• 융합정보논문지
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• 제8권5호
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• pp.251-261
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• 2018

중국은 ICT 기술의 발전에 힘입어 스마트 농업분야에서 선진국을 급격히 추격하고 있다. 본 논문에서는 추격이론을 이용하여, 중국의 양대 국가 전략인 중국제조2025와 일대일로 전략이 스마트농업을 발전시키는데 있어서 어떻게 "기회의 창"을 제공하는지 분석하고자 한다. 시간 차원의 기술 선진화 전략인 '중국제조2025'와 공간 차원의 시장 확대 전략인 '일대일로' 정책이 T자형 상승 작용을 이루어 스마트 농업의 발전을 이끌고 있음을 단계 생략형, 경로 창출형, 경로 추종형 3가지 유형으로 나누어 설명하였다. 한국 스마트 농업의 주요 수출 시장이며, 글로벌 시장에서 강력한 경쟁자인 중국 스마트 농업에 대한 이해를 통해 한국 스마트 농업의 해외진출 전략에 대한 시사점을 도출하였다.

• Journal of Contemporary Eastern Asia
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• 제20권2호
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• pp.210-236
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• 2021

China's Belt and Road Initiative infrastructure connectivity and other projects are presented in much of the discourse as a grand strategy to trap developing nations in debt, to exert asymmetric power and construct a new world economic order. The asymmetric relationship between China and Myanmar might therefore be expected to generate a range of political risks for stakeholders. Myanmar itself presents a "perfect storm" of problems, with dysfunctional governance, civil conflict, under-development and growing economic dependence on China. The Kyaukphyu port project and associated Special Economic Zone in Myanmar's troubled Rakhine state is investigated as a case study of risks on the Belt and Road. While worst case fears China might seize military control of the port appear unlikely, at least in current conditions, empirical observation indicates the complexity on the ground generates an array of other risks - as well as opportunities, should conditions allow. Further, despite challenges and constrained capacity, Myanmar governments have demonstrated agency, including by re-negotiating control and costs of the Kyaukphyu project. The case underlines that conditions are more complicated than simply China's asymmetric power. A sceptical approach is taken to normative discourses in order to build inductive understanding of how stakeholders and local experts perceive dynamics underway. A political risk approach is deployed to develop a framework to identify, analyse and assess risks for actors in relation to the Kyaukphyu project. The research findings are presented on an interim basis, given current constraints on field interviews due to the current crisis.

• Acta Via Serica
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• 제6권1호
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• pp.91-118
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• 2021

China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) is China's contribution to the need for the world to collectively address deficits of peace, development, governance, and problems relating to climate, the environment and human health. The rise of China and the BRI do challenge the current 'rules-based global order' and the economic dominance and moral, political, economic, and cultural leadership of the United States and its allies. However, China's goal is not hegemony but a multipolar world in which common values coexist with principles of peaceful coexistence (including non-interference in the internal affairs of sovereign states). The evolution of the BRI is outlined, and the ways in which it reflects Chinese interests are summarized, including its roles in addressing natural resource dependence and excess capacity, a transition from investment promotion and factor-intensive growth to going out and industrial upgrading, going West, and the effective deployment of China's foreign exchange assets. Although China does therefore potentially gain, the BRI is designed so that partners also gain in a quest for win-win co-operation and mutual benefit. The values that underlie this approach and the call for a community with a shared future are compared with competing western values, whose roots lie in Enlightenment thought and are associated with a record of colonialism and imperialism. In this light, the article concludes with a consideration of the global implications of the BRI, the challenges it confronts and the likelihood that the unipolar moment will give way to a multipolar global development path.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제9권4호
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• pp.229-238
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• 2022

The goal of this research is to look at the Belt and Road Initiative's (BRI) goals, principles, and priorities, as well as criticisms and concerns. Another goal is to determine the Vietnamese government's best response to the BRI. Finally, the study looks at the Vietnamese viewpoint. Document review is used in conjunction with PESTELED analysis and EIU country risk model technique in this study. The study is focused on in-depth interviews with 38 top government leaders, researchers, and scholars by adopting the Delphi technique to determine major factors of risks and opportunities as well as obtain a clearer view on the Vietnamese perspective of the BRI. The main conclusion is that Vietnam's participation in the BRI could result in a variety of benefits and risks, including economic development, connectivity and integration, development finance, cooperation, coordination, trade facilitation, and people-to-people communication, as well as diplomatic and political risks, financial risks, environmental challenges, and job creation. Another conclusion is suggested that careful and case-by-case negotiation with China is needed for Vietnam to exploit the future benefits of BRI. There is a need to set up the strategy to mitigate the risk impacts, reduce the risk level, avoid risk, at last turn the risk into opportunities.

