• Title/Summary/Keyword: Threshold function

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Drought Risk Analysis in Seoul Using Cheugugi and Climate Change Scenario Based Rainfall Data (측우기 및 미래 기후변화 시나리오 자료를 활용한 서울지역의 가뭄 위험도 분석)

  • Kim, Ji Eun;Yu, Ji Soo;Lee, Joo-Heon;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.38 no.3
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    • pp.387-393
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    • 2018
  • Considering the effect of climate change, a quantitative analysis of extreme drought is needed to reduce the damage from extreme droughts. Therefore, in this study, a quantitative risk analysis of extreme drought was conducted. The threshold level method was applied to define a drought event using Cheugugi rainfall data in past, gauged rainfall data in present, and climate change scenario rainfall data in future. A bivariate drought frequency analysis was performed using the copula function to simultaneously consider two major drought characteristics such as duration and severity. Based on the bivariate drought frequency curves, the risks for the past, present and future were calculated and the risks for future extreme drought were analyzed comparing with the past and present. As a result, the mean drought duration of the future was shorter than that of past and present, however, the mean drought severity was much larger. Therefore short term and severe droughts were expected to occur in the future. In addition, the analysis of the maximum drought risk indicated that the future maximum drought risk was 1.39~1.94 times and 1.33~1.81 times higher than the past and present. Finally, the risk of extreme drought over past and present maximum drought in the future was very high, ranging from 0.989 to 1.0, and the occurrence probability of extreme drought was high in the future.

A Statistical Methodology to Estimate the Economical Replacement Time of Water Pipes (상수관로의 경제적 교체시기를 산정하기 위한 통계적 방법론)

  • Park, Su-Wan
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.42 no.6
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    • pp.457-464
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    • 2009
  • This paper proposes methodologies for analyzing the accuracy of the proportional hazards model in predicting consecutive break times of water mains and estimating the time interval for economical water main replacement. By using the survival functions that are based on the proportional hazards models a criterion for the prediction of the consecutive pipe breaks is determined so that the prediction errors are minimized. The criterion to predict pipe break times are determined as the survival probability of 0.70 and only the models for the third through the seventh break are analyzed to be reliable for predicting break times for the case study pipes. Subsequently, the criterion and the estimated lower and upper bound survival functions of consecutive breaks are used in predicting the lower and upper bounds of the 95% confidence interval of future break times of an example water main. Two General Pipe Break Prediction Models(GPBMs) are estimated for an example pipe using the two series of recorded and predicted lower and upper bound break times. The threshold break rate is coupled with the two GPBMs and solved for time to obtain the economical replacement time interval.

Functional MRI of Language: Difference of its Activated Areas and Lateralization according to the Input Modality (언어의 기능적 자기공명영상: 자극방법에 따른 활성화와 편재화의 차이)

  • Ryoo, Jae-Wook;Cho, Jae-Min;Choi, Ho-Chul;Park, Mi-Jung;Choi, Hye-Young;Kim, Ji-Eun;Han, Heon;Kim, Sam-Soo;Jeon, Yong-Hwan;Khang, Hyun-Soo
    • Investigative Magnetic Resonance Imaging
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.130-138
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    • 2011
  • Purpose : To compare fMRIs of visual and auditory word generation tasks, and to evaluate the difference of its activated areas and lateralization according to the mode of stimuli. Materials and Methods : Eight male normal volunteers were included and all were right handed. Functional maps were obtained during auditory and visual word generation tasks in all. Normalized group analysis were performed in each task and the threshold for significance was set at p<0.05. Activated areas in each task were compared visually and statistically. Results : In both tasks, left dominant activations were demonstrated and were more lateralized in visual task. Both frontal lobes (Broca's area, premotor area, and SMA) and left posterior middle temporal gyrus were activated in both tasks. Extensive bilateral temporal activations were noted in auditory task. Both occipital and parietal activations were demonstrated in visual task. Conclusion : Modality independent areas could be interpreted as a core area of language function. Modality specific areas may be associated with processing of stimuli. Visual task induced more lateralized activation and could be a more useful in language study than auditory task.

