• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.21 no.6
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• pp.471-486
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• 2014

This study introduces a new type of symbolic data, a candle chart-valued time series. We aggregate four stock indices (i.e., open, close, highest and lowest) as a one data point to summarize a huge amount of data. In other words, we consider a candle chart, which is constructed by open, close, highest and lowest stock indices, as a type of symbolic data for a long period. The proposed candle chart-valued time series effectively summarize and visualize a huge data set of stock indices to easily understand a change in stock indices. We also propose novel approaches for the candle chart-valued time series modeling based on a combination of two midpoints and two half ranges between the highest and the lowest indices, and between the open and the close indices. Furthermore, we propose three types of sum of square for estimation of the candle chart valued-time series model. The proposed methods take into account of information from not only ordinary data, but also from interval of object, and thus can effectively perform for time series modeling (e.g., forecasting future stock index). To evaluate the proposed methods, we describe real data analysis consisting of the stock market indices of five major Asian countries'. We can see thorough the results that the proposed approaches outperform for forecasting future stock indices compared with classical data analysis.

• Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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• v.20 no.4
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• pp.67-79
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• 2011

The statistical process control (SPC) assumes that observations follow the particular statistical distribution and they are independent to each other. However, the time-series data do not always follow the particular distribution, and most of cases are autocorrelated, therefore, it has limit to adopt the general SPC in tim series process. In this study, we propose a MPBC (Model Parameter Based Control-chart) method for fault detection in time-series processes. The MPBC builds up the process as a time-series model, and it can determine the faults by detecting changes parameters in the model. The process we analyze in the study assumes that the data follow the ARMA (p,q) model. The MPBC estimates model parameters using RLS (Recursive Least Square), and $K^2$-control chart is used for detecting out-of control process. The results of simulations support the idea that our proposed method performs better in time-series process.

• Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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• v.49 no.4
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• pp.539-550
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• 2021

Purpose: The purpose of this study is to propose a multivariate CUSUM control chart that can detect the out-of-control state fast while monitoring the cross- and auto- correlated multivariate time series data. Methods: We first build models to estimate the observation data and calculate the corresponding residuals. After then, a multivariate CUSUM chart is applied to monitor the residuals instead of the original raw observation data. Vector Autoregression and Artificial Neural Net are selected for the modelling, and Separated-MCUSUM chart is selected for the monitoring. The suggested methods are tested under a number of experimental settings and the performances are compared with those of other existing methods. Results: We find that Artificial Neural Net is more appropriate than Vector Autoregression for the modelling and show the combination of Separated-MCUSUM with Artificial Neural Net outperforms the other alternatives considered in this paper. Conclusion: The suggested chart has many advantages. It can monitor the complicated multivariate data with cross- and auto- correlation, and detects the out-of-control state fast. Unlike other CUSUM charts finding their control limits by trial and error simulation, the suggested chart saves lots of time and effort by approximating its control limit mathematically. We expect that the suggested chart performs not only effectively but also efficiently for monitoring the process with complicated correlations and frequently-changed parameters.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.5 no.2
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• pp.373-381
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• 1998

In this paper a new control chart which accounts for correlation between process subgroups will be proposed. We consider the case where the process fluctuations are autocorrelated by a stationary AR(1) time series and where n($\geq1$) items are sampled from the process at each sampling time. A simulation study is presented and shows that for correlated subgroups, the proposed control chart makes a significant improvement over the traditionally employed X-bar chart which ignores subgroup correlations. Finally, we illustrate the proposed chart by comparing the standardized residuals and X-bar chart on a data set of motor shaft diameters.

• Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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• v.26 no.1
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• pp.126-142
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• 1998

Traditional statistical process control(SPC) assumes that consective observations from a process are independent. In industrial practice, however, observations are ofter serially correlated. A common a, pp.oach to building control charts for autocorrelatd data is to a, pp.y classical SPC to the residuals from a time series model fitted. Unfortunately, one cannot completely escape the effects of autocorrelation by using charts based on residuals of time series model. For the detection of variance change in the process we propose a CUSUM of squares control chart which does not require the model identification. The proposed CUSUM of squares chart and the conventional control charts are compared by a Monte Carlo simulation. It is shown that the CUSUM of squares chart is more effective in the presence of dependency in the processes.

• Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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• v.49 no.5
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• pp.416-424
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• 2012

The MAU series has been usually used for the fishing vessel's propeller, which has been improved in consideration of the efficiency as well as the cavitation point of view in Pusan National University. The high efficiency standard series propeller(KF series) has been applied to the design of 52ton class fishing vessel's propeller in the previous study. The experimental study for the performance of the design propellers called KF series for 52 ton class fishing vessel has been conducted with five cases in Korea Ocean Research & Development Institute towing tank. The model tests have been carried out at different pitch ratio and expanded area ratio in comparison with the standard propeller to make the series chart. The KF series chart and the formula for performance expression have been completed on the basis of the experiment result.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.20 no.2
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• pp.107-113
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• 2013

This study reviews several well-known control charts for the location parameter with a discussion of the relationship between the maintenance of the control chart and a series of hypotheses testing. As a by-product, we then propose a new median control chart with the sign test statistic. We also modify the nonparametric control charts to easily understand the relation. Then we illustrate the construction of several median control charts with the industrial data and compare the efficiency among several control charts. Finally, we discuss some interesting features for the median control charts as concluding remarks.

• Selected Papers of The Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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• v.1 no.1
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• pp.76-90
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• 1993

A new propeller series is developed using the newly developed blade section (KH 18 section) which has better cavitation characteristics and higher lift-drag ratio at wade angle-of-attack range than a conventional section. The radial patch distribution of the new series propellers is variable stance they were designed adaptively to a typical wake distribution. Basic geometric particulars of the series propellers. such as chord length, thickness, skew and rake distributions, are determined on the basis of recent full scale propeller geometric data. The series is developed for propellers having 4 blades, and blade area ratios of 0.3, 0.45, 0.6 and 0.75. Mean pitch ratios are varied as 0.5, 0.6, 0.7, 0.95 and 1.1 for each blade area ratio. The new propeller series consists of 20 propellers and is named as the KD(KRISO-DAEWOO)-propeller series. Propeller open-water tests are performed at the towing tank, and cavitation observation tests and fluctuating pressure tests are carried out at the cavitation tunnel of KRISO. $B_{p}-\delta$ curves, which can be used to select the optimum propeller diameter at the preliminary design stage, are derived from a regression analysis of the propeller open-water test results. The KD-cavitation chart is derived from the cavitation observation test results by choosing the local maximum lift coefficient and the local cavitation number as parameters. The cavity extent predicted by the KD-cavitation chart would be more accurate compared to that by an existing cavitation charts, such as the Burrll's cavitation chart, since the former is derived from the cavitation observation test results in a typical ship's wake, while the lather is derived from the test results in a uniform flow.

• Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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• v.23 no.57
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• pp.123-129
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• 2000

The Bootstrap method proposed by Efron is non-parametric method which doesn't depend on the estimation of prior distribution refer to population. A typical statistical process control chart which is generally used is developed under the assumption that observations follow mutually independent and identically distributed within a sample and between samples. However, autocorrelation greatly affect the developed control chart under the assumption that observations are mutually independent. Many researchers showed that the result which was analyzed by using a typical control chart for the observations which has the correlation violated to the independence assumption can not be true. Therefore, we compared the standard method with bootstrap method and then evaluated them for x control chart and EWMA control chart by using bootstrap method which was proposed by Efron in the AR(1) model when the observations have correlation.

• Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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• v.38 no.3
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• pp.313-321
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• 2010

The coefficient of variation represents the ratio of the standard deviation to the mean, and it is a useful statistic for comparing the degree of variation from one data series to another, even if the means are drastically different from each other. Recently, the CV control chart is developed for monitoring processes in such situations. However, the CV control chart has low performance in detecting small shift. Due to the development of equipment and technique, currently, small shift of process occurs more frequently than large shift. In this paper, we proposes the CV-CUSUM control chart using CUSUM scheme which is cumulative sum of the deviations between each data point and a target value to detect a small shift in the process. We also found that the FIR(fast initial response) CUSUM control chart is especially valuable at start-up or after a CV-CUSUM control chart has signaled out-of-control.