• 제목/요약/키워드: Seasonal trends

검색결과 269건 처리시간 0.019초

낙동강 수계의 수질오염총량 자료를 이용한 비모수적 수질추세 분석 (A Nonparametric Trend Tests Using TMDL Data in the Nakdong River)

  • 김미아;이소영;문현생;조항수;이재관;김경현
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제33권1호
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    • pp.40-50
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    • 2017
  • We were interested in the long-term temporal and spatial variability trends of water quality. Trend tests such as the Seasonal and Regional Kendall tests and LOWESS (LOcally WEighted Scatter plot Smoother) have been recommended as outstanding tools for trend detection. In this study, we conducted four types of nonparametric trend tests (Seasonal and Regional Kendall tests, LOWESS, and flow-adjusted Seasonal Kendall). We aimed to identify water quality trends using the monthly data for five variables (BOD, COD, TN, TP, and flow) collected from 24 sites in the Nakdong River from August 2004 to December 2013. According to the Regional Kendall test, BOD, COD, and TN increased but TP decreased trend. The Seasonal Kendall test showed that BOD, TN, and TP remained constant at 62.5-83.3% of the sites. COD remained constant at 58.3% of the sites. LOWESS showed that TP gradually increased between 2007 and 2008, then decreased slowly at the Gumi, Geumhogang6, Daeam-1 and Milyanggang3 sites. BOD increased slightly between 2008 and 2009, and then decreased slowly at the Namgang4-1 site. Lastly, a flow-adjusted Seasonal Kendall test was conducted. There were different results between Seasonal Kendall and flow-adjusted Seasonal Kendall tests at 11 of the 24 sites. According to the results from six of the eleven sites, BOD increased at one site, showed no trends at three sited, and decreased at two sites. Each of COD, TN increased at two, one site. but TP decreased at two sites.

계절(季節)에 따른 헤어컬러 변화(變化)에 관(關)한 연구(硏究) - 2003 $\sim$ 6년 여성잡지(女性雜誌)에 나타난 헤어컬러 트렌드를 중심(中心)으로- (A Study on the Seasonal Changes of Hair Color - Centered on 2003 $\sim$ 6' hair color trends published on women's magazines -)

  • 안현경
    • 패션비즈니스
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2007
  • This study was aimed at giving help to the people intending to change their own hair color design and also providing the guide line to the cosmetic circles for developing new hair color design and promoting sales by statistically analyzing seasonal changes of hair colors puplished on women's magazines(Vogue Korea, Estetica Korea, Woman Chosun, Ce.ci) from 2003 to 2006. The researching methods were as follows; (1) hair colors published on women's magazines from september 2003 to August 2006 were measured by N.C.S. color reader(4 magazines $\times$10 main hair colors/magazine $\times$ 12 months $\times$ 3 years = 1,440 colors). (2) N.C.S. tone is made of percentage, so measured values and chromas were statistically analyzed by mean, standard deviation, and seasonal deferences were statistically analyzed by t-test and specified on high significant values. But hues were not made of percentage, so these were statistically analyzed by cross tabulation analysis, $x^2$ -test and specified on high significant values. These all had been analyzed by SPSS program(ver. 11.0). The results were as follows; (1) Usually seasonal changes of hair values were significant, specially in foreign licensed magazines, and bright values appeared in S/S and dark values in F/W. (2) Seasonal changes of hair hues were significant only on foreign women's magazines. Therefore seasonal changes of korean hair colors were not significant compared by foreign hair colors because of hardness of color changes of dark black hair and hair damages by hair tints and bleaches and trends of well being and hair care. But hair color changes have been developed gradually and will developed furthermore. So korean hair cosmetic circles have to present hair color trends deferenciated by seasons. And S/S hair values have to be brignt and F/W have to be dark. And new seasonal hair hues matched by korean have to be developed and presented.

한반도 주요 대도시지역의 지표오존 특성 : 추세, 일변화, 월변화, 수평분포 (Surface Ozone in The Major Cities of Korea : Trends, Diurnal and Seasonal Variations, and Horizontal Distributions)