• 무역학회지
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• 제45권3호
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• pp.35-54
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• 2020

China's 'One Belt One Road' initiative has had a profound impact on China's relationship with Central Asia, which shares borders at North-western region. Central Asia plays an important role in securing the export market of Chinese products, supply of raw materials, and transportation route to Europe. The inland port is of significance to facilitate the development of logistics, trade and industry in the surrounding areas by enabling the distribution and import and export clearance in the region by performing the role of the seaport on the hinterland. The purpose of this study is to analyze the effect of the development of inland ports in central and western China on the geopolitical relationship between China and Central Asia. To this end, we analyze the status of inland port development in China's Midwest by employing the SWOT-PEST analysis method to analyze the current status as well as prospects of trade, investment and transportation routes with Central Asia in terms of geopolitics. As a result of the analysis, the relations between China and Central Asian Countries are becoming more politically and economically close, but it has brought about serious challenges by domestic and foreign environmental changes. Therefore, the development of the inland ports in central and western China are determined by the geopolitical relations under 'One Belt One Road' initiative between China and Central Asia, while the development of the inland port is also expected to serve as a catalyst for the development of both regions.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제9권1호
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• pp.409-422
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• 2022

The purpose of this paper is to explore how the country-of-origin image mediates the effect of national stereotypes along two dimensions of perceived competence and warmth, on consumers' consumption behaviors, especially in today's environment, the capricious COVID-19 and the deepening and expanding "The Belt and Road" initiative. Research design, data, and methodology: After collecting 1500 primary data from twelve countries along the 21^st - Century Maritime Silk Road, this paper conducts ANOVA and SEM in SPSS25.0 and AMOS 24.0 separately to analyze measurements, structural models, and hypotheses via using 1277 final samples. The mediation results illustrate the asymmetric dominance of the two dimensions of national stereotypes, indicating that the country-of-origin image shows the complementary mediation in the effect of perceived competence on purchase intention; whereas, the country-of-origin image holds the indirect-only mediation in the impact of perceived warmth on purchase intention. The results of the moderation show that the effect of country-of-origin image on purchase intention is more significant for consumers who perceive COVID-19 in China to be of lesser severity than those who believe it to be of higher severity. Based on the paper's results, some implications for practice and theory are highlighted.

• 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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• 제19권7호
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• pp.335-347
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• 2019

중국의 '일대일로' 구상은 중국과 유라시아 경제권을 육상과 해상으로 연결하여 하나의 경제권을 형성하는 초대형 프로젝트이다. 따라서 순조롭게 진행될 경우 중국과 세계 경제발전의 새로운 동력은 물론 국제경제의 구도를 변화시키는 요인이 될 것이다. 특히 유라시아 대륙이 세계 경제의 중심으로 발전하는 계기가 될 수도 있다. 그러나 중국의 '일대일로' 구상은 거시적이고 장기적일 뿐만 아니라 복잡성을 내포하고 있어 발전을 낙관하기 어렵다. 하지만 '일대일로'는 중국이 2049년까지 완성한다는 장기적 국가발전 전략으로 강력하게 추진하고 있고, 현재 중국과 '일대일로' 연선 국가 간의 경제적 보완성이 강하고, 또 연선 국가들의 상당수가 '일대일로' 건설을 기대하고 있어서 가능성이 전혀 없는 것은 아니다. 특히 현재 중국이 추진하고 있는 '일대일로'의 다양한 정책적 내용으로 볼 때 발전 가능성을 완전히 배제할 수 없다. 설령 '일대일로'는 발전이 순조롭지 못하더라도 진행 과정만으로도 중국은 물론 주변국에 상당한 경제적 효과를 가져다줄 것이기 때문에 충분한 의미가 있다고 하겠다.

