• Title/Summary/Keyword: Traditional Statistical

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Analysis and Prediction Methods of Marine Accident Patterns related to Vessel Traffic using Long Short-Term Memory Networks (장단기 기억 신경망을 활용한 선박교통 해양사고 패턴 분석 및 예측)

  • Jang, Da-Un;Kim, Joo-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.780-790
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    • 2022
  • Quantitative risk levels must be presented by analyzing the causes and consequences of accidents and predicting the occurrence patterns of the accidents. For the analysis of marine accidents related to vessel traffic, research on the traffic such as collision risk analysis and navigational path finding has been mainly conducted. The analysis of the occurrence pattern of marine accidents has been presented according to the traditional statistical analysis. This study intends to present a marine accident prediction model using the statistics on marine accidents related to vessel traffic. Statistical data from 1998 to 2021, which can be accumulated by month and hourly data among the Korean domestic marine accidents, were converted into structured time series data. The predictive model was built using a long short-term memory network, which is a representative artificial intelligence model. As a result of verifying the performance of the proposed model through the validation data, the RMSEs were noted to be 52.5471 and 126.5893 in the initial neural network model, and as a result of the updated model with observed datasets, the RMSEs were improved to 31.3680 and 36.3967, respectively. Based on the proposed model, the occurrence pattern of marine accidents could be predicted by learning the features of various marine accidents. In further research, a quantitative presentation of the risk of marine accidents and the development of region-based hazard maps are required.

Classification and discrimination of excel radial charts using the statistical shape analysis (통계적 형상분석을 이용한 엑셀 방사형 차트의 분류와 판별)

  • Seungeon Lee;Jun Hong Kim;Yeonseok Choi;Yong-Seok Choi
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.73-86
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    • 2024
  • A radial chart of Excel is very useful graphical method in delivering information for numerical data. However, it is not easy to discriminate or classify many individuals. In this case, after shaping each individual of a radial chart, we need to apply shape analysis. For a radial chart, since landmarks for shaping are formed as many as the number of variables representing the characteristics of the object, we consider a shape that connects them to a line. If the shape becomes complicated due to the large number of variables, it is difficult to easily grasp even if visualized using a radial chart. Principal component analysis (PCA) is performed on variables to create a visually effective shape. The classification table and classification rate are checked by applying the techniques of traditional discriminant analysis, support vector machine (SVM), and artificial neural network (ANN), before and after principal component analysis. In addition, the difference in discrimination between the two coordinates of generalized procrustes analysis (GPA) coordinates and Bookstein coordinates is compared. Bookstein coordinates are obtained by converting the position, rotation, and scale of the shape around the base landmarks, and show higher rate than GPA coordinates for the classification rate.

Variations of Properties and Microbial Community during Fermentation of Makgeollies by Isolated Yeasts from Traditional Makgeollies (전통막걸리에서 분리한 효모균주를 이용한 막걸리 발효과정 중의 물성 및 미생물 군집의 변화)

  • Jeon, Myong Je;Jang, Min Kyung;Lee, Sol Jee;Park, Sung Hwan;Kim, Mihyang;Sohn, Jae Hak;Lee, Han-Seung;Lee, Dong-Geun;Lee, Sang-Hyeon
    • Journal of Life Science
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.796-803
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    • 2013
  • Property changes and bacterial characterizations by polymerase chain reaction-denaturing gradient gel electrophoresis (PCR-DGGE) were investigated during the fermentation of Makgeollies by 5 isolated yeast strains. Changes of pH were large between day 0 (pH 6) and day 2 (pH 3) and showed less variation after then. ANOVA analyses revealed that pHs were statistically different with fermentation times (p<0.001), while strains (p=0.60) did not. Acidities were changed from 0.19 to 1.04% and showed rather high increase from day 2, and fermentation times (p<0.001) and strains (p=0.006) represented statistical differences. All strains showed less than 0.150% at amino-type nitrogen contents except S strain showed 0.442% at day 8, and there were no statistical differences with fermentation times (p=0.4558) and strains (p=0.3513). Saccharinities of C strain were higher from day 4, and fermentation times (p<0.0001) and strains (p=0.007) showed statistical differences. Large variation of alcohol concentrations (%) were observed between day 0 (0%) and day 2 (10%) and showed less variation after day 2, and there was no statistical difference with strains. Dominant prokaryotes were Lactobacillus fermentum and Pediococcus pentosaceus, which producing acids and functional materials. Dominant eukaryote was Saccharomyces cerevisiae, which might be resulted from addition of yeasts.

