• Title/Summary/Keyword: Sensitivity Equation

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Sensitivity Analysis of Wind Resource Micrositing at the Antarctic King Sejong Station (남극 세종기지에서의 풍력자원 국소배치 민감도 분석)

  • Kim, Seok-Woo;Kim, Hyun-Goo
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2007
  • Sensitivity analysis of wind resource micrositing has been performed through the application case at the Antarctic King Sejong station with the most representative micrositing softwares: WAsP, WindSim and Meteodyn WT. The wind data obtained from two met-masts separated 625m were applied as a climatology input condition of micro-scale wind mapping. A tower shading effect on the met-mast installed 20m apart from the warehouse has been assessed by the CFD software Fluent and confirmed a negligible influence on wind speed measurement. Theoretically, micro-scale wind maps generated by the two met-data located within the same wind system and strongly correlated meteor-statistically should be identical if nothing influenced on wind prediction but orography. They, however, show discrepancies due to nonlinear effects induced by surrounding complex terrain. From the comparison of sensitivity analysis, Meteodyn WT employing 1-equation turbulence model showed 68% higher RMSE error of wind speed prediction than that of WindSim using the ${\kappa}-{\epsilon}$ turbulence model, while a linear-theoretical model WAsP showed 21% higher error. Consequently, the CFD model WindSim would predict wind field over complex terrain more reliable and less sensitive to climatology input data than other micrositing models. The auto-validation method proposed in this paper and the evaluation result of the micrositing softwares would be anticipated a good reference of wind resource assessments in complex terrain.

Weathering of Rock Specimens Exposed to Recurrent Freezing and Thawing Cycles (동결-융해 풍화에 의한 암석 물성 변화 양상과 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Ryu, Sung-Hoon;Song, Jae-Joon
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.276-283
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    • 2012
  • Changes in rock properties due to freezing and thawing cycles ranging from $-20^{\circ}C$ to $10^{\circ}C$ were checked for the typical Korean rocks: granite (weathered), limestone, sandstone, tuff, shale and basalt. The porosity, seismic velocity, shore hardness and specific gravity were measured every 10 cycles for each type of rock up to 40 cycles. The specific gravity was rarely changed. Granite (w), shale and basalt decreased gradually in their shore hardness and seismic velocity values, these values for limestone, sandstone and tuff changed only a very little. The porosity increased in the granite (w), shale and basalt, whereas in the others it did not change. Due to the low tensile strength with high porosity, granite (w), shale and basalt were susceptible to the F-T cycles. A linear regression equation was calculated based on the experiment results according to properties and types of rock. The relationship between the freeze-thaw sensitivity (=initial porosity/initial tensile strength) and the coefficients of the regression equation was examined. With additional experimental data, the coefficients of the regression equation can be estimated using the F-T sensitivity. This makes it possible to predict the properties of rock as affected by freeze-thaw weathering by only measuring the initial properties without knowledge of the regression equation coefficients for each type of rock.

A Domain Combination-based Probabilistic Framework for Protein-Protein Interaction Prediction (도메인 조합 기반 단백질-단백질 상호작용 확률 예측 틀)

  • 한동수;서정민;김홍숙;장우혁
    • Journal of KIISE:Computing Practices and Letters
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.299-308
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, we propose a probabilistic framework to predict the interaction probability of proteins. The notion of domain combination and domain combination pair is newly introduced and the prediction model in the framework takes domain combination pair as a basic unit of protein interactions to overcome the limitations of the conventional domain pair based prediction systems. The framework largely consists of prediction preparation and service stages. In the prediction preparation stage, two appearance probability matrices, which hold information on appearance frequencies of domain combination pairs in the interacting and non-interacting sets of protein pairs, are constructed. Based on the appearance probability matrix, a probability equation is devised. The equation maps a protein pair to a real number in the range of 0 to 1. Two distributions of interacting and non-interacting set of protein pairs are obtained using the equation. In the prediction service stage, the interaction probability of a Protein pair is predicted using the distributions and the equation. The validity of the prediction model is evaluated for the interacting set of protein pairs in Yeast organism and artificially generated non-interacting set of protein pairs. When 80% of the set of interacting protein pairs in DIP database are used as teaming set of interacting protein pairs, very high sensitivity(86%) and specificity(56%) are achieved within our framework.

