• 제목/요약/키워드: Time-series Analysis

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분배조정과 생산조정의 제도적 상보성에 관한 비교사회정책연구: 소득 불평등에 미친 영향을 중심으로 (A Comparative Study on the Institutional Complementarities in Coordination of the sphere of Distribution and Production: Focus on the Determinants of Income Inequality)

  • 백승호
    • 한국사회복지학
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    • 제57권4호
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    • pp.91-118
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    • 2005
  • 본 연구는 OECD 14개 회원국을 대상으로 복지체제와 생산체제의 조정전략과 이들 사이의 제도적 상보성이 소득 불평등에 미치는 영향을 분석하는 것이 목적이다. 분석에 포함된 기간은 1980년에서 1997년이며, 분석방법은 벡과 카츠(Beck and Katz, 1995)가 제안한 PCSE(Panel Corrected Standard Errors) 방법이 사용되었다. 제도적 상보성은 분배조정과 생산조정 변수의 상호작용 항으로 분석된다. 본 연구의 결과 제도적 상보성 수준이 높을 경우가 그렇지 않을 경우보다 소득불평등 수준을 낮추는 것으로 분석되었다. 또한, 조정전략의 관점에서 볼 때, 분배조정 영역과 생산조정 영역이 모두 전략적 조정을 지향하도록 제도가 구성될 때 소득 불평등 정도를 더 낮추는 것으로 분석되었다. 즉, 복지체제 영역에서 전략적 조정을 지향하는 정책 변화는 생산체제 영역에서 전략적 조정을 증가시키는 정책 변화가 같이 진행될 때 소득 불평등 수준을 더 낮출 수 있다는 것을 확인하였다.

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Evaluation of the KN-12 Spent Fuel Transport Cask by Analysis

  • Chung, Sung-Hwan;Lee, Heung-Young;Song, Myung-Jae;Rudolf Diersch;Reiner Laug
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제34권3호
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    • pp.187-201
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    • 2002
  • The KN-12 cask is designed to transport 12 PWR spent nuclear fuels and to comply with the requirements of Korea Atomic Energy Act, IAEA Safety Standards Series No.57-1 and US 10 CFR Part 71 for a Type B(U)F package. It provides containment, radiation shielding, structural integrity, criticality control and heat removal for normal transport and hypothetical accident conditions. W.H 14$\times$14, 16$\times$16 and 17$\times$17 fuel assemblies with maximum allowable initial enrichment of 5.0 wt.%, maximum average burn-up of 50,000 MWD/MTU and minimum cooling time of 7 years being used in Korea will be loaded and subsequently transported under dry and wet conditions. A forged cylindrical cask body which constitutes the containment vessel is closed by a cask lid. Polyethylene rods for neutron shielding are arranged in two rows of longitudinal bore holes in the cask body wall. A fuel basket to accommodate up to 12 PWR fuel assemblies provides support of the fuels, control of criticality and a path to dissipate heat. Impact limiters to absorb the impact energy under the hypothetical accident conditions are attacked at the top and at the bottom side of the cask during transport. Handling weight loaded with water is 74.8 tons and transport weight loaded with water with the impact limiters is 84.3 tons. The cask will be licensed in accordance with Korea Atomic Energy Act 3nd fabricated in Korea in accordance with ASME B&PV Code Section 111, Division 3.

한강유역의 면적감소계수 산정 (The Estimation of Areal Reduction Factor(ARF) in Han-Rwer Basin)

