• 제목/요약/키워드: Short-Term Development

검색결과 975건 처리시간 0.038초

Radar Quantitative Precipitation Estimation using Long Short-Term Memory Networks

  • Thi, Linh Dinh;Yoon, Seong-Sim;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2020년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.183-183
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    • 2020
  • Accurate quantitative precipitation estimation plays an important role in hydrological modelling and prediction. Instantaneous quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) by utilizing the weather radar data is a great applicability for operational hydrology in a catchment. Previously, regression technique performed between reflectivity (Z) and rain intensity (R) is used commonly to obtain radar QPEs. A novel, recent approaching method which might be applied in hydrological area for QPE is Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Networks. LSTM networks is a development and evolution of Recurrent Neuron Networks (RNNs) method that overcomes the limited memory capacity of RNNs and allows learning of long-term input-output dependencies. The advantages of LSTM compare to RNN technique is proven by previous works. In this study, LSTM networks is used to estimate the quantitative precipitation from weather radar for an urban catchment in South Korea. Radar information and rain-gauge data are used to evaluate and verify the estimation. The estimation results figure out that LSTM approaching method shows the accuracy and outperformance compared to Z-R relationship method. This study gives us the high potential of LSTM and its applications in urban hydrology.

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Long-term prenatal stress increases susceptibility of N-methyl-D-aspartic acid-induced spasms in infant rats

  • Kwon, Hyeok Hee;Lee, Taekwan;Hong, Jinpyo;Kim, Dong Woon;Kang, Joon Won
    • Clinical and Experimental Pediatrics
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    • 제61권5호
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    • pp.150-155
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: Infantile spasms, also known as West syndrome, is an age-specific epileptic seizure. Most patients with this condition also exhibit delayed development. This study aimed to determine the effect of long-term prenatal stress on susceptibility to infantile spasms. Methods: We subjected pregnant rats to acute or chronic immobilization stress. Resulting offspring received N-methyl-D-aspartic acid (15 mg/kg, intraperitoneally) on postnatal day 15, and their behaviors were observed 75 minutes after injection. The expression of KCC2 and GAD67 was also determined using immunohistochemistry. Results: Exposure to long-term prenatal stress increased the frequency of spasms and decreased the latency to onset of spasms compared with offspring exposed to short-term prenatal stress. Expression of KCC2 and GAD67 also decreased in the group exposed to long-term prenatal stress compared with the group exposed to short-term prenatal stress. Conclusion: Our study suggests that exposure to long-term prenatal stress results in increased susceptibility to seizures.

Potential of Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory Networks for Crop Classification with Multitemporal Remote Sensing Images

  • Kwak, Geun-Ho;Park, Chan-Won;Ahn, Ho-Yong;Na, Sang-Il;Lee, Kyung-Do;Park, No-Wook
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제36권4호
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    • pp.515-525
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    • 2020
  • This study investigates the potential of bidirectional long short-term memory (Bi-LSTM) for efficient modeling of temporal information in crop classification using multitemporal remote sensing images. Unlike unidirectional LSTM models that consider only either forward or backward states, Bi-LSTM could account for temporal dependency of time-series images in both forward and backward directions. This property of Bi-LSTM can be effectively applied to crop classification when it is difficult to obtain full time-series images covering the entire growth cycle of crops. The classification performance of the Bi-LSTM is compared with that of two unidirectional LSTM architectures (forward and backward) with respect to different input image combinations via a case study of crop classification in Anbadegi, Korea. When full time-series images were used as inputs for classification, the Bi-LSTM outperformed the other unidirectional LSTM architectures; however, the difference in classification accuracy from unidirectional LSTM was not substantial. On the contrary, when using multitemporal images that did not include useful information for the discrimination of crops, the Bi-LSTM could compensate for the information deficiency by including temporal information from both forward and backward states, thereby achieving the best classification accuracy, compared with the unidirectional LSTM. These case study results indicate the efficiency of the Bi-LSTM for crop classification, particularly when limited input images are available.

단기시장모형 해석을 위한 전력시장가격 시뮬레이터(EMPS) 개발 (Development of Electricity Market Price Simulator(EMPS) for short term electricity market)

  • 허진;강동주;정해성;문영환
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2004년도 추계학술대회 논문집 전력기술부문
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    • pp.97-100
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    • 2004
  • As the circumstance of the traditional system is changed according to power system deregulation, the simulation tool which should reflect market code providing market operating mechanism is needed to analyze an electricity market. This paper presents the development of Electricity Market Price Simulator for short term(EMPS) that is designed to imitate the Korean electricity market. The EMPS is developed in VB.NET and is composed if three functions that consist of calculating SMP for CBP market, MCP for TWBF market and LMP for LMP-market. To evidence the features and the performance of EMPS, a small two way bidding market with 12-bus system, one way bidding market for generator competition and LMP market with 5-bus system will be presented for the electricity market simulations using EMPS.

