• 제목/요약/키워드: Service Time Estimation

검색결과 343건 처리시간 0.026초

Jacknife and Bootstrap Estimation of the Mean Number of Customers in Service for an $M/G/{\infty}$

  • Park, Dong-Keun
    • 한국국방경영분석학회지
    • /
    • 제12권2호
    • /
    • pp.68-81
    • /
    • 1986
  • This thesis studies the estimation from interarrival and service time data of the mean number of customers in service at time t for an $M/G/{\infty}$ queue. The assumption is that the parametric form of the service time distribution is unknown and the empirical distribution of twe service time is used in the estimate the mean number of customers in service. In the case in which the customer arrival rate is known the distribution of the estimate is derived and an approximate normal confidence interval procedure is suggested. The use of the nonparametric methods, which are the jackknife and the bootstrap, to estimate variability and construct confidence intervals for the estimate is also studied both analytically and by simulation.

  • PDF

실시간 SOA에서 서비스의 실행시간 예측 (Service Execution Time Estimation in Real-time SOA)

  • 김여자;변정용
    • 한국정보과학회논문지:컴퓨팅의 실제 및 레터
    • /
    • 제15권7호
    • /
    • pp.510-514
    • /
    • 2009
  • 기존의 실시간 시스템들이 SOA기반으로 통합되면 실시간 SOA가 필요하다. 실시간 SOA에서 하나의 서비스는 일반적으로 여러 개의 작은 단위서비스로 분화되기도 한다. 단위서비스의 예측실행시간은 제공자시스템에서 제공된다. 하지만 요청자는 중개자와 제공자 사이의 메시지 송수신 과정에 관여되는 시간요소를 분석한 시간예측도 필요하다. 본 논문은 웹 서비스의 QoS 만족도를 높이기 위해서 트랜잭션을 고려한 시간 예측과 더불어 다중처리기 시스템의 보편화에 따른 트랜잭션의 실행시간 예측에 관련된 시간요소를 분석하여 개선된 최악의 실행시간 예측 방법을 제안한다.

Establishment of Service Life of Educational Facilities - Focused on the rooftop waterproofing and floor finishing -

  • Lee, KangHee;Chae, ChangU
    • KIEAE Journal
    • /
    • 제14권5호
    • /
    • pp.5-12
    • /
    • 2014
  • Building has been deteriorated gradually owing to geographic, physical complex and other factors. School living condition has a key role to improve the learning ability, life attitude and qualifications to adopt to social life. Therefore, it is important for school environment to keep the living condition. Repair time and scope of school facilities are required to maintain the function and performance to plan the long term repair. But there are little information about the school maintenance such as repair time and function. In this paper, it aimed at providing the service life to suggest the repair time and scope in the roof-proofing and floor finishing which used the three estimation method in probabilistic approach. The service life has a key role to decide the repair time and to make the plan for the repair maintenance. Results of this study are as follows ; First, the 1st repair time were taken through three methods in probabilistic and deterministic functions to eliminate the estimation bias. Second, the service life is suggested 36 years of an elementary school, 34 years of a middle school and 41 years of a high school. Third, the service life of a floor finishing is 43 years of an elementary, 39 years of a middle school and 41 years of a high school. The above study could not include the detailed information about the materials and repair works. Therefore it needs a further study to reflect the detailed information and to make a repair strategy.

COMPUTATIONAL DURABILITY PREDICTION OF BODY STRUCTURES IN PROTOTYPE VEHICLES

  • Kim, H.-S.;Yim, H.-J.;Kim, C.-B.
    • International Journal of Automotive Technology
    • /
    • 제3권4호
    • /
    • pp.129-135
    • /
    • 2002
  • Durability estimation of a prototype vehicle has traditionally relied heavily on accelerated durability tests using predefined proving grounds or rig tests using a road simulator. By use of those tests, it is very difficult to predict durability failures in actual service environments. This motivated the development of an integrated CAE (Computer Aided Engineering) methodology for the durability estimation of a prototype vehicle in actual service environments. Since expensive computational costs such as computation time and hardware resources are required for a full vehicle simulation in those environments with a very long span of event time, the conventional CAE methodologies have little feasibility. An efficient computational methodology for durability estimations is applied with theoretical developments. The effectiveness of the proposed methodology is shown by the comparison of results of the typical actual service environment such as the city mode with those of the typical accelerated durability test over the Belgian road.