Marginal Propensity to Consume with Economic Shocks - FIML Markov-Switching Model Analysis (경제충격 시기의 한계소비성향 분석 - FIML 마코프-스위칭 모형 이용)

  • Yoon, Jae-Ho;Lee, Joo-Hyung
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.15 no.11
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    • pp.6565-6575
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    • 2014
  • Hamilton's Markov-switching model [5] was extended to the simultaneous equations model. A framework for an instrumental variable interpretation of full information maximum likelihood (FIML) by Hausman [4] can be used to deal with the problem of simultaneous equations based on the Hamilton filter [5]. A comparison of the proposed FIML Markov-switching model with the LIML Markov-switching models [1,2,3] revealed the LIML Markov-switching models to be a special case of the proposed FIML Markov-switching model, where all but the first equation were just identified. Moreover, the proposed Markov-switching model is a general form in simultaneous equations and covers a broad class of models that could not be handled previously. Excess sensitivity of marginal propensity to consume with big shocks, such as housing bubble bursts in 2008, can be determined by applying the proposed model to Campbell and Mankiw's consumption function [6], and allowing for the possibility of structural breaks in the sensitivity of consumption growth to income growth.

Reliability Estimation and Dynamic Deformation of Polymeric Material Using SHPB Technique and Probability Theory (SHPB 기법과 확률이론을 이용한 고분자재료의 동적거동특성 및 건전성 평가)

  • Lee, Ouk-Sub;Kim, Dong-Hyeok
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.32 no.9
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    • pp.740-753
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    • 2008
  • The conventional Split Hopkinson Pressure Bar (C-SHPB) technique with aluminum pressure bars to achieve a closer impedance match between the pressure bars and the specimen materials such as hot temperature degraded POM (Poly Oxy Methylene) and PP (Poly Propylene) to obtain more distinguishable experimental signals is used to obtain a dynamic behavior of material deformation under a high strain rate loading condition. An experimental modification with Pulse shaper is introduced to reduce the nonequilibrium on the dynamic material response during a short test period to increase the rise time of the incident pulse for two polymeric materials. For the dynamic stress strain curve obtained from SHPB experiment under high strain rate, the Johnson-Cook model is applied as a constitutive equation, and we verify the applicability of this constitutive equation to the probabilistic reliability estimation method. The methodology to estimate the reliability using the probabilistic method such as the FORM and the SORM has been proposed, after compose the limit state function using Johnson-Cook model. It is found that the failure probability estimated by using the SORM is more reliable than those of the FORM, and the failure probability increases with the increase of applied stress. Moreover, it is noted that the parameters of Johnson-Cook model such as A and n, and applied stress affect the failure probability more than the other random variables according to the sensitivity analysis.

Solution Methods for OD Trip Estimation in Stochastic Assignment (확률적 통행배정하에서 기종점 통행량추정 모형의 개발)

  • Im, Yong-Taek
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.24 no.4 s.90
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    • pp.149-159
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    • 2006
  • Traditional trip tables are estimated through large-scale surveys such as household survey, roadside interviews, and license Plate matching. These methods are, however, expensive and time consuming. This paper presents two origin-destination (OD) trip matrix estimation methods from link traffic counts in stochastic assignment, which contains perceived errors of drivers for alternatives. The methods are formulated based on the relation between link flows and OD demands in logit formula. The first method can be expressed to minimize the difference between observed link flows and estimated flows, derived from traffic assignment and be solved by gradient method. The second method can be formulated based on dynamic process, which nay describe the daily movement patterns of drivers and be solved by a recursive equation. A numerical example is used for assessing the methods, and shows the performances and properties of the models.

SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS TO EVALUATE THE TRANSPORT PROPERTIES OF CdZnTe DETECTORS USING ALPHA PARTICLES AND LOW-ENERGY GAMMA-RAYS

