• Title/Summary/Keyword: Solar Model

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Short Term Forecast Model for Solar Power Generation using RNN-LSTM (RNN-LSTM을 이용한 태양광 발전량 단기 예측 모델)

  • Shin, Dong-Ha;Kim, Chang-Bok
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.233-239
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    • 2018
  • Since solar power generation is intermittent depending on weather conditions, it is necessary to predict the accurate generation amount of solar power to improve the efficiency and economical efficiency of solar power generation. This study proposes a short - term deep learning prediction model of solar power generation using meteorological data from Mokpo meteorological agency and generation data of Yeongam solar power plant. The meteorological agency forecasts weather factors such as temperature, precipitation, wind direction, wind speed, humidity, and cloudiness for three days. However, sunshine and solar radiation, the most important meteorological factors for forecasting solar power generation, are not predicted. The proposed model predicts solar radiation and solar radiation using forecast meteorological factors. The power generation was also forecasted by adding the forecasted solar and solar factors to the meteorological factors. The forecasted power generation of the proposed model is that the average RMSE and MAE of DNN are 0.177 and 0.095, and RNN is 0.116 and 0.067. Also, LSTM is the best result of 0.100 and 0.054. It is expected that this study will lead to better prediction results by combining various input.

The Daylight and Energy Performance Evaluation of Multi-purpose Solar Window System Using Simulaton Program (시뮬레이션에 의한 다기능 복합 솔라윈도우 시스템의 채광과 에너지성능평가)

  • Jeong, Yeol-Wha;Lee, Seun-Myung
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.103-110
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    • 2011
  • The aim of this study was to analysis the Heating/cooling performance and Daylighting performance of Solar Window System built in apartments. the solar window is the idea to integrate daylight as a third form of solar energy into a PV/Solar Collector system. The process of this study is as follows: 1)Solar Window system was designed through the investigation of previous paper and work. 2)The simulation program(Lightscape3.2) was used in daylighting performance analysis. the reference model of simulation was made up to analysis daylighting performance on Solar Window system. 3)The simulation program(ESP-r, Therm5.0, Window6.0) was used in energy performance analysis. the reference model of simulation was made up to analysis energy and daylighting performance on Solar Window system. 4)The Size of Simulation model for daylighting and heating/cooling energy analysis was $148.5m^2$ 5)The lighting performance analysis was carried out with various variants, such as the size and installed area of Solar Window system. 6)Energy performance simulation was carried out with various variants, such as Integrated U-value of Solar Window system according to its position, installed angle and insulation thickness. Consequently, When Solar Window system is equipped with balcony window of Apartment, Annual heating and cooling energy of reference model was cut down at the average of $4.1kWh/m^2$ or 4.2%.

Application of a Coupled Harmonic Oscillator Model to Solar Activity and El Niño Phenomena

  • Muraki, Yasushi
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.75-81
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    • 2018
  • Solar activity has an important impact not only on the intensity of cosmic rays but also on the environment of Earth. In the present paper, a coupled oscillator model is proposed to explain solar activity. This model can be used to naturally reduce the 89-year Gleissberg cycle. Furthermore, as an application of the coupled oscillator model, we herein attempt to apply the proposed model to El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$-southern oscillation (ENSO). As a result, the 22-year oscillation of the Pacific Ocean is naturally explained. Finally, we search for a possible explanation for coupled oscillators in actual solar activity.

The Study of Thermal Performance on Solar Window (다기능 솔라윈도우의 열성능 연구)

  • Cho, YilSik;Kim, Janghoi;Yang, Yoonsub;Kim, ByoungSoo
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2010.11a
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    • pp.65.2-65.2
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    • 2010
  • The aim of this study was to analysis the Heating/cooling performance of Solar Window built in apartments. The solar window is the idea to integrate daylight as a third form of solar energy into a PV/Solar Collector system and allows more control due to the possibility to close the reflectors. However, there can be a conflict between the desire for on one hand daylight and view and on the other hand optimal energy conversion for the PV/Solar Collector system. The process of this study is as follows: 1) The Solar Window system is designed through the investigation of previous paper and work. 2)The simulation program(ESP-r, Therm5.0, Window6.0) was used in Heating/cooling performance analysis. The reference model of simulation was made up to analysis Heating/cooling performance on Solar Window. 3)Selected reference model(Floors:15, Area of Unit:$148.5m^2$) for heating energy analysis, Energy performance simulation with various variants, such as U-value of Solar Window system according to its position and angle. Consequently, When Solar Window system is equipped with balcony window of Apartment, Annual heating and cooling energy of reference model was cut down about 5%~11%.

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A Study of Dynamic Simulation of a Hybrid Absorption Chiller Utilizing Solar Power (태양열을 이용한 일이중 겸용 흡수식 냉온수기 동적성능 모사연구)

  • Shin, Young-Gy;Seo, Jung-A;Woo, Sung-Min;Kim, Hyo-Sang
    • Proceedings of the SAREK Conference
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    • 2009.06a
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    • pp.967-972
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    • 2009
  • A dynamic model has been developed to investigate the operability of a single and double-effect solar energy assisted parallel type absorption chiller. In the study, main components and fluid transport mechanism were modeled. And solar radiation and the solar collector also were also modeled along with its control design. The model was run for the single mode with solar energy supply only and the solar/gas driving double effect mode. From the simulation results, it was found that the present configuration of the chiller is not capable of regulating solution flow rates according to variable solar energy input. And the issues of the excessive circulation flowrate and the mismatch between available solar power and cooling load discourages the use of the single mode, but the dual use of gas and solar power is recommendable in view of controllability and enhanced COP.

