• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제39권4호
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• pp.49-59
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• 2016

Naval combat system developed in-country is progressing at an alarming rate since 2000. ROK navy will be achieved all vessels that have combat system in the near future. The importance of System Engineering and Integrated Logistics Support based on reliability analysis is increasing. However, reliability analysis that everyone trusted and recognized is not enough and applied practically for development of Defense Acquisition Program. In particular, Existing Reliability Analysis is focusing on reliability index (Mean Time Between Failure (MTBF) etc.) for policy decision of defense improvement project. Most of the weapon system acquisition process applying in the exponential distribution simply persist unreality due to memoryless property. Critical failures are more important than simple faults to ship's operator. There are no confirmed cases of reliability analysis involved with critical failure that naval ship scheduler and operator concerned sensitively. Therefore, this study is focusing on Mean Time To Critical Failure (MTTCF), reliability on specific time and Operational Readiness Float (ORF) requirements related to critical failure of Patrol Killer Guided missile (PKG) combat system that is beginning of naval combat system developed in-country. Methods of analysis is applied parametric and non-parametric statistical techniques. It is compared to the estimates and proposed applications. The result of study shows that parametric and non-parametric estimators should be applied differently depending on purpose of utilization based on test of normality. For the first time, this study is offering Reliability of ROK Naval combat system to stakeholders involved with defense improvement project. Decision makers of defense improvement project have to active support and effort in this area for improvement of System Engineering.

• Investigative Magnetic Resonance Imaging
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• 제23권2호
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• pp.148-156
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• 2019

Hyperglycemia-induced hemichorea (HGHC) is a rare but characteristic hyperkinetic movement disorder involving limbs on one side of the body. In a 75-year-old woman with a left-sided HGHC, conventional brain MR imaging showed very subtle T1-hyperintensity and unique gadolinium enhancement in the basal ganglia contralateral to movements. Multi-parametric MRI was acquired using pulse sequence with quantification of relaxation times and proton density by multi-echo acquisition. Myelin map was reconstructed based on new tissue classification modeling. In this case report of multi-parametric MRI, quantitative measurement of myelin change related to HGHC in brain structures and its possible explanations are presented. This is the first study to demonstrate myelin loss related to hyperglycemic insult in multi-parametric quantitative MR imaging.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• 제17권sup3호
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• pp.311-316
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• 2016

Breast cancer is one of the most common causes of cancer mortality in Iran. Social determinants of health are among the key factors affecting the pathogenesis of diseases. This cross-sectional study aimed to determine the social determinants of breast cancer survival time with parametric and semi-parametric regression models. It was conducted on male and female patients diagnosed with breast cancer presenting to the Cancer Research Center of Shohada-E-Tajrish Hospital from 2006 to 2010. The Cox proportional hazard model and parametric models including the Weibull, log normal and log-logistic models were applied to determine the social determinants of survival time of breast cancer patients. The Akaike information criterion (AIC) was used to assess the best fit. Statistical analysis was performed with STATA (version 11) software. This study was performed on 797 breast cancer patients, aged 25-93 years with a mean age of 54.7 (${\pm}11.9$) years. In both semi-parametric and parametric models, the three-year survival was related to level of education and municipal district of residence (P<0.05). The AIC suggested that log normal distribution was the best fit for the three-year survival time of breast cancer patients. Social determinants of health such as level of education and municipal district of residence affect the survival of breast cancer cases. Future studies must focus on the effect of childhood social class on the survival times of cancers, which have hitherto only been paid limited attention.

• 한국산업융합학회 논문집
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• 제27권1호
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• pp.39-46
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• 2024

As the development of hydrogen vehicles has accelerated in recent years, it is necessary to develop a storage tank for hydrogen fueling stations capable of high-pressure charging, and for this purpose, a new system with a compressor-embedded refueling tank is required. In this study, the parametric study of shape design based on strength performance evaluation was carried out to find the optimal shape design of bellows, the core component of compressor-embedded refueling tank for a newly developed hydrogen refueling station capable of high-pressure charging above 1,000 bar. The design factors for parametric study were contour shape and radius of bellows, and the performance factors were the maximum stress and the gap distance in the contact direction. In the shape design of the compressor bellows for hydrogen refueling station considered in this study, it was found that adjusting the contour radius is an appropriate design method to improve the compression performance and structural safety.

• 대한지리학회지
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• 제51권2호
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• pp.219-233
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• 2016

수리 또는 계량적 모형을 사용하는 사회과학연구에서 분석의 초점은 종속변수와 설명변수의 관계를 밝히는 것, 즉 설명 중심의 모형(explanatory modeling)이 지금까지 주류를 이루었다. 반면 예측(prediction) 능력 제고에 초점을 맞춘 분석은 드물었다. 본 연구에서는 이론 및 가설을 검증하거나 변수 간의 관계를 밝히는 설명 중심의 모형이 아니라 신규 관찰치에 대한 예측 오차를 줄이는, 예측 중심의 비모수 모형(non-parametric model)을 검토하였다. 서울시 강남구를 사례지역으로 선정한 후, 2011년부터 2014년까지 신고된 단독주택 실거래가를 기초자료로 하여 주택가격을 추정하였다. 적용한 비모수 모형은 기계학습 분야에서 제시된 일반가산모형(generalized additive model), 랜덤 포리스트, MARS(multivariate adaptive regression splines), SVM(support vector machines) 등이며 비교적 최근에 개발된 MARS나 SVM의 예측력이 뛰어남을 확인할 수 있었다. 마지막으로 이러한 비모수 모형에 공간적 자기상관성을 추가적으로 반영한 결과, 모형의 가격 예측력이 보다 개선되었음을 알 수 있었다. 본 연구를 계기로 그간 모수 모형에 집중되었던 부동산 가격추정 방법론이 비모수 모형으로 확대 및 다양화되기를 기대한다.