  • 오인보;김유근
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제18권4호
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    • pp.253-264
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    • 2002
  • Surface ozone concentrations measured at 40 monitoring sites in three major cities (Seoul, Busan, and Daegu) of Korea during 1993~2000 were analyzed to understand the characteristics of temporal and spatial distributions. Trends were analyzed for annual mean, 95th percentiles of daily 8-hour maximum and days exceeding 8-h ozone standard of 60 ppb. Three indicators exhibited increasing trends (+0.75 ppb yr$^{-1}$ , +2.20 ppb yr$_{-1}$ , and +5.35 days yr$_{-1}$ on average) throughout the study period at all cities. Diurnal and seasonal variations were the largest in Seoul followed by Daegue and Busan, due to the high photochemical production and titration of ozone (Seoul), strong wind and constant supply of background ozone from the ocean (Busan). In the urban centers and industrial areas at all cities, scavenging of ozone by NO reduces the daily 8-hour maximum ozone by 10 ppb on average. High concentrations of ozone have frequently occurred in downwind eastern (Seoul and Daegu) or northern (Busan) sides of the territory. In particular, the coastal area of Busan had relatively high ozone level due to the local sea land breeze circulation. The results indicated that the temporal and spatial variations of ozone concentration were non -uniform and were closely related to the local environments; emission levels, climates, and geographic locations.

Time series analysis of patients seeking orthodontic treatment at Seoul National University Dental Hospital over the past decade

  • Lim, Hyun-Woo;Park, Ji-Hoon;Park, Hyun-Hee;Lee, Shin-Jae
    • 대한치과교정학회지
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    • 제47권5호
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    • pp.298-305
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    • 2017
  • Objective: This paper describes changes in the characteristics of patients seeking orthodontic treatment over the past decade and the treatment they received, to identify any seasonal variations or trends. Methods: This single-center retrospective cohort study included all patients who presented to Seoul National University Dental Hospital for orthodontic diagnosis and treatment between January 1, 2005 and December 31, 2015. The study analyzed a set of heterogeneous variables grouped into the following categories: demographic (age, gender, and address), clinical (Angle Classification, anomaly, mode of orthodontic treatment, removable appliances for Phase 1 treatment, fixed appliances for Phase 2 treatment, orthognathic surgery, extraction, mini-plate, mini-implant, and patient transfer) and time-related variables (date of first visit and orthodontic treatment time). Time series analysis was applied to each variable. Results: The sample included 14,510 patients with a median age of 19.5 years. The number of patients and their ages demonstrated a clear seasonal variation, which peaked in the summer and winter. Increasing trends were observed for the proportion of male patients, use of non-extraction treatment modality, use of ceramic brackets, patients from provinces outside the Seoul region at large, patients transferred from private practitioners, and patients who underwent orthognathic surgery performed by university surgeons. Decreasing trends included the use of metal brackets and orthodontic treatment time. Conclusions: Time series analysis revealed a seasonal variation in some characteristics, and several variables showed changing trends over the past decade.

Evaluation of long-term water quality management policy effect using nonparametric statistical methods

  • Jung, Kang Young;Ahn, Jung Min;Cho, Sohyun;Lee, Yeong Jae;Han, Kun Yeun;Shin, Dongseok;Kim, Kyunghyun
    • Membrane and Water Treatment
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    • 제10권5호
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    • pp.339-352
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    • 2019
  • Long term water quality change was analyzed to evaluate the effect of the Total Maximum Daily Load (TMDL) policy. A trend analysis was performed for biochemical oxygen demand (BOD) and total phosphorus (TP) concentrations data monitored at the outlets of the total 41 TMDL unit watersheds of the Nakdong River in the Republic of Korea. Because water quality data do not usually follow a normal distribution, a nonparametric statistical trend analysis method was used. The monthly mean values of BOD and TP for the period between 2004 and 2015 were analyzed by the seasonal Mann-Kendall test and the locally weighted scatterplot smoother (LOWESS). The TMDL policy effect on the water quality change of each unit watershed was analyzed together with the results of the trend analysis. From the seasonal Mann-Kendall test results, it was found that for BOD, 7.8 % of the 41 points showed downward trends, 26.8 % and the rest 65.9% showed upward and no trends. For TP, 51.2% showed no trends and the rest 48.8% showed downward trends. From the LOWESS analysis results, TP began to decrease in most of the unit watersheds from mid-2010s when intensive chemical treatment processes were introduced to existing wastewater treatment plants. Overall, for BOD, relatively more points were improved in the main stream compared to the points of the tributaries although overall trends were mostly no trend or upward. For TP, about half of the points were improved and the rest showed no trends.

봄철의 솔잎혹파리 유충밀도의 변동조사 (Seasonal trends in the Population of larvae of Pine gall-midge (Thecodiplosis Japonensis Uchida et Inouye) in the spring)

  • 고제호
    • 한국산림과학회지
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.45-48
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    • 1969
  • 야외 피해림지에서 봄철의 솔잎혹파리 유충밀도의 감소경향을 조사한것이다. (1) 해빙직후인 3월 12일의 유충수를 100으로 보았을 때 4월 15일은 29, 5월 4일에는 10 이하 이였다. (2) 봄철에 시기에 따라서 유충수가 점점 감소되는 것은 온도가 차차 높아지고 습도가 낮아 지는것이 큰 원인이라고 관찰되었다. (3) 지표토양에서 솔잎혹파리 유충을 선별 함에는 수선하는 방법이 가장 좋았다.

