• Title/Summary/Keyword: Statistical Control Chart

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Portfolio Management Using Statistical Process Control Chart (SPC 차트를 이용한 포트폴리오 관리)

  • Kim, Dong-Sup;Ryoo, Hong-Seo
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.94-102
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    • 2007
  • Portfolio management deals with decision making on 'when' and 'how' to revise an existing portfolio. In this paper, we show that a classical statistical process control (SPC) chart for normal data, a wellestablished tool in quality engineering, can effectively be used for signaling times for revising a portfolio. Noting that the day-to-day performance of a portfolio may be auto-correlated, we use the exponentially weighted moving average center-line chart to develop an automatic portfolio management procedure. The portfolio management procedure is extensively tested on historical data of equities traded in the Korea Exchange (KRX), the American Stock Exchange (AMEX), and the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). In comparison with the performances of the KOSPI, XAX, and NYA indices during the same time periods, results from these experiments show that SPC chart-based portfolio revision presents itself a convenient and reliable method for optimally managing portfolios.

Discrimination of Out-of-Control Condition Using AIC in (x, s) Control Chart

  • Takemoto, Yasuhiko;Arizono, Ikuo;Satoh, Takanori
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.112-117
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    • 2013
  • The $\overline{x}$ control chart for the process mean and either the R or s control chart for the process dispersion have been used together to monitor the manufacturing processes. However, it has been pointed out that this procedure is flawed by a fault that makes it difficult to capture the behavior of process condition visually by considering the relationship between the shift in the process mean and the change in the process dispersion because the respective characteristics are monitored by an individual control chart in parallel. Then, the ($\overline{x}$, s) control chart has been proposed to enable the process managers to monitor the changes in the process mean, process dispersion, or both. On the one hand, identifying which process parameters are responsible for out-of-control condition of process is one of the important issues in the process management. It is especially important in the ($\overline{x}$, s) control chart where some parameters are monitored at a single plane. The previous literature has proposed the multiple decision method based on the statistical hypothesis tests to identify the parameters responsible for out-of-control condition. In this paper, we propose how to identify parameters responsible for out-of-control condition using the information criterion. Then, the effectiveness of proposed method is shown through some numerical experiments.

Economic Design of Synthetic Control Charts (합성 관리도의 경제적 설계)

  • 임태진;김용덕
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.117-130
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    • 2003
  • This paper investigates the economic design of synthetic control charts. The synthetic control chart has been proven to be statistically superior to the $\bar{X}$-control chart, but its economic characteristics have not been known. We develop an economic model of the synthetic control chart, based on Duncan's model. The synthetic chart has one more decision variable, the lower control limit for the conforming run length. In addition to this, the significance level and the power of the synthetic chart are more complicated than those of the $\bar{X}$-chart. These features make the optimization problem more difficult. We propose an optimization algorithm by adapting the congruent gradient algorithm. We compare the optimal cost of the synthetic chart with that of (equation omitted)-control chart, under the same input parameter set of Duncan’s. For all cases investigated, the synthetic chart shows superior to the $\bar{X}$-chart. The synthetic control chart is easy to implement, and it has better characteristics than the $\bar{X}$-chart in economical sense as well as in statistical sense, so it will be a good alternative to the traditional control charts.

The CV Control Chart

  • Kang, Chang-W;Lee, Man-S;Hawkins, Douglas M.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Quality Management Conference
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.211-216
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    • 2006
  • Monitoring variability is a vital part of modem statistical process control. The conventional Shewhart Rand S charts address the setting where the in-control process readings have a constant variance. In some settings, however, it is the coefficient of variation, rather than the variance, that should be constant. This paper develops a chart, equivalent to the S chart, for monitoring the coefficient of variation using rational groups of observations.

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Multioutput LS-SVR based residual MCUSUM control chart for autocorrelated process

  • Hwang, Changha
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.523-530
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    • 2016
  • Most classical control charts assume that processes are serially independent, and autocorrelation among variables makes them unreliable. To address this issue, a variety of statistical approaches has been employed to estimate the serial structure of the process. In this paper, we propose a multioutput least squares support vector regression and apply it to construct a residual multivariate cumulative sum control chart for detecting changes in the process mean vector. Numerical studies demonstrate that the proposed multioutput least squares support vector regression based control chart provides more satisfying results in detecting small shifts in the process mean vector.