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Dynamic Simulation of Transient Operations of a Solar Power-Assisted Absorption Chiller (태양열 보조열원을 이용한 흡수식 시스템의 동적 시뮬레이션에 의한 과도운전 특성 평가)

  • Shin, Young-Gy;Seo, Jung-A;Woo, Sung-Min
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.78-85
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    • 2010
  • A dynamic model has been developed to investigate the operability of a single and double-effect solar energy assisted parallel type absorption chiller. In the study, main components and fluid transport mechanism were modeled. And solar radiation and the solar collector were also modeled along with its control design. The model was run for the single mode with solar energy supply only and the solar/gas driving double effect mode. From the simulation results, it was found that the present configuration of the chiller is not capable of regulating solution flow rates according to variable solar energy input. And the issues of the excessive circulation flow rate and the mismatch between available solar power and cooling load discourages the use of the single mode, but the dual use of gas and solar power is recommendable in view of controllability and enhanced COP.

Study on the tree-mimic array of solar cell modules (수목형상에 따른 태양전지 모듈의 배열 연구)

  • Kim, Ki-Hyun;Yun, Rin
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.32-39
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    • 2011
  • This study is about the installation of the solar cell modules. The solar cell modules are built by the tree-mimic structure, and the performance is compared with that of the flat-plate type solar cell module installation. The mathematical tree model, which was suggested by Fisher and Honda, is utilized to determine the location of the solar cell modules for the tree-mimic type. The experiment shows that the generated electric power of the flat-plate type is higher than that of the tree-mimic type by 30% for one month of July. This lower performance for the tree-mimic type comes from the shading effects among the solar cell modules. The theoretical calculation for the absorbed solar radiation on the two types of solar cell installation shows that the tree-mimic type is higher than the flat-plate type by 8.5%. The shading area for the tree-mimic model is calculated with time by using the 3D-CAD, which will be utilized for the optimization of the tree-mimic model in the future.

Analysis of improved solar cell modeling (개선된 태양전지 모델링 해석)

  • Kim Sun-Ja;Jeong Byung-Hwan;Park Jong-Chan;Choe Gyu-Ha
    • Proceedings of the KIPE Conference
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    • 2004.07a
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    • pp.113-116
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    • 2004
  • Output power of a photovoltaic system changes continuously as it strongly depends on the weather condition(isolation and temperature). Therefore, it is necessary the theoretical model realizes the electrical output characteristics of solar cell. Of several theoretical models for real solar cell, both parametric model and interpolation model are used widely. In this paper, we have propose a improved model of solar cell using its output characteristics that can be extended to calculate the rear solar cell characteristics at various temperatures and insolation. And more, the theoretical research of several models of solar cell using simulation analysis.

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Development of a Prediction Model of Solar Irradiances Using LSTM for Use in Building Predictive Control (건물 예측 제어용 LSTM 기반 일사 예측 모델)

  • Jeon, Byung-Ki;Lee, Kyung-Ho;Kim, Eui-Jong
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.39 no.5
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    • pp.41-52
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of the work is to develop a simple solar irradiance prediction model using a deep learning method, the LSTM (long term short term memory). Other than existing prediction models, the proposed one uses only the cloudiness among the information forecasted from the national meterological forecast center. The future cloudiness is generally announced with four categories and for three-hour intervals. In this work, a daily irradiance pattern is used as an input vector to the LSTM together with that cloudiness information. The proposed model showed an error of 5% for learning and 30% for prediction. This level of error has lower influence on the load prediction in typical building cases.

A Study on Probabilistic Reliability Evaluation of Power System Considering Solar Cell Generators (태양광발전원(太陽光發電原)을 고려한 전력계통(電力系統)의 확률논적(確率論的)인 신뢰도(信賴度) 평가(評價)에 관한 연구(硏究))

  • Park, Jeong-Je;Liang, Wu;Choi, Jae-Seok;Cha, Jun-Min
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.58 no.3
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    • pp.486-495
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    • 2009
  • This paper proposes a new methodology on reliability evaluation of a power system including solar cell generators (SCG). The SCGs using renewable energy resource such as solar radiation(SR) should be modeled as multi-state operational model because the uncertainty of the resource supply may occur an effect as same as the forced outage of generator in viewpoint of adequacy reliability of system. While a two-state model is well suited for modeling conventional generators, a multi-state model is needed to model the SCGs due to the random variation of solar radiation. This makes the method of calculating reliability evaluation indices of the SCG different from the conventional generator. After identifying the typical pattern of the SR probability distribution function(pdf) from SR actual data, this paper describes modelling, methodology and details process for reliability evaluation of the solar cell generators integrated with power system. Two test results indicate the viability of the proposed method.