• Title/Summary/Keyword: Statistical moment

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Merging and Splitting of Coronal Holes through a Solar Cycle

  • Jang, Min-Hwan;Choe, G.S.;Hong, Sun-Hak;Woods, Tom
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.99-99
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    • 2011
  • A statistical study of coronal hole merging and splitting has been performed through Solar Cycle 23. The NOAA/SESC solar synoptic maps are examined to identify inarguably clear events of coronal hole merging and splitting. The numbers of merging events and splitting events are more or less comparable regardless of the phase in the solar cycle. The number of both events, however, definitely shows the phase dependence in the solar cycle. It apparently has a minimum at the solar minimum whereas its maximum is located in the declining phase of the sunspot activity, about a year after the second peak in Solar Cycle 23. There are more events of merging and splitting in the descending phase than in the ascending phase. Interestingly, no event is found at the local minimum between the two peaks of the sunspot activity. This trend can be compared with the variation of the average magnetic field strength and the radial field component in the solar wind through the solar cycle. In Ulysses observations, both of these quantities have a minimum at the solar minimum while their maximum is located in the descending phase, a while after the second peak of the sunspot activity. At the local minimum between the two peaks in the solar cycle, the field strength and the radial component both have a shallow local minimum or an inflection point. At the moment, the physical reason for these resembling tendencies is difficult to understand with existing theories. Seeing that merging and splitting of coronal holes are possible by passage of opposite polarity magnetic structures, we may suggest that the energizing activities in the solar surface such as motions of flux tubes are not exactly in phase with sunspot generation, but are more active some time after the sunspot maximum.

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Experimental Study on Deflection Evaluation of KCI specification and Eurocode 2 (콘크리트 구조 설계기준과 Eurocode 2의 처짐 산정에 관한 실험적 고찰)

  • Lee, In-Ju;Kim, Tae-Wan;Oh, Seok-Mim;Kim, Jun-Won;Park, Sun-Kyu
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 2008.04a
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    • pp.141-144
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    • 2008
  • Deflection in terms of serviceability of reinforced concrete structures is considered as one of significant factor. Domestic concrete specification offers a procedure to evaluate deflection using effective moment of inertia at cracked section, which has been known as Branson's equation in ACI. Branson's equation was derived from statistical analysis of maximum deflection of flexural members, but is somewhat weak in no reflection of bond characteristics between reinforced bars and concrete, such as tension stiffening effect. Therefore, present code creates difference from actual deflection. In this study, experiments about deflection of RC beams was completed to compare domestic standard and Eurocode 2, which calculates deflection considering tension stiffening effect. Four RC beams were built and tested, and initial modulus of elasticity and tensile strength of concrete used in the test was calculated by each design standard.

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Probabilistic Behavior of In-plane Structure due to Multiple Correlated Uncertain Material Constants (상호 상관관계가 있는 다중 재료상수의 불확실성에 의한 평면구조의 확률론적 거동)

  • Noh Hyuk-Chun
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.291-302
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    • 2005
  • Due to the importance of the parameter in structural response, the uncertain elastic modulus was located at the center of stochastic analysis, where the response variability caused by the uncertain system parameters is pursued. However when we analyze the so-called stochastic systems, as many parameters as possible must be included in the analysis if we want to obtain the response variability that can reach a true one, even in an approximate sense. In this paper, a formulation to determine the statistical behavior of in-plane structures due to multiple uncertain material parameters, i.e., elastic modulus and Poisson's ratio, is suggested. To this end, the polynomial expansion on the coefficients of constitutive matrix is employed. In constructing the modified auto-and cross-correlation functions, use is made of the general equation for n-th moment. For the computational purpose, the infinite series of stochastic sub-stiffness matrices is truncated preserving required accuracy. To demons4rate the validity of the proposed formulation, an exemplary example is analyzed and the results are compared with those obtained by means of classical Monte Carlo simulation, which is based on the local averaging scheme.