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The Impact of Government Innovation Subsidies on the Survival of SMEs in Korea

  • Kim, Sangsin
    • STI Policy Review
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.55-76
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    • 2018
  • This study analyzed the effect of the government R&D subsidy program on long-term firm survival. In order to estimate the average treatment effect for the treated group, we used the survival analysis and matching method by constituting a comprehensive dataset of more than 90,000 observations. The analysis results show that the government R&D subsidy has a negative impact on long-term firm survival. In particular, not only the subsidy does not have a statistically significant effect on firm survival in the relatively short-term, the survival probability of the subsidized firms is statistically significantly lower than the non-subsidized firms after six years. These results can be seen as weakening the justification of government R&D support. There may be problems in the subsidy policy itself and the process of selection of subsidy awardees; however, the more fundamental problem is that the subsidy policy is concluded as the one-time event. Admittedly, it would be difficult for the government to precisely manage the subsidized projects over a long term period. However, in the case of a project in which short-term performance is detected, it would be necessary to provide a step-by-step support to strengthen the firm's competitiveness through further support and continuous development of performance. Of course, mid- and long-term evaluations of subsidy support policy should be performed in parallel with such phased support.

장단기 기억 신경망을 사용한 다변수 데이터 농산물 가격 예측 모델 (Agricultural Product Price Prediction ModelUsing Multi-Variable Data Long Short Term Memory)

  • 강동곤;장영민;이주석;이성수
    • 전기전자학회논문지
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    • 제28권3호
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    • pp.451-457
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    • 2024
  • 본 논문에서는 가격, 기후 요인, 수요, 수입량 등 다양한 변수를 데이터화한 후, LSTM(Long Short-Term Memory) 모델을 활용하여 농산물 가격을 예측하는 방법을 제안하였다. 시계열 데이터의 장기 의존성을 학습하는 LSTM 모델을 통해 예측 성능을 분석한 결과, 다양한 데이터를 통합함으로써 기존 방법보다 성능이 향상되었음을 확인하였다. 또한, 종속 변수인 가격 데이터 없이 독립 변수들만을 활용한 예측에서도 의미 있는 성과를 거두어, 모델의 발전 가능성을 확인할 수 있었다. 더 나아가, 다변수 모델을 사용할 경우 예측 성능이 더욱 개선될 수 있음을 알게 되었으며, 이러한 복합적인 접근이 배추 가격 예측의 정확도를 높이는 데 효과적임을 시사한다.

일 단위 강수량의 누적 패턴을 이용한 가뭄지수 개발 및 적용 (Development and Application of Drought Index Based on Accumulative Pattern of Daily Rainfall)

  • 권민성;박동혁;전경수;김태웅
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제49권1호
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    • pp.41-49
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    • 2016
  • 본 연구에서는 일강수량의 누적 패턴을 고려하여 새로운 가뭄지수(RADI)를 개발하였다. RADI는 누적 강수량의 장기간의 평균과 특정 기간에 관측된 누적 강수량을 비교하여 일단위로 가뭄지수를 간단히 산정할 수 있도록 개발되었다. 우리나라의 대표적인 가뭄기간 동안의 RADI의 시 공간적 변동성과 재현 주기를 살펴봄으로써 장 단기 가뭄의 감시에 대한 RADI의 적용성을 평가하였다. SPI의 경우, 장 단기 가뭄을 표현하기 위해서는 여러 가지 지속기간을 가지는 SPI를 사용해야 하지만, RADI는 하나의 지수로 단기 및 장기가뭄을 표현하고 모니터링 할 수 있다. RADI의 전국 평균값을 살펴본 결과, 우리나라에서 20년 주기로 가뭄이 발생하고 있다는 사실을 확인하였다. 또한 RADI의 발생확률 및 통계 분석을 통해 5단계의 가뭄 등급을 제안하였으며, 이는 가뭄 예보와 대응을 위한 기준으로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

Economic Development, Globalization, Political Risk and CO2 Emission: The Case of Vietnam

  • VU, Thi Van;HUANG, De Chun
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권12호
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    • pp.21-31
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    • 2020
  • This study investigates the dynamic effects of economic development, international cooperation, electricity consumption, and political risk on the escalation of CO2 emission in Vietnam. We adopted autoregressive distributed lag model and Granger causality method to examine the interaction between CO2 and various economic and political factors, including foreign direct investment, trade openness, economic growth, manufacture, electricity consumption, and political risk in Vietnam since the economic revolution in 1986. The findings reflect opposite influence between these factors and the level of CO2 in the intermediate and long-term durations. Accordingly, foreign direct investment and CO2 emission have a bidirectional relationship, in which foreign direct investment accelerates short-term CO2 emission, but reduces it in the long run through an interactive mechanism. Moreover, economic development increases the volume of CO2 emission in both short and long run. There was also evidence that political risk has a negative effect on the environment. Overall, the findings confirm lasting negative environmental effects of economic growth, trade liberalization, and increased electricity consumption. These factors, with Granger causality, mutually affect the escalation of CO2 in Vietnam. In order to control the level of CO2, more efforts are required to improve administrative transparency, attract high-quality foreign investment, and decouple the environment from economic development.