• Title/Summary/Keyword: Time Dimension

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Effect of Dimension Reduction on Prediction Performance of Multivariate Nonlinear Time Series

  • Jeong, Jun-Yong;Kim, Jun-Seong;Jun, Chi-Hyuck
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.312-317
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    • 2015
  • The dynamic system approach in time series has been used in many real problems. Based on Taken's embedding theorem, we can build the predictive function where input is the time delay coordinates vector which consists of the lagged values of the observed series and output is the future values of the observed series. Although the time delay coordinates vector from multivariate time series brings more information than the one from univariate time series, it can exhibit statistical redundancy which disturbs the performance of the prediction function. We apply dimension reduction techniques to solve this problem and analyze the effect of this approach for prediction. Our experiment uses delayed Lorenz series; least squares support vector regression approximates the predictive function. The result shows that linearly preserving projection improves the prediction performance.

Dimension Reduction Method of Speech Feature Vector for Real-Time Adaptation of Voice Activity Detection (음성구간 검출기의 실시간 적응화를 위한 음성 특징벡터의 차원 축소 방법)

  • Park Jin-Young;Lee Kwang-Seok;Hur Kang-In
    • Journal of the Institute of Convergence Signal Processing
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.116-121
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, we propose the dimension reduction method of multi-dimension speech feature vector for real-time adaptation procedure in various noisy environments. This method which reduces dimensions non-linearly to map the likelihood of speech feature vector and noise feature vector. The LRT(Likelihood Ratio Test) is used for classifying speech and non-speech. The results of implementation are similar to multi-dimensional speech feature vector. The results of speech recognition implementation of detected speech data are also similar to multi-dimensional(10-order dimensional MFCC(Mel-Frequency Cepstral Coefficient)) speech feature vector.

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Estimating Correlation Dimensions of Land-Sea Breeze Phenomenon

  • Lee, Hwa-Woon;Kim, Yoo-Keun;Lee, Young-Gon
    • Environmental Sciences Bulletin of The Korean Environmental Sciences Society
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.81-89
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    • 1999
  • This study estimates the correlation dimensions of the land-sea breeze phenomenon, that has a clear diurnal cycle, in order to gain a more detailed understanding of this phenomenon. The data adopted include north-south wind velocity component(v) and temperature(T) time series that were observed at Kimhae Airport and Inje University over a period of 5 days, from the 4th to the 8th of August, 1994. The embedding phase space of the time series were reconstructed from 2 to 14 dimensions, and the correlation dimensions of the attractors were then estimated. The results show that the land-sea breeze phenomenon exhibits a deterministic chaos with non-integer correlation dimension values between 2 and 3. Accordingly, 3 is the minimum number of independent variables required to model the dynamics of the landsea breeze phenomenon in the Kimhae area. Since the saturated embedding dimension, when the correlation dimension remains unchanged, is larger for the wind velocity v-component than for temperature, this indicates that wind velocity is susceptible to topology.

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A study on developing material for teaching and learning mathematising - the number of unit squares a diagonal passes through for an m by n lattice rectangle and its generalization (수학화 교수.학습을 위한 소재 개발 연구: 격자 직사각형의 한 대각선이 지나는 단위 정사각형의 수와 그 일반화)

  • 박교식
    • Journal of Educational Research in Mathematics
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.57-75
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    • 2003
  • The goal of this paper is to offer material which make mathematising Fruedenthal(1991) proposed be experienced through the process of teaching and learning mathematics. In this paper, the number of unit squares a diagonal passes through for an m$\times$n lattice rectangle is studied and its generalization is discussed. Through this discussion, the adaptability of this material Is analysed. Especially, beyond inductional conjecture, the number of unit squares is studied by more complete way, and generalization in 3-dimension and 4-dimension are tried. In school mathematics, it is enough to generalize in 3-dimension. This material is basically appropriate for teaching and learning mathematising in math classroom. In studying the number of unit squares and unit cubes, some kinds of mathematising are accompanied. Enough time are allowed for students to study unit squares and unit cubes to make them experience mathematising really. To do so, it is desirable to give students that problem as a task, and make them challenge that problem for enough long time by their own ways. This material can be connected to advanced mathematics naturally in that it is possible to generalize this problem in n-dimension. So, it is appropriate for making in-service mathematics teachers realize them as a real material connecting school mathematics and advanced mathematics.

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Analysis of Urban Distribution Pattern with Satellite Imagery

  • Roh, Young-Hee;Jeong, Jae-Joon
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2007.10a
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    • pp.616-619
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    • 2007
  • Nowadays, urbanized area expands its boundary, and distribution of urbanized area is gradually transformed into more complicated pattern. In Korea, SMA(Seoul Metropolitan Area) has outstanding urbanized area since 1950s. But it is ambiguous whether urban distribution is clustered or dispersed. This study aims to show the way in which expansion of urbanized area impacts on spatial distribution pattern of urbanized area. We use quadrat analysis, nearest-neighbor analysis and fractal analysis to know distribution pattern of urbanized area in time-series urban growth. The quadrat analysis indicates that distribution pattern of urbanized area is clustered but the cohesion is gradually weakened. And the nearest-neighbor analysis shows that point patterns are changed that urbanized area distribution pattern is progressively changed from clustered pattern into dispersed pattern. The fractal dimension analysis shows that 1972's distribution dimension is 1.428 and 2000's dimension is 1.777. Therefore, as time goes by, the complexity of urbanized area is more increased through the years. As a result, we can show that the cohesion of the urbanized area is weakened and complicated.

