• Title/Summary/Keyword: Supply rate

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A Time Series Analysis and Forecasting of Chestnut Prices (밤 가격(價格)의 시계열분석(時系列分析)과 예측(豫測)에 관(關)한 연구(硏究))

  • Cho, Eung Hyouk
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.73 no.1
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    • pp.70-75
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    • 1986
  • The secular trend and seasonal variation of chestnut prices have been analyzed, and the production and price for the next two decades (1985-2004) have been forecasted by the derived equation model. The results of the study can be summarized as follows; 1) The chestnut prices went up at the rate of 10.95% per annum during 1965-1972, but, due to excessive supply of chestnuts, went down at the rate of 7.25% during 1973-1984. 2) In a year, the prices were lowest at the harvesting season, especially on October, and highest on July. Such a seasonal fluctuations of chestnut prices tend to be even with the passage of time, but the range of fluctuation is still wide. 3) It was forecasted under certain premises that the annual chestnut production will be increased by 99,000 tons in 1992, but the amount will fall rapidly to about 23,000 tons in 2004. The prices will be similar to the present level or have slightly upward Tendency until 1992, but this will be rapidly raised thereafter.

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User-Centered Climate Change Scenarios Technique Development and Application of Korean Peninsula (사용자 중심의 기후변화 시나리오 상세화 기법 개발 및 한반도 적용)

  • Cho, Jaepil;Jung, Imgook;Cho, Wonil;Hwang, Syewoon
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.13-29
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    • 2018
  • This study presented evaluation procedure for selecting appropriate GCMs and downscaling method by focusing on the climate extreme indices suitable for climate change adaptation. The procedure includes six stages of processes as follows: 1) exclusion of unsuitable GCM through raw GCM analysis before bias correction; 2) calculation of the climate extreme indices and selection of downscaling method by evaluating reproducibility for the past and distortion rate for the future period; 3) selection of downscaling method based on evaluation of reproducibility of spatial correlation among weather stations; and 4) MME calculation using weight factors and evaluation of uncertainty range depending on number of GCMs. The presented procedure was applied to 60 weather stations where there are observed data for the past 30 year period on Korea Peninsula. First, 22 GCMs were selected through the evaluation of the spatio-temporal reproducibility of 29 GCMs. Between Simple Quantile Mapping (SQM) and Spatial Disaggregation Quantile Delta Mapping (SDQDM) methods, SQM was selected based on the reproducibility of 27 climate extreme indices for the past and reproducibility evaluation of spatial correlation in precipitation and temperature. Total precipitation (prcptot) and annual 1-day maximum precipitation (rx1day), which is respectively related to water supply and floods, were selected and MME-based future projections were estimated for near-future (2010-2039), the mid-future (2040-2069), and the far-future (2070-2099) based on the weight factors by GCM. The prcptot and rx1day increased as time goes farther from the near-future to the far-future and RCP 8.5 showed a higher rate of increase in both indices compared to RCP 4.5 scenario. It was also found that use of 20 GCM out of 22 explains 80% of the overall variation in all combinations of RCP scenarios and future periods. The result of this study is an example of an application in Korea Peninsula and APCC Integrated Modeling Solution (AIMS) can be utilized in various areas and fields if users want to apply the proposed procedure directly to a target area.

Development of Low-Cost, Double-Speed, High-Precision Operation Control System for Range Extender Engine (레인지 익스텐더 전기자동차 엔진용 저가형 2단속도 고정밀 운전제어시스템 개발)

