• 제목/요약/키워드: Small Area

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Simultaneous modeling of mean and variance in small area estimation

  • Kim, Myungjin;Kim, Dal Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제27권5호
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    • pp.1423-1431
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    • 2016
  • When the sample size in a certain domain is too small to produce adequate information, small area model with random effects is usually used. Also, if we do not consider an inherent pattern which data possess, it considerably affects inference. In this paper, we mainly focus on modeling to handle increased variation of the Current Population Survey (CPS) median income as the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) mean income increases. In a hierarchical Bayesian framework, most estimations are carried out through the Gibbs sampler while the grid method is used to generate parameters from non-standard form. Numerical study indicates that the performance of proposed model is better than that of CPS method in terms of four comparison measurements.

Bayesian Curve-Fitting in Semiparametric Small Area Models with Measurement Errors

  • Hwang, Jinseub;Kim, Dal Ho
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.349-359
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    • 2015
  • We study a semiparametric Bayesian approach to small area estimation under a nested error linear regression model with area level covariate subject to measurement error. Consideration is given to radial basis functions for the regression spline and knots on a grid of equally spaced sample quantiles of covariate with measurement errors in the nested error linear regression model setup. We conduct a hierarchical Bayesian structural measurement error model for small areas and prove the propriety of the joint posterior based on a given hierarchical Bayesian framework since some priors are defined non-informative improper priors that uses Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods to fit it. Our methodology is illustrated using numerical examples to compare possible models based on model adequacy criteria; in addition, analysis is conducted based on real data.

농업용 저수지의 소수력 개발을 위한 경제성 분석 (Economic Feasibility Analysis for Development of Small Hydropower Using Agricultural Reservoirs)

  • 우재열;김진수;장훈;김영현
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제53권2호
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    • pp.53-60
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    • 2011
  • This study was conducted to investigate the effect of hydropower factors (watershed, gross head), operation ratio and unit electricity cost on the benefit-cost ratio (B/C ratio) of small hydropower using agricultural reservoirs. The equation of B/C ratio was expressed as a function of watershed area, gross head, operation ratio and unit electricity cost. The benefit increased with watershed area, gross head and unit electricity cost, while the cost increased with watershed area and gross head but decreased with operation ratio. The B/C ratio increased with watershed area, gross head, operation ratio and unit electricity cost. While the effect of gross head on the B/C ratio decreased with watershed area, the effect of operation ratio and unit electricity cost on the B/C ratio increased with watershed area. The operation ratio is an important factor to affect the B/C ratio and therefore we need to develop hydropower for the heightened dams to expect high operation ratio due to continuous water release. The unit electricity cost is also an important factor to affect the B/C ratio and the B/C ratio was always below 1 unless unit electricity cost is over 60 Won/kWh under given conditions. The reservoirs with economic feasibility for small hydropower development were three in 21 when the equation of B/C ratio was appled to the study reservoirs. The results can be used to choose the appropriate reservoir with economic feasibility for development of small hydropower.

도시 소유역 유효불투수율의 민감도 분석 (Sensitivity analysis of effective imperviousness estimation for small urban watersheds)

  • 김대근;고영찬
    • 상하수도학회지
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.181-187
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    • 2009
  • In this study, a runoff hydrograph and runoff volume were calculated by using the kinetic wave theory for small urban watersheds based on the concept of low impact development(LID), and the effective imperviousness was estimated based on these calculations. The degree of sensitivity of the effective imperviousness of small watersheds to the impervious to pervious area ratio, infiltration capability, watershed slope, roughness coefficient and surface storage depth was then analyzed. From this analysis, the following conclusions were obtained: The effective imperviousness and paved area reduction factor decreased as the infiltration capability of pervious area increased. As the slope of watersheds becomes sharper, the effective imperviousness and the paved area reduction factor display an increasing trend. As the roughness coefficient of impervious areas increases, the effective imperviousness and the paved area reduction factor tend to increase. As the storage depth increases, the effective imperviousness and the paved area reduction factor show an upward trend, but the increase is minimal. Under the conditions of this study, it was found that the effective imperviousness is most sensitive to watershed slope, followed by infiltration capability and roughness coefficient, which affect the sensitivity of the effective imperviousness at a similar level, and the storage depth was found to have little influence on the effective imperviousness.