A Study on the Evaluation of Load Carrying Capacity of Highway Bridges based on Structural Reliability Methods (구조신뢰성(構造信賴性) 방법에 의한 도로교(道路橋)의 내하력(耐荷力) 평가(評價)에 관한 연구(硏究))

  • Shin, Jae Chul;Cho, Hyo Nam;Chang, Dong Il
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.107-120
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    • 1987
  • This study is directed for the evolution of the rational approaches to the systematic evaluation of the load carrying capacity of bridges based on the practical and second moment reliability methods. A new approach for the evaluation of load carrying capacity of exsisting bridges is proposed in this study. The key idea behind this approach is in the fact that the load carrying capacity of an existing bridges under extreme traffic truck loadings may be measured by evaluating and classifying the reliability state of the bridge in terms of reliability index(${\beta}$). The rating formulas developed in this study are applied for the evaluation of load carrying capacity of the several actual deteriorated bridges inspected and tested for the capacity rating, and the results are compared with those calculated by using the current rating formulas. It may be concluded that the proposed rating formulas which is derived based on reliability methods, have to eventually replace the current rating formula when the basic statistical data for the resistance and load effects become available in the near future.

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Substream-based out-of-sequence packet scheduling for streaming stored media (저장매체 스트리밍에서 substream에 기초한 비순차 패킷 스케줄링)

  • Choi Su Jeong;Ahn Hee June;Kang Sang Hyuk
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.29 no.10C
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    • pp.1469-1483
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    • 2004
  • We propose a packet scheduling algorithms for streaming media. We assume that the receiver periodically reports back the channel throughput. From the original video data, the importance level of a video packet is determined by its relative position within its group of pictures, taking into account the motion-texture discrimination and temporal scalability. Thus, we generate a number of nested substreams. Using feedback information from the receiver and statistical characteristics of the video, we model the streaming system as a queueing system, compute the run-time decoding failure probability of a Same in each substream based on effective bandwidth approach, and determine the optimum substream to be sent at that moment in time. Since the optimum substream is updated periodically, the resulting sending order is different from the original playback order. From experiments with real video data, we show that our proposed scheduling scheme outperforms the conventional sequential sending scheme.

An Empirical Study on the Quality Management for Port Services - Primarily on Container Terminals in Busan - (항만서비스품질경영에 관한 실증연구 - 부산항 컨테이너터미널을 중심으로 -)

  • Choi, Young-Ro;Shin, Han-Won;Ko, Su-Bok
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.153-159
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    • 2002
  • An empirical study was carried out to examine how Container Terminals in Busan view quality management activities by the provision of statistical evidence showing the efforts to enhance the standard of quality management, common factors of quality management activities and causal relationship among these factors. The data investigating the quality management for Busan Container Terminals were collected from 170 persons in charge of quality management for port services in Busan Container terminals by the use of questionnaire method and personal interviews. The Cronbach's a coefficient and factor analysis were used to analyze the reliability and the validity of measured variables. Furthermore, SEM (Structural Equation Modeling) method using AMOS(Analysis of MOment Structure) 4.0 was usea to analyze the cause-effect relationship among the source, activities and accomplishments of quality management representing the core concept of quality management system.

Statistical properties of the fast flows accompanied by dipolarization in the near-Earth tail

  • Kim, Hyun-Sook;Lee, Dae-Young;Ahn, Byung-Ho
    • Bulletin of the Korean Space Science Society
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    • 2010.04a
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    • pp.40.4-41
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    • 2010
  • Using magnetic field and plasma moment data obtained by THEMIS satellites(A, D, and E), we selected 203 fast flow events accompanied by dipolarization in the near-Earth region( X(GSM) = -7 ~ -12 RE) and statistically examined their properties. It was found that most of the fast flows show the maximum velocity between 1 minute before dipolarization onset and 2 minutes after onset and proceed earthward and duskward. We also found that only the flows with low velocity of less than 400 km/s are observed at X > -8 RE, while the high velocity flows(as well as low velocity flows) are observed at the further tailward region(X < -8 RE). And most of the tailward flows are slow regardless of distance at X(GSM) = -7 ~ -12 RE. On the other hand, if we consider the fast flow as a bubble (Pontius and Wolf, 1990), the entropy parameter, PV5/3 is an important factor to describe the plasma sheet dynamics. Thus we investigated the relationship between the flow velocity and the amount of change in PV5/3 before and after dipolarization onset and found out that the dipolarizations with more depleted entropy parameter tend to show higher flow velocity. Also we examined how the magnetic field at geosynchronous orbit responds to the fast flow accompanied by dipolarization in the near-earth plasma sheet, using the measurements from GOES 11 and 12 statellites. We found that most of the fast flows do not reach geosynchronous orbit as suggested by Ohtani et al. (2006).