Modified TRISS: A More Accurate Predictor of In-hospital Mortality of Patients with Blunt Head and Neck Trauma (Modified TRISS: 둔상에 의한 두경부 외상 환자에서 개선된 병원 내 사망률 예측 방법)

  • Kim, Dong Hoon;Park, In Sung
    • Journal of Trauma and Injury
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.141-147
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    • 2005
  • Purpose: Recently, The new Injury Severity Score (NISS) has become a more accurate predictor of mortality than the traditional Injury Severity Score (ISS) in the trauma population. Trauma Score Injury Severity Score (TRISS) method, regarded as the gold standard for mortality prediction in trauma patients, still contains the ISS as an essential factor within its formula. The purpose of this study was to determine whether a simple modification of the TRISS by replacing the ISS with the NISS would improve the prediction of in-hospital mortality in a trauma population with blunt head and neck trauma. Objects and Methods: The study population consisted of 641 patients from a regional emergency medical center in Kyoungsangnam-do. Demographic data, clinical information, the final diagnosis, and the outcome for each patient were collected in a retrospective manner. the ISS, NISS, TRISS, and modified TRISS were calculated for each patients. The discrimination and the calibration of the ISS, NISS, modified TRISS and conventional TRISS models were compared using receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves, areas under the ROC curve (AUC) and Hosmer-Lemeshow statistics. Results: The AUC of the ISS, NISS, modified TRISS, and conventional TRISS were 0.885, 0.941, 0.971, and 0.918 respectively. Statistical differences were found between the ISS and the NISS (p=0.008) and between the modified TRISS and the conventional TRISS (p=0.009). Hosmer-Lemeshow chi square values were 13.2, 2.3, 50.1, and 13.8, respectively; only the conventional TRISS failed to achieve the level of and an excellent calibration model (p<0.001). Conclusion: The modified TRISS is a more accurate predictor of in-hospital mortality than the conventional TRISS in a trauma population of blunt head and neck trauma.

A Study on the Improvement of Outpatient Process Using Simulation (시뮬레이션을 이용한 외래프로세스 개선방안에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Hyun-Sook;Ji, Eun Hee;Kang, Sung-Hong
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.12 no.8
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    • pp.377-387
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study is to suggest improvement ways of outpatient process via a simulation model and to improve operational efficiency. Three experimentation scenarios were implemented into the simulation model to determine which proposed scenario provides better improvement in terms of the following performance measures: LOS(Length of Stay), patient waiting time, patient travel time, and staff utilization. The hospital medical data collection and statistical tools used to analyze the process mining tools. And the PIOS simulation tool was used and the validity of the model was verified by using t-test. The simulation results demonstrated that oupatient process of center type is most efficient. Simulation approach is a powerful technique that supports efficient decision-making compared to traditional healthcare management approach based on past experience, feelings, and intuition. Therefore, the proposed experimentation model has wide applicability in healthcare systems.

A Study on the Perception and Preference of the Korean Kimchi by the Chinese International Students in Jeonbuk Area (전북지역 중국 유학생의 김치에 대한 인식 및 기호도 연구)

  • Meng, Bing Xu;Lee, Young Sook;Kim, Yong Suk;Rho, Jeong Ok
    • Journal of the East Asian Society of Dietary Life
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.273-281
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    • 2013
  • The study is being conducted to investigate the perceptions and preferences of the Korean kimchi by the Chinese international students in Jeonbuk area. Self-administered questionnaires were collected from 197 male (48.9%) and 203 female (51.1%) students. Statistical data analysis is being completed using SPSS v. 12.0. Approximately 95% of Chinese female and 91% of male students know about kimchi before coming to Korea through the Korean movies and dramas. The perceptions for kimchi according to the residence period showed a significantly difference 'kimchi is a nutritious and health food' (p<0.05), 'kimchi has good taste but too hot to eat' (p<0.05), and 'Kimchi is difficult to eat because of the smell' (p<0.05). Approximately 52% of Chinese female and 44% of male students consumed kimchi once or twice a day. The most popular form of kimchi among the 13 varieties was baech kimchi. Chinese female students preferred the 'kkakdugi' (p<0.05), 'chonggak kimchi' (p<0.05), and 'young radish kimchi' (p<0.05) more than the male students. The most liked reason was the 'refreshing taste' (44.8%) whereas the most disliked reasons were 'unfamiliar with eating kimchi' (28.7%) and 'sour taste' (24.2%). Approximately 85% of Chinese female and 60% of male students would like to experience making kimchis by themselves. Extended kimchi consumptions for Chinese answered 'not too fish-like smell' (36.0%), 'not too overly-ripe' (34.5%), 'not too sour' (25.4%), and 'not too hot' (25.4%). Therefore, in order to improve the awareness for kimchi among Chinese students, we need to relate kimchi with the taste of Chinese traditional foods.

A Study on the Improvement of Settlement Environments considering Survey of Residents in Seosan, Chungnam (서산지역 주민의식조사를 통한 도시정주환경 개선에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Tong-So
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.13 no.10
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    • pp.4869-4876
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    • 2012
  • This study was performed to propose a improvement guide for the region of Seosan located at the north-west part of Chungnam province. Thus, this study recognizing that urban revitalization design of Seosan should be established based on inheritance of regional history and traditional culture. This study was processed with following procedures and methods. First, this study drew the recent trends and effective ways as proportion system of urban revitalization design through collecting and analyzing literatures. Second, performed to the survey of the consciousness consider urban environmental settlement of residents in Seosan using a statistical method. Third, carried out case studies as urban revitalization design of central area in Seosan.

