• 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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• 제10권1호
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• pp.61-76
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• 2009

We try to use system dynamics to forecast the demand/supply and price, also transportation fare for iron ore. Iron ore is very important mineral resource for industrial production. The structure for this system dynamics shows non-linear pattern and we anticipated the system dynamic method will catch this non-linear reality better than the regression analysis. Our model is calibrated and tested for the past 6 year monthly data (2003-2008) and used for next 6 year monthly data(2008-2013) forecasting. The test results show that our system dynamics approach fits the real data with higher accuracy than the regression one. And we have run the simulations for scenarios made by possible future changes in demand or supply and fare related variables. This simulations imply some meaningful price and fare change patterns.

• 수산경영론집
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• 제31권1호
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• pp.115-133
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• 2000

The policy of suppling tax-exempt fishery oil in Korea has a history of almost 40 years, which was initiated by the National Federation of Fisheries Cooperatives in 1965. In 1999 the volume of fishery oil supplied to the earning fishermen and fishing entrepreneurs amounted to 8,390 thousand DM, 500 billion won in total. This paper analyzes the oil supplying system to fishermen in Korea and shows that the structural obstacles to the stable provision of fishery oil lies in the ineffective bargaining power (fixing price). Provided that the NFFC as a buyer, which is not equipped with the storage facilities for oil bids for a unit-price contract of fishery oil, there exists a possibility of collusion among 5 local oil refineries corporations to influence the oil price, making it difficult to reach a resonable price of oil. Though the international bids and direct imports following the liberalization of oil imports would help lower the unit price, purchasing and importing the oil out of season at a lower price would not be guaranteed without the oil storage facilities. Furthermore, the current supply system of oil is quite vulnerable to the extraneous factors and, say when the oil price soars unpredictably, it is almost impossible to supply low - priced fishery oil to fishermen. The National Federation of Fisheries Association of Japan(Zengyoren), for instance, possesses 10 oil storage facilities, which had been built across the country during the last 20 years (1964-1984). The storage capacity of these facilities reaches 0.6million DM(by kind, 0.56million DM for A heavy oil, 38thousand D/M kerosene, 5thousand D/M for diesel fuel oil). Allowing no intermediary of production associations(fisheries cooperatives) the NFFA's capacity for keeping oil in reserve rises much higher. As these storage facilities can keep the oil amounting to as much as of 70 days demand in reserve, a stable supply of fishery oil on favorable terms is secured. In contrast with Japan case, unequipped with the storage facilities for fishery oil, Korea does not have much bargaining power for bringing down the price of fishery oil. To make matters worse, the oil storing capacity of the member cooperatives is the volume of only 8 days demand. In case the oil price rises, it is almost impossible to supply the oil to the fishermen at a price lower than the price risen.

• 한국경영과학회지
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• 제35권4호
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• pp.17-31
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• 2010

This study investigates two-stage return policy and recycling issues in an e-marketplace supply chain consisting of consumers, a retailer and a manufacturer. The manufacturer, a focal company in the e-marketplace supply chain, considers the recycling of commercial returns so offers the retailer a buy-back contract of which transfer payment consists of a wholesale price and a buy-back price. Then, under the given contract offer, the retailer determines a selling price and a return policy to control consumers' demand and return requests. We consider the retailer's opportunistic behavior and supply chain coordination issues based on the principal-agent paradigm. We compare the first-best and second-best optima and conduct comparative static analyses to evaluate the performance results of the buy-back contract and provide important managerial implications.

• Asia pacific journal of information systems
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• 제15권2호
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• pp.121-148
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• 2005

This study focuses on MRO e-Marketplace and attempts to research how companies select the structure of e-Marketplace governance and how it influences purchasing performance. Furthermore, a longitudinal study is conducted to analyze the dynamic relationship between variables in our research model. The research gives the following results. First, as the utilization level of e-Marketplace increases, the level of relational exchange between purchasing company and e-Marketplace increases. The increased utilization level enhances purchasing efficiency rather than reducing purchasing price. Secondly, as the level of relational exchange between purchasing companies and e-Marketplace increases, system integration increases, whereas supply externality decreases. Accordingly, system integration improves purchasing efficiency, whereas the low supply externality does not help lower purchasing price. Third, compared to the initial growth stage, the stable stage of e-Marketplace has the significantly increased level of relational exchange and purchasing efficiency through system integration, rather than the reduction of purchasing price by supply externality.

