• Title/Summary/Keyword: Time lag Analysis

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Fundamental researches on the storage function model and It's application (저유함수법과 그 응용에 관한 기초적 연구)

  • 남궁달
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.90-98
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    • 1984
  • In this paper, the anthor made a basic study of the storage function model and examined several constants in applying the storage function model to flood run-off analysis by dealing with the data in the Supyung and Hoyng Syung watershed, the applicabilities of the storage function model are examined by searching this optimum model parameters in two watersheds. The results are summarized as follows, 1) The optimum values of the exponential constants, P, in the storage function model showed to be 0.77 to 0.87 in two watersheds observed, therefore it was confirmed that the storage fumction model was approaching to the surface runoff model. 2) It was confirmed that the interval of variation of the storage constant, K, Showed to be larger than that of the exponential constant, p. 3) Relative erros in the discharge obtained by using the storage function model and the SDFP mothod showed to be 20 and 17 percent respectively to the observed discharge, therefore it was confirmed that the applicability of the storage function model using the SDFP method are excellent for runoff analysis. 4) A simple method is proposed for estimating the lag time in the storage function model.

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A Study on the International Comparison of Basic Research Capacity Index (기초연구지수의 국제비교)

  • 송충한
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.127-142
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    • 2001
  • This paper presents an econometric model for measuring basic research capacity index(BRCI) of each OECD countries and analyses the gap in terms of time lag measured and forecasted in connection with factor analysis and BRCI progress function. Based on the analysis, gross domestic expenditure on R&D(GERD), total R&D personnel higher education expenditure on R&D(HERD) and number of science and technical papers based on SCI are more effective than other factors to BRCI. Also, BRCI progress function shows that 29 years is needed for Korea to catch up the level of German's BRCI of year 1998. But, it's impossible for Korea to catch up US and Japan. Therefore, with restricted scientific resources, Korea's own strategy for strengthening basic research capacity is going to be more important in 21st century.

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Evaluating Schedule Uncertainty in Unit-Based Repetitive Building Projects

  • Okmen, Onder
    • Journal of Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.21-34
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    • 2013
  • Various risk factors affect construction projects. Due to the uncertainties created by risk factors, actual activity durations frequently deviate from the estimated durations in either favorable or adverse direction. For this reason, evaluation of schedule uncertainty is required to make decisions accurately when managing construction projects. In this regard, this paper presents a new computer simulation model - the Repetitive Schedule Risk Analysis Model (RSRAM) - to evaluate unit-based repetitive building project schedules under uncertainty when activity durations and risk factors are correlated. The proposed model utilizes Monte Carlo Simulation and a Critical Path Method based repetitive scheduling procedure. This new procedure concurrently provides the utilization of resources without interruption and the maintenance of network logic through successive units. Furthermore, it enables assigning variable production rates to the activities from one unit to another and any kind of relationship type with or without lag time. Details of the model are described and an example application is presented. The findings show that the model produces realistic results regarding the extent of uncertainty inherent in the schedule.

Analysis on Variation of Ocean Wave Statistics (해양파랑의 통계적 변동성 해석)

  • RYU Cheong-Ro;KIM Hyeon-Ju;KIM Jong-Wook
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.41-47
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    • 1989
  • Using computer simulated irregular waves, variations of ocean wave statistics according to sea state are analyzed, and the reasonable conditions that transform the energy spectrum to individual wave statistics are discussed. Ocean wave statistics varying with sea state are found to respond linearly to the spectral peakedness parameter $Q_p$ and spectrum moments $m_n$ (n = 0, 1, 2${\cdots}{\cdots}\;\infty$ ). It is clarified that the 2nd-order spectrum moment is a reasonable parameter which represents the wave statistics including wave periods, and that the spectrum analysis should be carried out under the conditions of minimum data length of 10 times of peak period $T_p$ with time lag of $7T_p$ to satisfy the stable condition of wave statistics.

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An Investigation of Large-Scale Climate Indices with the influence on Temperature and Precipitation Variation in Korea (한반도 기온 및 강수량 변동에 영향을 미치는 광역규모 기후지수들에 대한 고찰)

  • Kim, Yeon-Hee;Kim, Maeng-Ki;Lee, Woo-Seop
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.83-95
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    • 2008
  • In this study we have investigated the preceding eighteen large-scale climate indices with a lead time from zero to twelve months that have an influence on the variability of temperature and precipitation in Korea in order to understand which climate indices are overall available as predictors for long-range forecasting. We also have studied the dynamic link between preceding large-scale climate indices and regional climate using singular value decomposition analysis (SVDA) and correlation analysis (CA). Based on the coupled mode between large-scale circulation and regional climate, and correlation pattern between the preceding large-scale climate indices and large-scale circulation, the level of significance on climate indices as a predictor for monthly mean temperature and precipitation was evaluated for 5 and 1% level.

Measuring Basic Research Capacity Index and International Comparison (기초연구지수의 작성과 국제비교)

  • 송충한
    • Proceedings of the Korea Technology Innovation Society Conference
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    • 2001.05a
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    • pp.473-492
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    • 2001
  • This paper presents an econometric model for measuring basic research capacity index(BRCI) of each OECD countries and analyses the gap in terms of time lag measured and forecasted in connection with factor analysis and BRCI progress function. Based on the analysis, gross domestic expenditure on R&D(GERD), total R&D personnel, higher education expenditure on R&D(HERD) and number of science and technical papers based on SCI are more effective than other factors to BRCI. Also, BRCI progress function shows that 29 years is needed for Korea to catch up the level of German's BRCI of year 1998. But, it's impossible for Korea to catch up US and Japan. Therefore, with restricted scientific resources, Korea's own strategy for strengthening basic research capacity is going to be more important in 21st century.