Analysis of Image for Liver Disease using Blood Test in the Ultrasound Fibroscan (Fibroscan에서의 혈액검사를 이용한 간질환의 영상분석)

  • Lee, Jeong-Hyun;Kim, Dong-Hyun;Kim, Changsoo
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.15 no.8
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    • pp.389-396
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    • 2015
  • The liver fibrosis is a disease we often see in clinical medicine, and the persistence and repeatition of inflammation and necrosis of liver cells continue for several years, and it is proceeded to cirrhosis. So decrease of death rate and prevalence rate by complications of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma is main task of clinical medicine by protection of chronic liver ailment patients from proceeding to cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. So this study tried to represent the ultrasonic image, blood test, the relationship with liver stiffness of diffuse liver ailment patients as numbers. This study was performed with patients from whom the image was taken by ultrasonic and 141 people who were treated by fibroscan, the basic data for blood test was obtained from the test results at the time when ultrasonic image and liver fibroscan was performed. The statistical analysis was performed by One-way analysis of variance(ANOVA) to verify difference between groups. The value of liver stiffness was increased in the order of normal, chronic liver disease and cirrhosis. As a results, ALT and Albumin have no statistical difference between object groups, and there are statistical differences in the results of ultrasonic decoding at age, AST, ALP, Bilirubin, PLT, PT, and kPa, and they are statistically meaningful(p<0.005). And the value of liver stiffness of chronic liver ailment was presented only as over 12.5kPa in other study, but it was represented as numbers for quantitative diagnosis by presenting average kPa threshold value according to disease in this study. And by presenting relationship of diagnosed results, it is considered that it could be used as first tool to diagnose chronic liver ailment patients according to their disease.

Effects of Meteorological and Reclaiming Conditions on the Reduction of Suspended Particles (기상 조건과 매립 조건이 비산 먼지 발생에 미치는 영향)

  • Choi, Jae-Won;Lee, Young-Su;Kim, Jae-Jin
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.19 no.11
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    • pp.1423-1436
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    • 2010
  • The effects of meteorological and reclaiming conditions on the reduction of suspended particles are investigated using a computational fluid dynamics (CFD) model with the k-$\varepsilon$ turbulence closure scheme based on the renormalization group (RNG) theory. Twelve numerical experiments with different meteorological and reclaiming conditions are performed. For identifying the meteorological characteristics of the target area and providing the inflow conditions of the CFD model, the observed data from the automatic weather station (AWS) near the target area is analyzed. Complicated flow patterns such as flow distortion, horse-shoe vortex, recirculation zone, and channeling flow appeared due to the topography and buildings in the domain. Specially, the flow characteristics around the reclamation area are affected by the reclaiming height, reclaiming size and windbreak height. Reclaiming height affected the wind speed above the reclaiming area. Windbreak induces more complicated flow patterns around the reclaiming area as well as within the reclaiming area. In front of the windbreak, flow is distorted as it impinges on the windbreak. As a result, upward flow is generated there. Behind the windbreak, a secondary circulation, so called, a recirculation zone is generated and flow is reattached at the end of the recirculation zone (reattachment point). At the lower part of the recirculation zone, there is a reverse flow toward the windbreak. Flow passing to the reattachment point starts to be recovered. Total amounts of suspended particles are calculated using the frictional and threshold frictional velocities, erosion potential function, and the number of surface disturbance. In the case of a 10 m-reclaiming and northerly wind, the amount of suspended particles is largest. In the presence of 5 m windbreak, the friction velocity above the reclaiming area is largely reduced. As a result, the total amount of the suspended particles largely decreases, compared to the case with the same reclaiming and meteorological conditions except for the windbreak The calculated suspended particle amounts are used as the emission rate of the dispersion model simulations and the dispersion characteristics of the suspended particles are analyzed.

