• Title/Summary/Keyword: Statistical Constraints

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Customer Lifetime Value Model Using Segment-Based Survival Analysis (고객 세분화에 기반한 생존분석을 활용한 고객수명 예측 모델)

  • Chun, Heui-Ju
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.687-696
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    • 2011
  • Customer Lifetime or Customer Lifetime Value is a essential metric of differentiated CRM marketing and differentiated marketing strategy as a company core competency. However, customer lifetime used in companies is easily obtained from a confined simple customer attrition rate at some specific time point regardless of customer characteristics. In this study, in order to overcome the constraints of previous simple methods and to make practical use of it in industries, we suggest a method that estimates a customer lifetime using a customer segment based survival analysis with the censored data of customers; in addition, we apply this method to A mobile telecom company data. A method using customer segment based survival analysis is suggested in this study 1) includes all customers having different subscription dates, 2) reduces individual error, 3) can reflect trends after the observed time point and is more realistic.

A Hybrid Method of Verb disambiguation in Machine Translation (기계번역에서 동사 모호성 해결에 관한 하이브리드 기법)

  • Moon, Yoo-Jin;Martha Palmer
    • The Transactions of the Korea Information Processing Society
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    • v.5 no.3
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    • pp.681-687
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    • 1998
  • The paper presents a hybrid mcthod for disambiguation of the verb meaning in the machine translation. The presented verb translation algorithm is to perform the concept-based method and the statistics-based method simultaneously. It uses a collocation dictionary, WordNct and the statistical information extracted from corpus. In the transfer phase of the machine translation, it tries to find the target word of the source verb. If it fails, it refers to Word Net to try to find it by calculating word similarities between the logical constraints of the source sentence and those in the collocation dictionary. At the same time, it refers to the statistical information extracted from corpus to try to find it by calculating co-occurrence similarity knowledge. The experimental result shows that the algorithm performs more accurate verb translation than the other algorithms and improves accuracy of the verb translation by 24.8% compared to the collocation-based method.

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Parametric morphing of subject-specific NURBS models for Human Proximal Femurs Subject to Femoral Functions (해부학적 기능을 고려한 환자맞춤형 근위대퇴골 모델의 파라메트릭 변형 방안)

  • Park, Byoung-Keon;Wook, Chae-Jae;Kim, Jay-Jung
    • Korean Journal of Computational Design and Engineering
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    • v.16 no.6
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    • pp.458-466
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    • 2011
  • The morphology of a bone is closely associated with its biomechanical response. Thus, much research has been focused on analyzing the effects of variation of bone morphology with subject-specific models. Subject-specific models, which are generally achieved from 3D imaging devices like CT and MRI, incorporate more of the detailed information that makes a model unique. Hence, it may predict individual responses more accurately. Despite these powerful characteristics, specific models are not easily parameterized to the extent possible with statistical models because of their morphologic complexities. Thus, it is still proven challenging to analyze morphologic variations of subject-specific models across changes due to aging or disease. The aim of this article is to propose a generic and robust parametric morphing method for a subject-specific bone structure. We demonstrate this by using the proposed method on a model of a human proximal femur. Automatic segmentation algorithms are also presented to parameterize the specific model efficiently. A total of 48 femur models were evaluated for defining morphing vector fields. Also, several anatomical and mechanical functions of femur were considered as morphing constraints, and the NURBS interpolating technique was applied in the method to guarantee the generality of our morphed results.

Structurally Enhanced Correlation Tracking

  • Parate, Mayur Rajaram;Bhurchandi, Kishor M.
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.11 no.10
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    • pp.4929-4947
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    • 2017
  • In visual object tracking, Correlation Filter-based Tracking (CFT) systems have arouse recently to be the most accurate and efficient methods. The CFT's circularly shifts the larger search window to find most likely position of the target. The need of larger search window to cover both background and object make an algorithm sensitive to the background and the target occlusions. Further, the use of fixed-sized windows for training makes them incapable to handle scale variations during tracking. To address these problems, we propose two layer target representation in which both global and local appearances of the target is considered. Multiple local patches in the local layer provide robustness to the background changes and the target occlusion. The target representation is enhanced by employing additional reversed RGB channels to prevent the loss of black objects in background during tracking. The final target position is obtained by the adaptive weighted average of confidence maps from global and local layers. Furthermore, the target scale variation in tracking is handled by the statistical model, which is governed by adaptive constraints to ensure reliability and accuracy in scale estimation. The proposed structural enhancement is tested on VTBv1.0 benchmark for its accuracy and robustness.

Damage detection using finite element model updating with an improved optimization algorithm

  • Xu, Yalan;Qian, Yu;Song, Gangbing;Guo, Kongming
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.191-208
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    • 2015
  • The sensitivity-based finite element model updating method has received increasing attention in damage detection of structures based on measured modal parameters. Finding an optimization technique with high efficiency and fast convergence is one of the key issues for model updating-based damage detection. A new simple and computationally efficient optimization algorithm is proposed and applied to damage detection by using finite element model updating. The proposed method combines the Gauss-Newton method with region truncation of each iterative step, in which not only the constraints are introduced instead of penalty functions, but also the searching steps are restricted in a controlled region. The developed algorithm is illustrated by a numerically simulated 25-bar truss structure, and the results have been compared and verified with those obtained from the trust region method. In order to investigate the reliability of the proposed method in damage detection of structures, the influence of the uncertainties coming from measured modal parameters on the statistical characteristics of detection result is investigated by Monte-Carlo simulation, and the probability of damage detection is estimated using the probabilistic method.