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A Study On the Diagnosis Breakdown Using Fractal Characteristics and the Method of Acoustic Emission in Low Density Polyethylene (프랙탈 특성과 음향방출 계측법을 이용한 LDPE 시료에서의 트리잉 파괴진단에 관한 연구)

  • Yoon, H.J.;Park, J.J.;Shin, S.J.;Choi, J.K.;Kim, S.H.;Kim, J.H.
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1997.07e
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    • pp.1758-1760
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    • 1997
  • Automatic detection system to detect acoustic emission pulse and fractal dimension were developed, to observe tree deterioration phenomena in LDPE. The purpose of our work are to use acoustic emission system and fractal dimension and to investigate the treeing phenomena in polymeric insulation under applied AC voltage 11[kV] with an artificial needle-shaped void(1.5[mm]) using the above system. We analyzed and phase angle-acoustic emission pulse amplitude-deterioration time ($\Phi$-AEA-t) pattern and phase angle-acoustic emission pulse number-deterioration time($\Phi$-AEN-t) pattern using statistical operators such as skewness, fractal dimension. In this paper show that the correlation of $\Phi$-AEA-t, $\Phi$-AEN-t, fractal dimension using regression analysis by the method of least squares can be used to predict the breakdown just before the breakdown occurs.

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Quantitative assessment of offshore wind speed variability using fractal analysis

  • Shu, Z.R.;Chan, P.W.;Li, Q.S.;He, Y.C.;Yan, B.W.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.363-371
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    • 2020
  • Proper understanding of offshore wind speed variability is of essential importance in practice, which provides useful information to a wide range of coastal and marine activities. In this paper, long-term wind speed data recorded at various offshore stations are analyzed in the framework of fractal dimension analysis. Fractal analysis is a well-established data analysis tool, which is particularly suitable to determine the complexity in time series from a quantitative point of view. The fractal dimension is estimated using the conventional box-counting method. The results suggest that the wind speed data are generally fractals, which are likely to exhibit a persistent nature. The mean fractal dimension varies from 1.31 at an offshore weather station to 1.43 at an urban station, which is mainly associated with surface roughness condition. Monthly variability of fractal dimension at offshore stations is well-defined, which often possess larger values during hotter months and lower values during winter. This is partly attributed to the effect of thermal instability. In addition, with an increase in measurement interval, the mean and minimum fractal dimension decrease, whereas the maximum and coefficient of variation increase in parallel.

Maneuvering Target Tracking Using Modified Variable Dimension Filter with Input Estimation (수정된 가변차원 입력추정 필터를 이용한 기동표적 추적)

  • 안병완;최재원;황태현;송택렬
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.8 no.11
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    • pp.976-983
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    • 2002
  • We presents a modified variable dimension filter with input estimation for maneuvering target tracking. The conventional variable dimension filter with input estimation(VDIE) consists of the input estimation(IE) technique and the variable dimension(VD) filter. In the VDIE, the IE technique is used for estimation of a maneuver onset time and its magnitude in the least square sense. The detection of the maneuver is declared according to the estimated magnitude of the maneuver. The VD filter structure is applied for the adaptation to the maneuver of the target after compensating the filter parameter with respect to the estimated maneuver when the detection of the maneuver is declared. The VDIE is known as one of the best maneuvering target tracking filter based on a single filter. However, it requires too much computational burden since the IE technique is performed at every sampling instance and thus it is computationally inefficient. We propose another variable dimension filter with input estimation named 'Modified VDIE' which combines VD filter with If technique. Modified VDIE has less computational load than the original one by separating maneuver detection and input estimation. Simulation results show that the proposed VDIE is more efficient and outperforms in terms of computational load.

Comparison of Dimension Reduction Methods for Time Series Factor Analysis: A Case Study (Value at Risk의 사후검증을 통한 다변량 시계열자료의 차원축소 방법의 비교: 사례분석)

  • Lee, Dae-Su;Song, Seong-Joo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.597-607
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    • 2011
  • Value at Risk(VaR) is being widely used as a simple tool for measuring financial risk. Although VaR has a few weak points, it is used as a basic risk measure due to its simplicity and easiness of understanding. However, it becomes very difficult to estimate the volatility of the portfolio (essential to compute its VaR) when the number of assets in the portfolio is large. In this case, we can consider the application of a dimension reduction technique; however, the ordinary factor analysis cannot be applied directly to financial data due to autocorrelation. In this paper, we suggest a dimension reduction method that uses the time-series factor analysis and DCC(Dynamic Conditional Correlation) GARCH model. We also compare the method using time-series factor analysis with the existing method using ordinary factor analysis by backtesting the VaR of real data from the Korean stock market.

A Daily Maximum Load Forecasting System Using Chaotic Time Series (Chaos를 이용한 단기부하예측)

  • Choi, Jae-Gyun;Park, Jong-Keun;Kim, Kwang-Ho
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1995.07b
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    • pp.578-580
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    • 1995
  • In this paper, a method for the daily maximum load forecasting which uses a chaotic time series in power system and artificial neural network. We find the characteristics of chaos in power load curve and then determine a optimal embedding dimension and delay time, For the load forecast of one day ahead daily maximum power, we use the time series load data obtained in previous year. By using of embedding dimension and delay time, we construct a strange attractor in pseudo phase plane and the artificial neural network model trained with the attractor font mentioned above. The one day ahead forecast errors are about 1.4% of absolute percentage average error.

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