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Uncertainty Requirement Analysis for the Orbit, Attitude, and Burn Performance of the 1st Lunar Orbit Insertion Maneuver

  • Song, Young-Joo;Bae, Jonghee;Kim, Young-Rok;Kim, Bang-Yeop
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.323-333
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    • 2016
  • In this study, the uncertainty requirements for orbit, attitude, and burn performance were estimated and analyzed for the execution of the $1^{st}$ lunar orbit insertion (LOI) maneuver of the Korea Pathfinder Lunar Orbiter (KPLO) mission. During the early design phase of the system, associate analysis is an essential design factor as the $1^{st}$ LOI maneuver is the largest burn that utilizes the onboard propulsion system; the success of the lunar capture is directly affected by the performance achieved. For the analysis, the spacecraft is assumed to have already approached the periselene with a hyperbolic arrival trajectory around the moon. In addition, diverse arrival conditions and mission constraints were considered, such as varying periselene approach velocity, altitude, and orbital period of the capture orbit after execution of the $1^{st}$ LOI maneuver. The current analysis assumed an impulsive LOI maneuver, and two-body equations of motion were adapted to simplify the problem for a preliminary analysis. Monte Carlo simulations were performed for the statistical analysis to analyze diverse uncertainties that might arise at the moment when the maneuver is executed. As a result, three major requirements were analyzed and estimated for the early design phase. First, the minimum requirements were estimated for the burn performance to be captured around the moon. Second, the requirements for orbit, attitude, and maneuver burn performances were simultaneously estimated and analyzed to maintain the $1^{st}$ elliptical orbit achieved around the moon within the specified orbital period. Finally, the dispersion requirements on the B-plane aiming at target points to meet the target insertion goal were analyzed and can be utilized as reference target guidelines for a mid-course correction (MCC) maneuver during the transfer. More detailed system requirements for the KPLO mission, particularly for the spacecraft bus itself and for the flight dynamics subsystem at the ground control center, are expected to be prepared and established based on the current results, including a contingency trajectory design plan.

Approximation on the Distribution of the Overshoot by the Property of Erlang Distribution in the M/En/1 Queue (M/En/1 대기모형에서 얼랑분포의 성질을 이용한 오버슛의 분포에 대한 근사)

  • Lee, Sang-Gi;Bae, Jongho
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.33-47
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    • 2015
  • We consider an $M/E_n/1$ queueing model where customers arrive at a facility with a single server according to a Poisson process with customer service times assumed to be independent and identically distributed with Erlang distribution. We concentrate on the overshoot of the workload process in the queue. The overshoot means the excess over a threshold at the moment where the workload process exceeds the threshold. The approximation of the distribution of the overshoot was proposed by Bae et al. (2011); however, but the accuracy of the approximation was unsatisfactory. We derive an advanced approximation using the property of the Erlang distribution. Finally the newly proposed approximation is compared with the results of the previous study.

Reliability Analysis of Fatigue Truck Model Using Measured Truck Traffic Statistics (통행차량 특성을 반영한 강교량 피로설계트럭의 피로파괴 신뢰도해석)

  • Shin, Dong Ku;Kwon, Tae Hyung;Park, Young Suk
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.211-221
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    • 2007
  • A structural reliability analysis of fatigue truck model for fatigue failure of highway steel bridges was performed by applying the Miner's fatigue damage rule expressed as a function of various random variables affecting fatigue damage. Among the variables, the statistical parameters for equivalent moment, impact factor, and loadometer were obtained by analyzing recently measured domestic traffic data, whereas the parameters on fatigue strength, girder distribution factor, and headway factor of the measured data available in the literature were used. The effects of various fatigue truck models, fatigue life, ADTT, fatigue detail category, loadometer, and gross vehicle weight of fatigue truck on the reliability index of fatigue damage were analyzed. It is expected that the analytical results presented herein can be used as a basic background material in the calibration of both fatigue design truck and fatigue load factor of LRFD specification.