The Alcock-Paczynski effect via clustering shells

  • Sabiu, Cristiano G.;Lee, Seokcheon;Park, Changbom
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.58.2-58.2
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    • 2013
  • Both peculiar velocities and errors in the assumed redshift-distance relation ("Alcock-Paczynski effect") generate correlations between clustering amplitude and orientation with respect to the line-of-sight. In this talk we propose a novel technique to extract the Alcock-Paczynski, geometric, distortion information from the anisotropic clustering of galaxies in 3-dimensional redshift space while minimizing non-linear clustering and peculiar velocity effects. We capitalize on the recent, large dataset from the Sloan Digital Sky Survey III (SDSS-III), which provides a large comoving sample of the universe out to high redshift. We focus our analysis on the Baryon Oscillation Spectroscopic Survey (BOSS) constant mass (CMASS) sample of 549,005 bright galaxies in the redshift range 0.43

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An Optimum Design of Secondary Battery Using Design of Experiments with Mixture (혼합물실험계획법을 이용한 2차전지의 최적설계)

  • Kim, Seong-Jun;Park, Jong-In
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2005.05a
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    • pp.983-989
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    • 2005
  • Secondary batteries with high performance are essential in widespread use of modern portable devices such as cellular phones and laptop computers. High energy density, long cycle life, and safety are some of important requirements for secondary battery. To achieve such characteristics, a mixing proportion of electrolyte solution ingredients in the battery should be carefully chosen. In this paper, using statistical design of mixture experiments (DOME), we attempt to find an optimum condition of designing the secondary battery. DOME has a distinct feature in that the experimental region is represented by simplex, rather than hypercube, because the sum of blend proportions should be unity. Several designs based upon this point have been proposed for mixture experiments. Among them, an extreme vertices design is employed in this paper because there are a couple of blend constraints to be considered. In order to investigate how the mixing proportion interacts with other manufacturing factors, a fractional factorial design is also included across the extreme vertices design. As a result, we find that the blend proportion of solution ingredients has a significant effect on battery performances. By simultaneously optimizing two battery capacities, this paper proposes an optimum blend proportion according to process factor settings.

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An Optimum Design of Secondary Battery using Design of Experiments with Mixture (혼합물 실험계획법을 이용한 이차전지의 최적설계)

  • Kim, Seong-Jun;Park, Jong-In
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.402-411
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    • 2005
  • Secondary batteries with high performance are essential in widespread use of modern portable devices such as cellular phones and laptop computers. High energy density, long cycle life, and safety are some of important requirements for secondary battery. To achieve such characteristics, a mixing proportion of electrolyte solution ingredients in the battery should be carefully chosen. In this paper, using statistical design of mixture experiments (DOME), we attempt to find an optimum condition of designing the secondary battery. DOME has a distinct feature in that the experimental region is represented by simplex, rather than hypercube, because the sum of blend proportions should be unity. Several designs based upon this point have been proposed for mixture experiments. Among them, an extreme vertices design is employed in this paper because there are a couple of blend constraints to be considered. In order to investigate how the mixing proportion interacts with other manufacturing factors, a fractional factorial design is also included across the extreme vertices design. As a result, we find that the blend proportion of solution ingredients has a significant effect on battery performances. By simultaneously optimizing two battery capacities, this paper proposes an optimum blend proportion according to process factor settings.

Centering Theory and Argument Deletion in Spoken Korean (센터링 이론과 대화체에서의 논항 생략 현상)

  • 홍민표
    • Korean Journal of Cognitive Science
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.9-24
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    • 2000
  • This paper analyzes the distribution and classification of unrealized arguments of a predicate often called zero pronouns. in spoken Korean. Based on the transcript of a one-hour-Iong dialogue. recorded from public radio stations. I present the statistical data on argument ellipsis in Korean with respect to the frequency of zero ronouns as well as the nature of their antecedents. I go further to review some of the previous efforts to identify the discourse- theoretic functions of zero-pronouns in the framework of Centering Theory. and propose that the zero-pronouns in spoken Korean be divided into center-insensitive vs. center-sensitive classes. I also point out a couple of language-particular idiosyncrasies found in Korean, such as morpho-syntactic elements and encyclopaedic knowledge. that interact with center management in on-going discourse and often lead to difficulties in applying the centering rules and constraints to Korean.

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EVOLUTIONARY STATUS AND INTERNAL STRUCTURE OF μ CASSIOPEIAE

  • BACH, KIEHUNN
    • Journal of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.48 no.3
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    • pp.165-175
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    • 2015
  • We investigate physical properties of the nearby (∼ 7.5 pc) astrometric binary μ Cas in the context of standard evolutionary theory. Based on the spectroscopically determined relative abundances ([α/Fe] ≳ +0.4 dex, [Fe/H] ∼ −0.7 dex), all physical inputs such as opacities and equation of state are consistently generated. By combining recent spectroscopic analyses with the astrometric observations from the HIPPARCOS parallaxes and the CHARA array, the evolutionary model grids have been constructed. Through the statistical evaluation of the χ2-minimization among alternative models, we find a reliable evolutionary solution (MA, MB, tage) = (0.74 M, 0.19 M, 11 Gyr) which excellently satisfies observational constraints. In particular, we find that the helium abundance of μ Cas is comparable with the primordial helium contents (Yp ∼ 0.245). On the basis of the well-defined stellar parameters of the primary star, the internal structure and the p-mode frequencies have been estimated. From our seismic computation, μ Cas is expected to have a first order spacing ∆ν ∼ 169 μHz. The ultimate goal of this study is to describe physical processes inside a low-mass star through a complete modelling from the spectroscopic observation to the evolutionary computation.