• 제목/요약/키워드: T-Model

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시계열분석을 이용한 한국 명태어업의 어획량 예측 : AIC (Prodiction of Walleye Pollock , Theragra Chalcogramma , Landings in Korea by Time Series Analysis : AIC)

  • 박해훈;윤갑동
    • 수산해양기술연구
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    • 제32권3호
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    • pp.235-240
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    • 1996
  • Forecasts of monthly landings of walleye pollock, Theragra chalcogramma, in Korea were carried out by the seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average(ARlMA) model. The Box - Cox transformation on the walleye pollock catch data handles nonstationary variance. The equation of Box - Cox transformation was Y'=($Y^0.31$_ 1)/0.31. The model identification was determined by minimum AIC(Akaike Information Criteria). And the seasonal ARlMA model is presented (1- O.583B)(1- $B^1$)(l- $B^12$)$Z_t$ =(l- O.912B)(1- O.732$B^12$)et where: $Z_t$=value at month t ; $B^p$ is a backward shift operator, that is, $B^p$$Z_t$=$Z_t$-P; and et= error term at month t, which is to forecast 24 months ahead the walleye pollock landings in Korea. Monthly forecasts of the walleye pollock landings for 1993~ 1994, which were compared with the actual landings, had an absolute percentage error(APE) range of 20.2-226.1 %. Thtal observed annual landings in 1993 and 1994 were 16, 61OM/T and 1O, 748M/T respectively, while the model predicted 10, 7 48M/T and 8, 203M/T(APE 37.0% and 23.7%, respectively).

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쌍끌이 중층트롤어법의 연구 ( 1 ) - 모형어구의 망구형상에 관하여 - ( A Study on the Pair Midwater Trawling ( 1 ) - Mouth Performance of the Model Net - )

  • 이병기
    • 수산해양기술연구
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    • 제31권1호
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    • pp.29-44
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    • 1995
  • A model experiment on the pair midwater trawl net applicable to 800 PS class Korean pair bottom trawlers was carried out in the special-prepared experimental thank. the tank was prepared as a reverse trapezoid shape in its vertical section by digging out flat soil. The dimension of the tank showed the 9.6 W$\times$43.0 L(m) of the upper fringe and the 4.8 W$\times$38.0 L(m) of the bottom with 3.0m in depth. The depth of water was maintained 2.7m during experiment. The model net was prepared based on the Tauti's similarity law of fishing gear in 1/30 scale considering the dimension of the experimental tank. Mouth performance of the model net during towing were determined by the photographs taken in front of the net mouth with the combinations of towing velocity, warp length and distance between paired boats. The results obtained can be summarized as follows: 1. Vertical opening of the model nets A and B was varied in the range of 0.18~0.88 m and 0.21~0.78 m (which can be converted into 5.4~26.4m and 6.3~23.4 m in the full-scale net) respectively, and was varied predominantly by towing speed. Vertical opening (H which is appendixed m for the model net. f for the full-scale net. A and B for the types of the model net) can be expressed as the function of towing velocity$V_t$as in the model net $V_t$ : m/ sec)$H_{mA}$=1.67$e^{-1.65V_t}$ $H_{mB}$=1.15$e^{-1.13V_t}$, in the full-scale net ($V_t$ : k't) $H_{fA}$=50.27$e^-0.37V_t$ $H_{fB}$=34.46$e^{-0.26Vt}$. 2. Horizontal opening of the model nets An and b was varied in the range of 1.03~1.54m and 1.04~1.55 m (which can be converted into 30.9~46.2 m and 31.2~46.5m in the full-scale net) respectively, and was varied predominantly by distance between paired boats. Horizontal opening (W, appendixes are as same as the former) an be expressed as the function of distance between paired boats $D_b$as in the model net $W_{mA}$=0.69+0.09$D_b$ $W{mB}$=0.73+0.09$D_b$, in the full-scale net $W_{fA}$=20.81+0.09$D_b$ $W_{fB}$=22.11+0.09$D_b$ 3. Net opening area of the model net A and B was varied in the range of 0.28~1.04 $m^2$ and 0.33~0.94$m^2$(which can be converted into 252~936$m^2$ and 297~846$m^2$ in the full-scale net) respectively, and was varied predominantly by towing velocity. Net opening area ($S$, appendixes are as same as the former) van be expressed as the function of towing velocity$V_t$ as in the model net $v_t$ : m/sec) $S_{Ma}$=2.01$e^{-1.54V_T}$ $S_{mA}$=1.40$e^{-1.65V_t}$, in the full-scale net ($V_t$ : k't) $S_{fA}$=1.807$e^-0.35V_t$ $S_{fA}$=1.265$e^{-0.24V_t}$. 4. Filtering volume of the model nets A and B was varied in the range of 0.32~0.55 $m^3$ and 0.37~0.55$m^3$(which can be converted into 8.640~14.850 $m^3$ and 9.990~14.850$m3$in the full~scale net) respectively, and was predominantly varied by towing speed. filtering volume of the model net-A showed the maximum at the towing speed 0.69 m/sec(3 k't in the full-scale net), compared with that of the model net B showed at 0.92 m/sec(4 k't in the full-scale net).

