• Title/Summary/Keyword: Target Prediction

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Object tracking based on adaptive updating of a spatial-temporal context model

  • Feng, Wanli;Cen, Yigang;Zeng, Xianyou;Li, Zhetao;Zeng, Ming;Voronin, Viacheslav
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.11 no.11
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    • pp.5459-5473
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    • 2017
  • Recently, a tracking algorithm called the spatial-temporal context model has been proposed to locate a target by using the contextual information around the target. This model has achieved excellent results when the target undergoes slight occlusion and appearance changes. However, the target location in the current frame is based on the location in the previous frame, which will lead to failure in the presence of fast motion because of the lack of a prediction mechanism. In addition, the spatial context model is updated frame by frame, which will undoubtedly result in drift once the target is occluded continuously. This paper proposes two improvements to solve the above two problems: First, four possible positions of the target in the current frame are predicted based on the displacement between the previous two frames, and then, we calculate four confidence maps at these four positions; the target position is located at the position that corresponds to the maximum value. Second, we propose a target reliability criterion and design an adaptive threshold to regulate the updating speed of the model. Specifically, we stop updating the model when the reliability is lower than the threshold. Experimental results show that the proposed algorithm achieves better tracking results than traditional STC and other algorithms.

Three-Dimensional Conjugate Heat Transfer Analysis for Infrared Target Modeling (적외선 표적 모델링을 위한 3차원 복합 열해석 기법 연구)

  • Jang, Hyunsung;Ha, Namkoo;Lee, Seungha;Choi, Taekyu;Kim, Minah
    • Journal of KIISE
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    • v.44 no.4
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    • pp.411-416
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    • 2017
  • The spectral radiance received by an infrared (IR) sensor is mainly influenced by the surface temperature of the target itself. Therefore, the precise temperature prediction is important for generating an IR target image. In this paper, we implement the combined three-dimensional surface temperature prediction module against target attitudes, environments and properties of a material for generating a realistic IR signal. In order to verify the calculated surface temperature, we are using the well-known IR signature analysis software, OKTAL-SE and compare the result with that. In addition, IR signal modeling is performed using the result of the surface temperature through coupling with OKTAL-SE.

An Acceleration Method of Face Detection using Forecast Map (예측맵을 이용한 얼굴탐색의 가속화기법)

  • 조경식;구자영
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.31-36
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    • 2003
  • This paper proposes an acceleration method of PCA(Principal Component Analysis) based feature detection. The feature detection method makes decision whether the target feature is included in a given image, and if included, calculates the position and extent of the target feature. The position and scale of the target feature or face is not known previously, all the possible locations should be tested for various scales to detect the target. This is a search Problem in huge search space. This Paper proposes a fast face and feature detection method by reducing the search space using the multi-stage prediction map and contour Prediction map. A Proposed method compared to the existing whole search way, and it was able to reduce a computational complexity below 10% by experiment.

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A Study on the Quantitative Prediction Model for Setting the Target Value of Service Availability for a LRT Line (경전철 노선의 서비스가용도 목표값 설정을 위한 정량적 예측모델에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Chang-Hyung;Lee, Jong-Woo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.278-285
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    • 2012
  • The Service Availability (SA) in the viewpoint of passenger is used as the key performance indicator (KPI) of quality of service in Light Rail Transit (LRT) Public-Private Partnerships projects. But there are many disputes on the target value of SA because of the lack of experience in SA. The target value of SA should be set at an early stage of the project to be specified on the system specifications and operation plan. Therefore, this paper developed the quantitative prediction model of SA to set the reasonably achievable target value of SA at an early stage of the LRT project. Also this paper analyzed the relationship and differentiation of SA and Train Punctuality (TP) that is mostly compared with SA.

