• Title/Summary/Keyword: Stochastic Distribution

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A Study on Reliability Based Design Optimization For Thin Walled Beam Structures (박판보 구조물의 신뢰성 최적 설계에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Sun-Byung;Yim, Hong-Jae;Baik, Serl
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2001.05a
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    • pp.414-419
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    • 2001
  • In this research, reliability based optimum design is presented for the thin walled beam structures. Deterministic and stochastic optimum design are compared for the thin walled beam structures. Monte Carlo simulation is used for stochastic optimum design with consideration of probabilistic distribution of representative section properties of the thin walled beams with the Response Surface Method.

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EQUIVALENT CONDITIONS OF COMPLETE MOMENT CONVERGENCE AND COMPLETE INTEGRAL CONVERGENCE FOR NOD SEQUENCES

  • Deng, Xin;Wang, Xuejun
    • Bulletin of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.54 no.3
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    • pp.917-933
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    • 2017
  • In this paper, seven equivalent conditions of complete moment convergence and complete integral convergence for negatively orthant dependent (NOD, in short) sequences are shown under two cases: identical distribution and stochastic domination. The results obtained in the paper improve and generalize the corresponding ones of Liang et al. [10]). In addition, an extension of the Baum-Katz complete convergence theorem: six equivalent conditions of complete convergence is established.

Multiattribute Stochastic Statistical Dominance in Decision Making with Incomplete Information (불완전한 정보하의 의사결정하에서의 아중요인 추계적-통계적 우세법칙)

  • 이대주
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.45-55
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    • 1993
  • In multiattribute decision making a decision maker (DM) can choose the best alternative if his/her multiattribute utility function and the joint probability distribution of outcomes are exactly known. This paper develops multiattribute stochastic-statistical dominance rules which can be applied to the situation when neither of them is known exactly, that is, when the DM cannot calculate the expected utility for each alternative. First, the notion of relative risk aversion is used dominance rules are developed to screen out dominated alternatives so that hi/she choose the best one among the remaining nondominated alternatives.

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On the AR(1) Process with Stochastic Coefficient

  • Hwang, Sun-Y
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.77-83
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    • 1996
  • This paper is concerned with an estimation problem for the AR(1) process $Y_t, t=0, {\pm}1, {\cdots}$with time carying autoregressive coefficient, where coefficient itself is also stochastic process. Attention is directed to the problem of finding a consistent estimator of ${\Phi}$, the mean level of autoregressive coefficient. The asymptotic distribution of the resulting consistent estimator of ${\Phi}$, is them discussed. We do not assume any time series model for the time varying autoregressive coefficient.

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ESTIMATION IN A MIXTURE NORMAL DISTRIBUTION

  • Jee-Seon Baik
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.223-234
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    • 1997
  • By Stochastic simulations we discuss the fitness of a mix-ture normal distribution to observations from general mixture distribu-tions using the MLE method and the EM algorithm. We calulate the probability of misclassifying objects and estimate the optimal number of mixture components with mutual information measure.

Characteristics of Stochastic Volatility in Korean Stock Returns (우리나라 주식수익률의 확률변동성 특성에 관한 연구)

  • Chang, Kook-Hyun
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.213-231
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    • 2003
  • This paper uses the Efficient Method of Moments(EMM) of Gallant and Tauchen to estimate continuous-time stochastic volatility diffusion model for the Korean Composite Stock Price Index, sampled daily over $1995\sim2002$. The estimates display non-normality of stock index return, leptokurtic distribution, and stochastic volatility. Funker, this study suggests that two factor stochastic volatility model will be more desirable than one factor stochastic volatility model to estimate daily Korean stock return and also suggests that the stochastic volatility diffusions should allow for Poisson jumps of time-varying intensity.

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Studies on the Stochastic Generation of Long Term Runoff (2) (장기유출량의 추계학적 모의 발생에 관한 연구 (II))

  • 이순혁;맹승진;박종국
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.35 no.3
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    • pp.117-129
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    • 1993
  • This study was conducted to get reasonable and abundant hydrological time series of monthly flows simulated by a best fitting stochastic simulation model for the establishment of rational design and the rationalization of management for agricultural hydraulic structures including reservoirs. Comparative analysis carried out for both statistical characteristics and synthetic monthly flows simulated by the multi-season first order Markov model based on Gamma distribution which is confirmed as good one in the first report of this study and by Harmonic synthetic model analyzed in this report for the six watersheds of Yeong San and Seom Jin river systems. 1.Arithmetic mean values of synthetic monthly flows simulated by Gamma distribution are much closer to the results of the observed data than those of Harmonic synthetic model in the applied watersheds. 2.In comparison with the coefficients of variation, index of fluctuation for monthly flows simulated by two kinds of synthetic models, those based on Gamma distribution are appeared closer to the observed data than those of Harmonic synthetic model both in Yeong San and Seom Jin river systems. 3.It was found that synthetic monthly flows based on Gamma distribution are considered to give better results than those of Harmonic synthetic model in the applied watersheds. 4.Continuation studies by comparison with other simulation techniques are to be desired for getting reasonable generation technique of synthetic monthly flows for the various river systems in Korea.

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The Stockpile Reliability of Propelling Charge for Performance and Storage Safety using Stochastic Process (확률과정론을 이용한 추진장약의 성능과 저장안전성에 관한 저장신뢰성평가)

  • Park, Sung-Ho;Kim, Jae-Hoon
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.41 no.1
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    • pp.135-148
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    • 2013
  • Purpose: This paper presents a method to evaluate the stockpile reliability of propelling charge for performance and storage safety with storage time. Methods: We consider a performance failure level is the amount of muzzle velocity drop which is the maximum allowed standard deviation multiplied by 6. The lifetime for performance is estimated by non-linear regression analysis. The state failure level is assumed that the content of stabilizer is below 0.2%. Because the degradation of stabilizer with storage time has both distribution of state and distribution of lifetime, it must be evaluated by stochastic process method such as gamma process. Results: It is estimated that the lifetime for performance is 59 years. The state distribution at each storage time can be shown from probability density function of degradation. It is estimated that the average lifetime as $B_{50}$ life is 33 years from cumulative failure distribution function curve. Conclusion: The lifetime for storage safety is shorter than for performance and we must consider both the lifetime for storage safety and the lifetime performance because of variation of degradation rate.

Uncertainty Analysis of Spatial Distribution of Probability Rainfall: Comparison of CEM and SGS Methods (확률강우량의 공간분포에 대한 불확실성 해석: CEM과 SGS 기법의 비교)

  • Seo, Young-Min;Yeo, Woon-Ki;Lee, Seung-Yoon;Jee, Hong-Kee
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.43 no.11
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    • pp.933-944
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    • 2010
  • This study compares the CEM and SGS methods which are geostatistical stochastic simulation methods for assessing the uncertainty by spatial variability in the estimation of the spatial distribution of probability rainfall. In the stochastic simulations using CEM and SGS, two methods show almost similar results for the reproduction of spatial correlation structure, the statistics (standard deviation, coefficient of variation, interquartile range, and range) of realizations as uncertainty measures, and the uncertainty distribution of basin mean rainfall. However, the CEM is superior to SGS in aspect of simulation efficiency.