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Fuzzy Linear Regression with the Weakest t-norm

  • Lee, Sung-Ho;Kim, Kyung-Moo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.105-111
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    • 1998
  • In this paper a fuzzy regression model based on the weakest t-norm is introduced. The model shows a regression model which has fuzzy coefficients and fuzzy variables.

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T-S 퍼지모델을 이용한 이산 시간 비선형계통의 상태 궤환 선형화 (State Feedback Linearization of Discrete-Time Nonlinear Systems via T-S Fuzzy Model)

  • 김태규;왕법광;박승규;윤태성;안호균;곽군평
    • 한국지능시스템학회논문지
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    • 제19권6호
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    • pp.865-871
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    • 2009
  • 본 논문은 이산 시간 비선형 시스템을 이산 시간 T-S 퍼지 모델에 의해 표현되는 새로운 궤환 선형화에 대해서 논한다. T-S fuzzy 모델의 국부적인 선형 모델들은 각각 가제어 표준형으로 변환되어지고, 그것들의 T-S 퍼지 결합은 궤환 선형화 가능한 T-S fuzzy 모델이 된다. 이 모델을 토대로 비선형 상태 궤환 선형 입력이 결정된다. 비선형 상태 변환은 가제어 표준형에 대한 선형 상태 변환으로부터 추론된다. 본 논문에서 제안하는 방법은 충분한 수학적 배경이 요구되는 고전적인 궤환 선형화 기법과 비교하여 수학적으로 보다 직관적이고 이해하기 쉽다. 본 논문의 궤환 선형화 조건은 고전적인 궤환 선형화와 비교하여 더 완화되었다. 이것은 고전적인 선형화방식 보다 더 큰 범주의 비선형 시스템이 선형화가 가능해진다는 것을 의미 한다.

Topex/Poseidon 고도계 자료를 이용한 북동 아시아 해역의 조석 산정 (Computation of Tides in the Northeast Asian Sea by Blending the Topex/Poseidon Altimeter Data)

  • 김창식;;;이종찬
    • 한국해양학회지:바다
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2001
  • Topex/Poseidon(T/P)고도계 자료를 조석 수치 모델에 혼합하여 북동 아시아 해역의 $M_2,\;S_2,\; K_1$, 및 $O_1$ 분조를 $5'{\times}5'$ 분해능으로 계산하여, 북동 아시아의 조석을 산정하였다. Blending 방법에 사용되는 가중 인자 값에 대한 모델반응을 검토하기 위해 $M_2$ 분조만을 고려한 수치 실험이 수행되었으며, 수치 실험을 통해 T/P 자료를 정확히 재현하되 혼합함으로써 발생하는 잡음을 줄이기 위해 가중 인자 값은 수심의 평방근에 반비례하도록 설정하였다. T/P자료에서 구한 $M_2,\;S_2,\; K_1$, 및 $O_1$ 분조를 동시에 혼합한 수치 모델 결과는 연구 해역 내의 모든 T/P궤도 자료와 비교되었다. 진폭 오차와 지각 오차의 평균은 거의 0으로 나타났다. 진폭 오차의 표준 편차는 2 cm 내외였으며, 지각오차의 표준 편차는 $10^{\circ}$보다 작았다. T/P자료를 혼합한 모델 결과는 특히 얕은 수심(h<250m)의 T/P 궤도 자료와 거의 일치하는 것으로 나타났다. 그러나 T/P 자료만으로부터 계산된 진폭과 지각은 깊은 수심 해역에 대해서는 불합리한 공간 변화를 보이는 반면, 이들 자료를 동화시킨 모델 결과는 T/P 자료와는 차이를 보이나 합리적인 진폭과 지각의 공간 분포를 보였다. 한편 T/P자료를 혼합한 모델 결과는 자료 동화에 사용하지 않은 연안 관측 자료와도 비교적 잘 일치하였다.

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다목적선형계획법을 이용한 한국 정보통신 기술분야별 R&D 투자규모결정 모형개발 및 사례연구 (R&D Investment Model for the Information and Telecommunications Technology by Multiple Objective Linear Programming)

  • 이동엽
    • 경영과학
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.63-74
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    • 1999
  • This paper presents a R&D investment model for the Information and telecommunications(l&T) technology using multiple objective linear programming(MOLP). The MOLP model involves the simultaneous maximization of three linear objective functions associated with three criteria, which are social, technological, and economic criterion. This model is different from the traditional one which only involves the maximization of economic criterion. It yields a suitable R&D investment ratio to each technology field. Its application to the National R&D Project in l&t Industry is also presented. In this application, the Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP) is proposed to estimate the weights, which used as the coefficients in each objective function of the MOLP model. Then the problem is solved using the interactive method STEM. It is showed that with the aid of STEM, the MOLP model can be useful decision aid in formulation R&D investment plan in l&t industry. It is expected that the MOLP model works as the basis for planning R&D investment strategy in l&T industry.

