• 한국전자통신학회논문지
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• 제16권2호
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• pp.329-338
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• 2021

본 연구는 풍력발전의 합리적인 운영 계획과 에너지 저장창치의 용량산정을 위한 풍력 발전량을 예측한다. 예측을 위해 물리적 접근법과 통계적 접근법을 결합하여 풍력 발전량의 예측 방법을 제시하고 풍력 발전의 요인을 분석하여 변수를 선정한다. 선정된 변수들의 과거 데이터를 수집하여 딥러닝을 이용해 풍력 발전량을 예측한다. 사용된 모델은 Bidirectional LSTM(:Long short term memory)과 CNN(:Convolution neural network) 알고리즘을 결합한 하이브리드 모델을 구성하였으며, 예측 성능 비교를 위해 MLP 알고리즘으로 이루어진 모델과 오차를 비교하여, 예측 성능을 평가하고 그 결과를 제시한다.

• 시스템엔지니어링학술지
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• 제19권2호
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• pp.18-31
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• 2023

Exploring artificial intelligence and machine learning for nuclear safety has witnessed increased interest in recent years. To contribute to this area of research, a machine learning model capable of accurately predicting nuclear power plant response with minimal computational cost is proposed. To develop a robust machine learning model, the Best Estimate Plus Uncertainty (BEPU) approach was used to generate a database to train three models and select the best of the three. The BEPU analysis was performed by coupling Dakota platform with the best estimate thermal hydraulics code RELAP/SCDAPSIM/MOD 3.4. The Code Scaling Applicability and Uncertainty approach was adopted, along with Wilks' theorem to obtain a statistically representative sample that satisfies the USNRC 95/95 rule with 95% probability and 95% confidence level. The generated database was used to train three models based on Recurrent Neural Networks; specifically, Long Short-Term Memory, Gated Recurrent Unit, and a hybrid model with Long Short-Term Memory coupled to Convolutional Neural Network. In this paper, the System Engineering approach was utilized to identify requirements, stakeholders, and functional and physical architecture to develop this project and ensure success in verification and validation activities necessary to ensure the efficient development of ML meta-models capable of predicting of the nuclear power plant response.

• 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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• 제26권10호
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• pp.179-184
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• 2021

본 논문에서는 딥러닝 기반의 순환신경망을 이용하여 선박 연료유 예측을 시도하였다. 해운업에서는 선박 운항비에서 연료유가 차지하는 비중이 가장 크고 가격 변동성도 크기 때문에, 해운 기업은 합리적이고 과학저인 방법으로 연료유를 예측하여 시장경쟁력을 확보할 수 있다. 본 논문에서는 순환신경망 모델 3가지(RNN, LSTM, GRU)를 이용하여 싱가폴의 HSFO 380CST 벙커유 가격을 단기 예측하였다. 예측결과, 첫째, 선박 연료유 단기적 예측을 위해서는 장기 메모리를 사용하는 LSTM, GRU보다는 일반적인 RNN 모델의 성능이 우수한 것으로 분석되어, 장기적 정보의 예측 기여가 낮은 것으로 분석되었다. 둘째, 계량경제학 모델을 사용한 선행연구와 비교하여 순환신경망 모델의 예측성능이 우수한 것으로 분석되어 연료유가의 비선형적 특성을 고려한 순환신경망 모델을 통한 예측 연구의 필요성을 확인하였다. 연구의 결과는 선박 연료유의 단기 예측을 통하여 해운기업의 선박 연료유 수급 결정과 같은 의사결정에 도움이 될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

• 한국시뮬레이션학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국시뮬레이션학회 2001년도 The Seoul International Simulation Conference
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• pp.116-122
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• 2001

A novel approach based on WaveARX neural network observer is proposed far the fault detect of a class of nonlinear systems which consist of known linear part and unknown nonlinear part. A linear observer is first designed, then a nonlinear compensation term in the nonlinear observer is estimated by using a deconvolution method. The WaveARX network is used to model the obtained compensation term. At last, the residual fur fault detection is generated based on the analysis of the upper bound approximate error. Simulation results have shown the feasibility and effectiveness of the method.

