• Title/Summary/Keyword: Technology Valuation Model

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The External Benefits of Research and Development Investment in Waste-to-Energy Technology in Korea

  • Lim, Seul-Ye;Kim, Hyo-Jin;Yoo, Seung-Hoon
    • Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.208-224
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    • 2016
  • The Korean government considers expanding the WtE share of total energy from 1% to 5% by 2020 through research and development (R&D) in waste-to-energy (WtE) technologies. This study attempts to measure the external benefits of investing in R&D in these technologies. To this end, a contingent valuation (CV) is employed. More specifically, a 2016 national survey of randomly selected 1,000 households was carried out across the nation to gauge the willingness to pay (WTP) for the investment. One-and-one-half-bounded dichotomous choice question was used in the CV survey, and the spike model was applied to dealing with zero WTP responses. The mean yearly WTP is estimated to be KRW 4,175 (USD 3.57) per household, which is statistically significant at the 1% level. Expanding the value to the entire nation translates into an investment of about KRW 79.1 billion (USD 67.6 million), which can be interpreted as the annual external benefit of the R&D investment in WtE technology.

A Study on Patent Right Valuation Using Discounted Cash Flow (DCF를 이용한 특허가치평가에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Heung-Su
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.10 no.7
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    • pp.11-22
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    • 2012
  • Intangible assets are the important tool which decides upon economic wealth and development of knowledge-information economy. We have to make effective use of intangible assets in order to assure surplus earnings, competitive superiority. The importance of intangible assets, especially patent right, may be properly understood only when their values are assessed adequately. It is very significant to appraise rationally patent right value from finance support, technology transaction, investment decision, M&A, legal proceedings, strategy and etc. Thus the purpose of this study is to evaluate the economic value of a patent right using DCF(Discounted-Cash Flow Method). This paper presents the basic model, related principles and standards of valuation, and then, case analysis of patent right valuation using DCF.

A Study on Web-based Technology Valuation System (웹기반 지능형 기술가치평가 시스템에 관한 연구)

  • Sung, Tae-Eung;Jun, Seung-Pyo;Kim, Sang-Gook;Park, Hyun-Woo
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.23-46
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    • 2017
  • Although there have been cases of evaluating the value of specific companies or projects which have centralized on developed countries in North America and Europe from the early 2000s, the system and methodology for estimating the economic value of individual technologies or patents has been activated on and on. Of course, there exist several online systems that qualitatively evaluate the technology's grade or the patent rating of the technology to be evaluated, as in 'KTRS' of the KIBO and 'SMART 3.1' of the Korea Invention Promotion Association. However, a web-based technology valuation system, referred to as 'STAR-Value system' that calculates the quantitative values of the subject technology for various purposes such as business feasibility analysis, investment attraction, tax/litigation, etc., has been officially opened and recently spreading. In this study, we introduce the type of methodology and evaluation model, reference information supporting these theories, and how database associated are utilized, focusing various modules and frameworks embedded in STAR-Value system. In particular, there are six valuation methods, including the discounted cash flow method (DCF), which is a representative one based on the income approach that anticipates future economic income to be valued at present, and the relief-from-royalty method, which calculates the present value of royalties' where we consider the contribution of the subject technology towards the business value created as the royalty rate. We look at how models and related support information (technology life, corporate (business) financial information, discount rate, industrial technology factors, etc.) can be used and linked in a intelligent manner. Based on the classification of information such as International Patent Classification (IPC) or Korea Standard Industry Classification (KSIC) for technology to be evaluated, the STAR-Value system automatically returns meta data such as technology cycle time (TCT), sales growth rate and profitability data of similar company or industry sector, weighted average cost of capital (WACC), indices of industrial technology factors, etc., and apply adjustment factors to them, so that the result of technology value calculation has high reliability and objectivity. Furthermore, if the information on the potential market size of the target technology and the market share of the commercialization subject refers to data-driven information, or if the estimated value range of similar technologies by industry sector is provided from the evaluation cases which are already completed and accumulated in database, the STAR-Value is anticipated that it will enable to present highly accurate value range in real time by intelligently linking various support modules. Including the explanation of the various valuation models and relevant primary variables as presented in this paper, the STAR-Value system intends to utilize more systematically and in a data-driven way by supporting the optimal model selection guideline module, intelligent technology value range reasoning module, and similar company selection based market share prediction module, etc. In addition, the research on the development and intelligence of the web-based STAR-Value system is significant in that it widely spread the web-based system that can be used in the validation and application to practices of the theoretical feasibility of the technology valuation field, and it is expected that it could be utilized in various fields of technology commercialization.