  • 정종호;나창진;윤용남
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제35권2호
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    • pp.173-186
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    • 2002
  • 설계홍수량 산정에는 강우-유출 모형이 주로 사용되고 있으며 이 모형의 가장 중요한 인자는 확률강우량과 단위도이다. 따라서, 확률강우량을 합리적이고 정확하게 산정하는 것은 가장 중요한 과정이다. 국내의 경우, 확률강우량은 유역면적이 일정 기준을 초과할 경우에는 면적확률강우량을 사용하여야 하나 지점평균확률강우량을 주로 사용하고 있다. 이에 따라 확률강우량은 상당히 높게 사용하는 반면 단위도는 상대적으로 낮게 사용하고 있어서 개선 이 필요한 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 기존에 일반적으로 사용되고 있는 1일, 2일 강우량을 24시간, 48시간 강우량으로 변환하기 위한 계수를 제시하였으며, 유역의 동시간 강우자료를 이용하여 임의시간 면적강우량 자료계열을 작성하였다. 또한 자료계열의 빈도해석을 통하여 기존의 지점평균확률강우량과 면적확률강우량을 산출한 후 면적에 따른 지점평균확률강우량의 면적확률강우량으로의 감소율인 면적감소계수론 산정하였다. 본 연구에서 제시하는 면적감소계수는 지점평균강우량에서 면적확률강우량을 손쉽게 환산할 수 있는 방안이 된다.

한국 식생활 문화의 변증법적 관계 - 한국 문학작품을 중심으로 - (A Dialectical Perspective of Korean Food Culture Through Korean Literature)

  • 김영수;조윤준;문성원
    • 한국식생활문화학회지
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    • 제28권4호
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    • pp.329-338
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    • 2013
  • Korean culinary culture is traditionally studied through the analysis of foods ingested. However, this study attempts to dialectically reinterpret Korean culinary culture through its relationship to Korean literature. In our study we consider culinary culture prior to the development of scientific techniques and economic growth related to food as "dietary lifestyle of the innocent world" and time since then as "the dietary lifestyle of the experience world". The former represents a simple means of survival without food processing (the "slow food" world), while the latter represents the "fast food" or processed food culture as a modern concept. People living in the age of economic growth and overflowing individualism have lacked an organic life and an opportunity to commune with nature. As a result, they have returned to values of the past, seeking the "slow food" culture to benefit their individual health. A series of return processes, however, were transformed into "the dietary life style of the higher innocence," called "a well-being dietary life style" involving a new healthy conception passing through the dietary life style of the experience world. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to investigate the dietary lifestyles of the "innocent" world and the "experience" world based on dialectic concepts. Individual concepts of "thesis" and "antithesis" are applied, as well as the developmental concept of "synthesis" for the way both symbolic worlds changed to "the dietary lifestyle of the higher innocence" and formed complementary relationships to each other.

모래지반에 근입된 석션파일의 인발저항력 및 변위거동 분석 (Analysis of Load Capacity and Deformation Behavior of Suction Pile Installed in Sand)

  • 김유석;장연수
    • 한국지반공학회논문집
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    • 제27권11호
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    • pp.27-37
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    • 2011
  • 모래지반에서 석션파일의 최대인발저항력 산정을 위한 일련의 원심모형실험이 수행되었다. 최대인발저항력 산정을 위한 실험인자인 석션파일의 인발각과 인발작용점의 위치에 대하여 실험을 수행하였다. 인발작용점의 경우 75%에서 최대인발저항력이 관찰되었다. 모든 경사각에 대하여 전체파일 높이에서 50%에서 75%사이에 석션파일의 회전각이 변함을 알 수 있었다. 인발각이 증가함에 따라 최대 인발저항력 발생 시까지의 변위가 점점 작아짐을 알 수 있었다. 석션파일의 형상중심의 수직변위를 최대인발저항력이 작용한 시점에서 관찰한 결과 모두 지표 쪽으로 이동한 것을 알 수 있었다.