  • Kim, Kyung-O;Ahn, Woo-Sang;Kwon, Tae-Je;Kim, Soon-Young;Kim, Jong-Kyung;Ha, Jang-Ho
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.43 no.6
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    • pp.567-572
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    • 2011
  • A sensitivity analysis of the methods used to evaluate the transport properties of a CdZnTe detector was performed using two different radiations (${\alpha}$ particle and gamma-ray) emitted from an $^{241}Am$ source. The mobility-lifetime products of the electron-hole pair in a planar CZT detector ($5{\times}5{\times}2\;mm^3$) were determined by fitting the peak position as a function of biased voltage data to the Hecht equation. To verify the accuracy of these products derived from ${\alpha}$ particles and low-energy gamma-rays, an energy spectrum considering the transport property of the CZT detector was simulated through a combination of the deposited energy and the charge collection efficiency at a specific position. It was found that the shaping time of the amplifier module significantly affects the determination of the (${\mu}{\tau}$) products; the ${\alpha}$ particle method was stabilized with an increase in the shaping time and was less sensitive to this change compared to when the gamma-ray method was used. In the case of the simulated energy spectrum with transport properties evaluated by the ${\alpha}$ particle method, the peak position and tail were slightly different from the measured result, whereas the energy spectrum derived from the low-energy gamma-ray was in good agreement with the experimental results. From these results, it was confirmed that low-energy gamma-rays are more useful when seeking to obtain the transport properties of carriers than ${\alpha}$ particles because the methods that use gamma-rays are less influenced by the surface condition of the CZT detector. Furthermore, the analysis system employed in this study, which was configured by a combination of Monte Carlo simulation and the Hecht model, is expected to be highly applicable to the study of the characteristics of CZT detectors.

Hydraulic Flood Routing using Linear Reservoir Model (선형저수지모형을 적용한 수리학적 홍수추적)

  • Jeon, Min-Woo;Cho, Young-Soo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.35 no.6
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    • pp.787-796
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    • 2002
  • Hydraulic flood routing was performed for unsteady flow in a natural river using Preissmann scheme. A Log-Pearson Type-Ⅲ hydrograph is chosen arbitrarily as the upstream boundary condition and lateral inflow hydrographs for sensitivity analysis. For the application with an actual river system, upstream and lateral inflow hydrographs were estimated by the linear reservoir model and the Manning's equation was used as the downstream boundary condition. The unsteady flow model using the linear reservoir model as the inflow hydrographs was applied to Bochung stream basin and gives good results, and is approved to be used for the runoff prediction. As results of the sensitivity analysis, the proposed model may help to estimate the roughness coefficients when using the unsteady flow model with lateral inflow combined with the linear reservoir model.

A two-stage Kalman filter for the identification of structural parameters with unknown loads

  • He, Jia;Zhang, Xiaoxiong;Feng, Zhouquan;Chen, Zhengqing;Cao, Zhang
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.693-701
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    • 2020
  • The conventional Kalman Filter (KF) provides a promising way for structural state estimation. However, the physical parameters of structural systems or models should be available for the estimation. Moreover, it is not applicable when the loadings applied to the structures are unknown. To circumvent the aforementioned limitations, a two-stage KF with unknown input approach is proposed for the simultaneous identification of structural parameters and unknown loadings. In stage 1, a modified observation equation is employed. The structural state vector is estimated by KF on the basis of structural parameters identified at the previous time-step. Then, the unknown input is identified by Least Squares Estimation (LSE). In stage 2, based on the concept of sensitivity matrix, the structural parameters are updated at the current time-step by using the estimated structural states obtained from stage 1. The effectiveness of the proposed approach is numerically validated via a five-story shearing model under random and earthquake excitations. Shaking table tests on a five-story structure are also employed to demonstrate the performance of the proposed approach. It is demonstrated from numerical and experimental results that the proposed approach can be used for the identification of parameters of structure and the external force applied to it with acceptable accuracy.

A Study for Evaluating of Voltage Stability Margin Considering Shunt Capacitor (조상설비를 고려한 전압안정성 여유전력의 평가에 관한 연구)

  • 김세영
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.65-72
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    • 1998
  • This paper presents a fast calculation method for evaluating of voltage stability margin (MW) using the line flow equation in polar form. Here, Line flow equations $(P_{ij},\;Q_{ij}$ are comprised of state variable, $V_i,\;{\Delta}_i,\;V_j$ and ${Delta}_j$, and line parameter, r and x. using the feature of polar coordinate, these becomes one equation with two variables, $V_j,;V_j$. Moreover, if bus j is slack or generator bus, which is specified voltage magnitude in load flow calculation, it becomes one equation with one variable $V_ i $ that is, may be formulated with the second-order equation for $V^2_i$. Therefore, multiple load flow solutions may be obtained with simple computation. The obtained load flow multiple solutions are used for evaluating of voltage stability through sensitivity analysis or its closeness. Also, the method is proposed to calculate for voltage stability margin considering shunt capacitor, which is important element for evaluating of voltage stability. The proposed method was validated to sample systems.

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