• 제목/요약/키워드: Solar radiation estimation models

검색결과 32건 처리시간 0.029초

Impact by Estimation Error of Hourly Horizontal Global Solar Radiation Models on Building Energy Performance Analysis on Building Energy Performance Analysis

  • Kim, Kee Han;Oh, John Kie-Whan
    • KIEAE Journal
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.3-10
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    • 2014
  • Impact by estimation error of hourly horizontal global solar radiation in a weather file on building energy performance was investigated in this study. There are a number of weather parameters in a given weather file, such as dry-bulb, wet-bulb, dew-point temperatures; wind speed and direction; station pressure; and solar radiation. Most of them except for solar radiation can be easily obtained from weather stations located on the sites worldwide. However, most weather stations, also including the ones in South Korea, do not measure solar radiation because the measuring equipment for solar radiation is expensive and difficult to maintain. For this reason, many researchers have studied solar radiation estimation models and suggested to apply them to predict solar radiation for different weather stations in South Korea, where the solar radiation is not measured. However, only a few studies have been conducted to identify the impact caused by estimation errors of various solar radiation models on building energy performance analysis. Therefore, four different weather files using different horizontal global solar radiation data, one using measured global solar radiation, and the other three using estimated global solar radiation models, which are Cloud-cover Radiation Model (CRM), Zhang and Huang Model (ZHM), and Meteorological Radiation Model (MRM) were packed into TRY formatted weather files in this study. These were then used for office building energy simulations to compare their energy consumptions, and the results showed that there were differences in the energy consumptions due to these four different solar radiation data. Additionally, it was found that using hourly solar radiation from the estimation models, which had a similar hourly tendency with the hourly measured solar radiation, was the most important key for precise building energy simulation analysis rather than using the solar models that had the best of the monthly or yearly statistical indices.

일사량 산정 모델에 따른 증발량 분석 (An evaluation of evaporation estimates according to solar radiation models)

  • 임창수
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제52권12호
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    • pp.1033-1046
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    • 2019
  • 본 연구에서는 13개의 일사량 산정모델들로부터 산정된 일사량을 우리나라 5개 기상관측지점에서 측정된 일사량자료와 비교함으로서 이들 일사량 산정모델들의 활용 적합성을 평가하였다. 또한 일사량 산정모델이 증발에 미치는 영향을 파악하기 위해서 일사량자료를 필요로 하는 Penman 조합식에 근거한 5개 증발량 산정식들을 적용하여 증발량을 산정하고 증발접시 증발량과 비교 분석하였다. 일부 일사량 산정모델은 기상자료만을 필요로 하며, 반면에 다른 일부 모델은 기상자료뿐만 아니라 고도와 같은 지형 자료를 필요로 한다. 연구결과에 의하면 일조시간과 가조시간의 비(일조시간/가조시간)뿐만 아니라 최고기온과 최저기온을 동시에 고려하여 일사량을 산정하는 모델이 관측 일사량과 가장 근사한 결과를 보여주었다. 또한 일조시간과 가조시간의 비만을 이용한 Angstrőm-Prescott모델의 계수값을 보정하는 경우 역시 일사량 산정의 정확도를 크게 개선시키는 것으로 나타났다. 따라서 증발량 산정을 위해 일사량모델을 선정하는 경우 입력자료의 존재여부 뿐만 아니라 적절한 일사량을 산정하는 모델형식을 동시에 고려하는 것이 필요하다. 관측된 일사량을 적용하여 증발량을 산정하는 경우에 Penman식은 전주, 제주지역에서 증발접시 증발량과 가장 근사한 것으로 나타났고, FAO PM식은 서울과 목포지역에서 그리고 KNF식은 대전지역에서 증발접시 증발량과 가장 근사한 것으로 나타났다.

부산지역에 적합한 시간당 수평면 전일사량 산출모델의 비교분석 (Comparison Analysis of Estimation Models of Hourly Horizontal Global Solar Radiation for Busan, Korea)

