• International Journal of Highway Engineering
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• v.10 no.3
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• pp.199-208
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• 2008

Prediction the performance of pavement provides proper information to an agency on decision-making process; especially evaluating the pavement performance and prioritizing the work plan. To date, there are a number of approaches to predict the future deterioration of pavements. However, there are some limitation to proper prediction of the pavement service life. In this paper, pavement performance model and pavement condition prediction model are developed in order to improve pavement condition prediction method. The prediction model of pavement condition through the regression analysis of real pavement condition is based on the probability distribution of pavement condition, which set to 5%, 15%, 25% and 50%, by condition of the pavement and traffic volume. The pavement prediction model presented from the behavior of individual pavement condition which are set to 5%, 15%, 25% and 50% of probability distribution. The performance of the prediction model is evaluated from analyzing the average, standard deviation of HPCI, and the percentage of HPCI which is lower than 3.0 of comparable section. In this paper, we will suggest the more rational method to determine the future pavement conditions, including the probabilistic duration and deterministic modeling methods regarding the impact of traffic volume, age, and the type of the pavement.

• Journal of Korean Port Research
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• v.14 no.2
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• pp.175-185
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• 2000

Today freeway is experiencing a severe congestion with incoming or outgoing traffic through freeway ramps during the peak periods. Thus, the purpose of this study is to identify the traffic characteristics, analyze the relationships between the traffic characteristics and finally construct the delay predictive models on the rap junctions of freeway with 70mph speed limit. From the traffic analyses, and model construction and verification for delay prediction on the ramp junctions of freeway, the following results were obtained : ⅰ) Traffic flow showed a big difference depending on the time periods. Especially, more traffic flows were concentrated on the freeway junctions in the morning peak period. ⅱ) The occupancy also showed a big difference depending on the time periods, and the downstream occupancy(Od) was especially shown to have a higher explanatory power for the delay predictive model construction on the ramp junctions of freeway. ⅲ) The delay-occupancy curve showed a remarkable shift based on the occupancies observed : O$\_$d/〈9% and O$\_$d/$\geq$9%. Especially, volume and occupancy were shown to be highly explanatory for delay prediction on the ramp junctions of freeway under O$\_$d/$\geq$9%, but lowly for delay prediction on the ramp junctions of freeway under O$\_$d/〈9%. Rather, the driver characteristics or transportation conditions around the freeway were thought to be a little higher explanatory for the delay prediction under O$\_$d/〈9%. ⅳ) Integrated delay predictive models showed a higher explanatory power in the morning peak period, but a lower explanatory power in the non-peak periods.

• KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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• v.12 no.2
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• pp.53-60
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• 2023

Recently, the demand and traffic volume for various multimedia contents are rapidly increasing through real-time streaming platforms. In this paper, we predict real-time streaming traffic to improve the quality of service (QoS). Statistical models have been used to predict network traffic. However, since real-time streaming traffic changes dynamically, we used recurrent neural network-based deep learning models rather than a statistical model. Therefore, after the collection and preprocessing for real-time streaming data, we exploit vanilla RNN, LSTM, GRU, Bi-LSTM, and Bi-GRU models to predict real-time streaming traffic. In evaluation, the training time and accuracy of each model are measured and compared.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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• 1999.10a
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• pp.131-140
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• 1999

Today freeway is experiencing a severe congestion with incoming or outgoing traffic through freeway ramps during the peak periods. Thus, the objectives of this study is to identify the traffic characteristics, analyze the relationships between the traffic characteristics and finally construct the delay predictive models on the ramp junctions of freeway with 70mph speed limit. From the traffic analyses, and model constructions and verifications for delay prediction on the ramp junctions of freeway, the following results were obtained: ⅰ) Traffic flow showed a big difference depending on the time periods. Especially, more traffic flows were concentrated on the freeway junctions in the morning peak period when compared with the afternoon peak period. ⅱ) The occupancy also showed a big difference depending on the time periods, and the downstream occupancy(Od) was especially shown to have a higher explanatory power for the delay predictive model construction on the ramp junction of freeway. ⅲ) The speed-occupancy curve showed a remarkable shift based on the occupancies observed ; Od < 9% and Od$\geq$9%. Especially, volume and occupancy were shown to be highly explanatory for delay prediction on the ramp junctions of freeway under Od$\geq$9%, but lowly for delay predicion on the ramp junctions of freeway under Od<9%. Rather, the driver characteristics or transportation conditions around the freeway were through to be a little higher explanatory for the delay perdiction under Od<9%. ⅳ) Integrated delay predictive models showed a higher explanatory power in the morning peak period, but a lower explanatory power in the non-peak periods.