• The Korean Journal of Ecology
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• 제23권2호
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• pp.89-100
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• 2000

On community data. sampled in regular intervals on a long-term basis. artificial neural networks were implemented to extract information on characterizing patterns of community changes. The Adaptive Resonance Theory and Kohonen Network were both utilized in learning benthic macroinvertebrate communities in the Soktae Stream of the Suyong River collected monthly for three years. Initially, by regarding each monthly collection as a separate sample unit, communities were grouped into similar patterns after training with the networks. Subsequently, changes in communities in a sequence of samplings (e.g., two-month, four-month, etc.) were given as input to the networks. After training, it was possible to recognize new data set in line with the sampling procedure. Through the comparative study on benthic macroinvertebrates with these learning processes, patterns of community changes in chironomids diverged while those of the total benthic macro-invertebrates tended to be more stable.

• 한국공작기계학회논문집
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• 제14권1호
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• pp.52-57
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• 2005

In the foe of global competition, the requirements for the continuously increasing productivity, flexibility and quality(dimensional accuracy, mechanical properties and surface properties) have imposed a mai or change on steel manufacturing industries. Indeed, one of the keys to achieve this goal is the automation of the steel-making process using AI(Artificial Intelligence) techniques. The automation of hot rolling process requires the developments of several mathematical models for simulation and quantitative description of the industrial operations involved. In this paper, an on-line training neural network for both long-term teaming and short-term teaming was developed in order to improve the prediction of rolling force in hot rolling mill. This analysis shows that the predicted rolling force is very closed to the actual rolling force, and the thickness error of the strip is considerably reduced.

• 한국공작기계학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국공작기계학회 2003년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.124-129
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• 2003

In the face of global competitor the requirements flor the continuously increasing productivity, flexibility and quality(dimensional accuracy, mechanical properties and surface properties) have imposed a major change on steel manufacturing industries. Indeed, one of the keys to achieve this goal is the automation of the steel-making process using AI(Artificial Intelligence) techniques. The automation of hot rolling process requires the developments of several mathematical models fir simulation and quantitative description of the industrial operations involved. In this paper, a on-line training neural network for both long-term teaming and short-term teaming was developed in order to improve the prediction of rolling force in hot rolling mill. This analysis shows that the predicted rolling force is very closed to the actual rolling force, and the thickness error of the strip is considerably reduced.

• 한국콘텐츠학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국콘텐츠학회 2005년도 춘계 종합학술대회 논문집
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• pp.410-415
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• 2005

Recent measurements of local-area and wide-area traffic have shown that network traffic exhibits at a wide range of scales - Self-similarity. Self-similarity is expressed by long term dependency, this is contradictory concept with Poisson model that have relativity short term dependency. Therefore, first of all for design and dimensioning of next generation communication network, traffic model that are reflected burstness and self-similarity is required. Here self-similarity can be characterized by Hurst parameter. In this paper, when different many data traffic being integrated under various environments is arrived to communication network, Hurst Parameter's change is analyzed and compared with simulation results.

• 에너지공학
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• 제6권1호
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• pp.68-76
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• 1997

본 논문에서는 단기 부하예측을 위하여 인공신경망 모형을 제안하였다. 본 논문에서 제안된 인공신경망의 학습알고리즘은 기존의 역전파 알고리즘 보다 효과적으로 학습수렴이 빠르며 모수결정과 초기가중치 값들에 대한 의존도가 낮은 동적 적응 학습알고리즘을 개발하여 단기 부하예측에 그 적용 가능성을 시험하였다.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 1995년도 하계학술대회 논문집 B
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• pp.491-493
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• 1995

In this paper, the method of long-term load forecasting using a fuzzy neural network of which input is a fuzzy membership function value of a input variable like as GNP which is considered to affect demand of load. The proposed method was applicated in Korea Electric Power Corporation (KEPCO). The comparison with Error Back-Propagation Neural Network has been shown.