• Title/Summary/Keyword: Trade Model

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The Trade-Agreement Embarrassment

  • Ethier, Wilfred J.
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.243-260
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    • 2013
  • The dominant academic literature about trade agreements maintains that they are only about national terms-of-trade manipulation and not at all about purely political concerns. Non-academic economists, commentators, and diplomats by contrast think that trade agreements are all about political concerns. There are two substantive and important distinctions between the two views. i Practitioners maintain that policymakers care virtually not at all about the terms of trade or about trade-tax revenue. ii Practitioners, unlike academics, maintain that trade-agreement negotiations themselves change the underlying political economy. Observation of actual trade policy measures, though not conclusive, suggests that the practitioners are right and that the academics are wrong.

Trade in Developing East Asia: How It Has Changed and Why It Matters

  • Constantinescu, Cristina;Mattoo, Aaditya;Ruta, Michele
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.427-465
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    • 2018
  • East Asia, for long the epitome of successful engagement in trade, faces serious challenges: technological change that may threaten the very model of labor intensive industrialization and a backlash against globalization that may reduce access to important markets. The analysis in this article suggests that how East Asia copes with these global challenges will depend on how it addresses three more proximate national and regional challenges. The first is the emergence of China as a global trade giant, which is fundamentally altering the trading patterns and opportunities of its neighbors. The second is the asymmetric implementation of national reform - in goods trade and investment versus services - which is affecting the evolution of comparative advantage and productivity in each country. The third is the divergence between the relatively shallow and fragmented agreements that regulate the region's trade and investment and the growing importance of regional and global value chains as crucial drivers of productivity growth.

A Study on the Utilization of the SaaS Model UPnP Network in e-Trade (전자무역의 SaaS모형 UPnP 네트워크 활용방안에 관한 연구)

  • Jeong, Boon-Do;Yun, Bong-Ju
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.563-582
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, UPnP Network SaaS model has been studied. Currently, this model of UPnP Network and the trade mission is being used by outsourcing. From now on, the introduction of new trading systems and existing systems and the commercialization of this model as a UPnP network service connection should work. The future of UPnP network SaaS model will become commercially available software, commercial software can be accessed remotely via the Internet should be. Customer site activities must be managed from a central location. Application software architecture, pricing, partnerships, management should not include the character models. N should be the model. When used in small and medium enterprises have a very high value.

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Advanced Time-Cost Trade-Off Model using Mixed Integer Programming (혼합정수 프로그래밍 기법을 이용한 진보된 Time-Cost Trade-Off Model)

  • Kwon, Obin;Lee, Seunghyun;Son, Jaeho
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.16 no.6
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    • pp.53-62
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    • 2015
  • Time-Cost Trade-Off (TCTO) model is an important model in the construction project planning and control area. Two types of Existing TCTO model, continuous and discrete TCTO model, have been developed by researchers. However, Using only one type of model has a limitation to represent a realistic crash scenario of activities in the project. Thus, this paper presents a comprehensive TCTO model that combines a continuous and discrete model. Additional advanced features for non-linear relationship, incentive, and liquidated damage are included in the TCTO model. These features make the proposed model more applicable to the construction project. One CPM network with 6 activities is used to explain the proposed model. The model found an optimal schedule for the example to satisfy all the constraints. The results show that new model can represent more flexible crash scenario in TCTO model.

Suggestion from Trade 2.0 Paradigm of Global Business Education for Strategic Trade in Korea (무역2.0 교육 도입과 전략무역의 제안)

  • Park, Moon-Suh
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.89-114
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    • 2008
  • It is said that global business education in Korea must be a kind of good investment on the future of Korea, because Korea's degree of dependence upon global trade is very high. But, despite great significance of trade in economic aspect, education system on global business in Korea still remains in old paradigm focused mainly on trade in goods. The purpose of this paper is to analyse key environment of trade in Korea relating to global business education system, and to suggest some trade-friendly measures to improve the global economic environment being worse. Methodology used in this study depends on descriptive analysis by literature study. As all the paradigm of global business has shifted from 20C's trade environment to that of 21C's and still more borderless trend has progressed, it is high time Korea to design the new education system of global business to conform with the trade mode of Korea, and to execute the mode of strategic trade which is new conception of trade strategy derived from Web 2.0 trend. Major findings of this study can be summarized as follows : It is suggested that Korea should convert basic composition of trade strategy to strategic trade irrespective of company size, nationality, public or private sector, etc., and launch new instructional model considering the trade 2.0 concepts. Also, Korea's trade policies which have been based on 'trade in goods' should be changed to the frame of strategic trade so that can include various trade process such as trade in services, trade in technology, cultural contents, global investment(TRIMs), TRIPS, etc.

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Volatility analysis and Prediction Based on ARMA-GARCH-typeModels: Evidence from the Chinese Gold Futures Market (ARMA-GARCH 모형에 의한 중국 금 선물 시장 가격 변동에 대한 분석 및 예측)

  • Meng-Hua Li;Sok-Tae Kim
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.47 no.3
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    • pp.211-232
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    • 2022
  • Due to the impact of the public health event COVID-19 epidemic, the Chinese futures market showed "Black Swan". This has brought the unpredictable into the economic environment with many commodities falling by the daily limit, while gold performed well and closed in the sunshine(Yan-Li and Rui Qian-Wang, 2020). Volatility is integral part of financial market. As an emerging market and a special precious metal, it is important to forecast return of gold futures price. This study selected data of the SHFE gold futures returns and conducted an empirical analysis based on the generalised autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH)-type model. Comparing the statistics of AIC, SC and H-QC, ARMA (12,9) model was selected as the best model. But serial correlation in the squared returns suggests conditional heteroskedasticity. Next part we established the autoregressive moving average ARMA-GARCH-type model to analysis whether Volatility Clustering and the leverage effect exist in the Chinese gold futures market. we consider three different distributions of innovation to explain fat-tailed features of financial returns. Additionally, the error degree and prediction results of different models were evaluated in terms of mean squared error (MSE), mean absolute error (MAE), Theil inequality coefficient(TIC) and root mean-squared error (RMSE). The results show that the ARMA(12,9)-TGARCH(2,2) model under Student's t-distribution outperforms other models when predicting the Chinese gold futures return series.