NEW PHOTOMETRIC PIPELINE TO EXPLORE TEMPORAL AND SPATIAL VARIABILITY WITH KMTNET DEEP-SOUTH OBSERVATIONS

  • Chang, Seo-Won;Byun, Yong-Ik;Shin, Min-Su;Yi, Hahn;Kim, Myung-Jin;Moon, Hong-Kyu;Choi, Young-Jun;Cha, Sang-Mok;Lee, Yongseok
    • 천문학회지
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    • 제51권5호
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    • pp.129-142
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    • 2018
  • The DEEP-South (the Deep Ecliptic Patrol of the Southern Sky) photometric census of small Solar System bodies produces massive time-series data of variable, transient or moving objects as a by-product. To fully investigate unexplored variable phenomena, we present an application of multi-aperture photometry and FastBit indexing techniques for faster access to a portion of the DEEP-South year-one data. Our new pipeline is designed to perform automated point source detection, robust high-precision photometry and calibration of non-crowded fields which have overlap with previously surveyed areas. In this paper, we show some examples of catalog-based variability searches to find new variable stars and to recover targeted asteroids. We discover 21 new periodic variables with period ranging between 0.1 and 31 days, including four eclipsing binary systems (detached, over-contact, and ellipsoidal variables), one white dwarf/M dwarf pair candidate, and rotating variable stars. We also recover astrometry (< ${\pm}1-2$ arcsec level accuracy) and photometry of two targeted near-earth asteroids, 2006 DZ169 and 1996 SK, along with the small- (~0.12 mag) and relatively large-amplitude (~0.5 mag) variations of their dominant rotational signals in R-band.

시뮬레이션 일정기법;최종공사기간의 확률 통계적 특성 추정 (Probability Distribution of Project Completion Times in Simulation based Scheduling)

  • 이동은;김률희
    • 한국건설관리학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건설관리학회 2007년도 정기학술발표대회 논문집
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    • pp.327-330
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    • 2007
  • 기존의 시뮬레이션 일정기법은 최종공사기간(Project Completion Times: PCTs)이 정규분포를 따른다는 가정을 전제로 한다. 그러나 본 논문에서는 이 가정이 항상 옳은 것이 아니며, 이것이 잘못된 결과를 초래할 수 있다는 것을 검증한다. 이처럼 의문이 제기되지 않고 받아들여져 온 가정이 시뮬레이션 분석 결과에 어떠한 영향을 줄 수 있는지를 밝혀내는 리키스 정량화기법(risk Quantification method)을 MATLAB 알고리즘으로 구현하였으며, 네트워크의 모델링에서부터 시뮬레이션 출력 값들로 구성된 샘플집단들에 대한 분석에 이르기까지 전 단계를 MATLAB 프로그래밍으로 구현된 알고리즘을 사용하여 제기된 의문에 대한 답을 제시하였다. 특정 네트워크를 구성하는 엑티비티 기간 값들을 정의하는 확률분포함수의 종류를 다양하게 변화시켜 시뮬레이션 결과 값들 - 최종공사기간 값들 - 을 생성하고, 이처럼 생성된 시뮬레이션 출력 값들로 구성된 샘플집단들의 확률 통계적 특성을 분석하였다. 본 연구는 시뮬레이션을 기반으로 하는 일정관리기법의 신뢰성을 향상시키며, 일정관련 리시크 분석의 정확성을 향상시키는데 기여할 것이다.

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진화론적 최적 뉴로퍼지 네트워크: 해석과 설계 (Genetically Optimized Neurofuzzy Networks: Analysis and Design)

  • 박병준;김현기;오성권
    • 대한전기학회논문지:시스템및제어부문D
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    • 제53권8호
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    • pp.561-570
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, new architectures and comprehensive design methodologies of Genetic Algorithms(GAs) based Genetically optimized Neurofuzzy Networks(GoNFN) are introduced, and a series of numeric experiments are carried out. The proposed GoNFN is based on the rule-based Neurofuzzy Networks(NFN) with the extended structure of the premise and the consequence parts of fuzzy rules being formed within the networks. The premise part of the fuzzy rules are designed by using space partitioning in terms of fuzzy sets defined in individual variables. In the consequence part of the fuzzy rules, three different forms of the regression polynomials such as constant, linear and quadratic are taken into consideration. The structure and parameters of the proposed GoNFN are optimized by GAs. GAs being a global optimization technique determines optimal parameters in a vast search space. But it cannot effectively avoid a large amount of time-consuming iteration because GAs finds optimal parameters by using a given space. To alleviate the problems, the dynamic search-based GAs is introduced to lead to rapidly optimal convergence over a limited region or a boundary condition. In a nutshell, the objective of this study is to develop a general design methodology o GAs-based GoNFN modeling, come up a logic-based structure of such model and propose a comprehensive evolutionary development environment in which the optimization of the model can be efficiently carried out both at the structural as well as parametric level for overall optimization by utilizing the separate or consecutive tuning technology. To evaluate the performance of the proposed GoNFN, the models are experimented with the use of several representative numerical examples.