ZigBee의 RSSI 위치정보기반 보안 영상정보 검색 시스템 설계 및 구현 (A Design and Implementation of Security Image Information Search Service System using Location Information Based RSSI of ZigBee)

  • 김명환;정영지
    • 한국IT서비스학회지
    • /
    • 제10권4호
    • /
    • pp.243-258
    • /
    • 2011
  • With increasing interest in ubiquitous computing technology, an infrastructure for the short-distance wireless communication has been extended socially, bringing spotlight to the security system using the image or location. In case of existing security system, there have been issues such as the occurrences of blind spots, difficulty in recognizing multiple objects and storing of the unspecified objects. In order to solve this issue, zone-based location-estimation search system for the image have been suggested as an alternative based on the real-time location determination technology combined with image. This paper intends to suggest the search service for the image zone-based location-estimation. For this, it proposed the location determination algorism using IEEE 802.15.4/ZigBee's RSSI and for real-time image service, the RTP/RTCP protocol was applied. In order to combine the location and image, at the event of the entry of the specified target, the record of the time for image and the time of occurrence of the event on a global time standard, it has devised a time stamp, applying XML based meta data formation method based on the media's feature data based in connection with the location based data for the events of the object. Using the proposed meta data, the service mode which can search for the image from the point in time when the entry of the specified target was proposed.

Charging and Revenue Estimation for the WiMAX System

  • Lee, Hoon
    • 한국통신학회논문지
    • /
    • 제34권3B호
    • /
    • pp.288-303
    • /
    • 2009
  • In the near future it is foreseen that a genuine multimedia service over the WiMAX system is provided in a worldwide manner by exploiting the QoS technologies introduced in the wireless and wired broadband network. In this work we propose a pricing scheme for the multimedia service over the generic WiMAX system that supports a full QoS functionality. We assume real-time services such as the voice and video as well as the nonreal-time service such as the conventional high-speed data, and we propose a pricing and charging scheme for those services by investigating the inherent characteristics of those services and the multiple-class of QoS-service provided to them. After that we propose a method to compute expected revenue that is obtained from the WiMAX system by using an analytic method to estimate the usage of the bandwidth resources for the different class of services. Via numerical experiment, we verify the implication of the work.

선박 물류 프로세스의 실시간 서비스 완료시간 예측에 대한 연구 (Real-time Estimation on Service Completion Time of Logistics Process for Container Vessels)

  • 윤신휘;하병현
    • 한국전자거래학회지
    • /
    • 제17권2호
    • /
    • pp.149-163
    • /
    • 2012
  • 물류 시스템은 다양한 프로세스에 걸친 한정된 자원들의 작업을 통해 고객에게 서비스를 제공한다. 이와 같은 복잡한 환경에서 높은 서비스 수준을 유지하기 위해서는 프로세스 진행 상황에 대한 실시간 모니터링과 그를 통한 성과 달성도의 지속적인 관리가 필수적으로 요구된다. 본 연구에서는 컨테이너 터미널을 대상으로 선박 물류 프로세스의 서비스 완료시간을 예측하는 방법론을 제시한다. 이를 위해 먼저 선박에서 컨테이너를 싣고 내리는 프로세스에 영향을 미치는 요인을 파악한다. 그리고, 확인된 요인들 중 영향 정도를 직접적으로 측정하기 어려운 것에 대해 정량적인 값을 추정하는 방안을 개발한다. 서비스 완료 시간에 대한 실시간 예측은 의사결정 나무를 사용한다. 과거 프로세스 진행 이력을 바탕으로 의사결정 나무를 학습시킨 후, 특정 시점에서 실시간 요인의 상태를 이용하여 서비스 완료시간을 예측한다. 컨테이너 터미널 시뮬레이션 모형을 활용하여 본 연구에서 제시하는 방법론을 검증하였다.