  • Ham, Yun-Young;Lee, Jeong-Jun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.19 no.11
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    • pp.529-535
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    • 2018
  • The range extender vehicle runs on a mechanism that allows the small power generation engine to start in the most efficient specific operating range to charge the battery and extend the mileage. In this study, we developed a step motor type intake air supply system that replaces existing throttle body system to develop a simple low cost control logic system. The system was applied to the existing base engine, and in order to improve the performance by increasing the amount of intake air, the effect of changing the length of the intake and exhaust manifold was experimentally examined. As a result, the Type B intake air control actuator operated by one step motor showed higher performance than the Type A in all the operation region, but the performance was lower than that of the base engine due to the increase of flow resistance. To improve this, it was confirmed that the engine performance was improved at both speeds of 2200rpm and 4300rpm when the 140mm adapter was installed in the intake manifold and when the newly designed 70mm exhaust manifold was applied. Through this process, high - precision operation control was realized by connecting the generator load to the optimized engine for the range extender electric vehicle. Experimental results showed that the speed change rate was within ${\pm}2.5%$ at 2200rpm in 1st stage and 4300rpm in 2nd stage and the speed follow-up result of 610 rpm/s was obtained when the speed was increased from 2200rpm to 4300rpm.

A Study on the Drop-in Tests of a Small Ice Maker Using R-404A Replacements R-448A and R-449A (소형 제빙기에 사용되는 R-404A 대체 R-448A, R-449A의 Drop-in Test에 대한 연구)

  • Lee, Byungmoo;Kim, Nae-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.21-27
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    • 2019
  • R-404A, which is used widely in small-scale ice makers, is scheduled to be phased out because of its high global warming potential. In this study, drop-in tests were conducted using R-448A and R-449A, which replace R-404A, to modify the outdoor air and supply water temperatures. The results showed that the daily ice production rate of R-404A was 5.3% higher than that of R-448A and 4.2% higher than that of R-449A. This was attributed to the larger vapor density of R-404A, which resulted in a larger mass flow rate in the system. Between R-448A and R-449A, R-448A yielded a larger amount of ice at low air and water temperatures, whereas R-449A yielded a larger amount of ice at high air and water temperatures. The daily power consumption of R-404A was approximately 10% larger than those of R-448A and R-449A. The resulting COPs of R-448A and R-449A was similar, only 3.0% larger than that of R-404A. The literature survey showed that the condensation or evaporation data of R-448A or R-449A are very limited, and research on this issue is recommended.

Performance Analysis of Pyrotechnic Devices on the Reliability of Thermal Batteries (열전지의 신뢰성에 미치는 파이로테크닉 부품의 특성분석)

  • Cheong, Hae-Won;Kang, Sung-Ho;Kim, Kiyoul;Cho, Jang-Hyeon;Ryu, Byungtae;Baek, Seung-Su
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.116-123
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    • 2019
  • Thermal batteries are also called molten-salt batteries as the electrolyte is mainly composed of molten salt. The molten-salt electrolyte is a solid that does not conduct electricity at room temperature, but when it is melted by a pyrotechnic heat source, it becomes an excellent ionic conductor. Thermal batteries are a kind of pyrotechnic battery because they operate only when the solid electrolyte is melted by the heat energy provided by pyrotechnic materials. Pyrotechnic components used in a thermal battery include heat sources, fuse strips, and an igniter. The reliability of these pyrotechnic components critically affects the reliability and performance of the battery that must supply electricity stably to guided munitions even under extreme environmental conditions. Different igniter types offer different advantages: notch-type igniters offer improved ignition probability, whereas film-type igniters offer improved safety. The addition of metal oxides to the heat paper could improve the burn rate, and the ignition reliability could be greatly improved by using it with a flame igniter at the same time. Using a two-step reduction process, high-purity Fe particles in coral form can be safely obtained.

Optimal Management Scheme for Phosphorus Discharged from Public Sewage Treatment Plant Located in Upstream Basin of Paldang Lake (팔당호 상류수계에 위치한 공공 하수종말처리시설의 총인 배출 최적관리)