• 대한조선학회논문집
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• 제52권3호
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• pp.187-197
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• 2015

This study aims the development of a semi-analytic method for the parametric roll of large containerships advancing in longitudinal waves. A 1.5 Degree-of-Freedom(DOF) model is proposed to account the change of transverse stability induced by wave elevations and vertical motions (heave and pitch). By approximating the nonlinearity of restoring moment at large heel angles, the magnitude of roll amplitude is predicted as well as susceptibility check for parametric roll occurrence. In order to increase the accuracy of the prediction, the relationship between righting arm(GZ) and metacentric height(GM) is examined in the presence of incident waves, and then a new formula is proposed. Based on the linear approximation of the mean and first harmonic component of GM, the equation of parametric roll in irregular wave excitations is introduced, and the computational results of the proposed model are validated by comparing those of weakly nonlinear simulation based on an impulse-response-function method combined with strip theory. The present semi-analytic doesn’ t require heavy computational effort, so that it is very efficient particularly when numerous sea conditions for the analysis of parametric roll should be considered.

• Current Optics and Photonics
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• 제7권4호
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• pp.419-427
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• 2023

The structural design of an optical-telescope assembly (OTA) for satellite laser ranging (SLR) is conducted in two steps. First, the results of a parametric study of the major design variables (e.g. dimension and shape) of the OTA part are explained, and the detailed structural design of the OTA is derived, considering the design requirements. Among the structural-shape concepts of various OTAs, the Serrurier truss concept is selected in this study, and the collimation of the telescope according to the design variables is extensively discussed. After generating finite-element models for different structural shapes, self-gravity analyses are performed. To minimize the deflection and tilt of the mirror and frame for the OTA under the limited design requirements, a parametric study is conducted according to design variables such as the shapes of the upper and lower struts and the spider vane. The structural features found in the parametric study are described. Finally, the OTA structure is designed in detail to maintain the optical alignment by balancing the gravity deflections of the upper and lower trusses using the optimal combination of the parameters. Additionally, thermal analysis of the optical telescope design is evaluated.

• Computers and Concrete
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• 제16권2호
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• pp.311-327
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• 2015

Employing discrete elements for considering bond-slip effects in reinforced concrete structures is very time consuming. In this study, a new modified embedded element method is used to consider the bond-slip phenomenon in structural behavior of reinforced concrete structures. A comprehensive parametric study of RC slabs is performed to determine influence of different variables on structural behavior. The parametric study includes a set of simple models accompanied with complex models such as multi-storey buildings. The procedure includes the decrease in the effective stiffness of steel bar in the layered model. Validation of the proposed model with existing experimental results demonstrates that the model is capable of considering the bond-slip effects in embedded elements. Results demonstrate the significant effect of bond-slip on total behavior of structural members. Concrete characteristic strengths, steel yield stress, bar diameter, concrete coverage and reinforcement ratios are the parameters considered in the parametric study. Results revealed that the overall behavior of slab is significantly affected by bar diameter compared with other parameters. Variation of steel yield stress has insignificant impact in static response of RC slabs; however, its effect in cyclic behavior is important.

• 한국음향학회지
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• 제28권8호
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• pp.768-773
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• 2009

본 논문에서는 파라메트릭 어레이를 이용한 공기 중 디지털 통신의 특성을 측정해 보았다. 2차 오더의 비선형 현상인 파라메트릭 어레이를 구현하기 위하여, 고출력, 고효율의 음파 발생이 가능한 요철 트랜스듀서가 사용되었다. 1차 음파 (primary wave)의 주파수는 트랜스듀서 공진 주파수에 맞추어 83 kHz, 122 kHz 로 결정하였고, 이를 통해 발생되는 39 kHz의 차음 (difference frequency wave)을 통신 신호로 이용하였다. 통신 변조방법으로 On-Off Keying 방식을 이용하였다. 실험은 파라메트릭 어레이를 이용한 디지털 통신의 특성을 측정하기 위하여 파형 분석을 하였고, 거리, 각도에 따른 SNR을 측정해 보았다. 실험 결과 파라메트릭 어레이를 이용한 디지털 통신은 3m이내의 근거리 영역에서 적합함을 알 수 있었고, 빔폭 (-3 dB)은 $14^{\circ}$로 측정되어 고지향성 통신이 가능함을 확인하였다. 위의 실험 결과를 통해 파라메트릭 어레이를 이용한 공기 중 음향 통신에 대한 가능성을 확인하였고, 고지향성 통신 특성은 다중경로 문제나 보안 문제에 강점이 있을 것으로 판단된다.

• Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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• 제13권4호
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• pp.1504-1514
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• 2018

The objective of this study is to compare the suitability of a non-parametric and 3 parametric distributions in the characterization of prediction intervals of photovoltaic power forecasts with high confidence levels. The prediction intervals of the forecasts are calculated using a method based on recent past data similar to the target forecast input data, and on a distribution assumption for the forecast error. To compare the suitability of the distributions, prediction intervals were calculated using the proposed method and each of the 4 distributions. The calculations were done for one year of day-ahead forecasts of hourly power generation of 432 PV systems. The systems have different sizes and specifications, and are installed in different locations in Japan. The results show that, in general, the non-parametric distribution assumption for the forecast error yielded the best prediction intervals. For example, with a confidence level of 85% the use of the non-parametric distribution assumption yielded a median annual forecast error coverage of 86.9%. This result was close to the one obtained with the Laplacian distribution assumption (87.8% of coverage for the same confidence level). Contrasting with that, using a Gaussian and Hyperbolic distributions yielded median annual forecast error coverage of 89.5% and 90.5%.