4단자 회로망 모델을 이용한 전기철도 차량기지의 전압불평형 해석 (Analysis of Voltage Unbalance in the Electric Railway Depot Using Two-port Network Model)

  • 창상훈;오광해;김정훈
    • 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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    • 제50권5호
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    • pp.248-254
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    • 2001
  • The traction power demand highly varies with time and train positions and the traction load is a large-capacity current at single phase converted from 3-phase power system. Subsequently, each phase current converted from 3-phase power system cannot be maintained in balance any longer and thus the traction load can bring about imbalance in three-phase voltage. Therefore, the exact assessment of voltage unbalance must be carried out preferentially as well as load forecast at stages of designing and planning for electric railway system. The evaluation of unbalance voltage in areas, such as electric railway depots should be a prerequisite with more accuracy. The conventional researches on voltage unbalance have dealt with connection schemes of the transformers used in ac AT-fed electric railroads system and induced formulas to briefly evaluate voltage unbalance in the system(3). These formulas are still being used widely due to their easy applicabilities on voltage unbalance evaluation. Meanwhile, they don't take into account detailed characteristics of ac AT-fed electric railroads system, being founded on some assumptions. Accordingly. accuracy still remains in question. This paper proposes a new method to more effectively estimate voltage unbalance index. In this method, numerous diverted circuits in electric railway depots are categorized in three components and each component is defined as a two-port network model. The equivalent circuit for the entire power supply system is also described into a two-port network model by making parallel and/or series connections of these components. Efficiency and accuracy in voltage unbalance calculation as well can be promoted by simplifying the circuits into two-port network models.

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정보 입자기반 연속전인 최적화를 통한 자기구성 퍼지 다항식 뉴럴네트워크 : 설계와 해석 (Self-Organizing Fuzzy Polynomial Neural Networks by Means of IG-based Consecutive Optimization : Design and Analysis)

  • 박호성;오성권
    • 대한전기학회논문지:시스템및제어부문D
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    • 제55권6호
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    • pp.264-273
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, we propose a new architecture of Self-Organizing Fuzzy Polynomial Neural Networks (SOFPNN) by means of consecutive optimization and also discuss its comprehensive design methodology involving mechanisms of genetic optimization. The network is based on a structurally as well as parametrically optimized fuzzy polynomial neurons (FPNs) conducted with the aid of information granulation and genetic algorithms. In structurally identification of FPN, the design procedure applied in the construction of each layer of a SOFPNN deals with its structural optimization involving the selection of preferred nodes (or FPNs) with specific local characteristics and addresses specific aspects of parametric optimization. In addition, the fuzzy rules used in the networks exploit the notion of information granules defined over system's variables and formed through the process of information granulation. That is, we determine the initial location (apexes) of membership functions and initial values of polynomial function being used in the premised and consequence part of the fuzzy rules respectively. This granulation is realized with the aid of the hard c-menas clustering method (HCM). For the parametric identification, we obtained the effective model that the axes of MFs are identified by GA to reflect characteristic of given data. Especially, the genetically dynamic search method is introduced in the identification of parameter. It helps lead to rapidly optimal convergence over a limited region or a boundary condition. To evaluate the performance of the proposed model, the model is experimented with using two time series data(gas furnace process, nonlinear system data, and NOx process data).