• Strategy21
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• 통권37호
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• pp.104-143
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• 2015

China's new grand strategy, the "One Belt, One Road Initiative" (also Belt Road Initiative, or BRI) has two primary components: Chinese President Xi Jinping announced the "Silk Road Economic Belt" in September 2013 during a visit to Kazakhstan, and the "21^st Century Maritime Silk Route Economic Belt" in a speech to the Indonesian parliament the following month. The BRI is intended to supply China with energy and new markets, and also to integrate the countries of Central Asia, the Association of Southeast Asia Nations (ASEAN), and the Indian Ocean Region - though not Northeast Asia - into the "Chinese Dream". The project will be supported by the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB), due to open in 2016 with 57 founding members from all around the world, and China has already promised US$ 50 billion in seed funding. China's vision includes networks of energy pipelines, railways, sea port facilities and logistics hubs; these will have obvious commercial benefits, but also huge geopolitical significance. China seems to have two distinct aims: externally, to restore its historical sphere of influence; and internally, to cope with income inequalities by creating middle-class jobs through enhanced trade and the broader development of its economy. In South Korea, opinion on the BRI is sharply polarized. Economic and industrial interests, including Korea Railroad Corporation (KORAIL), support South Korean involvement in the BRI and closer economic interactions with China. They see how the BRI fits nicely with President Park Geun-hye's Eurasia Initiative, and anticipate significant commercial benefits for South Korea from better connections to energy-rich Russia and the consumer markets of Europe and Central Asia. They welcome the prospect of reduced trade barriers between China and South Korea, and of improved transport infrastructure, and perceive the political risks as manageable. But some ardently pro-US pundits worry that the political risks of the BRI are too high. They cast doubt on the feasibility of implementing the BRI, and warn that although it has been portrayed primarily in economic terms, it actually reveals a crucial Chinese geopolitical strategy. They are fearful of China's growing regional dominance, and worried that the BRI is ultimately a means to supplant the prevailing US-led regional security structure and restore the Middle Kingdom order, with China as the only power that matters in the region. According to this view, once China has complete control of the regional logistics hubs and sea ports, this will severely limit the autonomy of China's neighbors, including South Korea, who will have to toe the Chinese line, both economically and politically, or risk their own peace and prosperity.

• 한국항만경제학회지
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• 제33권3호
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• pp.1-16
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• 2017

중국은 1970년대 후반 개방개혁정책과 더불어 급속한 경제성장을 이루어왔다. 중국 경제성장은 초기에 동남부 연해지역을 중심으로 시작되어 2000년대부터는 상대적으로 경제가 낙후된 서부 및 동북부 지역으로 확산되었다. 특히 2013년 시진핑의 '일대일로' 이니셔티브는 중국의 대외진출 전략인 동시에 이들 지역발전을 위한 중요한 계기를 마련해주고 있다. 내륙항은 내륙지역의 물류중심지로서 해양항만과 연계 및 주변 내륙국가로의 접근성을 강화시키는 데 결정적인 역할을 한다. 따라서 중국의 동북부 및 서부지역의 해외시장 진출 및 자원확보를 위해 다수의 내륙항이 개발 및 운영되고 있다. 본 연구는 일대일로 이니셔티브에서 내륙항의 역할과 발전을 전망해 보는 데 목적이 있다. 결론적으로 일대일로 이니셔티브에서 내륙항의 역할은 더욱 증대될 것이며 이에 대응하여 내륙항의 발전 역시 일대일로 이니셔티브에서 중추적 역할을 하게 될 것이다. 따라서 우리나라 기업은 중국 내륙항의 개발 및 운영에 참여할 수 있는 방안의 수립을 적극적으로 고려해야 할 것이며, 이는 중국, 러시아, 중앙아시아, 동유럽 지역으로 시장을 확대해 나가는 데 좋은 기회를 제공할 것이다.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제8권11호
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• pp.145-155
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• 2021

This study examines the export competitiveness of four major natural rubber exporters in the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) region and investigates the factors affecting bilateral natural rubber export. This study utilized the revealed symmetric comparative advantage (RSCA) to measure export competitiveness. Next, this study employed the gravity model using the Poisson Pseudo Maximum Likelihood (PPML) estimation to analyze the factors affecting bilateral export from the four major natural rubber exporters to 46 countries in the region. The analysis is conducted by using annual data from 2001 till 2018. The findings showed that all four major exporters maintained their export competitiveness. Indonesia and Vietnam notably exhibited increasing trends in the early 2000s. Besides, the market share for Malaysia and Vietnam have increased from 2013 to 2015 with the BRI implementation in 2013. In addition, this study discovered that non-tariff measures (NTM) have a positive and significant impact on the bilateral export of natural rubber. The overall findings strongly indicate that the natural rubber export has increased post BRI announcement. The outcome highlighted the benefits of BRI implementation on the natural rubber export. This study is the first attempt to apply the gravity model on the natural rubber exports within the BRI region.