• Title/Summary/Keyword: Simulation Result Prediction

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Performance Improvement of Prediction-Based Parallel Gate-Level Timing Simulation Using Prediction Accuracy Enhancement Strategy (예측정확도 향상 전략을 통한 예측기반 병렬 게이트수준 타이밍 시뮬레이션의 성능 개선)

  • Yang, Seiyang
    • KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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    • v.5 no.12
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    • pp.439-446
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, an efficient prediction accuracy enhancement strategy is proposed for improving the performance of the prediction-based parallel event-driven gate-level timing simulation. The proposed new strategy adopts the static double prediction and the dynamic prediction for input and output values of local simulations. The double prediction utilizes another static prediction data for the secondary prediction once the first prediction fails, and the dynamic prediction tries to use the on-going simulation result accumulated dynamically during the actual parallel simulation execution as prediction data. Therefore, the communication overhead and synchronization overhead, which are the main bottleneck of parallel simulation, are maximally reduced. Throughout the proposed two prediction enhancement techniques, we have observed about 5x simulation performance improvement over the commercial parallel multi-core simulation for six test designs.

Mathematical expression for the Prediction of Strip Profile in hot rolling mill (열연 판형상 예측 수식모델 개발)

  • Cho Y.S.;Hwang S.M.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Technology of Plasticity Conference
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    • 2004.05a
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    • pp.70-73
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    • 2004
  • The approach in this thesis is for prediction of deformed strip profile in hot rolling mill. This approach shows how to make an expression as a mathematical form in predicting strip profile. This approach is based on the velocity field, shear stress and material flow on the strip edge along width direction and lateral displacement and stress along width are analytically calculated. Roll force is calculated in each section and then combined together to show roll force distribution along width. All the assumptions to make equation form for this approach are supported by FEM simulation result and the result of model is verified by FEM result. So, this model will supply very useful tool to the researcher and engineers which takes less time and has similar accuracy in predicting roll force profile comparing to FEM simulation. This model has to be combined with deformed roll profile model, which include thermal crown prediction and wear prediction model to predict deformed strip profile.

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Hybrid d-step prediction design with improved prediction performance (향상된 성능을 갖는 혼합 d-step 예측기 설계)

  • 김윤선;윤주홍;박영진
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2000.10a
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    • pp.145-145
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, we propose a hybrid d-step predictor which is composed of an adaptive predictor and a Kalman predictor. We prove the performance limit of the proposed predictor. Simulation is conducted to examine the performance of the proposed predictor. Simulation results show that the proposed combined predictor is superior to the adaptive predictor and the Kalman predictor. Proposed predictor is used for prediction of gun tip vibration of k1 tank. The result is compared with that of conventional adaptive predictor.

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Application of an Optimized Support Vector Regression Algorithm in Short-Term Traffic Flow Prediction

  • Ruibo, Ai;Cheng, Li;Na, Li
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.719-728
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    • 2022
  • The prediction of short-term traffic flow is the theoretical basis of intelligent transportation as well as the key technology in traffic flow induction systems. The research on short-term traffic flow prediction has showed the considerable social value. At present, the support vector regression (SVR) intelligent prediction model that is suitable for small samples has been applied in this domain. Aiming at parameter selection difficulty and prediction accuracy improvement, the artificial bee colony (ABC) is adopted in optimizing SVR parameters, which is referred to as the ABC-SVR algorithm in the paper. The simulation experiments are carried out by comparing the ABC-SVR algorithm with SVR algorithm, and the feasibility of the proposed ABC-SVR algorithm is verified by result analysis. Continuously, the simulation experiments are carried out by comparing the ABC-SVR algorithm with particle swarm optimization SVR (PSO-SVR) algorithm and genetic optimization SVR (GA-SVR) algorithm, and a better optimization effect has been attained by simulation experiments and verified by statistical test. Simultaneously, the simulation experiments are carried out by comparing the ABC-SVR algorithm and wavelet neural network time series (WNN-TS) algorithm, and the prediction accuracy of the proposed ABC-SVR algorithm is improved and satisfactory prediction effects have been obtained.

Fatigue Crack Growth, Coalescence Behavior and Its Simulation on Multi-Surface Cracks (복수 표면피로균열의 성장합체거동과 시뮬레이션에 관한 연구)

  • 서창민;황남성;박명규
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.716-728
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    • 1994
  • In this paper, fatigue tests were carried out to study the behavior of growth and coalescence of multi-surface cracks which were initiated at the semi-circular surface notches, and a simulation program was developed to predict their growth and coalescence behavior. By comparing the experimental result with those of the simulation based on SPC(surface point connection), ASME and BSI(British Standards Institution) conditions, we tried to enhance the reliance and integrity of structures. This shows that the simulation result has utility for fatigue life prediction.