Visual Tracking of Moving Target Using Mobile Robot with One Camera (하나의 카메라를 이용한 이동로봇의 이동물체 추적기법)

  • 한영준;한헌수
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.9 no.12
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    • pp.1033-1041
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    • 2003
  • A new visual tracking scheme is proposed for a mobile robot that tracks a moving object in 3D space in real time. Visual tracking is to control a mobile robot to keep a moving target at the center of input image at all time. We made it possible by simplifying the relationship between the 2D image frame captured by a single camera and the 3D workspace frame. To precisely calculate the input vector (orientation and distance) of the mobile robot, the speed vector of the target is determined by eliminating the speed component caused by the camera motion from the speed vector appeared in the input image. The problem of temporary disappearance of the target form the input image is solved by selecting the searching area based on the linear prediction of target motion. The experimental results have shown that the proposed scheme can make a mobile robot successfully follow a moving target in real time.

A Comparative Study between Stock Price Prediction Models Using Sentiment Analysis and Machine Learning Based on SNS and News Articles (SNS와 뉴스기사의 감성분석과 기계학습을 이용한 주가예측 모형 비교 연구)

  • Kim, Dongyoung;Park, Jeawon;Choi, Jaehyun
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.221-233
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    • 2014
  • Because people's interest of the stock market has been increased with the development of economy, a lot of studies have been going to predict fluctuation of stock prices. Latterly many studies have been made using scientific and technological method among the various forecasting method, and also data using for study are becoming diverse. So, in this paper we propose stock prices prediction models using sentiment analysis and machine learning based on news articles and SNS data to improve the accuracy of prediction of stock prices. Stock prices prediction models that we propose are generated through the four-step process that contain data collection, sentiment dictionary construction, sentiment analysis, and machine learning. The data have been collected to target newspapers related to economy in the case of news article and to target twitter in the case of SNS data. Sentiment dictionary was built using news articles among the collected data, and we utilize it to process sentiment analysis. In machine learning phase, we generate prediction models using various techniques of classification and the data that was made through sentiment analysis. After generating prediction models, we conducted 10-fold cross-validation to measure the performance of they. The experimental result showed that accuracy is over 80% in a number of ways and F1 score is closer to 0.8. The result can be seen as significantly enhanced result compared with conventional researches utilizing opinion mining or data mining techniques.

Credit Card Bad Debt Prediction Model based on Support Vector Machine (신용카드 대손회원 예측을 위한 SVM 모형)

  • Kim, Jin Woo;Jhee, Won Chul
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.233-250
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, credit card delinquency means the possibility of occurring bad debt within the certain near future from the normal accounts that have no debt and the problem is to predict, on the monthly basis, the occurrence of delinquency 3 months in advance. This prediction is typical binary classification problem but suffers from the issue of data imbalance that means the instances of target class is very few. For the effective prediction of bad debt occurrence, Support Vector Machine (SVM) with kernel trick is adopted using credit card usage and payment patterns as its inputs. SVM is widely accepted in the data mining society because of its prediction accuracy and no fear of overfitting. However, it is known that SVM has the limitation in its ability to processing the large-scale data. To resolve the difficulties in applying SVM to bad debt occurrence prediction, two stage clustering is suggested as an effective data reduction method and ensembles of SVM models are also adopted to mitigate the difficulty due to data imbalance intrinsic to the target problem of this paper. In the experiments with the real world data from one of the major domestic credit card companies, the suggested approach reveals the superior prediction accuracy to the traditional data mining approaches that use neural networks, decision trees or logistics regressions. SVM ensemble model learned from T2 training set shows the best prediction results among the alternatives considered and it is noteworthy that the performance of neural networks with T2 is better than that of SVM with T1. These results prove that the suggested approach is very effective for both SVM training and the classification problem of data imbalance.