대구광역시 초등학교 소공원 조성에 관한 연구 (Research on the Creation of Small Parks in Daegu Elementary Schools)

  • 김후경;이현택
    • 한국조경학회지
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    • 제33권3호
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    • pp.78-83
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of this project is to create small parks in elementary schools in order to improve the educational environment and also to increase the amount of greenspace in the city. Above all, the main goal is to create space for local residents in which they can enjoy their leisure time. During a basic investigation and document investigation of elementary schools in Daegu, I placed the priority on choosing the schools that showed the most promise. Also, by doing a survey about the present conditions at schools, I verified, compared, and analyzed the validity of creating small parks in elementary schools. The summary of the results are as follows. The average area available for building small parte in Daegu elementary schools is $7,447m^2$. Even though this area is not as large as a neighborhood parti the difference is not that great. Therefore, I assumed that building small parks in schools would be as effective as building neighborhood parks. The standard size for a children's parks is $1,500m^2$, and if small parks were to be constructed in all school areas with available space larger than a children's park (i.e., larger than $1,500m^2$), the amount of added park greenspace would equal $1,217,953m^2$. The number of schools with areas under $1,500m^2$ is only 3% of all schools in which small parte can be created(5 schools). Schools that have between $1,500m^2$ and $8,000m^2$of greenspace make up 59.7% of all schools in which small parte can be created (98 schools). Schools that have greenspace of more than $8,000m^2$ make up 37% of all school in which small parks can be created (61 schools). The standard area for neighborhood parte is $10,000m^2$ (building-to-land ratio 20%). Schools that have areas that are larger than the standard area for neighborhood parte make up 31% of all elementary schools in Daegu (61 schools). Therefore city greenspace would increase to a total of $694,805m^2$ by making use of these schools, which would represent 7% of the park greenspace in Daegu.

Relation of mortality to DBH and available area in naturally germinated Pinus densiflora populations

  • Kato, Jun;Degawa, Yousuke
    • Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • 제37권2호
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    • pp.105-111
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    • 2014
  • To elucidate whether small diameter at breast height correlates with tree death in an overcrowded tree population, we analyzed self-thinning occurring over the course of 37 years in naturally established Pinus densiflora populations in Sugadaira, central Japan. As trees grew, their diameters at breast height increased and the number of trees consequently decreased. Spatial distribution, which was initially clumped, changed accordingly, first becoming random and finally uniform. We calculated the "available area" of individual trees to elucidate the contribution of this parameter to tree mortality. Small diameter at breast height was strongly correlated with tree death, with a slight correlation observed between tree death and small available area of individual trees.

베인 디퓨져 목 형상비 변화에 따른 소형 터보압축기 성능특성 고찰 (Performance Characteristics of a Small-Size Turbo-Compressor with Different Vaned Diffuser Throat Area Ratios)

  • 김홍식;김윤제
    • 유체기계공업학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 유체기계공업학회 2001년도 유체기계 연구개발 발표회 논문집
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    • pp.120-125
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    • 2001
  • The effects of various vaned diffuser configurations, such as throat area ratios and rectangular and conical cross-section shapes. to the performance of a small-size turbo-compressor are studied. Numerical analyses were carried out for the region of diffuser and casing only. The pressure recovery coefficient was calculated to estimate the performance of the diffuser, and then compared with the measured data. Results show that the shapes and the throat area ratios of the diffuser strongly influence on the performance of a turbo-compressor.

