 26.5725 trillion won per year. It suggests that the cost of traffic accidents and traffic accidents due to vehicle factors are reduced when the safety inspection system is introduced.

A study on Data Analysis by Type of Traffic Accident for Children (어린이 교통사고 유형별 데이터 분석 연구)

  • Lee, Jeongwon;Lee, Choong Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2021.05a
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    • pp.490-492
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    • 2021
  • In order to realize a safety society in traffic accidents, Korea prepared comprehensive government-wide measures in 2017. Efforts are being made to minimize accidents while walking by children and the elderly by lowering the speed limit in urban areas from 60 km to 50 km and limiting the vehicle to 30 km in the case of child protection zones. In this study, after pre-processing each data with the status of vehicle registration and traffic accident spatial data (GIS) by designating a specific area, Danyang-gun, where the rate of child traffic accidents is increasing every year, it is intended to understand the structure of the data and find out the structural pattern of the data analytical studies were conducted.

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