Economic Effects of the Management Model far Environment Pollution in Gwangyang Bay (광양만 환경오염 관리모델 연구의 경제적 파급효과 분석)

  • Nam Kwanghyun;Kwon Sukjae;Oh Weeyeong
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.657-679
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    • 2004
  • The purpose of this paper is to measure economic impact of marine environment conservation research development project. Benefit-Cost(B/C) analysis and Contingent Valuation Methods(CVM) are used to valuate the benefits from the research development projects. A period of three years for research development fund is considered as a part of the costs and adjusted to the net present value (NPV) of the 2002 ending period. The environmental charges for marine environment improvement are considered for the benefit measurement. The benefits are estimated by using monthly average willingness to pay, which is 2,289 Korean won. The contribution of the developing a management model for environmental pollution in the Gwangyang Bay is evaluated utilizing survey data and information. Based on the assessment by expert groups, the contribution of the model was 37.5%. The research results showed that B/C ratio is 20.61, NPV is 89,200 million Korean won, and social rate of return is 185.7%. When the level of contribution is over 1.83% at the assessment of potential influence, it is recognized to be economically feasible. This research presents a quantitative framework for Research and Development projects for marine environment conservation, and it can be applied to decision making for the investment size of R&D projects.

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On the Relationship between Evaluation Indexes and Firms' Performance: An Empirical Study on Venture Firms in Korea (중소벤처기업성과와 국내 지원기관들의 평가지표간의 상관관계에 관한 실증연구)

  • Choi, Jong-Yeon;Yang, Dong-Woo
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.812-841
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    • 2006
  • Previous studies have shown that the ex-ante financial ratios, mainly used by financial institutions for loan evaluation purpose, are related to the ex-post finn's performance of venture firm's. The main objective of this study is to examine whether non-financial variables such as 'technology', 'marketability', and 'other business indexes' have extra explanatory power in forecasting the ex-post firm's performance of small and medium size venture firm's in Korea. The implications and results of this study are expected to be useful in loan evaluation, investment decision and internal management decisions of venture firms. Among small and medium sized manufacturing firms funded in the year of 1999 through 2005, 416 firms are selected for our analysis. The relationship between evaluation indexes and firm's success/failure is investigated using binary logistic regression analysis and factor analysis with an aid of SPSS program. The summarized results are as follows. First, current evaluation model, used for loan evaluation purpose for small and medium size manufacturing firms show the same discriminatory power as previous prediction model. Second, among the tested additional variables, significant indices are 'technological capability of CEO', 'managerial capability of CEO', and 'business feasibility'. Third, while previous studies on evaluation structure had 3 factors, this study showed that valuation's structure has 6 factors.

