• Title/Summary/Keyword: Time prediction

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A Study on Prediction of Nugget Diameter by Resistance Spot Welding Finite Element Analysis of High Tensile Steel (SGAFC 780) (고장력 강판(SGAFC780)의 저항 점 용접의 유한요소해석을 통한 너깃 직경 예측)

  • Lee, Cheal-Ho;Kim, Won Seop;Lee, Jong-Hun;Park, Sang-Heup
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.20 no.11
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    • pp.144-150
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    • 2019
  • In this study, resistance spot welding was performed using a high tensile steel plate SGAFC 780. The shear tensile strength, fracture profile, nugget diameter, and simulation were compared according to the conditions. After the nugget diameter calibration, the minimum diameter of welding was more than 4.3mm when the welding current was 8kVA or more. At 9kVA and above 10kVA, the minimum nugget diameter of 4.3mm was satisfied. On the other hand, due to the high current and time, the fly phenomenon occurred and the deep indentation remained. An evaluation of the weldability confirmed that there was an interval that was evaluated as weld failure due to the creep phenomenon, which satisfied the tensile shear strength and minimum nugget diameter. On the other hand, areas that have sufficient load bearing capacity even when drift has occurred were also identified. The simulation results show that the error rate was less than 4.2% when comparing the nugget diameter in the simulation and the experimental results in the appropriate weld zone, and confirmed the reliability of the simulation.

A Study on the Prediction of Nugget Diameter of Resistance Spot Welded Part of 1.2GPa Ultra High Strength TRIP Steel for Vehicle (차체용 1.2GPa급 초고장력 TRIP강판의 저항 점 용접부 너겟 지름 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Seok-Woo;Lee, Jong-Hun;Park, Sang-Heup
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.52-60
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    • 2018
  • In the automobile industry, in order to increase the fuel efficiency and conform to the safety regulations, it is necessary to make the vehicles as light as possible. Therefore, it is crucial to manufacture dual phase steels, complex phases steels, MS steels, TRIP steels, and TWIP from high strength steels with a tensile strength of 700Mpa or more. In order to apply ultra-high tensile strength steel to the body, the welding process is essential. Resistance spot welding, which is advantageous in terms of its cost, is used in more than 80% of cases in body welding. It is generally accepted that ultra-high tensile strength steel has poor weldability, because its alloy element content is increased to improve its strength. In the case of the resistance spot welding of ultra-high tensile steel, it has been reported that the proper welding condition area is reduced and interfacial fracture and partial interfacial fracture occur in the weld zone. Therefore, research into the welding quality judgment that can predict the defect and quality in real time is being actively conducted. In this study, the dynamic resistance of the weld was monitored using the secondary circuit process variables detected during resistance spot welding, and the factors necessary for the determination of the welding quality were extracted from the dynamic resistance pattern. The correlations between the extracted factors and the weld quality were analyzed and a regression analysis was carried out using highly correlated pendulums. Based on this research, a regression model that can be applied to the field was proposed.

Accelerated Life Prediction on Tensile Strength of Oil Resistance HNBR (내유성 HNBR 고무의 인장강도 성능에 대한 가속수명예측)

  • Kim, Kyung Pil;Lee, Yong Seok;Yeo, Yong Heon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.11
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    • pp.233-238
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    • 2020
  • Although the interest in NBR has been increasing due to the recent developments of the aerospace sector, there are few reports on HNBR's aeronautical oil, particularly evaluations of the accelerated life of harsh factors. In this study, the tensile strength was adopted as a performance evaluation factor to evaluate the accelerated life of HNBR used in the aviation field. The accelerated stress factor affecting the performance-aging characteristics was defined as temperature. The acceleration stress factor was determined to be temperature, and the result of measuring the tensile strength change over time. The sample for the acceleration condition was taken out of the oven for a certain period and left at room temperature for 24 hours. The dumbbell type 3 specimens were manufactured according to the standard specified in KS M 6518 and were measured the tensile strength, a factor in accelerated life evaluations. The activation energy was 0.895, and the shape parameter was 1.152 using the Arrhenius model. The characteristic life obtained from the tensile strength of the HNBR specimen immersed in aviation oil at 20℃ was 272,256 hours; the average life was 258,965 hours, and the B10 life was 38,624 hours.

Drought Analysis and Assessment by Using Land Surface Model on South Korea (지표수문해석모형을 활용한 국내 가뭄해석 적용성 평가)

  • Son, Kyung-Hwan;Bae, Deg-Hyo;Chung, Jun-Seok
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.44 no.8
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    • pp.667-681
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    • 2011
  • The objective of this study is to evaluate the applicability of a Land Surface Model (LSM) for drought analysis in Korea. For evaluating the applicability of the model, the model was calibrated on several upper dam site watersheds and the hydrological components (runoff and soil moisture) were simulated over the whole South Korea at grid basis. After converting daily series of runoff and soil moisture data to accumulated time series (3, 6, 12 months), drought indices such as SRI and SSI are calculated through frequency analysis and standardization of accumulated probability. For evaluating the drought indices, past drought events are investigated and drought indices including SPI and PDSI are used for comparative analysis. Temporal and spatial analysis of the drought indices in addition to hydrologic component analysis are performed to evaluate the reproducibility of drought severity as well as relieving of drought. It can be concluded that the proposed indices obtained from the LSM model show good performance to reflect the historical drought events for both spatially and temporally. From this point of view, the LSM can be useful for drought management. It leads to the conclusion that these indices are applicable to domestic drought and water management.