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오염부하량 산정을 위한 GWLF 모형의 적용 (Application of GWLF Model to Predict Watershed Pollutant Loadings)

  • 장중석;이남호
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.77-88
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    • 2001
  • In order to evaluate the applicability of GWLF model which can efficiently estimate non-point and point source pollutant loadings in rural watershed including urban district, the model was applied to an experimental watershed. The model was calibrated using observed data such as daily runoffs, sediment yields, T-N, and T-P. Simulated daily runoffs and sediment yields by the model using calibrated parameters were in food agreement with the observed data. There were difference between the simulated and observed nutrient loading which was considered resonable. The simulated results by the model showed that T-N, T-P and sediment yields were dependent on the amount of stream runoff discharge and land use. GWLF model is believed to applicable to estimate amount of pollutant loading of non-point source pollution for the water qualify control of agricultural watersheds.

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장주기모델로 구성된 다개체시스템의 퍼지 군집제어 (Fuzzy Formation Controlling Phugoid Model-Based Multi-Agent Systems)

  • 문지현;이재준;이호재
    • 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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    • 제22권7호
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    • pp.508-512
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    • 2016
  • This paper discusses a Takagi-Sugeno (T-S) fuzzy controller design problem for a phugoid model-based multi-agent system. The error between the state of a phugoid model and a reference is defined to construct a multi-agent system model. A T-S fuzzy model of the multi-agent system is built by introducing a nonlinear controller. A fuzzy controller is then designed to stabilize the T-S fuzzy model, where the synthesis condition is represented in terms of linear matrix inequalities.

On the Optimal Adaptive Estimation in the Semiparametric Non-linear Autoregressive Time Series Model

  • So, Beong-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.149-160
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    • 1995
  • We consider the problem of optimal adaptive estiamtion of the euclidean parameter vector $\theta$ of the univariate non-linerar autogressive time series model ${X_t}$ which is defined by the following system of stochastic difference equations ; $X_t = \sum^p_{i=1} \theta_i \cdot T_i(X_{t-1})+e_t, t=1, \cdots, n$, where $\theta$ is the unknown parameter vector which descrives the deterministic dynamics of the stochastic process ${X_t}$ and ${e_t}$ is the sequence of white noises with unknown density $f(\cdot)$. Under some general growth conditions on $T_i(\cdot)$ which guarantee ergodicity of the process, we construct a sequence of adaptive estimatros which is locally asymptotic minimax (LAM) efficient and also attains the least possible covariance matrix among all regular estimators for arbitrary symmetric density.

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정신 박약 아동 어머니의 스트레스와 적응에 관한 구조 모형 (A Structural Model for Maternal Adaptation and Family Stress in Families with Mentally Retarded Children)

  • 이경희
    • 대한간호학회지
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.476-490
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    • 1992
  • This study was designed to develop and test a structural model for maternal adaptation and family stress in families with mentally handicapped children. A hypothetical model was constructed on the basis of the family stress theory developed by McCubbin etc. The model included 6 theoretical concepts and 11 paths. For the purpose of the model testing, empirical data were collected from May to August, 1992. The subjects of the study constituted 190 mothers of children in five special schools and one private institute in Seoul and Choong Nam. An SPSS PC+ and PC-LISREL 7.13 computer programs were used for descriptive and covariance structure analysis. The results of the study were as follows. (1) The hypothetical model showed itself a good fit to the empirical data [Chi - square=18.35(df=7, P=0.005), Goodness of Fit Index=0.991, Adjusted Goodness of Fit Index=0.959, Root Mean Square Residual=0.042), Non Normed Fit Index=0.90, Normed Fit Index=0.96]. (2) The results of Hypothesis testing indicated : 1) Social support(${\gamma}$$_{11}$=.238, T=2.352), Family functioning(${\gamma}$$_{12}$=.729, T=5.957) and Family life event stress(${\gamma}$$_{13}$=.125) had direct effects on situational definition. 2) Life event stress(${\gamma}$$_{23}$=.319, T=3.872) had direct effects on the effect of the handicapped child on the family. Family functioning(${\gamma}$$_{22}$=-.245) and situational definition($\beta$$_{21}$=-.335, T=3.227) had direct effects on the effect of the handicapped child on the family. 3) Situational definition($\beta$$_{31}$=-.273, T=3.493), family life event stress (${\gamma}$$_{33}$=.124, T=2.169) and the effect of the handicapped child on the family($\beta$$_{32}$=.264, T=-3.227) showed the direct effect on the maternal adaptation. The model was supported by the empirical data. Thus it was suggested that the model could be applied to family nursing care with the families with the mentally handicapped. The construction and testing of the comprehensive model seem to be the first trial in Korea.a.a.a.

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