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Design of Valuation Model & Valuation Item for R&BD activation of National R&D Program (국가연구개발사업의 R&BD 활성화를 위한 평가항목 및 평가모델 설계)

  • An, Jeong-Eun;Kim, Ju-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.439-442
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    • 2008
  • 국가연구개발사업은 국가연구개발사업의 관리 등에 대한 규정 제17조에 의거하여 연구개발결과를 활용하는데 그 목적을 가진다. 그러나, 사실상 최근 국가연구개발사업을 통해 개발된 연구기술들은 특허 등의 라이선스를 획득하고 기술이전을 통해 사업화로 이어지는 사례가 매우 미미하다. 실제로 2005년 산업자원부의 조사에 따르면, 국가연구개발사업의 사업화 성공률은 평균 31.4%로 선진국의 1/2에도 못 미치는 수준이다. 따라서, 본 논문에서는 국가연구개발사업의 예산 대비 기술이전 및 확산을 통한 기술사업화 성공률을 높이기 위한 하나의 방법으로, 연구과제 평가 시 기술의 가치를 평가하여 그 평가결과를 예산배분에 반영 할 수 있도록 기술가치평가방법을 활용한 R&BD(Research &Business Development) 활성화를 위한 평가항목 및 개발될 기술의 사업성을 평가할 수 있는 평가모델을 설계하였다.

A Study on Customer's Satisfaction and Economic Valuation Model of Information Analysis Report (정보분석 보고서의 이용자 만족도 및 경제적 가치평가 측정에 관한 연구)

  • Jeong, Yion-Il;Moon, Yeong-Ho;Bae, Sang-Jin;Kim, Yoon-Jong
    • Journal of Information Management
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.167-182
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    • 2005
  • This study is to provide the customer's satisfaction and the economic evaluation model for the KISTI S&T Informaion Analysis Report with the results of the survey. Recently the important issue for the informaion analysis service is make policies that reflect the proper demand and satisfaction of customers. In this paper, we explain how the evaluate of information analysis service in the customer's satisfaction and the economic valuation model can be estimated using survey. In such a setting, the customer's satisfaction and the economic evaluation model are important methods for the reflection of monitored information in national scientific and technological policies.

Elaboration of Real Options Model and the Adequacy of Volatility

  • Sung, Tae-Eung;Park, Hyun-Woo
    • Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.225-244
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    • 2017
  • When evaluating the economic value of technology or business project, we need to consider the period and cost for commercialization. Since the discounted cash flow (DCF) method has limitations in that it can not consider consecutive investment or does not reflect the probabilistic property of commercialization cost, we often take it desirable to apply the concept of real options with key metrics of underlying asset value, commercialization cost, and volatility, while regarding the value of technology and investment as the opportunity value. We at this moment provide more elaborated real options model with the effective region of volatility, which reflects the uncertainty in the option pricing model (OPM).

The Study on the Quality Assessment Model of Aircraft Voice Recognition Software (항공기 음성인식 소프트웨어 품질 평가 모델 연구)

  • Lee, Seung-Mok
    • Journal of Software Assessment and Valuation
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.73-83
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    • 2019
  • Voice Recognition has recently been improved with AI(Artificial Intelligence) and has greatly improved the false recognition rate and provides an effective and efficient Human Machine Interface (HMI). This trend has also been applied in the defense industry, particularly in the aviation, F-35. However, for the quality evaluation of Voice Recognition, the defense industry, especially the aircraft, requires measurable quantitative models. In this paper, the quantitative evaluation model is proposed for applying Voice Recognition to aircraft. For the proposal, the evaluation items are identified from the Voice Recognition technology and ISO/IEC 25000(SQuaRE) quality attributes. Using these two perspectives, the quantitative evaluation model is proposed under aircraft operation condition and confirms the evaluation results.

A Study on the Forecasting Model of Technology Life Cycles by Analysis of US Patent Citation (특허인용 분석을 통한 기술수명예측모델 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Yoo, Sun-Hi
    • Journal of Information Management
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.93-112
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    • 2004
  • This study is intend to analyze the cited patent life time of US patent data via more objective way. It is based on exploratory approach which is one of various methods for technology forecasting. The life spans of cited patents of specific technological field are deduced from using informetric analysis of USPA database of KISTI, which is composed of US patent data covered from 1972 to present. The statistics of the results may help to estimate the economic life span of the specific technological area for technology valuation.