Reliability Prediction & Design Review for Core Units of Machine Tools (공작기계 핵심 Units의 신뢰성 예측 및 Design Review)

  • 이승우;송준엽;이현용;박화영
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 2003.06a
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    • pp.133-136
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    • 2003
  • In these days, the reliability analysis and prediction are applied for many industrial products and many products require guaranteeing the quality and efficiency of their products. In this study reliability prediction for core units of machine tools has been performed in order to improve and analyze its reliability. ATC(Automatic Tool Changer) and interface Card of PC-NC that are core component of the machine tools were chosen as the target of the reliability prediction. A reliability analysis tool was used to obtain the reliability data(failure rate database) for reliability prediction. It is expected that the results of reliability prediction be applied to improve and evaluate its reliability. Failure rate, MTBF (Mean Time Between Failure) and reliability for core units of machine tools were evaluated and analyzed in this study.

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Design Model of Constructed Wetlands for Water Quality Management of Non-point Source Pollution in Rural Watersheds (농촌유역의 비점원 오염 수질관리를 위한 인공습지 설계모형)

  • 최인욱;권순국
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.44 no.5
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    • pp.96-105
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    • 2002
  • As an useful water purification system for non-point source pollution in rural watersheds, interests in constructed wetlands are growing at home and abroad. It is well known that constructed wetlands are easily installed, no special managemental needs, and more flexible at fluctuating influent loads. They have a capacity for purification against nutrient materials such as phosphorus and nitrogen causing eutrophication of lentic water bodies. The Constructed Wetland Design Model (CWDM), developed through this study is consisted mainly of Database System, Runoff-discharge Prediction Submodel, Water Quality Prediction Submodel, and Area Assessment Submodel. The Database System includes data of watershed, discharge, water quality, pollution source, and design factors for the constructed wetland. It supplies data when predicting water quality and calculating the required areas of constructed wetlands. For the assessment of design flow, the GWLF (Generalized Watershed Loading Function) is used, and for water quality prediction in streams estimating influent pollutant load, Water Quality Prediction Submodel, that is a submodel of DSS-WQMRA model developed by previous works is amended. The calculation of the required areas of constructed wetlands is achieved using effluent target concentrations and area calculation equations that developed from the monitoring results in the United States. The CWDM is applied to Bokha watershed to appraise its application by assessing design flow and predicting water quality. Its application is performed through two calculations: one is to achieve each target effluent concentrations of BOD, SS, T-N and T-P, the other is to achieve overall target effluent concentrations. To prove the validity of the model, a comparison of unit removal rates between the calculated one from this study and the monitoring result from existing wetlands in Korea, Japan and United States was made. As a result, the CWDM could be very useful design tool for the constructed wetland in rural watersheds and for the non-point source pollution management.

A Novel Two-step Channel Prediction Technique for Adaptive Transmission in OFDM/FDD System (OFDM/FDD 시스템에서 Target QoS 만족을 위한 다단계 적응전송 채널예측기법)

  • Heo Joo;Chang Kyung-Hi
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.31 no.8A
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    • pp.745-751
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    • 2006
  • The transmitter requires knowledge of the channel status information in order to adopt the adaptive modulation and coding scheme(AMC) for OFDM system. But in the outdoor environment which the users have high mobility, the channel status information from the users is outdated, so that it induces the degradation of system throughput and packet error rate(PER) performance. To solve this problem, researches about applying channel prediction technique to the AMC scheme have been proceeded. Most channel prediction techniques assume that there is no channel variation in the predefined time duration, e.g., a slot. As a result, those techniques cannot compensate the degradation of PER performance resulting from the rapid variation of channel during the slot duration. This paper introduces a novel channel prediction technique for OFDM/FDD system to support adaptive modulation and coding scheme over rapidly time-varying multipath fading channel. The proposed channel prediction technique considers the time-varying nature of channel during the slot duration. Simulation results show that the AMC scheme of OFDM/FDD system utilizing the proposed channel prediction technique can guarantee the target PER of 1% without any loss of system throughput compared with the case supported by the conventional channel prediction under ITU-R Veh A 30km/h.