• 한국경영과학회지
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• 제42권1호
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• pp.1-17
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• 2017

This study investigates a buyer-supplier supply chain, in which a buyer delegates the production process to a supplier as in many practices. The consumer's buying intention and overall supply chain performance are affected not only by the buyer's decision on sales price but also by the supplier's decision on product quality. Therefore, the buyer has a motivation to control the supplier's quality investment. Among various incentive schemes that the buyer can adopt in practice, we consider a revenue-sharing contract and investigate its unique characteristics. By comparison with a typical wholesale price contract, we reveal that the revenue-sharing contract can enhance supply chain's overall performance, including quality, demand, and profits of not only overall supply chain but also each player. We contribute to the academia and the supply chain practice by providing important guidelines in adopting incentive schemes and effectively managing product quality in a supply chain.

• 한국디지털건축인테리어학회논문집
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• 제12권1호
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• pp.89-98
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• 2012

While the housing transaction price of Seoul tends to be stagnant or declining in line with the housing market recession since 2007, the jeonse price keeps continual increase. Such flow of jeonse price change has a serious influence on ordinary person's housing stability seriously. Therefore, it is very meaningful in terms of social policy to analyze the trend of recent jeonse price change. This study aims to have an empirical analysis of structural characteristics of the trend of recent jeonse price change. After the review of various previous studies, this study selected housing jeonse price index, non-sold house quantity, jeonse vs. transaction price rate, and housing construction performance as analytical variables, and employed monthly time series resources from January 2007 to April 2011. As a result, when the housing supply reduced, the potential quantity for jeonse market reduced that occurred unbalance of supply and demand in jeonse market. In turn, it caused the increase of jeonse price. And, in case of jeonse vs. transaction price rate change, the rate increased which means the increase of required rate of return of invested demand. As such, the increase of market risk degenerates the investment sentiment which caused the reduction of quantity for jeonse market as a submarket.

• 토지주택연구
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• 제7권2호
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• pp.67-75
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• 2016

본 연구에서는 임대주택에 대한 수요가 많은 서울을 중심으로, 최저소득계층을 대상으로 하는 매입임대주택의 공급 현황과 문제점을 구체적으로 파악함으로써 이에 대한 개선 방안을 제시하고자 한다. 주거비 부담 문제의 심화로 매입임대주택의 공급 확대가 필요함에도 불구하고, LH공사와 SH공사에 의해 서울에 공급되는 신규 매입임대주택 호수는 2009년 이후 감소 추세를 보이고 있다. 매입임대주택은 지역 거주민을 입주 대상으로 하기 때문에, 지역별 공급 규모가 주거복지 수혜의 형평성 문제를 야기하게 되는데, 전반적으로 저소득층이 많이 거주하는 도심에 공급이 적고, 서울 외곽의 특정구에 공급이 편중되어 있다. 이와 같은 신규 공급 정체와 지역 편중 문제의 원인은 정부의 낮은 지원 기준단가로 인해 재원 구조가 취약하기 때문이다. 따라서 실거래가 기준으로 정부 기준단가를 인상하고, 실거래가 변동률과 정부 기준단가를 연계하는 것이 필요하다. 수요에 기반한 공급물량 배분을 위한 종합계획이 수립되어야 하며, 매입임대주택을 비롯한 저렴임대주택 공급이 많은 지역들에서는 차상위계층 및 저소득 청년으로 입주 대상이 확대되어야 한다.

