• 제목/요약/키워드: TIME model

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일관된 지연 효과를 고려한 다기간 DEA 모형 (A Multi-Period Input DEA Model with Consistent Time Lag Effects)

  • 정병호;장연상;이태한
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제42권3호
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    • pp.8-14
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    • 2019
  • Most of the data envelopment analysis (DEA) models evaluate the relative efficiency of a decision making unit (DMU) based on the assumption that inputs in a specific period are consumed to produce the output in the same period of time. However, there may be some time lag between the consumption of input resources and the production of outputs. A few models to handle the concept of the time lag effect have been proposed. This paper suggests a new multi-period input DEA model considering the consistent time lag effects. Consistency of time lag effect means that the time delay for the same input factor or output factor are consistent throughout the periods. It is more realistic than the time lag effect for the same output or input factor can vary over the periods. The suggested model is an output-oriented model in order to adopt the consistent time lag effect. We analyze the results of the suggested model and the existing multi period input model with a sample data set from a long-term national research and development program in Korea. We show that the suggested model may have the better discrimination power than existing model while the ranking of DMUs is not different by two nonparametric tests.

The Integration of Mobile GIS and Spatio-temporal Database for Evaluating Space-time Accessibility of an Individual: An Approach Based on Time Geography Model

  • Lee Yang-Won;Shibasaki Ryosuke
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2005년도 Proceedings of ISRS 2005
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    • pp.753-758
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    • 2005
  • This study attempts at building an integrated GIS computing framework for evaluating space-time accessibility of an individual with the approach of time geography model. The proposed method is based on the integration of mobile GIS and object-relational spatio-temporal database. Three components are central to our system: ( i ) mobile GIS application that transmits spatio-temporal trajectory data of an individual; ( ii ) spatio-temporal database server that incorporates the time geography model; and (iii) geovisualization client that provides time geographic queries to the spatio-temporal database. As for the mobile GIS application, spatio-temporal trajectory data collected by GPS-PDA client is automatically transmitted to the database server through mobile data management middleware. The spatio-temporal database server implemented by extending a generic DBMS provides spatio-temporal objects, functions and query languages. The geovisualization client illustrates 3D visual results of the queries about space-time path. space-time prism and space-time accessibility. This study shows a method of integrating mobile GIS and DBMS for time geography application, and presents an appropriate spatio-temporal data model for evaluating space-time accessibility of an individual.

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ASYMPTOTIC DISTRIBUTION OF THE DISCOUNTED PROPER DEFICIT IN THE DISCRETE TIME DELAYED RENEWAL MODEL

  • Bao, Zhen-Hua;Wang, Jing
    • 대한수학회보
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    • 제48권2호
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    • pp.325-334
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    • 2011
  • In this paper we consider the discrete time delayed renewal risk model. We investigate what will happen when the distribution function of the discounted proper deficit is asymptotic in the initial surplus. In doing this we establish several lemmas regarding some related ruin quantities in the discrete time delayed renewal risk model, which are of significance on their own right.

Mathematical Performance Model of Two-Tier Indexing Scheme in Wireless Data Broadcasting

  • Im, Seokjin
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • 제6권4호
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    • pp.65-70
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    • 2018
  • Wireless data broadcasting system that can support any number of clients is the effective alternative for the challenge of scalability in ubiquitous computing in IoT environment. In the system, it is important to evaluate quickly the performance parameter, the access time that means how quickly the client access desired data items. In this paper, we derive the mathematical model for the access time in the wireless data broadcast system adopting two-tier indexing scheme. The derived model enables to evaluate the access time without the complicated simulation. In order to evaluate the model, we compare the access time by the model with the access time by the simulation.

Real-time model updating for magnetorheological damper identification: an experimental study

  • Song, Wei;Hayati, Saeid;Zhou, Shanglian
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제20권5호
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    • pp.619-636
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    • 2017
  • Magnetorheological (MR) damper is a type of controllable device widely used in vibration mitigation. This device is highly nonlinear, and exhibits strongly hysteretic behavior that is dependent on both the motion imposed on the device and the strength of the surrounding electromagnetic field. An accurate model for understanding and predicting the nonlinear damping force of the MR damper is crucial for its control applications. The MR damper models are often identified off-line by conducting regression analysis using data collected under constant voltage. In this study, a MR damper model is integrated with a model for the power supply unit (PSU) to consider the dynamic behavior of the PSU, and then a real-time nonlinear model updating technique is proposed to accurately identify this integrated MR damper model with the efficiency that cannot be offered by off-line methods. The unscented Kalman filter is implemented as the updating algorithm on a cyber-physical model updating platform. Using this platform, the experimental study is conducted to identify MR damper models in real-time, under in-service conditions with time-varying current levels. For comparison purposes, both off-line and real-time updating methods are applied in the experimental study. The results demonstrate that all the updated models can provide good identification accuracy, but the error comparison shows the real-time updated models yield smaller relative errors than the off-line updated model. In addition, the real-time state estimates obtained during the model updating can be used as feedback for potential nonlinear control design for MR dampers.

