• Title/Summary/Keyword: The Weak Law of Large Numbers

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ON LIMIT BEHAVIOURS FOR FELLER'S UNFAIR-FAIR-GAME AND ITS RELATED MODEL

  • An, Jun
    • Journal of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.59 no.6
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    • pp.1185-1201
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    • 2022
  • Feller introduced an unfair-fair-game in his famous book [3]. In this game, at each trial, player will win 2k yuan with probability pk = 1/2kk(k + 1), k ∈ ℕ, and zero yuan with probability p0 = 1 - Σk=1 pk. Because the expected gain is 1, player must pay one yuan as the entrance fee for each trial. Although this game seemed "fair", Feller [2] proved that when the total trial number n is large enough, player will loss n yuan with its probability approximate 1. So it's an "unfair" game. In this paper, we study in depth its convergence in probability, almost sure convergence and convergence in distribution. Furthermore, we try to take 2k = m to reduce the values of random variables and their corresponding probabilities at the same time, thus a new probability model is introduced, which is called as the related model of Feller's unfair-fair-game. We find out that this new model follows a long-tailed distribution. We obtain its weak law of large numbers, strong law of large numbers and central limit theorem. These results show that their probability limit behaviours of these two models are quite different.

LIMIT THEOREMS FOR MARKOV PROCESSES GENERATED BY ITERATIONS OF RANDOM MAPS

  • Lee, Oe-Sook
    • Journal of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.983-992
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    • 1996
  • Let p(x, dy) be a transition probability function on $(S, \rho)$, where S is a complete separable metric space. Then a Markov process $X_n$ which has p(x, dy) as its transition probability may be generated by random iterations of the form $X_{n+1} = f(X_n, \varepsilon_{n+1})$, where $\varepsilon_n$ is a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables (See, e.g., Kifer(1986), Bhattacharya and Waymire(1990)).

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Convergence in Probability for Weighted Sums of Fuzzy Random Variables

  • Joo, Sang-Yeol;Hyun, Young-Nam
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.275-283
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, we give a sufficient condition for convergence in probability of weighted sums of convex-compactly uniformly integrable fuzzy random variables. As a result, we obtain weak law of large numbers for weighted sums of convexly tight fuzzy random variables.

A Study on Experiments and Two Interpretations of Probability in 《Probability and Statistics》 and Its Educational Implications (《확률과 통계》의 시행과 두 가지 확률에 대한 고찰 및 교육적 시사점)

  • Lee, Gi Don
    • Journal for History of Mathematics
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.251-269
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    • 2018
  • Empirical probability and classical probability, which are two interpretations of Kolmogorov's axiom, are two ways to recognize the chances of events occurring in the real world. In this paper, I analyzed and suggested the contents of the high school textbooks ${\ll}$Probability and Statistics${\gg}$, associated with two interpretations of probability and experiments on which two interpretations are based. By presenting the cases required expressly stating what the experiment is for supporting students' understanding of some concepts, it was discussed that stating or not stating what the experiment is should be carefully determined by the educational intent. Especially, I suggested that in the textbooks we contrast the good idea of calculating the ratios of two possibilities in the imaginary world of the classical probability with the normal idea of grasping the chances of events through the frequencies in the real world of the empirical probability, with distinguishing the experiments in two interpretations of probability. I also suggested that in the textbooks we make it clear that the Weak Law of Large Numbers justifies our expectations of the frequencies' reflecting the chances of events occurring in the real world under ideal conditions. Teaching and learning about the aesthetic elements and the practicality of imaginary mathematical thinking supported by these textbooks statements could be one form of Humanities education in mathematics as STEAM education.

UNIFORM ASYMPTOTICS IN THE EMPIRICAL MEAN RESIDUAL LIFE PROCESS

  • Bae, Jong-Sic;Kim, Sung-Yeun
    • Journal of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.43 no.2
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    • pp.225-239
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    • 2006
  • In [5], Csorgo and Zitikis exposed the strong $uniform-over-[0,\;{\infty}]$ consistency, and weak $uniform-over-[0,\;{\infty}]$ approximation of the empirical mean residual life process by employing weight functions. We carry on the uniform asymptotic behaviors of the empirical mean residual life process over the whole positive half line by representing the process as an integral form. We compare our results with those of Yang [15], Hall and Wellner [8], and Csorgo and Zitikis [5].

ON CONVERGENCE OF SERIES OF INDEPENDENTS RANDOM VARIABLES

  • Sung, Soo-Hak;Volodin, Andrei-I.
    • Bulletin of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.38 no.4
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    • pp.763-772
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    • 2001
  • The rate of convergence for an almost surely convergent series $S_n={\Sigma^n}_{i-1}X_i$ of independent random variables is studied in this paper. More specifically, when S$_{n}$ converges almost surely to a random variable S, the tail series $T_n{\equiv}$ S - S_{n-1} = {\Sigma^\infty}_{i-n} X_i$ is a well-defined sequence of random variables with T$_{n}$ $\rightarrow$ 0 almost surely. Conditions are provided so that for a given positive sequence {$b_n, n {\geq$ 1}, the limit law sup$_{\kappa}\geqn | T_{\kappa}|/b_n \rightarrow$ 0 holds. This result generalizes a result of Nam and Rosalsky [4].

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Limiting Behavior of Tail Series of Independent Random Variable (독립인 확률변수들의 Tail 합의 극한 성질에 대하여)

  • Jang Yoon-Sik;Nam Eun-Woo
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.63-68
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    • 2006
  • For the almost co티am convergent series $S_n$ of independent random variables, by investigating the limiting behavior of the tail series, $T_n=S-S_{n-1}=\sum_{i=n}^{\infty}X_i$, the rate of convergence of the series $S_n$ to a random variable S is studied in this paper. More specifically, the equivalence between the tail series weak law of large numbers and a limit law is established for a quasi-monotone decreasing sequence, thereby extending a result of Previous work to the wider class of the norming constants.

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