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Accuracy Measures of Empirical Bayes Estimator for Mean Rates

  • Jeong, Kwang-Mo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제17권6호
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    • pp.845-852
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    • 2010
  • The outcomes of counts commonly occur in the area of disease mapping for mortality rates or disease rates. A Poisson distribution is usually assumed as a model of disease rates in conjunction with a gamma prior. The small area typically refers to a small geographical area or demographic group for which very little information is available from the sample surveys. Under this situation the model-based estimation is very popular, in which the auxiliary variables from various administrative sources are used. The empirical Bayes estimator under Poissongamma model has been considered with its accuracy measures. An accuracy measure using a bootstrap samples adjust the underestimation incurred by the posterior variance as an estimator of true mean squared error. We explain the suggested method through a practical dataset of hitters in baseball games. We also perform a Monte Carlo study to compare the accuracy measures of mean squared error.

지역보건 관련 소지역간 건강증진지표 개발에 관한 연구 (Development of Small Area Health Promotion Indicator for Community Health Initiative)

  • 김춘배;고광욱;박재성;최헌
    • 보건교육건강증진학회지
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.19-39
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    • 2003
  • Purpose: Although there is a lot of secondary data available for comparing community health status and planning health policies in terms of large area such as metropolitan cities or provinces, there is restricted data for establishing community health policies of the small areas such as towns, Gun(i.e., districts), and Gu. Specifically, the problems of producing a valuable index for health promotion in small areas are three fold: First, there is not an appropriate index model for measuring a small community health status. Second, a large part of secondary data in the small areas has been produced in an irregular time interval. In addition, all valuable data can not be integrated without time consuming work. Thus this study tries to establish a health promotion index model for assisting community health promotion initiatives of local governments. Methods and materials: Literature review, community health specialist consultation and a questionnaire survey was performed. Results: Based on Dever's model, a prototype of health promotion indicators was proposed and modified by the community health specialists. 15 classification scheme of statistical yearbook reorganized into the six areas. Those six areas were comprised in 24 indicator class with 96 specific indicators. Through further modification processes by a questionnaire survey, we developed a health promotion indicator model that contains six areas with 23 indicator class encompassed by 87 specific indicators. Conclusions: This study proposed a model of health promotion indicator comprised in the six areas with 23 indicator classes for measuring small area health promotion status. However, more specific or additional data in human biology, environment, and socioeconomic data is essential for producing a stronger model for health promotion measurement.

산림의 지역적 특성을 고려한 시군구 임목축적량 통계 산출 기법 개발 (Estimations of Forest Growing Stocks in Small-area Level Considering Local Forest Characteristics)

  • 김은숙;김철민
    • 한국산림과학회지
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    • 제104권1호
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    • pp.117-126
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    • 2015
  • 시군구 단위 산림통계의 사회적 필요성에도 불구하고 자료의 부족으로 인하여 현실을 반영한 산림통계 산출이 어려운 상황에 있다. 따라서, 시군구 산림 통계 산출을 위하여 해당 시군구의 국가산림자원조사 자료와 주변 지역의 자료를 함께 활용하여 통계량의 오차 수준을 감소시키고 소면적 통계량이 해당 지역 산림의 지역적 특수성을 반영할 수 있는 새로운 소면적 통계산출 방법의 개발이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 소면적 지역과 특성 구조가 유사하다는 가정을 만족하면서 통계산출을 위한 최소한의 표본점 개수를 확보하기에 적정한 공간 단위에 대한 연구를 수행하였다. 그리고 산림의 지역적 특성을 결정하는 주요 요인인 기후, 토양, 수종 구성 등의 동질성을 기준으로 구획된 확장시군구 기반의 합성추정법, 시 도 단위 자료를 이용하는 기본계획구 합성추정법, 인접 시군구 자료를 이용하는 이웃시군 합성추정법을 비교하고, 이 방법들을 통해 산출된 임목축적 통계의 지역적 특성 설명력과 상위 통계와의 관계에 대한 평가를 수행했다. 그 결과, 확장시군구 합성추정법이 기본계획구 합성추정과 이웃시군 합성추정보다 지역적 특성을 보다 잘 반영하는 통계를 산출하는 것으로 평가되었다. 또한 확장시군구 합성추정법을 통해 산출된 통계량은 시도 단위로 산출된 통계량의 95% 신뢰구간 내에 포함되었으며, 이웃시군 합성추정법에 의해 산출된 결과보다 시도단위 통계량과의 차이가 적게 발생하였다.