Time Series Classification of Cryptocurrency Price Trend Based on a Recurrent LSTM Neural Network

  • Kwon, Do-Hyung;Kim, Ju-Bong;Heo, Ju-Sung;Kim, Chan-Myung;Han, Youn-Hee
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • 제15권3호
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    • pp.694-706
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    • 2019
  • In this study, we applied the long short-term memory (LSTM) model to classify the cryptocurrency price time series. We collected historic cryptocurrency price time series data and preprocessed them in order to make them clean for use as train and target data. After such preprocessing, the price time series data were systematically encoded into the three-dimensional price tensor representing the past price changes of cryptocurrencies. We also presented our LSTM model structure as well as how to use such price tensor as input data of the LSTM model. In particular, a grid search-based k-fold cross-validation technique was applied to find the most suitable LSTM model parameters. Lastly, through the comparison of the f1-score values, our study showed that the LSTM model outperforms the gradient boosting model, a general machine learning model known to have relatively good prediction performance, for the time series classification of the cryptocurrency price trend. With the LSTM model, we got a performance improvement of about 7% compared to using the GB model.

궤도상을 이동하는 커서 이동시간의 예측 모델 (A Time Prediction Model of Cursor Movement with Path Constraints)

  • 홍승권;김성일
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제31권4호
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    • pp.334-340
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    • 2005
  • A mouse is an important input device that is used in most of all computer works. A mouse control time prediction model was proposed in this study. Especially, the model described the time of mouse control that made a cursor to move within path constraints. The model was developed by a laboratory experiment. Cursor movement times were measured in 36 task conditions; 3 levels of path length, 3 levels of path width and 4 levels of target's width. 12 subjects participated in all conditions. The time of cursor movement with path constraints could be better explained by the combination of Fitts' law with steering law($r^2=0.947$) than by the other models; Fitts' law($r^2=0.740$), Steering law($r^2=0.633$) and Crossman's model($r^2=0.897$). The proposed model is expected to be used in menu design or computer game design.

지능형 디지탈 재설계를 이용한 도립 진자의 디지탈 제어 (Digital Control of An Inverted Pendulum by Using Intelligent Digital Redesign)

  • 장욱;주영훈;박진배
    • 대한전기학회논문지:시스템및제어부문D
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    • 제50권10호
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    • pp.457-463
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    • 2001
  • This paper presents a simple and new digital redesign algorithm for fuzzy-model-based controllers. In the first stage, a continuous-time TS fuzzy model is constructed for a given continuous-time nonlinear system and a corresponding continuous-time fuzzy-model-based controller is established based on the existing controller synthesis algorithms. In the second stage, the continuous-time fuzzy-model-based controller is converted to equivalent discrete-time fuzzy-model-based controller, aiming at maintaining the property of the analogue controlled system, which are called intelligent digital redesign. Finally, the proposed method is applied to the digital control of inverted pendulum system to shows the effectiveness and the effectiveness and the feasibility of the method.

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Stochastic structures of world's death counts after World War II

  • Lee, Jae J.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제29권3호
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    • pp.353-371
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    • 2022
  • This paper analyzes death counts after World War II of several countries to identify and to compare their stochastic structures. The stochastic structures that this paper entertains are three structural time series models, a local level with a random walk model, a fixed local linear trend model and a local linear trend model. The structural time series models assume that a time series can be formulated directly with the unobserved components such as trend, slope, seasonal, cycle and daily effect. Random effect of each unobserved component is characterized by its own stochastic structure and a distribution of its irregular component. The structural time series models use the Kalman filter to estimate unknown parameters of a stochastic model, to predict future data, and to do filtering data. This paper identifies the best-fitted stochastic model for three types of death counts (Female, Male and Total) of each country. Two diagnostic procedures are used to check the validity of fitted models. Three criteria, AIC, BIC and SSPE are used to select the best-fitted valid stochastic model for each type of death counts of each country.

동적 소셜네트워크 구조 변수를 적용한 가상 재화 구매 모형 연구 (Study of Virtual Goods Purchase Model Applying Dynamic Social Network Structure Variables)

  • 이희태;배정호
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제17권3호
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    • pp.85-95
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    • 2019
  • Purpose - The existing marketing studies using Social Network Analysis have assumed that network structure variables are time-invariant. However, a node's network position can fluctuate considerably over time and the node's network structure can be changed dynamically. Hence, if such a dynamic structural network characteristics are not specified for virtual goods purchase model, estimated parameters can be biased. In this paper, by comparing a time-invariant network structure specification model(base model) and time-varying network specification model(proposed model), the authors intend to prove whether the proposed model is superior to the base model. In addition, the authors also intend to investigate whether coefficients of network structure variables are random over time. Research design, data, and methodology - The data of this study are obtained from a Korean social network provider. The authors construct a monthly panel data by calculating the raw data. To fit the panel data, the authors derive random effects panel tobit model and multi-level mixed effects model. Results - First, the proposed model is better than that of the base model in terms of performance. Second, except for constraint, multi-level mixed effects models with random coefficient of every network structure variable(in-degree, out-degree, in-closeness centrality, out-closeness centrality, clustering coefficient) perform better than not random coefficient specification model. Conclusion - The size and importance of virtual goods market has been dramatically increasing. Notwithstanding such a strategic importance of virtual goods, there is little research on social influential factors which impact the intention of virtual good purchase. Even studies which investigated social influence factors have assumed that social network structure variables are time-invariant. However, the authors show that network structure variables are time-variant and coefficients of network structure variables are random over time. Thus, virtual goods purchase model with dynamic network structure variables performs better than that with static network structure model. Hence, if marketing practitioners intend to use social influences to sell virtual goods in social media, they had better consider time-varying social influences of network members. In addition, this study can be also differentiated from other related researches using survey data in that this study deals with actual field data.