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Seasonal Dynamics of the Seagrass Zostera marina on the South Coast of the Korean Peninsula

  • Lee, Kun-Seop;Kang, Chang-Keun;Kim, Young-Sang
    • Journal of the korean society of oceanography
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    • 제38권2호
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    • pp.68-79
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    • 2003
  • Although seagrasses are relatively abundant, few studies have been conducted on seagrass physiology and ecology in Korea. Zostera marina is the most abundant seagrass species, widely distributed throughout all coastal areas of the Korean peninsula. To examine seasonal dynamics and spatial variations of eelgrass, Zostera marina distributed on the coast of Korea, morphological characteristics, biomass, tissue nutrient constituents, leaf productivity and environmental factors were monitored monthly from the eelgrass beds in Kabae Bay and Kosung Bay on the south coast of the Korean peninsula from June 2001 to June 2002. Eelgrass density, biomass, morphological characteristics, leaf productivities, and tissue nutrient constituents exhibited clear seasonal variations, and these seasonal trends reflected seasonal changes in water temperature. Eelgrass shoot density and biomass at Kabae Bay site showed more obvious seasonal trends than Kosung Bay. No strong seasonality in Kosung Bay site appeared to be caused by high water temperature ($>30{\circ}C$) during summer months at this site. Despite differences in nutrient availabilities between two study sites, eelgrass biomass and leaf productivities were not significantly different between study sites, and this lack of spatial variations implies that the ambient nutrient availabilities at the present study sites are in excess of seagrass nutrient demand. Eelgrass tissue N content and sediment pore water DIN concentrations exhibited reverse relationship at the present study. This reverse relationship suggests in situ nutrient concentrations are not good indicator of nutrient availabilities, and regeneration and turnover rates of sediment nutrients are also important factors to determine nutrient availabilities at the site.

비모수 통계기법을 이용한 낙동강 수계의 수질 장기 경향 분석 (Long-Term Trend Analyses of Water Qualities in Nakdong River Based on Non-Parametric Statistical Methods)

  • 김주화;박석순
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.63-71
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    • 2004
  • The long-tenn trend analyses of water qualities were performed for 49 monitoring stations located in Nakdong River. Water quality parameters used in this study are the monthly data of BOD(Biological Oxygen Demand), TN(Total Nitrogen) and TP(Total Phosphorus) measured from 1990 to 1999. The long-tenn trends were analyzed by Seasonal Mann-Kendall Test and Locally WEighted Scatter plot Smoother(LOWESS). Nakdong river was divided into four subbasins, including upstream watershed, midstream watershed, western downstream watershed and eastern downstream watershed. The results of Seasonal Mann-Kendall Test indicated that there would be no trends of BOD in upstream watershed, western and eastern downstream watershed. Trends of BOD were downward in midstream watershed. For TN and TP, there were upward trends in all of watersheds. But LOWESS curves suggested that BOD, TN and TP concentrations generally increased between 1990 and 1996, then resumed decreasing.

우리나라 경제통계의 계절조정 현황과 주요 쟁점 (Seasonal adjustment in Korean economic statistics and major issues)

  • 이긍희
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제29권1호
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    • pp.205-220
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    • 2016
  • 경제통계에서 기조적 변동인 추세변동과 순환변동을 살펴보려면 경제통계에서 달력변동을 포함한 계절변동을 적절히 제거하는 계절조정이 필요하다. 계절조정방법으로는 전년동기대비 증감률과 같이 간편한 방식이 있지만 통계작성기관에서는 이동평균 또는 시계열모형을 기반으로 한 X-12-ARIMA 또는 TRAMO-SEATS를 이용하여 계절조정계열을 작성한다. 통계청과 한국은행은 X-12-ARIMA 또는 X-13ARIMA-SEATS에 우리나라 고유의 명절, 공휴일 등을 추가로 보정한 계절조정방법을 만들고 이를 이용하여 우리나라 주요 경제통계의 계절조정계열을 작성, 공표하고 있다. 본 논문에서는 그 동안의 연구를 바탕으로 계절조정의 기본 원리와 우리나라의 계절조정 현황을 정리하고, 월별 산업생산지수(제조업)와 취업자의 계절조정을 통해 계절조정의 주요 쟁점을 정리하였다.