  • Woo, Younggug;Park, Eunyoung;Jeon, Yangkun;Jeong, Myungsuk;Rim, Jaymyung
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.200-209
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of the study is to optimally manage sewage treatment plant with analysis of phosphorus contribution and improvement of water quality contributing rate in the effect of inflowing point of effluent and Pal-Dang lake after reducing T-P discharge from large scale public sewage treatment plant at upstream of Pal-Dang lake. Also, this study, for enforcement of T-P in effluent, plans optimal management of effluent T-P through examining propriety of environmental, technological, and economical aspect such as water quality standard of domestic and foreign T-P and related policy. In regarding optimal management of T-P discharged from public sewage treatment plant located in upstream of Pal-Dang lake, the study drew following conclusions. With the optimal management of public sewage treatment plant, it showed that a pollution level became higher in the order of Sumgang E in South-Han river, C in Dalcheon, B1 B2, A in North-Han river, and J in Kyungancheon, and it is required reduction of T-P first. The highest value in analysis of benefit-costs from sewage treatment plant in the selected research area was Kyungan B, and the others are with the order of Jojong A, Bokha A, Kyungan A, and Yanghwa A. With result of this study, all 14 areas are required more enforced phosphorus treatment. The study resulted that the most top priority areas were Hangang F, Sumgang B, and Gyungan A, top priority areas were Bokha A, Dalcheon B, and Cheongmi A, priority areas were Hangang E, Heukcheon A, Gyungan B, and Jojong A, and potential areas were Sumgang A, Yanghwa A, Dalcheon A, and Hangang D. It seems to be appropriate to apply 0.2 mg/L of T-P treatment for water supply source reservation, 0.5 mg/L for the other areas by locally, and 0.2~0.5 mg/L for biological nitrogen phosphorus treatment method and 0.5~1 mg/L for Conventional Activated Sludge by technologically. Also, it may be appropriate to apply 0.2 mg/L for the most top priority area(I), 0.3 mg/L for the top priority area(II), 0.4 mg/L for priority area(III), and 0.5 mg/L for potential area(IV) by the separation of priority area.

A basic study on the hazard of hydrogen feul cell vehicles in road tunnels (도로터널에서 수소차 위험에 관한 기초적 연구)

  • Ryu, Ji-Oh;Lee, Hu-Young
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.47-60
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    • 2021
  • Hydrogen is a next-generation energy source, and according to the roadmap for activating the hydrogen economy, it is expected that industries to stably produce, store, and transport of hydrogen as well as the supply of hydrogen fuel cell vehicles will be made rapidly. Accordingly, safety measures for accidents of hydrogen vehicles in confined spaces such as tunnels are required. In this study, as part of a study to ensure the safety of hydrogen fuel cell vehicles in road tunnels, a basic investigation and research on the risk of fire and explosion due to gas leakage and hydrogen tank rupture among various hazards caused by hydrogen fuel cell vehicle accidents in tunnels was conducted. The following results were obtained. In the event of hydrogen fuel cell vehicle accidents, the gas release rate depends on the orifice diameter of TPRD, and when the gas is ignited, the maximum heat release rate reaches 3.22~51.36 MW (orifice diameter: 1~4 mm) depending on the orifice diameter but the duration times are short. Therefore, it was analyzed that there was little increase in risk due to fire. As the overpressure of the gas explosion was calculated by the equivalent TNT method, in the case of yield of VCE of 0.2 is applied, the safety threshold distance is analyzed to be about 35 m, and number of the equivalent fatalities are conservatively predicted to reach tens of people.

Trend Forecasting and Analysis of Quantum Computer Technology (양자 컴퓨터 기술 트렌드 예측과 분석)

  • Cha, Eunju;Chang, Byeong-Yun
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.35-44
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    • 2022
  • In this study, we analyze and forecast quantum computer technology trends. Previous research has been mainly focused on application fields centered on technology for quantum computer technology trends analysis. Therefore, this paper analyzes important quantum computer technologies and performs future signal detection and prediction, for a more market driven technical analysis and prediction. As analyzing words used in news articles to identify rapidly changing market changes and public interest. This paper extends conference presentation of Cha & Chang (2022). The research is conducted by collecting domestic news articles from 2019 to 2021. First, we organize the main keywords through text mining. Next, we explore future quantum computer technologies through analysis of Term Frequency - Inverse Document Frequency(TF-IDF), Key Issue Map(KIM), and Key Emergence Map (KEM). Finally, the relationship between future technologies and supply and demand is identified through random forests, decision trees, and correlation analysis. As results of the study, the interest in artificial intelligence was the highest in frequency analysis, keyword diffusion and visibility analysis. In terms of cyber-security, the rate of mention in news articles is getting overwhelmingly higher than that of other technologies. Quantum communication, resistant cryptography, and augmented reality also showed a high rate of increase in interest. These results show that the expectation is high for applying trend technology in the market. The results of this study can be applied to identifying areas of interest in the quantum computer market and establishing a response system related to technology investment.