  • 김기한;오기환
    • 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
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    • 제33권5호
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    • pp.9-17
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    • 2013
  • Hourly horizontal global solar radiation has been used as one of significant parameters in a weather file for building energy simulations, which determines the quality of building thermal performance. However, as about twenty two weather stations in Korea have actually measured the horizontal global sola radiation, the weather files collected in other stations requires solar data simulation from the other meteorological parameters. Thus, finding the reliable complicated method that can be used in various weather conditions in Korea is critically important. In this paper, three solar simulation models were selected and evaluated through the reliability test with the simulated hourly horizontal global solar radiation against the actually measured solar data to find the most suitable model for the south east area of Korea. Three selected simulation models were CRM, ZHM, and MRM. The first two models are regression type models using site-fitted coefficients which are derived from the correlation between measured solar data and local meteorological parameters from the previous years, and the last model is a mechanistic type model using the meteorological data to calculate conditions of atmospheric constituents that cause absorption and scattering of the extraterrestrial radiation on the way to the surface on the Earth. The evaluation results show that ZHM is the most reliable model in this area, yet a complicated hybrid simulation methods applying the advantages of each simulation method with the monthly-based weather data is needed.

수평면 전일사량 산출모델이 일사열취득계수 및 창면적비를 고려한 건물 에너지 성능분석에 미치는 영향 (Impact of Horizontal Global Solar Radiation Calculation Modelson Building Energy Performance Analysis Considering Solar Heat Gain Coefficient and Window-to-wall Ratio)

  • 김기한;오기환
    • 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
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    • 제34권1호
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    • pp.39-47
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    • 2014
  • Solar applications analysis and building energy performance depend on the quality of the solar resource data available. Unfortunately, most of the weather stations do not measure solar radiation data in Korea, as a reason many researchers have studied different solar radiation estimation models and suggested to apply them to various locations in Korea. In addition, they also studied the impact of hourly global solar radiation on energy performance of an office building by comparing the simulated building energy consumptions using four different weather files, one using measured, and three estimated solar radiation from different models, which are Cloud-cover Radiation Model (CRM), Zhang and Huang Model (ZHM), and Meteorological Radiation Model (MRM), and concluded that there was some impact on energy performance of the building due to the using different solar radiation models. However, the result cannot be applied to all other buildings since the simulated office building for that study only used limited building characteristics such as using fixed values of solar heat gain coefficient (SHGC) and window-to-wall ratio (WWR), which are significant parameters related to solar radiation that affect to the building energy consumptions. Therefore, there is a need to identify how the building energy consumption will be changed by varying these building parameters. In this study, the impact of one measured and three estimated global solar radiation on energy performance of the office building was conducted taking account of SHGC and WWR. As a result, it was identified that the impact of four different solar radiation data on energy performance of the office building was evident regardless SHGC and WWR changes, and concluded that the most suitable solar models was changed from the CRM/ZHM to the MRM as SHGC and WWR increases.

국내 주요도시의 운량데이터를 이용한 일사산출 (Calculation of Solar radiation based on Cloud Data for Major cities of Korea)

  • 유호천;이관호;박소희
    • 한국태양에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국태양에너지학회 2008년도 춘계학술발표대회 논문집
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    • pp.142-147
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    • 2008
  • Limited fossil fuels and unstable energy supply are considered as one of the critical problems in architecture requiring large amounts of energy. In order to this challenge, environment-friendly architecture design is required. Especially, Application of solar energy as a clean energy source and one kind of renewable energy. Many sites however are mainly concentrated in the developed countries, and are scarcer within the developing world. Simple radiation estimation models using meteorologically observed input parameters are often used in the applications requiring rough estimations of solar radiation. In this paper, measurements of global solar radiation and cloud data hours in climatological locations in South Korea are used to develop an estimation in solar radiation. The results of measured data are compared with the results obtained from equations, internationally accepted correlations.

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A novel SARMA-ANN hybrid model for global solar radiation forecasting

  • Srivastava, Rachit;Tiwaria, A.N.;Giri, V.K.
    • Advances in Energy Research
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.131-143
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    • 2019
  • Global Solar Radiation (GSR) is the key element for performance estimation of any Solar Power Plant (SPP). Its forecasting may help in estimation of power production from a SPP well in advance, and may also render help in optimal use of this power. Seasonal Auto-Regressive Moving Average (SARMA) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models are combined in order to develop a hybrid model (SARMA-ANN) conceiving the characteristics of both linear and non-linear prediction models. This developed model has been used for prediction of GSR at Gorakhpur, situated in the northern region of India. The proposed model is beneficial for the univariate forecasting. Along with this model, we have also used Auto-Regressive Moving Average (ARMA), SARMA, ANN based models for 1 - 6 day-ahead forecasting of GSR on hourly basis. It has been found that the proposed model presents least RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) and produces best forecasting results among all the models considered in the present study. As an application, the comparison between the forecasted one and the energy produced by the grid connected PV plant installed on the parking stands of the University shows the superiority of the proposed model.