Fault Localization for Self-Managing Based on Bayesian Network (베이지안 네트워크 기반에 자가관리를 위한 결함 지역화)

  • Piao, Shun-Shan;Park, Jeong-Min;Lee, Eun-Seok
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartB
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    • v.15B no.2
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    • pp.137-146
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    • 2008
  • Fault localization plays a significant role in enormous distributed system because it can identify root cause of observed faults automatically, supporting self-managing which remains an open topic in managing and controlling complex distributed systems to improve system reliability. Although many Artificial Intelligent techniques have been introduced in support of fault localization in recent research especially in increasing complex ubiquitous environment, the provided functions such as diagnosis and prediction are limited. In this paper, we propose fault localization for self-managing in performance evaluation in order to improve system reliability via learning and analyzing real-time streams of system performance events. We use probabilistic reasoning functions based on the basic Bayes' rule to provide effective mechanism for managing and evaluating system performance parameters automatically, and hence the system reliability is improved. Moreover, due to large number of considered factors in diverse and complex fault reasoning domains, we develop an efficient method which extracts relevant parameters having high relationships with observing problems and ranks them orderly. The selected node ordering lists will be used in network modeling, and hence improving learning efficiency. Using the approach enables us to diagnose the most probable causal factor with responsibility for the underlying performance problems and predict system situation to avoid potential abnormities via posting treatments or pretreatments respectively. The experimental application of system performance analysis by using the proposed approach and various estimations on efficiency and accuracy show that the availability of the proposed approach in performance evaluation domain is optimistic.

A Comparison of Accuracy of the Ocean Thermal Environments Using the Daily Analysis Data of the KMA NEMO/NEMOVAR and the US Navy HYCOM/NCODA (기상청 전지구 해양순환예측시스템(NEMO/NEMOVAR)과 미해군 해양자료 동화시스템(HYCOM/NCODA)의 해양 일분석장 열적환경 정확도 비교)

  • Ko, Eun Byeol;Moon, Il-Ju;Jeong, Yeong Yun;Chang, Pil-Hun
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.99-112
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    • 2018
  • In this study, the accuracy of ocean analysis data, which are produced from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) Nucleus for European Modelling of the Ocean/Variational Data Assimilation (NEMO/NEMOVAR, hereafter NEMO) system and the HYbrid Coordinate Ocean Model/Navy Coupled Ocean Data Assimilation (HYCOM/NCODA, hereafter HYCOM) system, was evaluated using various oceanic observation data from March 2015 to February 2016. The evaluation was made for oceanic thermal environments in the tropical Pacific, the western North Pacific, and the Korean peninsula. NEMO generally outperformed HYCOM in the three regions. Particularly, in the tropical Pacific, the RMSEs (Root Mean Square Errors) of NEMO for both the sea surface temperature and vertical water temperature profile were about 50% smaller than those of HYCOM. In the western North Pacific, in which the observational data were not used for data assimilation, the RMSE of NEMO profiles up to 1000 m ($0.49^{\circ}C$) was much lower than that of HYCOM ($0.73^{\circ}C$). Around the Korean peninsula, the difference in RMSE between the two models was small (NEMO, $0.61^{\circ}C$; HYCOM, $0.72^{\circ}C$), in which their errors show relatively big in the winter and small in the summer. The differences reported here in the accuracy between NEMO and HYCOM for the thermal environments may be attributed to horizontal and vertical resolutions of the models, vertical coordinate and mixing scheme, data quality control system, data used for data assimilation, and atmosphere forcing. The present results can be used as a basic data to evaluate the accuracy of NEMO, before it becomes the operational model of the KMA providing real-time ocean analysis and prediction data.

Development of a Method for Calculating the Allowable Storage Capacity of Rivers by Using Drone Images (드론 영상을 이용한 하천의 구간별 허용 저수량 산정 방법 개발)

  • Kim, Han-Gyeol;Kim, Jae-In;Yoon, Sung-Joo;Kim, Taejung
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.34 no.2_1
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    • pp.203-211
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    • 2018
  • Dam discharge is carried out for the management of rivers and area around rivers due to rainy season or drought. Dam discharge should be based on an accurate understanding of the flow rate that can be accommodated in the river. Therefore, understanding the allowable storage capacity of river is an important factor in the management of the environment around the river. However, the methods using water level meters and images, which are currently used to determine the allowable flow rate of rivers, show limitations in terms of accuracy and efficiency. In order to solve these problems, this paper proposes a method to automatically calculate the allowable storage capacity of river based on the images taken by drone. In the first step, we create a 3D model of the river by using the drone images. This generation process consists of tiepoint extraction, image orientation, and image matching. In the second step, the allowable storage capacity is calculated by cross section analysis of the river using the generated river 3D model and the road and river layers in the target area. In this step, we determine the maximum water level of the river, extract the cross-sectional profile along the river, and use the 3D model to calculate the allowable storage capacity for the area. To prove our method, we used Bukhan river's data and as a result, the allowable storage volume was automatically extracted. It is expected that the proposed method will be useful for real - time management of rivers and surrounding areas and 3D models using drone.