Development of a Simulation Prediction System Using Statistical Machine Learning Techniques (통계적 기계학습 기술을 이용한 시뮬레이션 결과 예측 시스템 개발)

  • Lee, Ki Yong;Shin, YoonJae;Choe, YeonJeong;Kim, SeonJeong;Suh, Young-Kyoon;Sa, Jeong Hwan;Lee, JongSuk Luth;Cho, Kum Won
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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    • v.5 no.11
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    • pp.593-606
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    • 2016
  • Computer simulation is widely used in a variety of computational science and engineering fields, including computational fluid dynamics, nano physics, computational chemistry, structural dynamics, and computer-aided optimal design, to simulate the behavior of a system. As the demand for the accuracy and complexity of the simulation grows, however, the cost of executing the simulation is rapidly increasing. It, therefore, is very important to lower the total execution time of the simulation especially when that simulation makes a huge number of repetitions with varying values of input parameters. In this paper we develop a simulation service system that provides the ability to predict the result of the requested simulation without actual execution for that simulation: by recording and then returning previously obtained or predicted results of that simulation. To achieve the goal of avoiding repetitive simulation, the system provides two main functionalities: (1) storing simulation-result records into database and (2) predicting from the database the result of a requested simulation using statistical machine learning techniques. In our experiments we evaluate the prediction performance of the system using real airfoil simulation result data. Our system on average showed a very low error rate at a minimum of 0.9% for a certain output variable. Using the system any user can receive the predicted outcome of her simulation promptly without actually running it, which would otherwise impose a heavy burden on computing and storage resources.

Predictability of the Seasonal Simulation by the METRI 3-month Prediction System (기상연구소 3개월 예측시스템의 예측성 평가)

  • Byun, Young-Hwa;Song, Jee-Hye;Park, Suhee;Lim, Han-Chul
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.27-44
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate predictability of the seasonal simulation by the METRI (Meteorological Research Institute) AGCM (Atmospheric General Circulation Model), which is a long-term prediction model for the METRI 3-month prediction system. We examine the performance skill of climate simulation and predictability by the analysis of variance of the METRI AGCM, focusing on the precipitation, 850 hPa temperature, and 500 hPa geopotential height. According to the result, the METRI AGCM shows systematic errors with seasonal march, and represents large errors over the equatorial region, compared to the observation. Also, the response of the METRI AGCM by the variation of the sea surface temperature is obvious for the wintertime and springtime. However, the METRI AGCM does not show the significant ENSO-related signal in autumn. In case of prediction over the east Asian region, errors between the prediction results and the observation are not quite large with the lead-time. However, in the predictability assessment using the analysis of variance method, longer lead-time makes the prediction better, and the predictability becomes better in the springtime.

A Study on Traffic Prediction Using Hybrid Approach of Machine Learning and Simulation Techniques (기계학습과 시뮬레이션 기법을 융합한 교통 상태 예측 방법 개발 연구)

  • Kim, Yeeun;Kim, Sunghoon;Yeo, Hwasoo
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.100-112
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    • 2021
  • With the advent of big data, traffic prediction has been developed based on historical data analysis methods, but this method deteriorates prediction performance when a traffic incident that has not been observed occurs. This study proposes a method that can compensate for the reduction in traffic prediction accuracy in traffic incidents situations by hybrid approach of machine learning and traffic simulation. The blind spots of the data-driven method are revealed when data patterns that have not been observed in the past are recognized. In this study, we tried to solve the problem by reinforcing historical data using traffic simulation. The proposed method performs machine learning-based traffic prediction and periodically compares the prediction result with real time traffic data to determine whether an incident occurs. When an incident is recognized, prediction is performed using the synthetic traffic data generated through simulation. The method proposed in this study was tested on an actual road section, and as a result of the experiment, it was confirmed that the error in predicting traffic state in incident situations was significantly reduced. The proposed traffic prediction method is expected to become a cornerstone for the advancement of traffic prediction.

Fatigue Crack Growth, Coalescence Behavior and its Simulation on Multi-Surface Cracks Under the Elevated Temperature (고온하 복수 표면균열의 성장 합체거동과 시뮬레이션에 관한 연구)

  • 서창민;황남성;윤기봉
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.142-151
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    • 1995
  • A simulation program concerned with multi-surface fatigue cracks which initiated at the semi-circular surface notches has been developed to predict their growth and coalescence behaviors at the elevated temperature. Three kinds of coalescence models such as SPC(surface point connection), ASME and BSI(British Standards Institution) conditions were applied, and the results of the simulation were compared with those of the experiment. This simulation is able to enhance the reliance and integrity of structures especially under the elevated temperature which have lots of difficulties in experiments and applications. This shows that the simulation result has utility for fatigue life prediction. Even though all the specimens were the same shape, the error rate was increased in accordance with the applied stress to the specimen. Among the material constants C and m in the narrow band, the results applied upper values of the band to the simulation has shown quite small error compared with the experiment results.

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Verification about the HEMU Pantograph Performance of the Dynamics Behaviors (차세대고속전철용 판토그라프에 대한 성능 검증)

  • Kim, Ki-Nam;Cho, Yong-Hyeon;Ko, Tae-Hwan;Jang, Hyeon-Mog
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2011.10a
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    • pp.3019-3026
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    • 2011
  • The pantograph on HEMU400 perform the simulation of following characteristics for pantograph's performance prediction and confirming the EN50119's requirement. To meet the performance requirements for the input data are proposed. Simulation result of the performance requirements are satisfied from proposed input data. The new model was developed by proposed data base on the simulation result. A new developed model data used in following characteristics meet to be sure about what the test was done to count the equivalence of mass. Depending on the results of test to performance prediction, and propose research directions.

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