• Title/Summary/Keyword: Time-series change

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Time series Analysis of Land Cover Change and Surface Temperature in Tuul-Basin, Mongolia Using Landsat Satellite Image (Landsat 위성영상을 이용한 몽골 Tuul-Basin 지역의 토지피복변화 및 지표온도 시계열적 분석)

  • Erdenesumbee, Suld;Cho, Gi Sung
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.39-47
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    • 2016
  • In this study analysis the status of land cover change and land degradation of Tuul-Basin in Mongolia by using the Landsat satellite images that was taken in year of 1990, 2001 and 2011 respectively in the summer at the time of great growth of green plants. Analysis of the land cover change during time series data in Tuul-Basin, Mongolia and NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index), SAVI (Soil-Adjusted Vegetation Index) and LST (Land Surface Temperature) algorithm are used respectively. As a result shows, there was a decrease of forest and green area and increase of dry and fallow land in the study area. It was be considered as trends to be a land degradation. In addition, there was high correlation between LST and vegetation index. The land cover change or vitality of vegetation which is taken in study area can be closely related to the temperature of the surface.

A Study of The reference value of the CUSUM control chart that can detect small average changes in the process

  • Jun, Sang-Pyo
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.25 no.12
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    • pp.73-82
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    • 2020
  • Most process date such as semiconductor and petrochemical processes, autocorrelation often exists between observed data, but when the existing SPC(Statistical process control) is applied to these processes, it is not possible to effectively detect the average change of the process. In this paper, when the average change of a certain size occurs in the process data following a specific time series model, the average of the residuals changes according to the passage of time, and the change pattern of the average is introduced around the ARMA(1,1) process. Based on this result, the reference value required in the design process of the CUSUM (Cumulative sum) control chart is appropriately considered by considering the type of the time series model of the process data of the CUSUM control chart that can detect small mean changes in the process and the width of the process mean change of interest. It was confirmed through simulation that it should be selected and used.

Radiometric Cross Calibration of KOMPSAT-3 and Lnadsat-8 for Time-Series Harmonization (KOMPSAT-3와 Landsat-8의 시계열 융합활용을 위한 교차검보정)

  • Ahn, Ho-yong;Na, Sang-il;Park, Chan-won;Hong, Suk-young;So, Kyu-ho;Lee, Kyung-do
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.36 no.6_2
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    • pp.1523-1535
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    • 2020
  • In order to produce crop information using remote sensing, we use classification and growth monitoring based on crop phenology. Therefore, time-series satellite images with a short period are required. However, there are limitations to acquiring time-series satellite data, so it is necessary to use fusion with other earth observation satellites. Before fusion of various satellite image data, it is necessary to overcome the inherent difference in radiometric characteristics of satellites. This study performed Korea Multi-Purpose Satellite-3 (KOMPSAT-3) cross calibration with Landsat-8 as the first step for fusion. Top of Atmosphere (TOA) Reflectance was compared by applying Spectral Band Adjustment Factor (SBAF) to each satellite using hyperspectral sensor band aggregation. As a result of cross calibration, KOMPSAT-3 and Landsat-8 satellites showed a difference in reflectance of less than 4% in Blue, Green, and Red bands, and 6% in NIR bands. KOMPSAT-3, without on-board calibrator, idicate lower radiometric stability compared to ladnsat-8. In the future, efforts are needed to produce normalized reflectance data through BRDF (Bidirectional reflectance distribution function) correction and SBAF application for spectral characteristics of agricultural land.

Chaos Analysis of Major Joint Motions for Young Males During Walking (보행시 젊은 남성에 대한 상.하체 주요 관절 운동의 카오스 분석)

  • Park, Jung-Hong;Kim, Kwang-Hoon;Son, Kwon
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.31 no.8
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    • pp.889-895
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    • 2007
  • Quantifying dynamic stability is important to assessment of falling risk or functional recovery for leg injured people. Human locomotion is complex and known to exhibit nonlinear dynamical behaviors. The purpose of this study is to quantify major joints of the body using chaos analysis during walking. Time series of the chaotic signals show how gait patterns change over time. The gait experiments were carried out for ten young males walking on a motorized treadmill. Joint motions were captured using eight video cameras, and then three dimensional kinematics of the neck and the upper and lower extremities were computed by KWON 3D motion analysis software. The correlation dimension and the largest Lyapunov exponent were calculated from the time series to quantify stabilities of the joints. This study presents a data set of nonlinear dynamic characteristics for eleven joints engaged in normal level walking.

Performance Comparison of LSTM-Based Groundwater Level Prediction Model Using Savitzky-Golay Filter and Differential Method (Savitzky-Golay 필터와 미분을 활용한 LSTM 기반 지하수 수위 예측 모델의 성능 비교)

  • Keun-San Song;Young-Jin Song
    • Journal of the Semiconductor & Display Technology
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.84-89
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    • 2023
  • In water resource management, data prediction is performed using artificial intelligence, and companies, governments, and institutions continue to attempt to efficiently manage resources through this. LSTM is a model specialized for processing time series data, which can identify data patterns that change over time and has been attempted to predict groundwater level data. However, groundwater level data can cause sen-sor errors, missing values, or outliers, and these problems can degrade the performance of the LSTM model, and there is a need to improve data quality by processing them in the pretreatment stage. Therefore, in pre-dicting groundwater data, we will compare the LSTM model with the MSE and the model after normaliza-tion through distribution, and discuss the important process of analysis and data preprocessing according to the comparison results and changes in the results.