혁신채택 및 확산이론의 통신방송융합(위성DMB) 서비스 수요추정 응용 (Applications of Innovation Adoption and Diffusion Theory to Demand Estimation for Communications and Media Converging (DMB) Services)

  • 송영화;한현수
    • 경영과학
    • /
    • 제22권1호
    • /
    • pp.179-197
    • /
    • 2005
  • This study examines market acceptance for DMB service, one of the touted new business models in Korea's next-generation mobile communications service market, using adoption end diffusion of innovation as the theoretical framework. Market acceptance for DMB service was assessed by predicting the demand for the service using the Bass model, and the demand variability over time was then analyzed by integrating the innovation adoption model proposed by Rogers (2003). In our estimation of the Bass model, we derived the coefficient of innovation and coefficient of imitation, using actual diffusion data from the mobile telephone service market. The maximum number of subscribers was estimated based on the result of a survey on satellite DMB service. Furthermore, to test the difference in diffusion pattern between mobile phone service and satellite DMB service, we reorganized the demand data along the diffusion timeline according to Rogers' innovation adoption model, using the responses by survey subjects concerning their respective projected time of adoption. The comparison of the two demand prediction models revealed that diffusion for both took place forming a classical S-curve. Concerning variability in demand for DMB service, our findings, much in agreement with Rogers' view, indicated that demand was highly variable over time and depending on the adopter group. In distinguishing adopters into different groups by time of adoption of innovation, we found that income and lifestyle (opinion leadership, novelty seeking tendency and independent decision-making) were variables with measurable impact. Among the managerial variables, price of reception device, contents type, subscription fees were the variables resulting in statistically significant differences. This study, as an attempt to measure the market acceptance for satellite DMB service, a leading next-generation mobile communications service product, stands out from related studies in that it estimates the nature and level of acceptance for specific customer categories, using theories of innovation adoption and diffusion and based on the result of a survey conducted through one-to-one interviews. The authors of this paper believe that the theoretical framework elaborated in this study and its findings can be fruitfully reused in future attempts to predict demand for new mobile communications service products.

공공발주용역 실적 및 평가 관리 프로세스 개선에 대한 연구 (A Research on Improvement Scheme for Management Technique of Public Ordering Service Results and Estimation)

  • 이규성;이한규;김남곤
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국건축시공학회 2013년도 춘계 학술논문 발표대회
    • /
    • pp.238-239
    • /
    • 2013
  • A system to efficiently utilize construction information has been in demand as a result of the changing society where information and knowledge leads to added value. Consequently, the government established a comprehensive information network system for construction industries to manage and utilize construction information which is the currently in use. However, this system is oriented toward management and business performance estimation for engineering and does not integrate a management system for design, construction technology, and construction engineering services. Therefore, this study proposes to develop object technology and management system of construction services and its evaluation to provide such information in real time.

  • PDF

건설기술용역 실적 관리 프로세스 시스템 개발에 대한 연구 (A Research on the Development of Management Process System of Public Ordering Service Results and Estimation)

  • 이규성;이한규;김남곤
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국건축시공학회 2014년도 춘계 학술논문 발표대회
    • /
    • pp.168-169
    • /
    • 2014
  • Construction Technology Service is currently hardly managed due to failure to offer standard management system of service performance, company performance, and business evaluation in every Ordering Agencies. After Construction Technology Promotion Act is enforced in May 2014, Ordering Agency obligates them to report to Minister of Land and Transportation within 10 days upon contract/ amendment/ completion. In 2013, in advance to enforcement of this law, performance management system for construction technology service was developed for a test run. However this system only applies to main contractors while management and operation of subcontractors are unavailable that causes problems on connection and integration with Experience Management Trustee. Therefore, this research will establish systematic foundation that enables real-time information of service performance and evaluation of subcontractors to result standardization of performance and evaluation for public ordered services.

  • PDF