Development of analytical method for the isotope purity of pure D2 gas using high-precision magnetic sector mass spectrometer

  • Chang, Jinwoo;Lee, Jin Bok;Kim, Jin Seog;Lee, Jin-Hong;Hong, Kiryong
    • Analytical Science and Technology
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    • v.35 no.5
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    • pp.205-211
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    • 2022
  • Deuterium (D) is an isotope with one more neutron number than hydrogen (H). Heavy elements rarely change their chemical properties with little effect even if the number of neutrons increases, but low-mass elements change their vibration energy, diffusion rate, and reaction rate because the effect cannot be ignored, which is called an isotope effect. Recently, in the semiconductor and display industries, there is a trend to replace hydrogen gas (H2) with deuterium gas (D2) in order to improve process stability and product quality by using the isotope effect. In addition, as the demand for D2 in industries increases, domestic gas producers are making efforts to produce and supply D2 on their own. In the case of high purity D2, most of them are produced by electrolysis of heavy water (D2O), and among D2, hydrogen deuteride (HD) molecules are present as isotope impurities. Therefore, in order to maximize the isotope effect of hydrogen in the electronic industry, HD, which is an isotope impurity of D2 used in the process, should be small amount. To this end, purity analysis of D2 for industrial processing is essential. In this study, HD quantitative analysis of D2 for high purity D2 purity analysis was established and hydrogen isotope RM (Reference material) was developed. Since hydrogen isotopes are difficult to analyze with general gas analysis instrument, they were analyzed using a high-precision mass spectrometer (Gas/MS, Finnigan MAT271). High purity HD gas was injected into Gas/MS, sensitivity was determined by a signal according to pressure, and HD concentrations in two bottles of D2 were quantified using the corresponding sensitivity. The amount fraction of HD in each D2 was (4518 ± 275) μmol/mol, (2282 ± 144) μmol/mol. D2, which quantifies HD amount using the developed quantitative analysis method, will be manufactured with hydrogen isotope RM and distributed for quality management and maintenance of electronic industries and gas producers in the future.

A study of 3D CAD and DLP 3D printing educational course (3D CAD와 DLP 3D 프린팅 교육과정에 관한 연구)

  • Young Hoon Kim;Jeongwon Seok
    • Journal of the Korean Crystal Growth and Crystal Technology
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.22-30
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    • 2023
  • Currently, almost all product development in the jewelry industry utilizes 3D CAD and 3D printing. In this situation, 3D CAD modeling and 3D printing ability units in colleges, Tomorrow Learning Card Education, and Course Evaluation-type jewelry design related education are conducted with developed curriculum based on the standards for training standards, training hours, training equipment, and practice materials presented by NCS. Accordingly, this study analyzes 3D CAD modeling and 3D printing training facilities, training hours, training equipment, etc into three categories of NCS precious metal processing and jewelry design, and studies the development of educational systems such as 3D CAD/3D printing curriculum and various environments that meet these standards. Education using this 3D CAD/3D printing education system will enable us to continuously supply professional talent with practical skills not only in the jewelry industry but also in the entire 3D CAD/3D printing manufacturing industry, which is called as one of the pillars of the 4th Industry. The quality of employment of trainees receiving education and the long-term retention rate after employed can also have a positive effect. In addition, excellent educational performance will help improve the recruitment rate of new students in jewelry jobs or manufacturing-related departments, which are difficult to recruit new students in recent years.