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Solar radiation forecasting using boosting decision tree and recurrent neural networks

  • Hyojeoung, Kim;Sujin, Park;Sahm, Kim
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.709-719
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    • 2022
  • Recently, as the importance of environmental protection has emerged, interest in new and renewable energy is also increasing worldwide. In particular, the solar energy sector accounts for the highest production rate among new and renewable energy in Korea due to its infinite resources, easy installation and maintenance, and eco-friendly characteristics such as low noise emission levels and less pollutants during power generation. However, although climate prediction is essential since solar power is affected by weather and climate change, solar radiation, which is closely related to solar power, is not currently forecasted by the Korea Meteorological Administration. Solar radiation prediction can be the basis for establishing a reasonable new and renewable energy operation plan, and it is very important because it can be used not only in solar power but also in other fields such as power consumption prediction. Therefore, this study was conducted for the purpose of improving the accuracy of solar radiation. Solar radiation was predicted by a total of three weather variables, temperature, humidity, and cloudiness, and solar radiation outside the atmosphere, and the results were compared using various models. The CatBoost model was best obtained by fitting and comparing the Boosting series (XGB, CatBoost) and RNN series (Simple RNN, LSTM, GRU) models. In addition, the results were further improved through Time series cross-validation.

Impact of Climate Change on Yongdam Dam Basin (기후변화가 용담댐 유역의 유출에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Byung-Sik;Kim, Hung-Soo;Seoh, Byung-Ha;Kim, Nam-Won
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.185-193
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    • 2004
  • The main purpose of this study is to investigate and evaluate the impact of climate change on the runoff and water resources of Yongdam basin. First, we construct global climate change scenarios using the YONU GCM control run and transient experiments, then transform the YONV GCM grid-box predictions with coarse resolution of climate change into the site-specific values by statistical downscaling techniques. The values are used to modify the parameters of the stochastic weather generator model for the simulation of the site-specific daily weather time series. The weather series fed into a semi-distributed hydrological model called SLURP to simulate the streamflows associated with other water resources for the condition of $2CO_2$. This approach is applied to the Yongdam dam basin in southern part of Korea. The results show that under the condition of $2CO_2$, about 7.6% of annual mean streamflow is reduced when it is compared with the observed one. And while Seasonal streamflows in the winter and autumn are increased, a streamflow in the summer is decreased. However, the seasonality of the simulated series is similar to the observed pattern.

Change-Point in the Recent (1976-2005) Precipitation over South Korea (우리나라에서 최근 (1976-2005) 강수의 변화 시점)

  • Kim, Chansoo;Suh, Myoung-Seok
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.111-120
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    • 2008
  • This study presents a change-point in the 30 years (1976-2005) time series of the annual and the heavy precipitation characteristics (amount, days and intensity) averaged over South Korea using Bayesian approach. The criterion for the heavy precipitation used in this study is 80 mm/day. Using non-informative priors, the exact Bayes estimators of parameters and unknown change-point are obtained. Also, the posterior probability and 90% highest posterior density credible intervals for the mean differences between before and after the change-point are examined. The results show that a single change-point in the precipitation intensity and the heavy precipitation characteristics has occurred around 1996. As the results, the precipitation intensity and heavy precipitation characteristics have clearly increased after the change-point. However, the annual precipitation amount and days show a statistically insignificant single change-point model. These results are consistent with earlier works based on a simple linear regression model.

Prediction of Future Land use Using Times Series Landsat Images Based on CA (Cellular Automata)-Markov Technique (시계열 Landsat 영상과 CA-Markov기법을 이용한 미래 토지이용 변화 예측)

  • Lee, Yong-Jun;Pack, Geun-Ae;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2007.03a
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    • pp.55-60
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study is to evaluate the temporal land cover change by gradual urbanization of Gyeongan-cheon watershed. This study used the five land use of Landsat TM satellite images(l987, 1991, 2001, 2004) which were classified by maximum likelihood method. The five land use maps examine its accuracy by error matrix and administrative district statistics. This study analyze land use patterns in the past using time.series Landsat satellite images, and predict 2004 year land use using a CA-Markov combined CA(Cellular Automata) and Markov process, and examine its appropriateness. Finally, predict 2030, 2060 year land use maps by CA-Markov model were constructed from the classified images.

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TIME SERIES ANALYSIS OF SPOT NDVI FOR IDENTIFYING IRRIGATION ACTIVITIES AT RICE CULTIVATION AREA IN SUPHANBURI PROVINCE, THAILAND

  • Kamthonkiae Daroonwan;Kiyoshe Honda;Hugh Turral
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.3-6
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, the real scenario of water situation (e.g. water management, water availability and flooding) in an irrigated rice cultivation area in Suphanburi Province, Central-West Thailand is discussed together with the NDVI time series data. The result shown is derived by our classifier named 'Peak Detector Algorithm (PDA)'. The method discriminated 5 classes in terms of irrigation activities and cropping intensities, namely, Non-irrigated, Poorly irrigated - 1 crop/year, Irrigated - 2 crops/year, Irrigated - 3 crops/year and Others (no cultivation happens in a year or other land covers). The overall accuracy of all classified results (1999-2001) is around $77\%$ against independent ground truth data (general activities or function of an area). In the classified results, spatial and temporal inconsistency appeared significantly in the Western and Southern areas of Suphanburi. The inconsistency resulted mainly by anomaly of rainfall pattern in 1999 and their temporal irrigation activity. The algorithm however, was proved that it could detect actual change of irrigation status in a year.

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