• Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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• v.8 no.4
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• pp.257-263
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• 2009

Focusing on the idea that the equation of exponential smoothing method (ESM) is equivalent to (1, 1) order ARMA model equation, new method of estimation of smoothing constant in exponential smoothing method is proposed before by us which satisfies minimum variance of forecasting error. Theoretical solution was derived in a simple way. Mere application of ESM does not make good forecasting accuracy for the time series which has non-linear trend and/or trend by month. A new method to cope with this issue is required. In this paper, combining the trend removal method with this method, we aim to improve forecasting accuracy. An approach to this method is executed in the following method. Trend removal by a linear function is applied to the original shipping data of consumer goods. The combination of linear and non-linear function is also introduced in trend removal. For the comparison, monthly trend is removed after that. Theoretical solution of smoothing constant of ESM is calculated for both of the monthly trend removing data and the non monthly trend removing data. Then forecasting is executed on these data. The new method shows that it is useful especially for the time series that has stable characteristics and has rather strong seasonal trend and also the case that has non-linear trend. The effectiveness of this method should be examined in various cases.

• Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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• v.12 no.3
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• pp.244-253
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• 2013

In industries, shipping is an important issue in improving the forecasting accuracy of sales. This paper introduces a hybrid method and plural methods are compared. Focusing the equation of exponential smoothing method (ESM) that is equivalent to (1, 1) order autoregressive-moving-average (ARMA) model equation, a new method of estimating the smoothing constant in ESM had been proposed previously by us which satisfies minimum variance of forecasting error. Generally, the smoothing constant is selected arbitrarily. However, this paper utilizes the above stated theoretical solution. Firstly, we make estimation of ARMA model parameter and then estimate the smoothing constant. Thus, theoretical solution is derived in a simple way and it may be utilized in various fields. Furthermore, combining the trend removing method with this method, we aim to improve forecasting accuracy. This method is executed in the following method. Trend removing by the combination of linear and 2nd order nonlinear function and 3rd order nonlinear function is executed to the original production data of two kinds of bread. Genetic algorithm is utilized to search the optimal weight for the weighting parameters of linear and nonlinear function. For comparison, the monthly trend is removed after that. Theoretical solution of smoothing constant of ESM is calculated for both of the monthly trend removing data and the non-monthly trend removing data. Then forecasting is executed on these data. The new method shows that it is useful for the time series that has various trend characteristics and has rather strong seasonal trend. The effectiveness of this method should be examined in various cases.

• Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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• v.13 no.4
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• pp.225-235
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• 2011

Autoregressed Controller, which have trend algorithm, seeks to minimize variability by transferring the output variable to the related process input variable, while multivariate process control techniques seek to reduce variability by detecting and eliminating assignable causes of variation. In the case of process control, a very reasonable objective is to try to minimize the variance of the output deviations from the target or set point. We also investigate algorithm with relevant Shewhart chart, Theoretical control charts, precontrol and process capability. To help the people who want to make the theoretical system, we compare the main techniques in "a study on the relation between multivariate process control techniques and trend algorithms".

• Journal of Fashion Business
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• v.10 no.2
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• pp.99-116
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• 2006

This study was aimed at giving help to the people intending to change their hair fashion feeling for changing their own hair colour design and also providing the guide line to the cosmetic circles for developing new hair colour design and promoting sales by statistically analyzing hair colours and the other factors(demographic characteristics, hair styling, total fashion feeling, hair style) of capital area women in their twenties based on the theoretical study on tatal fasion feeling & hair fashion feeling, and hair trend. The researching methods were composed of prior theoretical research, statistical analysis. The prior theoretical research was accomplished by analysis of literatures, magazines and internet sites about total & hair fashion feelings and hair trend. The statistical analysis used a questionnaire composed of 33 questions in 5 categories. The survey of the questionnaire had been conducted from June 15 to June 28 in 2005 on the 600 women in the capital area, investigated by a group of experts on cosmetics or clothing from academic or business society. The analysis of materials from the survey was done by SPSS program(ver. 12.0) using frequency analysis, $x^2$-test and cross tabulation analysis specified on high significant values. Based on the above results of $x^2$-test and cross tabulation analysis, categorized the characteristics of the hair fashion feeling groups, especially hair colours in the order of percentage. This study would be very helpful to the people trying to change their own hair fashion feeling and be useful to the cosmetic circles for developing new hair colour design and promoting sales by comprehending hair colour market and also be valuable to develop the analysis methodology of hair colour and hair fashion trend.

• Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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• v.10 no.6
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• pp.15-24
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• 2019

The development of "New Retailing" is still in its infancy. Theoretical research has just begun, showing the characteristics of practice leading theoretical research, that is, there is more practical exploration but relatively insufficient theoretical research. At present, the theoretical research and practice development of "New Retailing" is gradually clear. The future development trend is large-scale, no boundaries, and wisdom. The academic community should further study in depth with theory and practice, focusing on the deep integration of online and offline, the new logistics under "New Retailing", and the research direction of "New Retailing" driving supply chain transformation and reconstruction so as to better guide the development of "New Retailing". The purpose of the research is to sort out the research status and theoretical situation of "new retailing", so as to provide references for further research on "new retail" and guidance for practical development.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Clothing and Textiles
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• v.33 no.8
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• pp.1337-1346
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• 2009

This study examines research trends in the dissertations and theses on fashion illustration, as part of the necessity of the enlargement of this field into different areas and the importance of fashion research that will in the future. Currently, there are efforts to find the state of pervasive trends in thesis or that of dissertations in this area to help deter existing studies from producing mutually supplementary and constructive results. This also includes research that may have been overlapped in part or biased toward particular fields. This study is to solidify the research trend in papers and dissertations on fashion illustration in fields unexamined to suggest some of the right direction for research and development in fashion illustration. The selected data involved papers and dissertations published between 1990 and April 2009 by domestic graduate schools. To understand the research trend by item, descriptive statistics are utilized to acquire statistical data on the frequency and percentage in the creation of graphs. The findings of the study are as follows: There has been a steady increase in the rates of the theses and dissertations in this field in yearly domestic research fashion trends in illustration since 2002. In terms of the annual trend by the type of research, the number of the theses and dissertations on the production of works is larger than that of theoretical ones. This indicates that more attention should be given to theoretical research in this area. In regard to research themes and methods, many theses and dissertations were included with the production of works that showed a need to diversify the scope of research.

• Korean Journal of English Language and Linguistics
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• v.1 no.3
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• pp.437-456
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• 2001

This paper raises a question on the theoretical background behind the English education at the elementary school level. The Critical Period Hypothesis (CPH), supporting the common belief of the earlier the better in foreign language learning, which has promoted the strong trend toward teaching English in Korean elementary schools, is analyzed to determine whether it provides a comprehensible picture to explain age-related factors and whether it is a valid hypothesis which can be applicable in an EFL situation such as Korea. This paper concludes that CPH itself is still considered as an impending hypothesis full of unresolved issues and that the present educational situation of Korean elementary schools is rather far from the environment in which the ideas of CPH could practically apply, and thus it may be desirable to find alternative theoretical backgrounds from which the educational programs can be developed and further expanded.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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• v.28 no.5
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• pp.551-558
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• 2011

To analyze the effect of wear of wheel profile on the running stability of rolling-stock, theoretical and experimental studies were conducted on the profiles used in conventional lines. In experiment using 1/5 scale model to verify the results of the theoretical analysis, the test results of the critical speed for worn wheel profile samples show similar trend. In case of the conical type wheel profile(Profile 40), the equivalent conicity is increased with flange wear. But in case of the arc type wheel profile(Profile 20h), the equivalent conicity is decreased with flange wear. And the critical speed of the bogie was inverse proportion to the equivalent conicity. It is shown that the variation of the critical speed with the wheel wear could be changed according to the design concept and wear pattern of wheel profile. Results of the theoretical and experimental studies are discussed here.

• Journal of Information Technology Services
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• v.14 no.1
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• pp.145-158
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• 2015

Currently, Social Commerces have increasingly gained popularity with the growth of Social Network Services (SNS). As the applications of smartphones are being applied in widespread areas, social commerces in the smartphone environment have entered a new chapter. The applications of social commerces on smartphones are widely used, which has increased the market share of social commerces exponentially. Thus, we tried to find out factors which may affect the user acceptance of social commerces in the smartphone environment. We develop a research model to examine how social commerces in the smartphone environment are accepted by users based on the academic factors-switch costs, trend-seeking tendency, richness in media. The theoretical model is validated through an survey of social commerce users in the smartphone environment from the undergraduates and the graduates in Seoul, Korea. The structural equation analysis is conducted based on the partial least square (PLS) approach. The results reveal that the switch cost will have positive mediating influences to the intention to use social commerce in the smartphone environment. We also find that the perceived usefulness of the smartphone is affected by the media richness. The results also suggest that the trend-seeking tendency has no influences to the users of social commerces in the smartphone environment. Also, theoretical and practical implications are discussed. The findings are believed to increase our understanding an interesting mobile phenomenon, as well as making contributions.

• Asia pacific journal of information systems
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• v.25 no.2
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• pp.306-328
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• 2015

A recent trend in innovation paradigm is the shift from closed innovation to open innovation principles. This trend is characterized by the use of purposive inflows and outflows of knowledge not only to accelerate internal innovation, but also to expand the markets for external use of innovation. However, the Not-Invented-Here (NIH), and Not-Sold-Here (NSH) or Only-Use-Here (OUH) syndromes are the most common challenges encountered in open innovation processes. Therefore, this study has the following main aims: 1) propose a research model that explains the factors that influence NIH and NSH/OUH attitudes based on motivation theory with perceived organizational fairness and commitment, 2) investigate their impacts on NIH and NSH/OUH attitudes, and 3) provide useful theoretical and practical insights. The proposed research model was empirically tested using survey data collected from information technology (IT) professionals in Korea. One of the major findings indicates that IT professionals' perceived organizational fairness has a negative effect on NIH attitudes in open innovation process. Theoretical and practical contributions of this study are also discussed.