Statistical Design of CV Control Charts witn Approximate Distribution (근사분포를 이용한 CV 관리도의 통계적 설계)

  • Lee Man-Sik;Kang Chang-Wook;Sim Seong-Bo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.14-20
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    • 2004
  • The coefficient of variation(CV) which is a relatively dimensionless measure of variability is widely used to describe the variation of sample data. However, the properties of CV distribution are little available and few research has been done on estimation and interpretation of CV. In this paper, we give an outline of statistical properties of coefficient of variation and design of control chart based on this statistic. Construction procedures of control chart are presented. The proposed control chart is an efficient method to monitor a process variation for short production run situation. Futhermore, we evaluated the performance of CV control chart by average run length(ARL).

Development of a p Control Chart for Overdispersed Process with Beta-Binomial Model (베타-이항모형을 이용한 과산포 공정용 p 관리도의 개발)

  • Bae, Bong-Soo;Seo, Sun-Keun
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.45 no.2
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    • pp.209-225
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: Since traditional p chart is unable to deal with the variation of attribute data, this paper proposes a new attribute control chart for nonconforming proportions incorporating overdispersion with a beta-binomial model. Methods: Statistical theories for control chart developed under the beta-binomial model and a new approach using this control chart are presented Results: False alarm probabilities of p chart with the beta-binomial model are evaluated and demerits of p chart under overdispersion are discussed from three examples. Hence a concrete procedure for the proposed control chart is provided and illustrated with examples Conclusion: The proposed chart is more useful than traditional p chart, individual chart to treat observed proportions nonconforming as variable data and Laney p' chart.

Economic-Statistical Design of Double Sampling T2 Control Chart under Weibull Failure Model (와이블 고장모형 하에서의 이중샘플링 T2 관리도의 경제적-통계적 설계 (이중샘플링 T2 관리도의 경제적-통계적 설계))

  • Hong, Seong-Ok;Lee, Min-Koo;Lee, Jooho
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.43 no.4
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    • pp.471-488
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: Double sampling $T^2$ chart is a useful tool for detecting a relatively small shift in process mean when the process is controlled by multiple variables. This paper finds the optimal design of the double sampling $T^2$ chart in both economical and statistical sense under Weibull failure model. Methods: The expected cost function is mathematically derived using recursive equation approach. The optimal designs are found using a genetic algorithm for numerical examples and compared to those of single sampling $T^2$ chart. Sensitivity analysis is performed to see the parameter effects. Results: The proposed design outperforms the optimal design of the single sampling $T^2$ chart in terms of the expected cost per unit time and Type-I error rate for all the numerical examples considered. Conclusion: Double sampling $T^2$ chart can be designed to satisfy both economic and statistical requirements under Weibull failure model and the resulting design is better than the single sampling counterpart.

CUSUM control chart for Katz family of distributions (카즈분포족에 대한 누적합 관리도)

  • Cho, Gyo-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.29-35
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    • 2011
  • In statistical process control, the primary method used to monitor the number of nonconformities is the c-chart. The conventional c-chart is based on the assumption that the occurrence of nonconformities in samples is well modeled by a Poisson distribution. When the Poisson assumption is not met, the X-chart is often used as an alternative charting scheme in practice. And CUSUM-chart is used when it is desirable to detect out of control situations very quickly because of sensitive to a small or gradual drift in the process. In this paper, I compare CUSUM-chart to X-chart for the Katz family covering equi-, under-, and over-dispersed distributions relative to the Poisson distribution.

Optimal Design of a EWMA Chart to Monitor the Normal Process Mean

  • Lee, Jae-Heon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.465-470
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    • 2012
  • EWMA(exponentially weighted moving average) charts and CUSUM(cumulative sum) charts are very effective to detect small shifts in the process mean. These charts have some control-chart parameters that allow the charts and be tuned and be more sensitive to certain shifts. The EWMA chart requires users to specify the value of a smoothing parameter, which can also be designed for the size of the mean shift. However, the size of the mean shift that occurs in applications is usually unknown and EWMA charts can perform poorly when the actual size of the mean shift is significantly different from the assumed size. In this paper, we propose the design procedure to find the optimal smoothing parameter of the EWMA chart when the size of the mean shift is unknown.