• 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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• 제19권2호
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• pp.283-301
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• 2010

이 논문은 벡터자기회귀모형을 사용하여 종이 공급에 펄프 가격이 미치는 영향의 정도와 지속기간을 추정하고, 종이 수요에 국내총생산이 미치는 영향의 정도와 지속기간을 추정하였다. 종이 공급을 분석한 결과에 의하면 펄프 가격의 변화가 종이 공급 변화의 약 12%를 설명하고, 종이 가격의 변화가 종이 공급 변화의 약 29%를 설명하였다. 즉, 펄프 가격이 종이 공급에 큰 영향을 미치지 않는다. 그리고 펄프 가격의 변화에 대한 종이 공급의 반응은 약 6개월간 지속되며, 종이 가격의 변화에 대한 종이 공급의 반응도 약 6개월간 지속되었다. 펄프 가격이 상승하는 경우에 펄프 가격의 상승분을 종이 가격에 반영하지 못하면 일시적으로 수익률이 감소할 수 있다. 즉, 종이 가격이 펄프 가격의 상승 속도를 따라가지 못하면 수익률이 하락한다. 이와 같은 경우에 수익률을 회복시키기 위해서는 제품단가를 인상하여야 한다. 종이가 과잉 공급되면 펄프 가격의 인상을 종이 가격에 반영할 수 없다. 그러나 우리나라의 종이 공급은 과잉 상태가 아니어서 펄프 가격의 상승을 종이 가격에 반영할 수 있다. 즉, 원료 가격이 상승하면 제품 가격도 인상되고 있다. 이 연구 결과에 의하면 펄프 가격의 변동이 종이 공급에 영향을 미치는 기간은 6개월이다. 즉, 펄프 가격의 인상이 종이 가격에 반영되어 종이 생산의 수익률 하락을 회복하기까지 6개월이 소요된다고 해석할 수 있다. 종이 수요를 분석한 결과에 의하면 국내총생산의 변화가 종이 수요 변화의 약 28%를 설명하고, 종이 가격의 변화가 종이 수요 변화의 약 17%를 설명하였다. 즉, 국내 총생산이 종이 수요에 상당한 영향을 미친다. 그리고 국내총생산의 변화에 대한 종이 수요의 반응은 약 6개월간 지속되며, 종이 가격의 변화에 대한 종이 수요의 반응도 약 6개월간 지속되었다.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제9권5호
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• pp.285-294
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• 2022

Using the ARDL approach, this study examined the impact of macro factors on Vietnam's stock market in the short and long run from 2010 to 2021. The State Bank of Vietnam and the International Monetary Fund provided time series data for this study. Research results show that in the long run, money supply and exchange rate respectively affect the stock market. The money supply had a positive effect on the VN-Index, while the exchange rate showed the opposite effect. However, the study did not find a relationship between world oil price and interest rates on VN-Index in the long run. On the other hand, in the short term, there are relationships between variables; specifically, interest rates and exchange rates have a negative impact on the VN-Index, while the world oil price and the fluctuation of money supply M2 of the previous one and two months showed an impact in the same direction on this index. The differences in the regression results on the impact of exchange rate and oil price on the VN-Index compared to previous studies come from the characteristics of Vietnam's stock market, with the large capitalization of companies in the oil and gas sector, and the structure of Vietnam's economy with export heavily depends on FDI sector.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제32권5호
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• pp.537-545
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• 1999

본 연구에서는 다음과 같은 세 가지 측면에서 광역상수도 요금제도 개선 방향을 분석하였다. 첫째, 지금까지 기존 연구에서는 거의 논의가 없었던 용도별(생활용수, 공업용수) 차등요금을 부과하는 방안을 분석하였다. 먼저 현행 용도별 동일 요금체계의 문제점을 지적하고 용도별 차등화 요금 설정을 위한 몇 가지 방법론을 제시하였으며, 다소 제약적인 가정에서지만 실증자료를 이용하여 람지(Ramsey) 가격을 계산해 보았다. 둘째, 첨두부하요금(계절별 차등 요금)과 관련하여 일반론적인 측면에서의 첨두부하 요금 적용의 근거 외에 광역상수도 공급 시스템이 특수하게 가지고 있는 댐 설비와의 관련성을 고려한 계절별 차등요금의 근거도 있음을 지적하고 이러한 두 측면을 모두 종합적으로 고려해야 함을 지적하였다. 셋째, 현재 계획 부하에 대한 책임소재를 불분명하게 만드는 배분량, 급수 결정량 제도의 문제점을 자세히 지적하고 지방자치단체에게 광역상수도 건설 수요(계획 부하)에 대한 책임을 부과하고 지방자치단체간 비용부담의 형평성을 유지하게 해주는 '책임수량제(責任水量制)'의 광역상수도 적용필요성을 제시하였다.