Performance enhancement of Organic Thin Film Transistor using $C_{60}$ hole injection layer ($C_{60}$(buckminsterfullurene) 홀주입층을 적용한 유기박막트랜지스터의 성능향상)

  • Yi, Moon-Suk
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SD
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    • v.45 no.5
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    • pp.19-25
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    • 2008
  • In this study, we fabricated Organic Thin Film Transistors(OTFTs) with $C_{60}$ hole injection layer between organic semiconductor(pentacene) and metal electrode, and we compared the electrical characteristics of OTFTs with/without $C_{60}$. When the $C_{60}$ hole injection layer was introduced, the mobility and the threshold voltage were improved from 0.298 $cm^2/V{\cdot}s$ and -13.3V to 0.452 $cm^2/V{\cdot}s$ and -10.8V, and the contact resistance was also reduced. When the $C_{60}$ is inserted, the hole injection was enhanced because the $C_{60}$ prevent the unwanted chemical reaction between pentacene and Au. Furthermore, we fabricated the OTFTs using Al as their electrodes. When the OTFTs were made by only aluminum electrode, the channel were not mostly made because of the high hole injection barrier between pentacene and aluminum, but when the $C_{60}$ layer with an optimal thickness was applied between aluminum and pentacene, the device performances were obviously enhanced because of the vacuum energy level shift of Al and the consequent decrease of the hole injection barrier which was induced by the interface dipole formation between $C_{60}$ and Al. The mobility and $I_{ON}/I_{OFF}$ current ratio of OTFT with $C_{60}/Al$ electrode were 0.165 $cm^2/V{\cdot}s$ and $1.4{\times}10^4$ which were comparable with the normal Au electrode OTFT.

The Implementable Functions of the CoreNet of a Multi-Valued Single Neuron Network (단층 코어넷 다단입력 인공신경망회로의 함수에 관한 구현가능 연구)

  • Park, Jong Joon
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.593-602
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    • 2014
  • One of the purposes of an artificial neural netowrk(ANNet) is to implement the largest number of functions as possible with the smallest number of nodes and layers. This paper presents a CoreNet which has a multi-leveled input value and a multi-leveled output value with a 2-layered ANNet, which is the basic structure of an ANNet. I have suggested an equation for calculating the capacity of the CoreNet, which has a p-leveled input and a q-leveled output, as $a_{p,q}={\frac{1}{2}}p(p-1)q^2-{\frac{1}{2}}(p-2)(3p-1)q+(p-1)(p-2)$. I've applied this CoreNet into the simulation model 1(5)-1(6), which has 5 levels of an input and 6 levels of an output with no hidden layers. The simulation result of this model gives, the maximum 219 convergences for the number of implementable functions using the cot(${\sqrt{x}}$) input leveling method. I have also shown that, the 27 functions are implementable by the calculation of weight values(w, ${\theta}$) with the multi-threshold lines in the weight space, which are diverged in the simulation results. Therefore the 246 functions are implementable in the 1(5)-1(6) model, and this coincides with the value from the above eqution $a_{5,6}(=246)$. I also show the implementable function numbering method in the weight space.

Studies on a Plan for Afforestation at Tong-ri Beach Resort - Analysis of Factors Causing Disasters around Beach - (통리해수욕장(桶里海水浴場) 녹지대조성(綠地帶造成)에 관(關)한 연구(研究)(I) - 사구지주변(砂丘地周邊)의 재해요인분석(災害要因分析) -)