• Proceedings of the SAREK Conference
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• 2006.06a
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• pp.1087-1092
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• 2006

Recently, traffic noise level is rapidly increasing, and it is crowed caused by recently overcrowded and overgrown cities, and increasing traffic volume is emerging as a major factor of disrupting the living and working environment. In this situation, citizens are increasingly complaining about the traffic noise. The noise level of in major cities in Korea is serious and affects on citizens physically and psychologically. Many people live in residential areas around crowed roads in major cities, such as Seoul. Accordingly, the purpose of this study is to predict outside noise distribution of building through survey and simulation to make better sound insulation performance research. The result of this study shows that the traffic noise is influenced from ground 50m and analyzed that form of building and arrangement type must be considered to the level of noise decrease.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.13 no.1
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• pp.5-33
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• 1995

This paper addresses the outlines of the traffic signal timing principles engaged in TRACS and the results of field test. Research team, encompassing research institute, university, and electronic company, conducted the three-year project for developing the new system, named TRACS(Traffic Adaptive Control System). The project was successfully completed in 1994. TRACS aims at accomplishing the objectives of better traffic adaptability and more reliable travel time prediction. TRACS operates in real-time adjusting signal timings throughout the system in response to variations in traffic demand and system capacity. The purpose of TRACS is to control traffic on an area basis rather than on an isolated intersection basis. An other purpose of TRACS is to provide real-time road traffic information such as volume, speed, delay , travel time, and so on. The performance of the first version of TRACS was compared to the conventional TOD control through field test. The test result was promi ing in that TRACS consistantly outperformed the conventional control method. The change of signaltiming reacted timely to the variation of traffic demand. Extensive operational test of TRACS will be conducted this year, and some functions will be enhanced.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.35 no.3
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• pp.220-233
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• 2017

Traffic volumes are fundamental data widely used in various traffic analysis, such as origin-and-destination establishment, total traveled kilometer distance calculation, congestion evaluation, and so on. The low number of links collecting the traffic-volume data in a large urban highway network has weakened the quality of the analyses in practice. This study proposes a method to estimate the traffic volume data on a highway link where no collection device is available by introducing a spatial statistic technique with (1) the traffic-volume data from TOPIS, and National Transport Information Center in the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, and (2) the navigation data from private navigation. Two different component models were prepared for the interrupted and the uninterrupted flows respectively, due to their different traffic-flow characteristics: the piecewise constant function and the regression kriging. The comparison of the traffic volumes estimated by the proposed method against the ones counted in the field showed that the level of error includes 6.26% in MAPE and 5,410 in RMSE, and thus the prediction error is 20.3% in MAPE.

• International Journal of Highway Engineering
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• v.10 no.1
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• pp.31-39
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• 2008

Preventing the traffic accident by accurately predicting it in advance can greatly improve road traffic safety. The accurate traffic accident prediction model requires not only understanding of the factors that cause the accident but also having the transferability of the model. So, this paper suggest the traffic accident diagram using CART(Classification And Regression Tree) analysis, developed Model is compared with the existing accident prediction models in order to test the goodness of fit. The results of this study are summarized below. First, traffic accident prediction model using CART analysis is developed. Second, distance(D), pedestrian shoulder(m) and traffic volume among the geometrical factors are the most influential to the traffic accident. Third. CART analysis model show high predictability in comparative analysis between models. This study suggest the basic ideas to evaluate the investment priority for the road design and improvement projects of the traffic accident blackspots.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.14 no.2
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• pp.223-237
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• 1996

Based on the traffic and accident data collected on a 4.2km (2.6mile) section of Interstate highway 35W in Minneapolis the relationship between traffic operation variables and safety measures is investigated. An aggregate specification that could be integrated into an urban freeway safety prediction methodology is proposed as a multiple regression model. The specification includes lane occupancy and volume data, which are the control parameters commonly used because they can be measured in real time. The primary variables that appear to affect the safety of urban freeway are : vehicle-miles of travel, entrance ramp volumes and the dynamic effect of queue building. The potential benefits of freeway traffic control strategies on freeway safety are also investigated via a simulation study. It was concluded that improvement of urban freeway safety is achievable by traffic control strategies which homogenize traffic conditions areound critical occupancy values.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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• 2012.04a
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• pp.843-844
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• 2012