A Total Analysis of Study on Factor Affecting the Usage Level and Performance of e-trade (전자무역의 활용수준과 성과 영향 요인에 관한 연구의 종합 분석)

  • Lee, Yong-Keun;Kim, Seung-Chul;Jung, Jae-Woo
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.99-126
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    • 2004
  • E-Trade is expected to dominate the global trade in the 21st century and thus is being introduced as a major policy assignment for each development country. e-trade has the potential to accelerate existing trends and introduce new ways of conducting trade. and e-trade is an alternative to strengthen international competitiveness. therefore, we needs to quickly adjust to this new method of e-trade and provide a number of policy suggestions that it can make best use of. However, successful implemetation, diffusion and usage of e-trade system require cooperation, commitment and the trust of all participating members in international trade process. A number of interorganizational, intraorganizational and innovation factors can influence both the extent to which e-trade is diffused and the level of subsequent performance that accure to participating firms. Considering the characteristics of e-trade, the proposed factors are based on an interdisciplinary study. The research model is based on the theories of innovation diffusion, inter-organizational system, and IS implementation. The factors proposed for this study of external firm factors, internal firm and perception factors.

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The Role of Corporate Image and Brand Personality in Global Consumer Choice: An Empirical Exploration

  • Lee, Bong-Soo
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.178-195
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    • 2021
  • Purpose - This study aims to analyze consumer in the multidimensional aspect of a combination of corporate image and brand personality in order to identify the structural causal relationship between consumer choice and corporate image and brand personality. Design/methodology - This study combined theoretical literature studies with empirical field studies using questionnaire survey methods. To achieve this objective, a hypothetical causal model consisting of three potential variables and nine measurement variables was created based on prior research, and a structural equation model was used to identify the suitability of the model. Findings - The hypothetical model established by this study was judged to be generally appropriate. In particular, corporate image was shown to have significant static direct effects on consumer choice and brand personality. It was also shown that brand personality had a direct static effect on consumer choice, and that corporate image has an indirect significant impact on consumer choice by moderating brand personality. Originality/value - Previous papers have mainly focused on one-dimensional studies of various images, such as companies and brands. However, this paper used a model that analyzed consumer choice through multi-clue information rather than corporate images as the only clue to consumer choice.

Development of International Market Selection Models for Solar Power System Industry of Korea (국내 태양광산업의 해외진출을 위한 시장 선택 요인에 대한 분석)

  • Jeon, Jin-Hyo;Oh, Keun-Yeob;Yoo, Jin-Man
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.44 no.1
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    • pp.269-283
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    • 2019
  • Due to environmental issues such as global warming, the importance of renewable energy is growing. Solar Power System is one of the most growing eco-friendly energy industries in the world, but Korea's solar energy industry faces fierce competition due to the trade regulations and changes in energy related laws in the major markets such as the U.S., EU and China. Therefore, Korea needs to diversify its export markets towards emerging markets. This paper analyzed 162 countries in the world and developed a model to measure how promising the countries are. GSMI(Grid connected Solar Market Index) and OSMI(Off-grid Solar Market Index) are invented based on the models. By using the developed model and the data of 162 countries over the 15-year period from 2000 to 2014, the foreign markets are ranked for searching the export market. According to the analysis, China, Japan, U.S, India and Taiwan ranked first to fifth in GSMI and OSMI ranking, which were followed by China, India, Bangladesh, Philippines and Afghanistan. The model developed through this research is expected to provide a more reasonable and scientific approach to the advancement of the Korean solar energy industry into overseas markets.

A Study on the Influence of China-Korea FTA on the Major Industries

  • SU, Shuai;ZHANG, Fan;YU, Li
    • Journal of Wellbeing Management and Applied Psychology
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    • v.3 no.4
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    • pp.1-4
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: This research, based on the tariff reduction table negotiated by South Korea and China free trade area, the specific tariffs of the two countries in the implementation of the Korea-China Free Trade Agreement are calculated, and the global equilibrium model, the global trade analysis project (GTAP) model, is used to simulate and analyze the impact of the Korea-China free trade area on the output and trade of the two countries. Research design, data and methodology: The study conducted a survey on 2018 year GTAP 9.0data. After empirically analyzing the data, we believe that the Major industry in Korea and China will maintain its growth momentum. Results: This study shows that under the assumption that the average tariff of China and South Korea at the beginning of FTA was reduced to 20%, two scenarios were simulated. Two scenarios are simulated under the assumption that the average tariff of China and South Korea FTA will be reduced to 10%. Conclusions: This paper assumes that the average tariff of China-Korea FTA is set at 20%, 10% and zero tariff respectively in the early, middle and long term of the FTA construction. It considers the impact of China-Japan-Korea FTA on China- Korea FTA.