• Title/Summary/Keyword: Stochastic Evolution

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Modern Probabilistic Machine Learning and Control Methods for Portfolio Optimization

  • Park, Jooyoung;Lim, Jungdong;Lee, Wonbu;Ji, Seunghyun;Sung, Keehoon;Park, Kyungwook
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.73-83
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    • 2014
  • Many recent theoretical developments in the field of machine learning and control have rapidly expanded its relevance to a wide variety of applications. In particular, a variety of portfolio optimization problems have recently been considered as a promising application domain for machine learning and control methods. In highly uncertain and stochastic environments, portfolio optimization can be formulated as optimal decision-making problems, and for these types of problems, approaches based on probabilistic machine learning and control methods are particularly pertinent. In this paper, we consider probabilistic machine learning and control based solutions to a couple of portfolio optimization problems. Simulation results show that these solutions work well when applied to real financial market data.

Memory Equations for Kinetics of Diffusion-Influenced Reactions

  • Yang, Mino
    • Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • v.27 no.10
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    • pp.1659-1663
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    • 2006
  • A many-body master equation is constructed by incorporating stochastic terms responsible for chemical reactions into the many-body Smoluchowski equation. Two forms of Langevin-type of memory equations describing the time evolution of dynamical variables under the influence of time-independent perturbation with an arbitrary intensity are derived. One form is convenient in obtaining the dynamics approaching the steady-state attained by the perturbation and the other in describing the fluctuation dynamics at the steady-state and consequently in obtaining the linear response of the system at the steady-state to time-dependent perturbation. In both cases, the kinetics of statistical averages of variables is found to be obtained by analyzing the dynamics of time-correlation functions of the variables.

Stochastic ship roll motion via path integral method

  • Cottone, G.;Paola, M. Di;Ibrahim, R.;Pirrotta, A.;Santoro, R.
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • v.2 no.3
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    • pp.119-126
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    • 2010
  • The response of ship roll oscillation under random ice impulsive loads modeled by Poisson arrival process is very important in studying the safety of ships navigation in cold regions. Under both external and parametric random excitations the evolution of the probability density function of roll motion is evaluated using the path integral (PI) approach. The PI method relies on the Chapman-Kolmogorov equation, which governs the response transition probability density functions at two close intervals of time. Once the response probability density function at an early close time is specified, its value at later close time can be evaluated. The PI method is first demonstrated via simple dynamical models and then applied for ship roll dynamics under random impulsive white noise excitation.

Analysis of Filtration Performance by Brownian Dynamics (Brownian Dynamics 를 이용한 입자 포집 과정 및 여과 성능 해석)

  • Bang, Jong-Geun;Yoon, Yoong-Sup
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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    • v.33 no.10
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    • pp.811-819
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    • 2009
  • In the present study, deposition of discrete and small particles on a filter fiber was simulated by stochastic method. Trajectory of each particle was numerically solved by Langevin equation. And Lattice Boltzmann method (LBM) was used to solve flow field around the filter collector for considering complex shape of deposit layer. Interaction between the flow field and the deposit layer was obtained from a converged solution from an inner-loop calculation. Simulation method is properly validated with filtration theory and collection efficiency due to different filtration parameters are examined and discussed. Morphology of deposit layer and its evolution was visualized in terms of the particle size. The particle loaded effect on collection efficiency was also discussed.

Load bearing capacity reduction of concrete structures due to reinforcement corrosion

  • Chen, Hua-Peng;Nepal, Jaya
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.75 no.4
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    • pp.455-464
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    • 2020
  • Reinforcement corrosion is one of the major problems in the durability of reinforced concrete structures exposed to aggressive environments. Deterioration caused by reinforcement corrosion reduces the durability and the safety margin of concrete structures, causing excessive costs in managing these structures safely. This paper aims to investigate the effects of reinforcement corrosion on the load bearing capacity deterioration of the corroded reinforced concrete structures. A new analytical method is proposed to predict the crack growth of cover concrete and evaluate the residual strength of concrete structures with corroded reinforcement failing in bond. The structural performance indicators, such as concrete crack growth and flexural strength deterioration rate, are assumed to be a stochastic process for lifetime distribution modelling of structural performance deterioration over time during the life cycle. The Weibull life evolution model is employed for analysing lifetime reliability and estimating remaining useful life of the corroded concrete structures. The results for the worked example show that the proposed approach can provide a reliable method for lifetime performance assessment of the corroded reinforced concrete structures.