청주지역의 기상요소와 일사량과의 상관관계 분석 (Analysis of Relationship Between Meteorological Parameters and Solar Radiation at Cheongju)

  • 백신철;신형섭;박종화
    • 한국관개배수논문집
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.87-96
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    • 2012
  • Information of local solar radiation is essential for many field, including water resources management, crop yield estimation, crop growth model, solar energy systems and irrigation and drainage design. Unfortunately, solar radiation measurements are not easily available due to the cost and maintenance and calibration requirements of the measuring equipment and station. Therefore, it is important to elaborate methods to estimate the solar radiation based on readily available meteorological data. In this study, two empirical equations are employed to estimate daily solar radiation using Cheongju Regional Meteorological Office data. Two scenarios are considered: (a) sunshine duration data are available for a given location, or (b) only daily cloudiness index records exist. Simple linear regression with daily sunshine duration and cloudiness index as the dependent variable accounted for 91% and 80%, respectively of the variation of solar radiation(H) at 2011. Daily global solar radiation is highly correlated with sunshine duration. In order to indicate the performance of the models, the statistical test methods of the mean bias error(MBE), root mean square error(RMSE) and correlation coefficient(r) are used. Sunshine duration and cloudiness index can be easily and reliably measured and data are widely available.

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기상매개변수와의 상관관계에 의한 일사예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on Estimating Solar Radiation in Relation to Meteorological Parameters)

  • 조덕기;강용혁
    • 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
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    • 제28권3호
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2008
  • It is necessary to estimate empirical constants in order to predict the monthly mean daily global radiation on a horizontal surface in the developing areas for alternative energy. Therefore many different equations have proposed to evaluate them for certain areas. In this work a new correlation has been made to predict the solar radiation for any areas over Korea by calculating the regression models taking into account latitude, percentage of possible sunshine, and cloud cover. Results clearly demonstrates the reliability of the single linear equation for the estimation of global radiation, which is proposed by using percentage of possible sunshine method. When compared with the measured values, the average annual deviation falls between -3.1 to +0.6%.

운량과 일조율에 의한 일사예측 (Solar Radiation Estimation Using Cloud Cover and Percentage of Possible Sunshine)

  • 조덕기;윤창열;김광득;강용혁
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국신재생에너지학회 2011년도 춘계학술대회 초록집
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    • pp.67.2-67.2
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    • 2011
  • It is necessary to estimate empirical constants in order to predict the monthly mean daily global radiation on a horizontal surface in the developing areas for alternative energy. Therefore many different equations have proposed to evaluate them for certain areas. In this work a new correlation has been made to predict the solar radiation for any areas over Korea by calculating the regression models taking into account latitude, percentage of possible sunshine, and cloud cover. From the results, the single linear equation proposed by using percentage of possible sunshine method shows reliable results for estimating the global radiation with average annual deviation of -3.1 to +0.6 % from measured values.

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다변량 선형회귀분석을 이용한 증발접시계수 산정방법 적용성 검토 (Evaluation of applicability of pan coefficient estimation method by multiple linear regression analysis)

  • 임창수
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제55권3호
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    • pp.229-243
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    • 2022
  • 우리나라 11개 기상관측지역의 월별 기상자료가 증발접시계수에 미치는 영향을 분석하고, 증발접시계수 산정을 위한 4가지 형태의 다변량 선형회귀모형의 적용성을 검토하였다. 개발된 증발접시계수 산정모형의 적용성을 평가하기 위해서 기존에 다른 연구자들에 의해서 제안된 6가지의 모형과 비교 평가하였다. 우리나라 11개 기상관측지역에서 증발접시계수는 1, 2, 3, 7, 11, 12월은 기온에 가장 큰 영향을 받고, 다른 월들은 일사량에 가장 큰 영향을 받는 것으로 나타났다. 전반적으로 모든 월에서 풍속과 상대습도는 기온이나 일사량과 비교해서 증발접시계수에 큰 영향을 미치지 않는 것으로 나타났다. 모든 지역과 월에서 각 지역별로 5개의 독립변수(풍속, 상대습도, 기온, 일조시간과 가조시간의 비, 일사량)를 적용하여 유도된 모형이 가장 양호한 증발량 산정 결과를 보였다. 모형 검증결과에 의하면 다변량 선형회귀분석을 적용하여 증발접시계수를 산정하는 경우 일부 지역과 월에서 제한적으로 적용할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.