  • Cho, Hi Doo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.77 no.2
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    • pp.178-185
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    • 1988
  • This study is carried out for analyzing the factors causing several disasters occurring around beach area in order to set a plan for an afforestation which will fulfill its function as facilities for prevention of disasters and for relaxation around beach resort at Tong-ri, Pokil-my$\bar{o}$n, Wando-gun. The results are as follows : 1. The main wind direction was summer was SE. 2. The first class in the rate of frequency of the hourly average wind speed and the instantaneous wind speed in summer were 2.1-3.0m/sec (29.2%) and 1.1-2.0m/sec (30.6%) respectively. 3. The particle sizes of the dune sands was a little small (82.5% in 0.125 to 0.25mm, $D_{50}=0.178mm$). 4. The mineral composition and the chemical components were as follows : The main mineral : Quartz The accessary minerals : Calcite, Feldspars(Orthoclase), Sericite. The chemical components : $SiO_2$ ; 75.6%. $Al_2O_3$ ; 8.1%, CaO ; 7.76%, Ign. loss ; 6.8%, MgO ; 0.23%, $K_2O$ ; 0.72%, $Na_2O$ ; 0.41%, $Fe_2O_3$ ; 0.32%. 5. The threshold friction velocity equation for the diameter class of the dune sands was $y=4.191x^{0.221}$. 6. The amount of floating salt was maximum at the point of 65m away from beach line, dropped abruptly at 135m and remained almost same on its way to the inland. The equation of the amount of floating salt was $y=28.181{\times}(-0.369^x)$. 7. The amount of extracted salt(33%) in seawater in summer was the same as the one of the nearest seawater of Korea.

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Jitter and Shimmer of the Deaf Voice (농자 음성의 주파수 변동율 및 진폭 변동율)

  • Ok-ran Jeong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Laryngology, Phoniatrics and Logopedics
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.39-42
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    • 1996
  • The present study analyed jitter and shimmer of the deaf in 4 different voicing conditions. Thirty-two male subjects and 27 female subjects participated in the study on a voluntary basis. The age ranged from 6 to 18 for male and 8 to 21 for female subjects. The subjects were either congenitally or prelingually deaf The four different voicing conditions included /a/ prolongation, counting, reading, and conversation. The experiment utilized CSL Visi-Pitch Model 6095(Kay Elemetrics Corp.) to sample and analyze the data. Both jitter and shimmer means were higher than the threshold values(normative data) reported. In addition, this investigation performed two separate 2-factor ANOVAs in order to determine if jitter and shimmer change as a function of gender and voicing condition. The results showed the following. First of all there was the gender effect on shimmer but not on jitter, in that male subjects 'shimmer was higher than females'. secondly, there was the voicing condition effect both on jitter and shimmer. /a/ prolongation and reading produced lower jitter than counting and conversation. /a/ prolongation produced lower shimmer than the remaining conditions. Finally, no interaction between gender and voicing condition existed.

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Development of Drought Index based on Streamflow for Monitoring Hydrological Drought (수문학적 가뭄감시를 위한 하천유량 기반 가뭄지수 개발)

  • Yoo, Jiyoung;Kim, Tae-Woong;Kim, Jeong-Yup;Moon, Jang-Won
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.669-680
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    • 2017
  • This study evaluated the consistency of the standard flow to forecast low-flow based on various drought indices. The data used in this study were streamflow data at the Gurye2 station located in the Seomjin River and the Angang station located in the Hyeongsan River, as well as rainfall data of nearby weather stations (Namwon and Pohang). Using streamflow data, the streamflow accumulation drought index (SADI) was developed in this study to represent the hydrological drought condition. For SADI calculations, the threshold of drought was determined by a Change-Point analysis of the flow pattern and a reduction factor was estimated based on the kernel density function. Standardized runoff index (SRI) and standardized precipitation index (SPI) were also calculated to compared with the SADI. SRI and SPI were calculated for the 30-, 90-, 180-, and 270-day period and then an ROC curve analysis was performed to determine the appropriate time-period which has the highest consistency with the standard flow. The result of ROC curve analysis indicated that for the Seomjin River-Gurye2 station SADI_C3, SRI30, SADI_C1, SADI_C2, and SPI90 were confirmed in oder of having high consistency with standard flow under the attention stage and for the Hyeongsan River-Angang station, SADI_C3, SADI_C1, SPI270, SRI30, and SADI_C2 have order of high consistency with standard flow under the attention stage.