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Analysis of discharge characteristic by variations of discharge time and ambient temperature in AC-PDP (방전 시간과 주위 온도변화에 따른 AC-PDP의 방전 특성 변화 분석)

  • Sim, Choung-Hwan;Kim, Hyun-Gyu;Kim, Yun-Gi;Cho, Sung-Yong;Park, Cha-Soo;Kim, Dong-Hyun;Lee, Hae-June;Lee, Ho-Jun;Park, Chung-Hoo
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2009.07a
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    • pp.1429_1430
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    • 2009
  • 본 연구에서는 7인치 샘플패널의 가속 Aging 실험을 통해 Aging time(24hr~529hr)변화에 따른 오방전 발생 Mechanism을 분석하고자 했다. 상온에서 Aging time변화에 따른 정마진, 휘도, Vt close curve를 측정 하였고 시간과 온도(고온: $70^{\circ}C$, 상온: $25^{\circ}C$, 저온: $-20^{\circ}C$)에 따른 Discharge time lag의 변화양상을 측정하였다. 그리고 Sustain pulse수의 조절을 통해 패널의 Priming 조건을 제어하면서 오방전 발생 확률을 수치적으로 측정하였다. 실험을 통해, 패널의 Aging time이 늘어남에 따라서 상판의 MgO층에서 Sputtering현상이 발생하여 MgO 잔재들이 하판의 형광체 표면을 덮는 등 방전 개시 전압의 변화가 오방전 발생에 주요한 원인임을 알 수 있었다.

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Forced Vibration Analysis and Response Characteristics of a Vehicle Dull Progress Model (차량의 둔턱 진행 모델 강제진동해석과 응답특성)

  • Lee, Hyuk;Yoon, Moon-chul;Kim, Jong-Do
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
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    • v.19 no.11
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    • pp.49-57
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    • 2020
  • The forced vibration characteristics for two impulse forces with time lag was discussed in the vehicle dull progress model. Detailed numerical analyses of the time domain were performed systematically. By the two exciting impulse forces, the responses of displacement, the velocity, and the acceleration were investigated in detail for the vehicle's vibration. Notably, the forced vibration responses in the time domain can be used to identify and monitor several vehicle vibration models. In order to define the responses of displacement, the velocity, and the acceleration, we applied a numerical technique (i.e., the Runge-Kutta-Gill method[1,2]). These variables were subsequently used to analyze the vehicle's vibration according to the time lapse and while it passed over a bump stock; moreover, the characteristics of the variables were analyzed in detail according to their force conditions. Finally, the intrinsic characteristics of the forced vibration were discussed in the context of the automobile model. Overall, our results indicate that the tested method can be successfully applied under different damped conditions.

Predictive Growth Model of Native Isolated Listeria monocytogenes on raw pork as a Function of Temperature and Time (온도와 시간을 주요 변수로 한 냉장 돈육에서의 native isolated Listeria monocytogenes에 대한 성장예측모델)

  • Hong, Chong-Hae;Sim, Woo-Chang;Chun, Seok-Jo;Kim, Young-Su;Oh, Deog-Hwan;Ha, Sang-Do;Choi, Weon-Sang;Bahk, Gyung-Jin
    • Korean Journal of Food Science and Technology
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    • v.37 no.5
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    • pp.850-855
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    • 2005
  • Model was developed to predict the growth of Listeria monocytogenes in raw pork. Experiment condition for model development was full 5-by-7 factorial arrangements of temperature (0, 5, 10, 15, and $20^{\circ}C$) and time (0, 1, 2, 3, 18, 48, and 120 hr). Gompertz values A, C, B, and M, and growth kinetics, exponential growth rate (EGR), generation time (GT), lag phase duration (LPD), and maximum population density (MPD) were calculated based on growth increased data. GT and LPD values gradually decreased, whereas EGR value gradually increased with increasing temperature. Response surface analysis (RSA) was carried out using Gompertz B and M values, to formulate equation with temperature being main control factor. This equation was applied to Gompertz equation. Experimental and predictive values for GT, LPD, and EGR, compared using the model, showed no significant differences (p<0.01). Proposed model could be used to predict growth of microorganisms for exposure assessment of MRA, thereby allowing more informed decision-making on potential regulatory actions of microorganisms in raw pork.

Science and Technology Policy Studies, Society, and the State : An Analysis of a Co-evolution Among Social Issue, Governmental Policy, and Academic Research in Science and Technology (과학기술정책 연구와 사회, 정부 : 과학기술의 사회이슈, 정부정책, 학술연구의 공진화 분석)

  • Kwon, Ki-Seok;Jeong, Seohwa;Yi, Chan-Goo
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.64-91
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    • 2018
  • This study explores the interactive pattern among social issue, academic research, and governmental policy on science and technology during the last 20 years. In particular, we try understand wether the science and technology policy research and governmental policy meets social needs appropriately. In order to do this, we have collected text data from news articles, papers, and governmental documents. Based on these data, social network analysis and cluster analysis has been carried out. According to the results, we have found that science and technology policy researches tend to focus on fragmented technological innovation meeting urgent practical needs at the initial stage. However, recently, the main characteristics of science and technology policy research shows co-evolutionary patterns responding to society. Furthermore, time lag also has been observed in the process of interaction among the three bodies. Based on these results, we put forward some suggestions for upcoming researches in science and technology policy. Firstly, analysis levels are needed to be shifted from micro level to mezo or macro level. Secondly, more research efforts are required to be focused on policy process in science technology and its public management. Finally, we have to enhance the sensitiveness to social issues through studies on agenda setting in science and technology policy.