Performance-based remaining life assessment of reinforced concrete bridge girders

  • Anoop, M.B.;Rao, K. Balaji;Raghuprasad, B.K.
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.69-97
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    • 2016
  • Performance-based remaining life assessment of reinforced concrete bridge girders, subject to chloride-induced corrosion of reinforcement, is addressed in this paper. Towards this, a methodology that takes into consideration the human judgmental aspects in expert decision making regarding condition state assessment is proposed. The condition of the bridge girder is specified by the assignment of a condition state from a set of predefined condition states, considering both serviceability- and ultimate- limit states, and, the performance of the bridge girder is described using performability measure. A non-homogeneous Markov chain is used for modelling the stochastic evolution of condition state of the bridge girder with time. The thinking process of the expert in condition state assessment is modelled within a probabilistic framework using Brunswikian theory and probabilistic mental models. The remaining life is determined as the time over which the performance of the girder is above the required performance level. The usefulness of the methodology is illustrated through the remaining life assessment of a reinforced concrete T-beam bridge girder.

Windborne debris risk analysis - Part I. Introduction and methodology

  • Lin, Ning;Vanmarcke, Erik
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.191-206
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    • 2010
  • Windborne debris is a major cause of structural damage during severe windstorms and hurricanes owing to its direct impact on building envelopes as well as to the 'chain reaction' failure mechanism it induces by interacting with wind pressure damage. Estimation of debris risk is an important component in evaluating wind damage risk to residential developments. A debris risk model developed by the authors enables one to analytically aggregate damage threats to a building from different types of debris originating from neighboring buildings. This model is extended herein to a general debris risk analysis methodology that is then incorporated into a vulnerability model accounting for the temporal evolution of the interaction between pressure damage and debris damage during storm passage. The current paper (Part I) introduces the debris risk analysis methodology, establishing the mathematical modeling framework. Stochastic models are proposed to estimate the probability distributions of debris trajectory parameters used in the method. It is shown that model statistics can be estimated from available information from wind-tunnel experiments and post-damage surveys. The incorporation of the methodology into vulnerability modeling is described in Part II.

Simulation of particle filtration by Brownian dynamics (Brownian dynamics 를 이용한 입자 포집 모사)

  • Bang, Jong-Geun;Yoon, Yoong-Sup
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.1922-1927
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    • 2008
  • In the present study, deposition of discrete and small particles, which diameter is less than $1{\mu}m$, on a filter element was simulated by stochastic method. Trajectory of each particle was numerically solved by Langevin equation and Brownian random motion was treated by Brownian dynamics. Lattice Boltzmann method (LBM) was used to solve flow field around the filter collector and deposit layer. Interaction between flow field and deposit layer was obtained from a converged solution from an inner-loop calculation. Simulation method is properly validated and collection efficiency due to different filtration parameters are examined and discussed. Morphology of deposit layer and its evolution was visualized in terms of the particle size. The particle loaded effect on collection efficiency was also discussed.

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Acceleration of Simulated Annealing and Its Application for Virtual Path Management in ATM Networks (Simulated Annealing의 가속화와 ATM 망에서의 가상경로 설정에의 적용)

  • 윤복식;조계연
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.125-140
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    • 1996
  • Simulated annealing (SA) is a very promising general purpose algorithm which can be conveniently utilized for various complicated combinatorial optimization problems. But its slowness has been pointed as a major drawback. In this paper, we propose an accelerated SA and test its performance experimentally by applying it for two standard combinatorial optimization problems (TSP(Travelling Salesman Problem) and GPP(Graph Partitioning Problem) of various sizes. It turns out that performance of the proposed method is consistently better both in convergenge speed and the quality of solution than the conventional SA or SE (Stochastic Evolution). In the second part of the paper we apply the accelerated SA to solve the virtual path management problem encountered in ATM netowrks. The problem is modeled as a combinatorial optimization problem to optimize the utilizy of links and an efficient SA implementation scheme is proposed. Two application examples are given to demonstrate the validity of the proposed algorithm.

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A Nonlinear Analysis of The Partial Discharge Signal (부분방전 신호의 비 선형적 해석)

  • 김성홍;임윤석;장진강;이영상;김재환
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers Conference
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    • 1999.05a
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    • pp.165-168
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    • 1999
  • The chaotic characteristics of partial discharge(PD), may seems to be stochastic and merely random, were investigated using the method to discern between chaos and random signal, e.g. correlation integral, Lyapunov characteristic exponents and etc. For the purpose of obtaining experimental data, computer aided partial discharge detecting system was used. While this method is very different from typical statistical analysis from the point of view of a nonlinear analysis, it can provide better interpretable criterion according to the time evolution with a degradation process in the same type insulating system.

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