Application of High Resolution Multi-satellite Precipitation Products and a Distributed Hydrological Modeling for Daily Runoff Simulation (고해상도 다중위성 강수자료와 분포형 수문모형의 유출모의 적용)

  • Kim, Jong Pil;Park, Kyung-Won;Jung, Il-Won;Han, Kyung-Soo;Kim, Gwangseob
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.263-274
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    • 2013
  • In this study we evaluated the hydrological applicability of multi-satellite precipitation estimates. Three high-resolution global multi-satellite precipitation products, the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) Multi-satellite Precipitation Analysis (TMPA), the Global Satellite Mapping of Precipitation (GSMaP), and the Climate Precipitation Center (CPC) Morphing technique (CMORPH), were applied to the Coupled Routing and Excess Storage (CREST) model for the evaluation of their hydrological utility. The CREST model was calibrated from 2002 to 2005 and validated from 2006 to 2009 in the Chungju Dam watershed, including two years of warm-up periods (2002-2003 and 2006-2007). Areal-averaged precipitation time series of the multi-satellite data were compared with those of the ground records. The results indicate that the multi-satellite precipitation can reflect the seasonal variation of precipitation in the Chungju Dam watershed. However, TMPA overestimates the amount of annual and monthly precipitation while GSMaP and CMORPH underestimate the precipitation during the period from 2002 to 2009. These biases of multi-satellite precipitation products induce poor performances in hydrological simulation, although TMPA is better than both of GSMaP and CMORPH. Our results indicate that advanced rainfall algorithms may be required to improve its hydrological applicability in South Korea.

Evaluating of Risk Order for Urban Road by User Cost Analysis (사용자비용분석을 통한 간선도로 위험순위 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Jung-Ha;Park, Tae-Hoon;Im, Jong-Moon;Park, Je-Jin;Yoon, Pan;Ha, Tae-Jun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.23 no.7 s.85
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    • pp.77-86
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    • 2005
  • Level of service(LOS) is a quantify measure describing operational conditions within a traffic stream, generally, in terms of such service measures as speed, travel time, freedom to measures, traffic interruptions, comfort and convenience. The LOS is leveled by highway facilities according to measure of effectiveness(MOE) and then used to evaluate performance capacity. The current evaluation of a urban road is performed by only a aspect of traffic operation without any concepts of safety. Therefore, this paper presents a method for evaluation of risk order for urban road with new MOE, user cost analysis, considering both smooth traffic operation(congestion) and traffic safety(accident). The user coat is included traffic accident cast by traffic safety and traffic congestion cost by traffic operation. First of all, a number of traffic accident and accident rate by highway geometric is inferred from urban road traffic accident prediction model (Poul Greibe(2001)) Secondly, a user cost is inferred as traffic accident cast and traffic congestion cost is putting together. Thirdly, a method for evaluation of a urban road is inferred by user cost analysis. Fourthly a accident rate by segment predict with traffic accidents and data related to the accidents in $1996{\sim}1998$ on 11 urban road segments, Gwang-Ju, predicted accident rate. Traffic accident cost predict using predicted accident rate, and, traffic congestion cost predict using predicted average traffic speed(KHCM). Fifthly, a risk order are presented by predicted user cost at each segment in urban roads. Finally, it si compared and evaluated that LOS of 11 urban road segments, Gwang-Ju, by only a aspect of traffic operation without any concepts of safety and risk order by a method for evaluation of urban road in this paper.

Assessment of Pass Prediction of Radiologist's license on Academic Achievement through Health law Courses of 3rd Year Students in Radiology Department of College(Focus on D Health College) (전문대학교 방사선과 3학년 학생들의 보건법규학업성취도에 관한 방사선사면허 합격예측평가(D 보건 전문대학 중심으로))

  • Jung, Hong-moon;Lee, Joon-il;park, Hyong-hu;won, Do-yeon;Jung, Jae-eun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.533-539
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    • 2018
  • The National Competency Standard (NCS) is being implemented on the basis of a college of higher education. The college offers intensive education by organizing three areas of knowledge, skills and attitudes so that students can perform their full capacity at the same time as graduating in industrial field. Health Department at the College has been training for a variety of medical personnel, including medical technician regions. Especially, the medical technician and medical sector must be licensed to work in the medical field. Therefore, passing the national examination license is a prerequisite for employment. In this study, the health law scores of the third grade students (about 200 students) of the radiology department of D College were analyzed at weekly intervals. The weekly score acquisition can be predict the pattern of student class achievement of individual students. Furthermore, these results can predict the possibility of passing the radiation license examination for individual students.