A Study on the Recognition and Preference of a Chicken Menu in Adults in the Jeonbuk Area (전북지역 성인의 연령별 닭 메뉴 인지도와 기호도 연구)

  • Rho, Jeong Ok;Kim, Ji Hye
    • Journal of the East Asian Society of Dietary Life
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.12-22
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    • 2013
  • This study investigated the recognition and preference of a chicken menu according to the age of adults in the Jeonbuk area. Self-administered questionnaires were collected from 394 adults (male 55.3%, female 44.7%) residing in the Jeonbuk area. Descriptive and comparative statistical data analysis was completed using SPSS v. 12.0. The frequency of consumption of chicken-containing foods for the younger group (20~30 years old) was significantly higher than the frequency of older groups (over 40) (p<0.001). The younger group also consumed chicken food through a delivery service, whereas the older group consumed chicken through delivery and self-cooking. Approximately 50.0% of the older group preferred the chicken leg whereas 38.1% of the younger group preferred the chicken breast (p<0.001). The most highly recognized chicken menu items, among 36 chicken menus, were Samgyetang (2.93), chicken dori-tang (2.93), and fried chicken (2.93). The older group knew about a chicken menu made by traditional cooking much more than the younger group. The most highly preferred chicken menu item was spicy fried chicken (4.18). The preference for Western-style chicken menu (e.g. Cajun chicken salad, chicken sandwich) was significantly higher in the younger group than the older group (p<0.001, p<0.05). Therefore, to develop a new chicken menu, the consideration of favorite chicken parts and an age-based menu is necessary.

Healthy Lifestyle Changes During the Period Before and After Cancer Diagnosis Among Breast Cancer Survivors

  • Wang, Hsiu-Ho;Chung, Ue-Lin
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.13 no.9
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    • pp.4769-4772
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    • 2012
  • Aims: The purpose of the present study was to investigate healthy lifestyle changes during the period before and after breast cancer diagnosis in Taiwan. Materials and Method: Lifestyle changes during the period before and after cancer diagnosis were assessed by convenience sampling with a structured questionnaire for breast cancer survivors. Results: A total of 235 breast cancer survivors completed the healthy lifestyle scale. The mean values before and after breast cancer diagnosis of the participants were 3.27 and 3.73. The final five dimensions for the period before breast cancer diagnosis were: had not experienced stress; had exercised; had maintained sleep quality; had maintained body weight; and had maintained relationships. The final five dimensions for the period after breast cancer diagnosis were: sleep quality; had not experienced stress; relationship; had exercised; and had maintained body weight. A paired-t test was applied to examine the differences before and after cancer diagnosis, revealing that the total average scores of the participants on the healthy lifestyle scale clearly differed statistically (t= -17.20, p<0.01); and the nine dimensions before and after testing also demonstrate a marked statistical difference (p<0.01). Conclusions: These findings are helpful in understanding the healthy lifestyle changes during the period before and after cancer diagnosis among breast cancer survivors. It is expected that these results can offer references of self-care for this group of patients.

A Study on Correlation among Viewers by Medium based on KBS PIE-TV Index

  • Lee, Jong-Soo;Hamacher, Alaric;Kwon, Soonchul;Lee, Seunghyun
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.9-18
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    • 2017
  • In order to respond to the ever-changing media environments in the era of smart and mobile technology, KBS has introduced and partially applied PIE-TV and PIE-nonTV modes that monitor the average number of viewers among the national population group by means of the sample household extraction method which is a traditional way of rating investigation. This study analyzes the correlation between the number of viewers of premiere, re-air broadcasting, and MPP channel programs and the number of OTT-based VOD viewers in reference to the data extracted from PIE-TV survey results. KBS conducted a survey for 3 months between June and August 2017 to measure the PIE-TV Index, based on which the above-mentioned correlation was analyzed with programs classified to entertainment, drama, and cultural programs. For data analysis, SPSS (Ver. 18.0 for Window, SPSS Inc, Chicago, IL, USA) was utilized. It was assumed that when p<0.05 in the confidence interval of 95%, statistically significance would be secured. Among the 30 subjects in the simple correlation analysis, the parameter was determined by the Person correlation coefficient and the non-parameter by the Spearman correlation coefficient. Analysis results are as below: (1) As the number of viewers of premier entertainment, drama, and cultural programs was larger, the number of VOD viewers was larger accordingly. (2) As for entertainment and drama programs, as the number of re-air broadcasting viewers was larger, the number of VOD viewers decreased accordingly. (2) As for entertainment and drama programs, as the number of MPP viewers was larger, the number of VOD viewers decreased accordingly. It is expected that this statistical data can be utilized for strategic planning of MPP channel lineups including terrestrial TV broadcasting, cable TV, etc.